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BUF @ PIT

Wednesday, October 16, 2024 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
36-39-7 · Away
5 – 6
FINAL / OT
Pittsburgh Penguins
34-36-12 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF -105 · PIT -115
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-240) · PIT -1.5 (+175)
Total
O 6.5 (-105) · U (-115)

Graded: total 11 → OVER W · PIT -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season = '23-24 (fewer than 5 games this season)
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 BUFo6.5 38%
31-51
20%
1-4
10%
1-9
37%
15-26
0%
0-3
—
PITo6.5 45%
37-45
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
44%
18-23
0%
0-3
—
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF+1.5 68%
56-26
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
71%
29-12
67%
2-1
—
PIT-1.5 32%
26-56
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
37%
15-26
33%
1-2
—
Moneyline
win %
 BUF dog -105 48%
39-43
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
44%
18-23
67%
2-1
—
PIT fav -115 46%
38-44
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
56%
23-18
33%
1-2
—
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-130/u+104 BUF 56%
46-36
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
56%
23-18
0%
0-3
— 2.00 0.82 / 1.18
PIT 50%
41-41
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
44%
18-23
0%
0-3
— 1.67 0.84 / 0.83
2nd Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 BUF 59%
48-34
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
56%
23-18
0%
0-3
— 1.87 0.98 / 0.89
PIT 65%
53-29
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
68%
28-13
0%
0-3
— 2.13 1.07 / 1.06
3rd Period
over 1.5
 no DK/FD line BUF 60%
49-33
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
63%
26-15
100%
3-0
— 1.96 1.13 / 0.83
PIT 67%
55-27
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
63%
26-15
100%
3-0
— 2.15 1.12 / 1.02
Team Comparison '24-25
BUFPIT
Record (W-L-OTL)36-39-734-36-12
Points %48.2%48.8%
Goals for / game3.282.96
Goals against / game3.523.57
Shots for / game27.828.3
Shots against / game28.930.1
Power play %18.8%25.8%
Penalty kill %76.3%77.8%
Faceoff %47.7%52.6%
1st period GF / GA1.12 / 0.830.82 / 0.96
2nd period GF / GA1.02 / 1.300.93 / 1.22
3rd period GF / GA1.05 / 1.301.10 / 1.24
Avg game total6.806.54
Starting Goalies from the box score
37 saves on 43 shots · 6 GA · OTL
2 saves on 5 shots · 3 GA
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF3020330/1
PIT1221432/5
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+230
 27% 40% 100%2/2 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+160
 32% 40% 0%0/2 1 O
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+325
 30% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+400
 13% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+475
 24% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Dylan Cozens G 0.5
o+260
 20% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+425
 14% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+325
 19% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Sam Lafferty G 0.5
o+750
 17% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Henri Jokiharju G 0.5
o+1400
 4% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1400
 2% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
JJ Peterka G 0.5
o+230
 29% 10% 0%0/3 2 O
Owen Power G 0.5
o+700
 8% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Connor Clifton G 0.5
o+1500
 5% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+850
 7% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+500
 14% 0% 50%1/2 1 O
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+700
 5% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+900
 11% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+105
 53% 70% 100%2/2 2 O
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 52% 50% 50%1/2 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 52% 50% 0%0/1 0 U
Jordan Greenway PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 31% 40% 0%0/2 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 57% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 37% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Dylan Cozens PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 43% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
JJ Peterka PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 49% 30% 0%0/3 2 O
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 37% 40% 50%1/2 2 O
Jordan Greenway A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 22% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
JJ Peterka A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 26% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 30% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 31% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 43% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Dylan Cozens A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 30% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 30% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
 45% 60% 100%2/2 5 O
JJ Peterka SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
 52% 60% 67%2/3 4 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 54% 40% 0%0/3 5 O
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 56% 40% 0%0/1 1 U
Jason Zucker SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-185
 36% 30% 67%2/3 1 U
Dylan Cozens SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 41% 30% 33%1/3 3 O
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+100 / u-135
 48% 20% 50%1/2 3 U
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 27.5
o-120 / u-110
 41% 20% 100%3/3 37 O
PITPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Evgeni Malkin G 0.5
o+200
 27% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Kris Letang G 0.5
o+500
 11% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Rickard Rakell G 0.5
o+260
 20% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Drew O'Connor G 0.5
o+375
 20% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Sidney Crosby G 0.5
o+150
 39% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Erik Karlsson G 0.5
o+425
 12% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Kevin Hayes G 0.5
o+450
 14% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Bryan Rust G 0.5
o+145
 39% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Michael Bunting G 0.5
o+300
 24% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Lars Eller G 0.5
o+400
 17% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Marcus Pettersson G 0.5
o+850
 5% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Anthony Beauvillier G 0.5
o+350
 7% 10% — 0 U
Noel Acciari G 0.5
o+750
 7% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Cody Glass G 0.5
o+500
 10% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Matt Grzelcyk G 0.5
o+1100
 3% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Ryan Graves G 0.5
o+1500
 4% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jesse Puljujarvi G 0.5
o+425
 14% 0% — 1 O
Jack St. Ivany G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% — 0 U
Sidney Crosby PTS 0.5
o-250 / u+180
 73% 80% 67%2/3 3 O
Evgeni Malkin PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+120
 57% 70% 67%2/3 4 O
Erik Karlsson PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 52% 70% 67%2/3 1 O
Kris Letang PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 45% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
Rickard Rakell PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 40% 60% 50%1/2 1 O
Michael Bunting PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 51% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Bryan Rust PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 65% 50% 0%0/2 2 O
Evgeni Malkin A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 45% 70% 67%2/3 3 O
Sidney Crosby A 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 51% 70% 33%1/3 2 O
Erik Karlsson A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 45% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
Michael Bunting A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 36% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Bryan Rust A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 36% 40% 0%0/2 1 O
Kris Letang A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 37% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Rickard Rakell A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 24% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Anthony Beauvillier SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 55% 70% — 3 O
Evgeni Malkin SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 40% 60% 0%0/3 7 O
Erik Karlsson SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 46% 60% 67%2/3 2 U
Bryan Rust SOG 3.5
o+120 / u-165
 42% 60% 100%2/2 6 O
Drew O'Connor SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 58% 60% 33%1/3 1 U
Kris Letang SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 59% 50% 100%3/3 2 O
Rickard Rakell SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 44% 40% 50%1/2 3 O
Sidney Crosby SOG 3.5
o+120 / u-160
 44% 30% 67%2/3 3 U
Michael Bunting SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-200
 35% 30% 0%0/3 2 U
Tristan Jarry SV 27.5
o-110 / u-120
 42% 60% 100%2/2 2 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 6, 2024 at PIT PIT 1–3 0–10–01–2 4 — BUF
Nov 24, 2023 at BUF PIT 2–3 1–01–00–3 5 — BUF
Nov 11, 2023 at PIT PIT 4–0 1–01–02–0 4 — PIT
Dec 10, 2022 at PIT PIT 3–1 2–00–01–1 4 — PIT
Dec 9, 2022 at BUF PIT 4–3 OT 0–01–22–1 7 — PIT
Nov 2, 2022 at BUF PIT 3–6 1–01–11–5 9 — BUF
Mar 23, 2022 at BUF PIT 3–4 SO 0–12–11–1 7 — BUF
Dec 17, 2021 at PIT PIT 3–2 OT 1–01–10–1 5 — PIT
Nov 16, 2021 at PIT PIT 1–2 0–00–21–0 3 — BUF
May 8, 2021 at PIT PIT 1–0 0–01–00–0 1 — PIT