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TBL @ PIT

Sunday, January 12, 2025 · 4:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
47-27-8 · Away
5 – 2
FINAL
Pittsburgh Penguins
34-36-12 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL -145 · PIT +125
Puck Line
TBL -1.5 (+150) · PIT +1.5 (-195)
Total
O 6.5 (-120) · U (+100)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · PIT +1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 TBLo6.5 40%
16-24
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
40%
8-12
25%
1-3
42%
16-22-2
PITo6.5 55%
24-20
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
57%
13-10
25%
1-3
58%
25-18-1
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL-1.5 43%
17-23
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
35%
7-13
25%
1-3
+4.99u
22-18
PIT+1.5 61%
27-17
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
65%
15-8
75%
3-1
-4.26u
22-22
Moneyline
win %
 TBL fav -145 55%
22-18
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
45%
9-11
50%
2-2
+1.35u
16-9
PIT dog +125 41%
18-26
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
52%
12-11
50%
2-2
-8.69u
11-23
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-160/u+124 FD 1.5 o-150/u+118 TBL 93%
37-3
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
95%
19-1
100%
4-0
50%
20-20
 1.90 1.18 / 0.73
PIT 84%
37-7
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
96%
22-1
100%
4-0
55%
24-20
 1.95 0.91 / 1.05
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 2.5 o+135/u-175 FD 2.5 o+138/u-176 TBL 85%
34-6
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
85%
17-3
100%
4-0
58%
23-17
 2.15 1.18 / 0.98
PIT 96%
42-2
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
96%
22-1
100%
4-0
59%
26-18
 2.11 0.91 / 1.20
3rd Period
over 0.5
 FD 2.5 o+126/u-160 TBL 88%
35-5
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
85%
17-3
100%
4-0
32%
11-23
 2.23 1.23 / 1.00
PIT 93%
41-3
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
87%
20-3
100%
4-0
39%
14-22
 2.36 1.07 / 1.30
Team Comparison '24-25
TBLPIT
Record (W-L-OTL)47-27-834-36-12
Points %62.2%48.8%
Goals for / game3.592.96
Goals against / game2.673.57
Shots for / game28.528.3
Shots against / game28.230.1
Power play %25.9%25.8%
Penalty kill %81.6%77.8%
Faceoff %50.1%52.6%
1st period GF / GA1.11 / 0.720.82 / 0.96
2nd period GF / GA1.22 / 0.940.93 / 1.22
3rd period GF / GA1.18 / 0.911.10 / 1.24
Avg game total6.266.54
Starting Goalies from the box score
31 saves on 33 shots · 2 GA · W
14 saves on 17 shots · 3 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL0230190/0
PIT1010331/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+135
 40% 40% 25%1/4 2 O
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+130
 58% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+160
 38% 40% 0%0/4 1 O
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+135
 41% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+300
 29% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+240
 39% 30% 67%2/3 1 O
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+500
 13% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1000
 3% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Michael Eyssimont G 0.5
o+525
 11% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Mitchell Chaffee G 0.5
o+550
 19% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+700
 4% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Waltteri Merela G 0.5
o+750
 5% 10% — DNP
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+700
 0% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+850
 3% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Nick Perbix G 0.5
o+1300
 11% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+175
 73% 70% 0%0/4 2 O
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-225 / u+165
 69% 60% 0%0/2 2 O
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 59% 60% 25%1/4 1 O
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 58% 50% 100%4/4 1 O
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 54% 40% 67%2/3 2 O
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 42% 20% 75%3/4 3 O
Brayden Point PTS 1.5
o+180 / u-250
 28% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 50% 50% 0%0/4 1 O
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 41% 40% 0%0/2 2 O
Brayden Point A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 39% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 47% 30% 100%4/4 1 O
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 32% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 1.5
o+170 / u-240
 32% 20% 50%2/4 1 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 31% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o-125 / u-105
 53% 50% 25%1/4 6 O
Victor Hedman SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-130
 42% 40% 50%2/4 1 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 3.5
o+105 / u-140
 50% 40% 75%3/4 3 U
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 50% 30% 75%3/4 0 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
 44% 20% 50%1/2 4 O
Jonas Johansson SV 25.5
o-105 / u-125
 75% 70% — 31 O
PITPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Rickard Rakell G 0.5
o+165
 41% 50% 50%1/2 1 O
Sidney Crosby G 0.5
o+155
 23% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Kevin Hayes G 0.5
o+400
 22% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Bryan Rust G 0.5
o+175
 32% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Jesse Puljujarvi G 0.5
o+500
 13% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Drew O'Connor G 0.5
o+400
 11% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Kris Letang G 0.5
o+650
 18% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Erik Karlsson G 0.5
o+450
 9% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Anthony Beauvillier G 0.5
o+450
 19% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Noel Acciari G 0.5
o+550
 9% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Blake Lizotte G 0.5
o+525
 29% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Philip Tomasino G 0.5
o+375
 15% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Matt Nieto G 0.5
o+750
 4% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Matt Grzelcyk G 0.5
o+750
 2% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Marcus Pettersson G 0.5
o+1000
 5% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Cody Glass G 0.5
o+425
 3% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Pierre-Olivier Joseph G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Owen Pickering G 0.5
o+1500
 5% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Sidney Crosby PTS 0.5
o-250 / u+185
 64% 60% 100%4/4 1 O
Erik Karlsson PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 52% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Rickard Rakell PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+120
 55% 60% 50%1/2 2 O
Matt Grzelcyk PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-210
 43% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Bryan Rust PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+130
 51% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
Kris Letang PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 34% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Erik Karlsson A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 52% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Sidney Crosby A 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 50% 50% 50%2/4 1 O
Matt Grzelcyk A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 41% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Bryan Rust A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 38% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
Rickard Rakell A 0.5
o+150 / u-210
 27% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Kris Letang A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 21% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Erik Karlsson SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 52% 60% 25%1/4 1 U
Sidney Crosby SOG 2.5
o-170 / u+130
 61% 50% 50%2/4 6 O
Kris Letang SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 61% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Bryan Rust SOG 2.5
o-150 / u+110
 38% 30% 25%1/4 4 O
Rickard Rakell SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 36% 30% 0%0/2 6 O
Tristan Jarry SV 25.5
o-115 / u-115
 53% 40% 67%2/3 14 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Nov 19, 2024 at PIT PIT 2–3 OT 1–01–00–2 5 6.5 U TBL
Apr 6, 2024 at PIT PIT 5–4 1–03–11–3 9 — PIT
Dec 6, 2023 at TBL PIT 1–3 0–10–21–0 4 — TBL
Nov 30, 2023 at TBL PIT 4–2 0–22–02–0 6 — PIT
Mar 2, 2023 at TBL PIT 5–4 OT 0–13–11–2 9 — PIT
Feb 26, 2023 at PIT PIT 7–3 1–26–00–1 10 — PIT
Oct 15, 2022 at PIT PIT 6–2 1–11–04–1 8 — PIT
Mar 3, 2022 at TBL PIT 5–1 2–01–12–0 6 — PIT
Oct 26, 2021 at PIT PIT 1–5 0–00–31–2 6 — TBL
Oct 12, 2021 at TBL PIT 6–2 0–02–04–2 8 — PIT