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PIT @ BUF

Friday, January 17, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Pittsburgh Penguins
34-36-12 · Away
5 – 2
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
36-39-7 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
PIT +100 · BUF -120
Puck Line
PIT +1.5 (-250) · BUF -1.5 (+180)
Total
O 6 (-120) · U (+100)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · BUF -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6
 PITo6 64%
25-14-7
75%
3-1-1
63%
5-3-2
69%
11-5-5
25%
1-3
59%
26-18-2
BUFo6 61%
22-14-8
50%
2-2-1
71%
5-2-3
70%
14-6-3
25%
1-3
62%
23-14-7
Puck Line
cover %
 PIT+1.5 59%
27-19
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
57%
12-9
75%
3-1
-6.26u
22-24
BUF-1.5 27%
12-32
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
26%
6-17
25%
1-3
-7.12u
22-22
Moneyline
win %
 PIT dog +100 39%
18-28
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
29%
6-15
50%
2-2
-9.69u
11-24
BUF fav -120 39%
17-27
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
39%
9-14
50%
2-2
-2.50u
7-7
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-145/u+114 FD 1.5 o-130/u+102 PIT 54%
25-21
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
48%
10-11
25%
1-3
54%
25-21
 1.93 0.91 / 1.02
BUF 64%
28-16
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
65%
15-8
25%
1-3
64%
28-16
 1.84 1.11 / 0.73
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-205/u+158 PIT 65%
30-16
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
71%
15-6
25%
1-3
57%
26-20
 2.09 0.89 / 1.20
BUF 68%
30-14
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
61%
14-9
25%
1-3
64%
28-16
 2.18 0.95 / 1.23
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+144/u-186 PIT 46%
21-25
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
52%
11-10
75%
3-1
42%
16-22
 2.41 1.04 / 1.37
BUF 43%
19-25
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
52%
12-11
75%
3-1
44%
16-20
 2.23 0.93 / 1.30
Team Comparison '24-25
PITBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)34-36-1236-39-7
Points %48.8%48.2%
Goals for / game2.963.28
Goals against / game3.573.52
Shots for / game28.327.8
Shots against / game30.128.9
Power play %25.8%18.8%
Penalty kill %77.8%76.3%
Faceoff %52.6%47.7%
1st period GF / GA0.82 / 0.961.12 / 0.83
2nd period GF / GA0.93 / 1.221.02 / 1.30
3rd period GF / GA1.10 / 1.241.05 / 1.30
Avg game total6.546.80
Starting Goalies from the box score
40 saves on 42 shots · 2 GA · W
14 saves on 18 shots · 4 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
PIT0320193/4
BUF1010421/5
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
PITPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Rickard Rakell G 0.5
o+175
 41% 50% 67%2/3 1 O
Michael Bunting G 0.5
o+260
 27% 50% 0%0/4 0 U
Kevin Hayes G 0.5
o+375
 24% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Evgeni Malkin G 0.5
o+325
 19% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Sidney Crosby G 0.5
o+170
 22% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Bryan Rust G 0.5
o+170
 33% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Philip Tomasino G 0.5
o+450
 17% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Drew O'Connor G 0.5
o+450
 11% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Erik Karlsson G 0.5
o+500
 9% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Anthony Beauvillier G 0.5
o+450
 18% 10% 0%0/1 1 O
Noel Acciari G 0.5
o+750
 9% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Kris Letang G 0.5
o+650
 18% 0% 0%0/4 DNP
Matt Grzelcyk G 0.5
o+850
 2% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Marcus Pettersson G 0.5
o+1100
 5% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Cody Glass G 0.5
o+500
 3% 0% 0%0/2 1 O
Pierre-Olivier Joseph G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Blake Lizotte G 0.5
o+575
 27% 0% — 0 U
Owen Pickering G 0.5
o+1500
 5% 0% — 0 U
Evgeni Malkin PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-145
 48% 70% 75%3/4 0 U
Michael Bunting PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 46% 70% 25%1/4 1 O
Sidney Crosby PTS 0.5
o-230 / u+170
 63% 60% 75%3/4 0 U
Erik Karlsson PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 52% 60% 75%3/4 0 U
Rickard Rakell PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+120
 54% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Bryan Rust PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+130
 54% 50% 33%1/3 2 O
Matt Grzelcyk PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 41% 50% 0%0/2 2 O
Kris Letang PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 35% 20% 0%0/4 DNP
Erik Karlsson A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 52% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
Evgeni Malkin A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 43% 50% 75%3/4 0 U
Sidney Crosby A 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 50% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Matt Grzelcyk A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 39% 50% 0%0/2 2 O
Bryan Rust A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 39% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Rickard Rakell A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 28% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Michael Bunting A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 23% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Kris Letang A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 23% 20% 0%0/4 DNP
Erik Karlsson SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-170
 52% 70% 50%2/4 1 U
Sidney Crosby SOG 2.5
o-125 / u-105
 61% 60% 75%3/4 2 U
Rickard Rakell SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 39% 50% 67%2/3 2 U
Kris Letang SOG 1.5
o-130 / u-105
 60% 40% 100%4/4 DNP
Bryan Rust SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-130
 41% 40% 100%3/3 2 U
Michael Bunting SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+105
 55% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Evgeni Malkin SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-125
 43% 20% 100%4/4 1 U
Alex Nedeljkovic SV 25.5
o-110 / u-120
 56% 70% 100%1/1 40 O
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+210
 27% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+275
 16% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+145
 44% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Dylan Cozens G 0.5
o+275
 23% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+375
 18% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+240
 25% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+650
 10% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+375
 18% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Sam Lafferty G 0.5
o+700
 6% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1200
 7% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+550
 9% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+750
 9% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Connor Clifton G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Henri Jokiharju G 0.5
o+1100
 3% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+375
 17% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
JJ Peterka G 0.5
o+210
 19% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+700
 11% 0% 0%0/4 1 O
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+550
 17% — — 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 58% 80% 50%2/4 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 67% 70% 67%2/3 1 O
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 55% 60% 75%3/4 0 U
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 30% 60% 0%0/2 0 U
JJ Peterka PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 57% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 39% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Dylan Cozens PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 41% 50% 0%0/4 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 52% 40% 100%3/3 1 O
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 41% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-240
 32% 40% 0%0/3 2 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 36% 0% 0%0/4 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 50% 80% 25%1/4 0 U
JJ Peterka A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 45% 60% 0%0/4 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 36% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 25% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 19% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 36% 30% 75%3/4 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 32% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Dylan Cozens A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 25% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 36% 20% 67%2/3 1 O
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+325 / u-500
 16% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Owen Power A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 30% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Alex Tuch SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 73% 70% 100%3/3 1 U
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 55% 60% 50%2/4 2 O
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-180 / u+135
 51% 50% 67%2/3 7 O
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 49% 50% 0%0/2 3 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
 56% 40% 25%1/4 5 O
Dylan Cozens SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 61% 30% 75%3/4 6 O
JJ Peterka SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 38% 30% 75%3/4 2 U
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 24.5
o-120 / u-110
 53% 60% 100%4/4 14 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Oct 16, 2024 at PIT BUF 5–6 OT 3–10–22–2 11 6.5 O PIT
Jan 6, 2024 at PIT BUF 3–1 1–00–02–1 4 — BUF
Nov 24, 2023 at BUF BUF 3–2 0–10–13–0 5 — BUF
Nov 11, 2023 at PIT BUF 0–4 0–10–10–2 4 — PIT
Dec 10, 2022 at PIT BUF 1–3 0–20–01–1 4 — PIT
Dec 9, 2022 at BUF BUF 3–4 OT 0–02–11–2 7 — PIT
Nov 2, 2022 at BUF BUF 6–3 0–11–15–1 9 — BUF
Mar 23, 2022 at BUF BUF 4–3 SO 1–01–21–1 7 — BUF
Dec 17, 2021 at PIT BUF 2–3 OT 0–11–11–0 5 — PIT
Nov 16, 2021 at PIT BUF 2–1 0–02–00–1 3 — BUF