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PIT @ VGK

Friday, March 7, 2025 · 9:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Pittsburgh Penguins
34-36-12 · Away
0 – 4
FINAL
Vegas Golden Knights
50-22-10 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
PIT +190 · VGK -250
Puck Line
PIT +1.5 (-120) · VGK -1.5 (+100)
Total
O 6.5 (-115) · U (-105)

Graded: total 4 → OVER L · VGK -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 PITo6.5 48%
31-33
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
41%
13-19
0%
0-2
53%
32-28-3
VGKo6.5 46%
28-33
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
47%
15-17
0%
0-2
48%
27-29-4
Puck Line
cover %
 PIT+1.5 59%
38-26
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
56%
18-14
100%
2-0
-11.40u
30-33
VGK-1.5 43%
26-35
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
56%
18-14
0%
0-2
+13.82u
36-24
Moneyline
win %
 PIT dog +190 38%
24-40
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
31%
10-22
50%
1-1
-12.88u
16-33
VGK fav -250 61%
37-24
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
72%
23-9
50%
1-1
+0.97u
29-15
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-154/u+120 FD 1.5 o-158/u+124 PIT 50%
32-32
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
41%
13-19
0%
0-2
50%
32-32
 1.78 0.78 / 1.00
VGK 53%
32-29
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
56%
18-14
0%
0-2
53%
32-29
 1.85 1.00 / 0.85
2nd Period
over 2.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 2.5 o+140/u-180 FD 2.5 o+148/u-190 PIT 34%
22-42
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
47%
15-17
0%
0-2
58%
37-27
 2.22 0.97 / 1.25
VGK 31%
19-42
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
28%
9-23
0%
0-2
59%
36-25
 1.95 0.98 / 0.97
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+140/u-180 PIT 44%
28-36
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
47%
15-17
50%
1-1
45%
25-31
 2.30 1.00 / 1.30
VGK 39%
24-37
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
41%
13-19
50%
1-1
56%
30-24
 2.15 1.31 / 0.84
Team Comparison '24-25
PITVGK
Record (W-L-OTL)34-36-1250-22-10
Points %48.8%67.1%
Goals for / game2.963.35
Goals against / game3.572.67
Shots for / game28.330.3
Shots against / game30.126.1
Power play %25.8%28.3%
Penalty kill %77.8%75.7%
Faceoff %52.6%50.5%
1st period GF / GA0.82 / 0.960.99 / 0.77
2nd period GF / GA0.93 / 1.220.99 / 0.95
3rd period GF / GA1.10 / 1.241.33 / 0.83
Avg game total6.546.02
Starting Goalies from the box score
23 saves on 27 shots · 4 GA · L
22 saves on 22 shots · 0 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
PIT0000220/0
VGK1120270/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
PITPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Rickard Rakell G 0.5
o+185
 40% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Sidney Crosby G 0.5
o+210
 27% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Tommy Novak G 0.5
o+350
 25% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Evgeni Malkin G 0.5
o+375
 20% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Philip Tomasino G 0.5
o+400
 20% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Erik Karlsson G 0.5
o+550
 11% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Bryan Rust G 0.5
o+200
 32% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Kris Letang G 0.5
o+700
 14% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Kevin Hayes G 0.5
o+375
 19% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Danton Heinen G 0.5
o+575
 10% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan Shea G 0.5
o+1400
 4% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Emil Bemstrom G 0.5
o+700
 0% 10% — 0 U
Blake Lizotte G 0.5
o+650
 20% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Reilly Smith G 0.5
o+375
 17% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Matt Grzelcyk G 0.5
o+1100
 2% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Ryan Graves G 0.5
o+2000
 0% 0% 100%2/2 0 U
Bokondji Imama G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% — 0 U
Noel Acciari G 0.5
o+750
 6% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Vladislav Kolyachonok G 0.5
o+1750
 8% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Sidney Crosby PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+135
 68% 90% 50%1/2 0 U
Erik Karlsson PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 52% 70% 50%1/2 0 U
Rickard Rakell PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 60% 70% 0%0/2 0 U
Bryan Rust PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 57% 60% 0%0/2 0 U
Evgeni Malkin PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 44% 40% 100%2/2 0 U
Kris Letang PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 37% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Reilly Smith PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 41% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Matt Grzelcyk PTS 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 41% 30% 100%2/2 0 U
Sidney Crosby A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 53% 80% 50%1/2 0 U
Erik Karlsson A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 48% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Bryan Rust A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 42% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Evgeni Malkin A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 39% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Kris Letang A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 26% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Reilly Smith A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 28% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Matt Grzelcyk A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 39% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Rickard Rakell A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 32% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Kevin Hayes SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 53% 90% 67%2/3 1 U
Kris Letang SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 65% 80% 50%1/2 0 U
Evgeni Malkin SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-135
 46% 60% 50%1/2 2 O
Rickard Rakell SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 43% 60% 0%0/2 3 O
Sidney Crosby SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 57% 50% 100%2/2 1 U
Erik Karlsson SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 48% 30% 50%1/2 1 U
Bryan Rust SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-170
 36% 30% 100%2/2 5 O
Alex Nedeljkovic SV 26.5
o-110 / u-120
 42% 20% 100%1/1 23 U
VGKPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tomas Hertl G 0.5
o+160
 34% 50% 0%0/1 0 U
Mark Stone G 0.5
o+195
 32% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Jack Eichel G 0.5
o+130
 30% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Brandon Saad G 0.5
o+300
 10% 20% 50%1/2 1 O
Tanner Pearson G 0.5
o+375
 17% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Ivan Barbashev G 0.5
o+260
 28% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Noah Hanifin G 0.5
o+475
 12% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Pavel Dorofeyev G 0.5
o+160
 33% 20% 100%1/1 0 U
Brayden McNabb G 0.5
o+1000
 7% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Keegan Kolesar G 0.5
o+500
 16% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Nicolas Roy G 0.5
o+450
 14% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Brett Howden G 0.5
o+375
 25% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Nicolas Hague G 0.5
o+900
 8% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Zach Whitecloud G 0.5
o+1100
 7% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Alex Pietrangelo G 0.5
o+700
 5% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Kaedan Korczak G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Cole Schwindt G 0.5
o+750
 0% 0% — 0 U
Tomas Hertl PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 57% 60% 100%1/1 1 O
Noah Hanifin PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 34% 60% 100%2/2 0 U
Brett Howden PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 35% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Pavel Dorofeyev PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 44% 50% 100%1/1 0 U
Mark Stone PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 66% 40% 50%1/2 3 O
Brandon Saad PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 29% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Ivan Barbashev PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 49% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Jack Eichel PTS 1.5
o+150 / u-200
 42% 40% 0%0/1 1 U
Alex Pietrangelo PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 33% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Noah Hanifin A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 28% 60% 100%2/2 0 U
Jack Eichel A 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 62% 40% 0%0/1 1 O
Brett Howden A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 17% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Tomas Hertl A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 33% 30% 100%1/1 1 O
Ivan Barbashev A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 31% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Pavel Dorofeyev A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 20% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Mark Stone A 0.5
o-120 / u-115
 53% 20% 50%1/2 2 O
Brandon Saad A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 19% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Alex Pietrangelo A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 28% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Mark Stone SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 64% 80% 0%0/2 3 O
Ivan Barbashev SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 53% 70% 50%1/2 1 U
Noah Hanifin SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 59% 60% 50%1/2 2 O
Tomas Hertl SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 44% 50% 0%0/1 2 U
Jack Eichel SOG 3.5
o+130 / u-175
 43% 50% 0%0/1 1 U
Pavel Dorofeyev SOG 2.5
o-125 / u-105
 62% 50% 100%1/1 5 O
Brandon Saad SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 48% 40% 100%2/2 2 O
Alex Pietrangelo SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 53% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Ilya Samsonov SV 22.5
o-120 / u-110
 33% 10% 100%1/1 22 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 20, 2024 at VGK VGK 3–2 0–00–23–0 5 — VGK
Nov 19, 2023 at PIT VGK 0–3 0–10–10–1 3 — PIT
Jan 5, 2023 at VGK VGK 5–2 3–01–01–2 7 — VGK
Dec 1, 2022 at PIT VGK 3–4 2–00–21–2 7 — PIT
Mar 11, 2022 at PIT VGK 2–5 0–12–10–3 7 — PIT
Jan 17, 2022 at VGK VGK 3–5 3–00–20–3 8 — PIT
Jan 7, 2020 at VGK VGK 3–4 0–22–11–1 7 — PIT
Oct 19, 2019 at PIT VGK 3–0 0–01–02–0 3 — VGK
Jan 19, 2019 at VGK VGK 7–3 3–12–22–0 10 — VGK
Oct 11, 2018 at PIT VGK 2–4 1–10–31–0 6 — PIT