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← Stats / PIT @ MIN

PIT @ MIN

Sunday, March 9, 2025 · 2:30 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Pittsburgh Penguins
34-36-12 · Away
3 – 1
FINAL
Minnesota Wild
45-30-7 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
PIT +125 · MIN -145
Puck Line
PIT +1.5 (-210) · MIN -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 4 → OVER L · MIN -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 PITo5.5 62%
40-25
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
61%
20-13
67%
2-1
53%
32-29-3
MINo5.5 49%
31-32
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
43%
12-16
67%
2-1
47%
28-32-2
Puck Line
cover %
 PIT+1.5 59%
38-27
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
55%
18-15
67%
2-1
-12.40u
30-34
MIN-1.5 35%
22-41
0%
0-5
10%
1-9
21%
6-22
33%
1-2
-2.45u
30-32
Moneyline
win %
 PIT dog +125 37%
24-41
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
30%
10-23
33%
1-2
-13.88u
16-34
MIN fav -145 57%
36-27
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
50%
14-14
67%
2-1
+4.04u
23-10
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-136/u+108 PIT 49%
32-33
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
39%
13-20
33%
1-2
49%
32-33
 1.77 0.77 / 1.00
MIN 49%
31-32
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
57%
16-12
33%
1-2
49%
31-32
 1.62 0.86 / 0.76
2nd Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-174/u+138 PIT 65%
42-23
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
70%
23-10
100%
3-0
57%
37-28
 2.20 0.95 / 1.25
MIN 52%
33-30
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
57%
16-12
100%
3-0
51%
32-31
 1.73 0.81 / 0.92
3rd Period
over 1.5
 FD 1.5 o-196/u+152 PIT 72%
47-18
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
79%
26-7
100%
3-0
44%
25-32
 2.29 0.98 / 1.31
MIN 71%
45-18
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
64%
18-10
100%
3-0
58%
33-24
 2.19 1.05 / 1.14
Team Comparison '24-25
PITMIN
Record (W-L-OTL)34-36-1245-30-7
Points %48.8%59.1%
Goals for / game2.962.78
Goals against / game3.572.91
Shots for / game28.327.6
Shots against / game30.129.6
Power play %25.8%20.9%
Penalty kill %77.8%72.4%
Faceoff %52.6%46.8%
1st period GF / GA0.82 / 0.960.78 / 0.76
2nd period GF / GA0.93 / 1.220.78 / 0.93
3rd period GF / GA1.10 / 1.241.07 / 1.15
Avg game total6.545.70
Starting Goalies from the box score
29 saves on 30 shots · 1 GA · W
19 saves on 21 shots · 2 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
PIT0120221/2
MIN0010301/6
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
PITPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Rickard Rakell G 0.5
o+190
 39% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Tommy Novak G 0.5
o+350
 25% 40% 0%0/6 0 U
Sidney Crosby G 0.5
o+220
 27% 30% 67%2/3 2 O
Philip Tomasino G 0.5
o+425
 19% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Evgeni Malkin G 0.5
o+350
 20% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Erik Karlsson G 0.5
o+575
 11% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Bryan Rust G 0.5
o+210
 32% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Kris Letang G 0.5
o+700
 14% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan Shea G 0.5
o+1400
 3% 10% — 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1400
 4% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Emil Bemstrom G 0.5
o+600
 0% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Blake Lizotte G 0.5
o+700
 20% 10% 67%2/3 0 U
Kevin Hayes G 0.5
o+375
 19% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Matt Grzelcyk G 0.5
o+1100
 2% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Noel Acciari G 0.5
o+800
 6% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Connor Dewar G 0.5
o+750
 0% 0% — 0 U
Vladislav Kolyachonok G 0.5
o+1600
 8% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Sidney Crosby PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 67% 80% 100%3/3 2 O
Erik Karlsson PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 51% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Rickard Rakell PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 59% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
Bryan Rust PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 56% 50% 0%0/1 0 U
Tommy Novak PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-210
 36% 50% 33%2/6 0 U
Kris Letang PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 36% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Kevin Hayes PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 33% 40% 0%0/5 0 U
Evgeni Malkin PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 44% 30% 67%2/3 1 O
Matt Grzelcyk PTS 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 40% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Sidney Crosby A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 52% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
Erik Karlsson A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 48% 50% 67%2/3 1 O
Kevin Hayes A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 17% 40% 0%0/5 0 U
Bryan Rust A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 41% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Evgeni Malkin A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 38% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Kris Letang A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 26% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Matt Grzelcyk A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 39% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Rickard Rakell A 0.5
o+160 / u-210
 31% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Tommy Novak A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 15% 10% 33%2/6 0 U
Kris Letang SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 64% 80% 100%3/3 2 O
Kevin Hayes SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 52% 80% 80%4/5 0 U
Evgeni Malkin SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 47% 60% 67%2/3 3 O
Rickard Rakell SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 44% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Sidney Crosby SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 56% 50% 100%3/3 3 O
Erik Karlsson SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-170
 48% 30% 67%2/3 2 U
Bryan Rust SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 37% 30% 0%0/1 1 U
Tristan Jarry SV 24.5
o-105 / u-125
 62% 40% — 29 O
MINPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Vinnie Hinostroza G 0.5
o+300
 18% 40% — 0 U
Frederick Gaudreau G 0.5
o+300
 19% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Marco Rossi G 0.5
o+200
 30% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Marcus Foligno G 0.5
o+475
 16% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Mats Zuccarello G 0.5
o+250
 26% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Yakov Trenin G 0.5
o+600
 11% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Matt Boldy G 0.5
o+145
 30% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Jared Spurgeon G 0.5
o+800
 13% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Brock Faber G 0.5
o+550
 12% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Zach Bogosian G 0.5
o+1400
 7% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Gustav Nyquist G 0.5
o+375
 15% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Marcus Johansson G 0.5
o+375
 9% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jon Merrill G 0.5
o+1500
 2% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Devin Shore G 0.5
o+800
 3% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Ryan Hartman G 0.5
o+300
 14% 0% 50%1/2 1 O
Jake Middleton G 0.5
o+850
 14% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Justin Brazeau G 0.5
o+500
 17% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Declan Chisholm G 0.5
o+1000
 4% 0% — 0 U
Matt Boldy PTS 0.5
o-225 / u+165
 56% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Vinnie Hinostroza PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 27% 50% — 0 U
Frederick Gaudreau PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 37% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Marco Rossi PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 60% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Jared Spurgeon PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 38% 40% 0%0/1 1 O
Marcus Johansson PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 30% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Ryan Hartman PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 30% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Mats Zuccarello PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 54% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Brock Faber PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 39% 30% 100%3/3 0 U
Gustav Nyquist PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 30% 10% 75%3/4 0 U
Matt Boldy A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 43% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Jared Spurgeon A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 29% 40% 0%0/1 1 O
Marcus Johansson A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 24% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Ryan Hartman A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 18% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Marco Rossi A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 40% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Mats Zuccarello A 0.5
o+120 / u-165
 42% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Frederick Gaudreau A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 24% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Brock Faber A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 27% 20% 100%3/3 0 U
Gustav Nyquist A 0.5
o+240 / u-325
 20% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Vinnie Hinostroza A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 9% 10% — 0 U
Marcus Johansson SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 44% 50% 33%1/3 1 U
Vinnie Hinostroza SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 32% 50% — 0 U
Ryan Hartman SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 66% 50% 50%1/2 4 O
Matt Boldy SOG 3.5
o+105 / u-140
 49% 50% 100%3/3 6 O
Marco Rossi SOG 1.5
o-130 / u-105
 44% 40% 33%1/3 4 O
Mats Zuccarello SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-185
 36% 30% 50%1/2 6 O
Marc-Andre Fleury SV 25.5
o-105 / u-130
 58% 60% 100%2/2 19 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Oct 29, 2024 at PIT MIN 5–3 2–22–01–1 8 6 O MIN
Feb 9, 2024 at MIN MIN 3–2 1–01–11–1 5 — MIN
Dec 18, 2023 at PIT MIN 3–4 0–12–21–1 7 — PIT
Apr 6, 2023 at PIT MIN 1–4 0–10–11–2 5 — PIT
Nov 17, 2022 at MIN MIN 4–6 0–22–12–3 10 — PIT
Mar 31, 2022 at MIN MIN 3–4 OT 1–11–21–0 7 — PIT
Nov 6, 2021 at PIT MIN 5–4 SO 1–21–12–1 9 — MIN
Jan 14, 2020 at PIT MIN 3–7 0–21–22–3 10 — PIT
Oct 12, 2019 at MIN MIN 4–7 0–12–42–2 11 — PIT
Dec 31, 2018 at MIN MIN 2–3 1–20–11–0 5 — PIT