← Stats / TBL @ PHI

TBL @ PHI

Thursday, March 13, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
47-27-8 · Away
3 – 4
FINAL / SO
Philadelphia Flyers
33-39-10 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL -150 · PHI +130
Puck Line
TBL -1.5 (+140) · PHI +1.5 (-185)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · PHI +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TBLo5.5 52%
33-31
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
52%
16-15
75%
3-1
43%
26-34-3
PHIo5.5 50%
33-33
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
50%
17-17
75%
3-1
48%
31-33-2
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL-1.5 44%
28-36
20%
1-4
60%
6-4
36%
11-20
50%
2-2
+10.01u
34-29
PHI+1.5 61%
40-26
0%
0-5
50%
5-5
59%
20-14
50%
2-2
-10.21u
31-35
Moneyline
win %
 TBL fav -150 58%
37-27
40%
2-3
70%
7-3
45%
14-17
50%
2-2
+3.79u
31-15
PHI dog +130 41%
27-39
0%
0-5
40%
4-6
44%
15-19
50%
2-2
-11.54u
15-33
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-128/u+100 TBL 44%
28-36
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
52%
16-15
50%
2-2
44%
28-36
 1.77 1.05 / 0.72
PHI 52%
34-32
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
53%
18-16
50%
2-2
52%
34-32
 1.61 0.79 / 0.82
2nd Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-180/u+140 FD 1.5 o-172/u+134 TBL 64%
41-23
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
61%
19-12
25%
1-3
56%
36-28
 2.16 1.16 / 1.00
PHI 61%
40-26
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
59%
20-14
25%
1-3
61%
40-26
 2.26 0.95 / 1.30
3rd Period
over 1.5
 FD 1.5 o-200/u+156 TBL 70%
45-19
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
65%
20-11
75%
3-1
38%
22-36
 2.16 1.23 / 0.92
PHI 59%
39-27
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
62%
21-13
75%
3-1
49%
29-30
 2.11 0.95 / 1.15
Team Comparison '24-25
TBLPHI
Record (W-L-OTL)47-27-833-39-10
Points %62.2%46.3%
Goals for / game3.592.90
Goals against / game2.673.49
Shots for / game28.527.0
Shots against / game28.227.0
Power play %25.9%15.0%
Penalty kill %81.6%77.6%
Faceoff %50.1%49.9%
1st period GF / GA1.11 / 0.720.78 / 0.88
2nd period GF / GA1.22 / 0.940.96 / 1.32
3rd period GF / GA1.18 / 0.911.01 / 1.17
Avg game total6.266.39
Starting Goalies from the box score
26 saves on 29 shots · 3 GA · OTL
17 saves on 20 shots · 3 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL1110201/3
PHI1200290/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+260
 31% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+175
 38% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+450
 15% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+150
 38% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+260
 23% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+140
 48% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Mitchell Chaffee G 0.5
o+500
 20% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+500
 7% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Luke Glendening G 0.5
o+800
 6% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+450
 15% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+650
 2% 10% 0%0/4 1 O
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1100
 5% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+250
 31% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1000
 3% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Cam Atkinson G 0.5
o+525
 8% 0% 0%0/1 1 O
Nick Perbix G 0.5
o+1400
 7% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1100
 6% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 75% 70% 100%3/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 69% 70% 100%4/4 1 O
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 65% 60% 60%3/5 0 U
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 52% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 54% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 47% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 48% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 40% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 39% 50% 100%3/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 48% 50% 75%3/4 1 O
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 31% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 46% 30% 50%2/4 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 31% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 24% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 67% 50% 67%2/3 2 O
Victor Hedman SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-185
 44% 40% 75%3/4 1 U
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 66% 40% 0%0/4 2 O
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 53% 40% 25%1/4 1 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-165
 41% 30% 60%3/5 1 U
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-150
 48% 30% 33%1/3 2 U
Jonas Johansson SV 23.5
o-120 / u-110
 62% 50% — 26 O
PHIPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Owen Tippett G 0.5
o+240
 28% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Noah Cates G 0.5
o+300
 19% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Jamie Drysdale G 0.5
o+700
 9% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Matvei Michkov G 0.5
o+195
 25% 30% — 0 U
Sean Couturier G 0.5
o+325
 13% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Rodrigo Abols G 0.5
o+750
 17% 20% — 0 U
Travis Konecny G 0.5
o+200
 24% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Bobby Brink G 0.5
o+400
 13% 10% 50%1/2 2 O
Tyson Foerster G 0.5
o+225
 23% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Nicolas Deslauriers G 0.5
o+1000
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Nick Seeler G 0.5
o+1300
 5% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Travis Sanheim G 0.5
o+700
 8% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Ryan Poehling G 0.5
o+500
 8% 0% 0%0/3 1 O
Olle Lycksell G 0.5
o+575
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Egor Zamula G 0.5
o+1400
 6% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Cam York G 0.5
o+1000
 8% 0% 67%2/3 0 U
Jakob Pelletier G 0.5
o+700
 9% 0% 100%1/1 0 U
Emil Andrae G 0.5
o+1100
 4% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Matvei Michkov PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 47% 60% — 0 U
Travis Konecny PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 61% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Sean Couturier PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 33% 40% 0%0/4 1 O
Owen Tippett PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 43% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Noah Cates PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 37% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Jamie Drysdale PTS 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 24% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Tyson Foerster PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 37% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Travis Sanheim PTS 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 32% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Travis Konecny A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 44% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Matvei Michkov A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 33% 50% — 0 U
Sean Couturier A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 27% 30% 0%0/4 1 O
Tyson Foerster A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 19% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Noah Cates A 0.5
o+240 / u-325
 21% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Travis Sanheim A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 29% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Owen Tippett A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 23% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jamie Drysdale A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 17% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Matvei Michkov SOG 2.5
o-125 / u-110
 39% 80% — 4 O
Noah Cates SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 44% 60% 50%2/4 3 O
Sean Couturier SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 48% 50% 75%3/4 4 O
Travis Konecny SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 41% 50% 33%1/3 2 U
Owen Tippett SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
 44% 40% 67%2/3 3 O
Tyson Foerster SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 22% 20% 0%0/4 2 U
Samuel Ersson SV 23.5
o-125 / u-105
 44% 40% 0%0/3 17 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Nov 7, 2024 at TBL PHI 2–1 SO 0–10–01–0 3 6.5 U PHI
Mar 9, 2024 at TBL PHI 0–7 0–40–10–2 7 — TBL
Feb 27, 2024 at PHI PHI 6–2 1–00–15–1 8 — PHI
Jan 23, 2024 at PHI PHI 3–6 0–22–21–2 9 — TBL
Mar 7, 2023 at TBL PHI 2–5 1–11–30–1 7 — TBL
Dec 1, 2022 at PHI PHI 1–4 0–10–21–1 5 — TBL
Oct 18, 2022 at TBL PHI 3–2 0–01–22–0 5 — PHI
Dec 5, 2021 at PHI PHI 1–7 0–20–31–2 8 — TBL
Nov 23, 2021 at TBL PHI 0–4 0–10–20–1 4 — TBL
Nov 18, 2021 at PHI PHI 3–4 SO 2–00–21–1 7 — TBL