← Stats / BUF @ PHI

BUF @ PHI

Saturday, March 29, 2025 · 12:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
36-39-7 · Away
4 – 7
FINAL
Philadelphia Flyers
33-39-10 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +105 · PHI -125
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-250) · PHI -1.5 (+180)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 11 → OVER W · PHI -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 BUFo6.5 55%
39-32
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
49%
17-18
50%
2-2
62%
39-24-7
PHIo6.5 46%
34-40
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
43%
16-21
50%
2-2
49%
35-37-2
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF+1.5 61%
43-28
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
49%
17-18
50%
2-2
-9.77u
35-35
PHI-1.5 20%
15-59
20%
1-4
10%
1-9
24%
9-28
50%
2-2
-11.59u
35-39
Moneyline
win %
 BUF dog +105 42%
30-41
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
31%
11-24
50%
2-2
-5.10u
18-30
PHI fav -125 39%
29-45
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
46%
17-20
50%
2-2
+0.76u
12-7
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-140/u+110 FD 1.5 o-136/u+108 BUF 61%
43-28
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
63%
22-13
75%
3-1
61%
43-28
 1.97 1.13 / 0.85
PHI 54%
40-34
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
57%
21-16
75%
3-1
54%
40-34
 1.72 0.81 / 0.91
2nd Period
over 1.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 1.5 o-190/u+148 BUF 73%
52-19
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
74%
26-9
50%
2-2
63%
45-26
 2.30 1.00 / 1.30
PHI 62%
46-28
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
60%
22-15
50%
2-2
62%
46-28
 2.26 0.93 / 1.32
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+156/u-205 BUF 44%
31-40
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
37%
13-22
50%
2-2
48%
30-33
 2.27 0.99 / 1.28
PHI 32%
24-50
20%
1-4
10%
1-9
32%
12-25
50%
2-2
47%
31-35
 2.05 0.92 / 1.14
Team Comparison '24-25
BUFPHI
Record (W-L-OTL)36-39-733-39-10
Points %48.2%46.3%
Goals for / game3.282.90
Goals against / game3.523.49
Shots for / game27.827.0
Shots against / game28.927.0
Power play %18.8%15.0%
Penalty kill %76.3%77.6%
Faceoff %47.7%49.9%
1st period GF / GA1.12 / 0.830.78 / 0.88
2nd period GF / GA1.02 / 1.300.96 / 1.32
3rd period GF / GA1.05 / 1.301.01 / 1.17
Avg game total6.806.39
Starting Goalies from the box score
25 saves on 32 shots · 7 GA · L
17 saves on 21 shots · 4 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF1210211/2
PHI2230322/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
JJ Peterka G 0.5
o+200
 27% 50% 0%0/4 1 O
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+210
 34% 40% 0%0/4 1 O
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+135
 46% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+300
 21% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+500
 10% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+525
 17% 20% — 0 U
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+275
 22% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+300
 26% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1200
 8% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Jacob Bernard-Docker G 0.5
o+1300
 7% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+350
 14% 10% 50%1/2 2 O
Owen Power G 0.5
o+650
 10% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+325
 16% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Connor Clifton G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+850
 6% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+800
 9% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Isak Rosen G 0.5
o+600
 0% 0% — 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 46% 70% 33%1/3 3 O
JJ Peterka PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 61% 70% 100%4/4 2 O
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 66% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 55% 40% 75%3/4 1 O
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 38% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 41% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 31% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 53% 30% 100%3/3 0 U
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 33% 30% 50%1/2 3 O
Jiri Kulich PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 29% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 29% 50% 0%0/3 3 O
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 37% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 32% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
JJ Peterka A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 44% 40% 100%4/4 1 O
Owen Power A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 35% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 20% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 36% 20% 100%3/3 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 22% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 31% 10% 75%3/4 0 U
Jiri Kulich A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 12% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-165 / u+125
 59% 80% 67%2/3 2 U
Jiri Kulich SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 75% 80% 100%1/1 1 U
Alex Tuch SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 75% 60% 50%2/4 2 O
JJ Peterka SOG 2.5
o+150 / u-200
 36% 20% 50%2/4 1 U
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 23.5
o-110 / u-120
 49% 30% 67%2/3 25 O
PHIPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Ryan Poehling G 0.5
o+475
 13% 40% 0%0/3 2 O
Sean Couturier G 0.5
o+250
 16% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Jamie Drysdale G 0.5
o+700
 10% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Travis Konecny G 0.5
o+185
 24% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Bobby Brink G 0.5
o+350
 14% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Nicolas Deslauriers G 0.5
o+900
 4% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Travis Sanheim G 0.5
o+750
 8% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Rodrigo Abols G 0.5
o+700
 10% 10% — 0 U
Tyson Foerster G 0.5
o+240
 22% 10% 25%1/4 1 O
Matvei Michkov G 0.5
o+195
 24% 10% 0%0/1 2 O
Nick Seeler G 0.5
o+1200
 4% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Owen Tippett G 0.5
o+300
 25% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Noah Cates G 0.5
o+350
 17% 0% 25%1/4 1 O
Olle Lycksell G 0.5
o+600
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Egor Zamula G 0.5
o+1500
 6% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Cam York G 0.5
o+1000
 7% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jakob Pelletier G 0.5
o+575
 7% 0% 100%1/1 1 O
Emil Andrae G 0.5
o+1000
 3% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Sean Couturier PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 38% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Travis Konecny PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 58% 50% 50%2/4 2 O
Jamie Drysdale PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 24% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Tyson Foerster PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 37% 40% 25%1/4 2 O
Matvei Michkov PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 47% 40% 100%1/1 2 O
Bobby Brink PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 38% 30% 25%1/4 2 O
Travis Sanheim PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-240
 30% 10% 75%3/4 0 U
Owen Tippett PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 39% 10% 25%1/4 2 O
Noah Cates PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 34% 10% 25%1/4 3 O
Sean Couturier A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 30% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Travis Konecny A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 42% 40% 25%1/4 2 O
Matvei Michkov A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 35% 40% 100%1/1 0 U
Tyson Foerster A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 19% 30% 0%0/4 1 O
Bobby Brink A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 28% 20% 25%1/4 2 O
Jamie Drysdale A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 18% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Owen Tippett A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 22% 10% 25%1/4 2 O
Noah Cates A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 20% 10% 0%0/4 2 O
Travis Sanheim A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 26% 0% 75%3/4 0 U
Sean Couturier SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 49% 60% 0%0/2 3 O
Tyson Foerster SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 49% 60% 100%4/4 2 O
Travis Konecny SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 43% 50% 50%2/4 2 U
Owen Tippett SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 67% 50% 50%2/4 2 O
Matvei Michkov SOG 2.5
o-125 / u-105
 40% 50% 0%0/1 5 O
Noah Cates SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-130
 43% 40% 50%2/4 1 U
Samuel Ersson SV 22.5
o-110 / u-120
 51% 60% 0%0/1 17 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Nov 16, 2024 at PHI PHI 5–2 2–02–01–2 7 6 O PHI
Apr 5, 2024 at BUF PHI 2–4 0–11–21–1 6 — BUF
Nov 3, 2023 at BUF PHI 5–1 3–01–01–1 6 — PHI
Nov 1, 2023 at PHI PHI 2–5 2–20–00–3 7 — BUF
Apr 1, 2023 at PHI PHI 3–6 1–11–41–1 9 — BUF
Mar 17, 2023 at PHI PHI 5–2 1–03–01–2 7 — PHI
Jan 9, 2023 at BUF PHI 4–0 3–00–01–0 4 — PHI
Apr 17, 2022 at PHI PHI 3–5 1–21–21–1 8 — BUF
Apr 16, 2022 at BUF PHI 3–4 2–01–40–0 7 — BUF
Jan 22, 2022 at BUF PHI 3–6 2–40–11–1 9 — BUF