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TBL @ MTL

Tuesday, December 9, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · Away
6 – 1
FINAL
Montréal Canadiens
48-24-10 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL -110 · MTL -110
Puck Line
TBL -1.5 (+200) · MTL +1.5 (-300)
Total
O 6.5 (-105) · U (-115)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · MTL +1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 TBLo6.5 38%
11-18
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
36%
5-9
67%
2-1
45%
13-16
MTLo6.5 64%
18-10
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
67%
10-5
67%
2-1
68%
19-9
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL-1.5 35%
10-19
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
50%
7-7
33%
1-2
-5.51u
13-16
MTL+1.5 79%
22-6
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
73%
11-4
67%
2-1
-7.79u
12-16
Moneyline
win %
 TBL dog -110 55%
16-13
20%
1-4
60%
6-4
57%
8-6
33%
1-2
+2.40u
5-3
MTL dog -110 54%
15-13
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
47%
7-8
67%
2-1
+1.35u
7-7
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-145/u+114 FD 1.5 o-142/u+112 TBL 48%
14-15
0%
0-5
30%
3-7
50%
7-7
33%
1-2
48%
14-15
 1.90 1.14 / 0.76
MTL 57%
16-12
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
60%
9-6
33%
1-2
57%
16-12
 1.68 0.96 / 0.71
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-195/u+150 FD 1.5 o-192/u+150 TBL 41%
12-17
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
36%
5-9
100%
3-0
31%
9-20
 1.52 0.72 / 0.79
MTL 71%
20-8
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
80%
12-3
100%
3-0
64%
18-10
 2.46 1.00 / 1.46
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+148/u-190 TBL 28%
8-21
20%
1-4
10%
1-9
21%
3-11
0%
0-3
48%
14-15
 2.03 1.07 / 0.97
MTL 46%
13-15
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
40%
6-9
0%
0-3
63%
17-10
 2.32 1.07 / 1.25
Team Comparison '25-26
TBLMTL
Record (W-L-OTL)50-26-648-24-10
Points %64.6%64.6%
Goals for / game3.543.45
Goals against / game2.823.12
Shots for / game28.126.3
Shots against / game26.727.8
Power play %20.7%23.1%
Penalty kill %82.6%78.2%
Faceoff %47.3%50.9%
1st period GF / GA0.96 / 0.930.91 / 0.85
2nd period GF / GA1.22 / 0.841.20 / 1.11
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 0.981.17 / 1.04
Avg game total6.356.57
Starting Goalies from the box score
26 saves on 27 shots · 1 GA · W
11 saves on 14 shots · 3 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL3120271/3
MTL0100271/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+165
 43% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+140
 39% 40% 100%2/2 1 O
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+165
 38% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+325
 20% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+275
 28% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+475
 14% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+600
 18% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+325
 7% 10% 100%1/1 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+200
 14% 10% 33%1/3 1 O
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+575
 13% 10% 0%0/3 2 O
Charle-Edouard D'Astous G 0.5
o+1100
 9% 10% — 1 O
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+700
 0% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+650
 5% 0% 0%0/4 1 O
Max Crozier G 0.5
o+1100
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1100
 4% 0% — 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1400
 7% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+150 / u-200
 46% 70% 0%0/2 2 O
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 59% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+120
 66% 60% 100%2/2 1 O
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 60% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Darren Raddysh PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 44% 60% 33%1/3 2 O
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 54% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 41% 30% 67%2/3 2 O
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 44% 30% 67%2/3 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-190
 28% 20% 100%1/1 1 O
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 54% 80% 0%0/2 1 O
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 59% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Darren Raddysh A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 39% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 38% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 40% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 28% 30% 67%2/3 1 O
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 36% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 32% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 21% 10% 100%1/1 1 O
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o-155 / u+115
 71% 80% 67%2/3 0 U
Brayden Point SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 59% 70% 100%3/3 2 O
Darren Raddysh SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 65% 70% 100%3/3 3 O
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 52% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-130
 48% 60% 100%1/1 1 U
Victor Hedman SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-120
 47% 50% 67%2/3 1 U
Nick Paul SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-140
 50% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 3.5
o+130 / u-175
 39% 40% 50%1/2 2 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-180
 45% 40% 100%2/2 1 U
Jonas Johansson SV 22.5
o-115 / u-115
 70% 70% 100%1/1 26 O
MTLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Lane Hutson G 0.5
o+600
 18% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Nick Suzuki G 0.5
o+210
 25% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Cole Caufield G 0.5
o+140
 39% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Juraj Slafkovský G 0.5
o+220
 32% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Josh Anderson G 0.5
o+550
 14% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Noah Dobson G 0.5
o+500
 11% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Zachary Bolduc G 0.5
o+425
 21% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Oliver Kapanen G 0.5
o+300
 29% 20% — 1 O
Ivan Demidov G 0.5
o+260
 21% 20% — 0 U
Brendan Gallagher G 0.5
o+475
 4% 10% 67%2/3 0 U
Mike Matheson G 0.5
o+800
 14% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jake Evans G 0.5
o+600
 14% 10% 67%2/3 0 U
Joseph Veleno G 0.5
o+700
 4% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Alexandre Carrier G 0.5
o+1400
 4% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Alexandre Texier G 0.5
o+475
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jayden Struble G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Arber Xhekaj G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jared Davidson G 0.5
o+750
 0% — — 0 U
Cole Caufield PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 75% 100% 0%0/3 0 U
Nick Suzuki PTS 0.5
o-230 / u+170
 79% 80% 0%0/3 1 O
Ivan Demidov PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 61% 80% — 1 O
Lane Hutson PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 64% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
Juraj Slafkovský PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 50% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Mike Matheson PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 46% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Noah Dobson PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 50% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Oliver Kapanen PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 43% 40% — 1 O
Cole Caufield A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 50% 80% 0%0/3 0 U
Nick Suzuki A 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 61% 70% 0%0/3 1 O
Ivan Demidov A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 50% 60% — 1 O
Mike Matheson A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 39% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Noah Dobson A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 43% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Lane Hutson A 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 50% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Juraj Slafkovský A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 25% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Oliver Kapanen A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 18% 20% — 0 U
Nick Suzuki SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 68% 70% 67%2/3 4 O
Cole Caufield SOG 2.5
o-150 / u+115
 57% 70% 67%2/3 2 U
Lane Hutson SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 50% 70% 0%0/3 3 O
Noah Dobson SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 57% 60% 0%0/2 3 O
Oliver Kapanen SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 43% 60% — 3 O
Juraj Slafkovský SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 57% 60% 33%1/3 2 O
Ivan Demidov SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+115
 32% 50% — 1 U
Jakub Dobes SV 23.5
o-115 / u-115
 60% 50% 0%0/1 11 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Feb 9, 2025 at MTL MTL 3–5 1–21–21–1 8 6.5 O TBL
Jan 21, 2025 at MTL MTL 3–2 0–12–11–0 5 6.5 U MTL
Dec 29, 2024 at TBL MTL 5–2 1–02–22–0 7 6.5 O MTL
Apr 4, 2024 at MTL MTL 4–7 1–21–42–1 11 — TBL
Mar 2, 2024 at TBL MTL 3–4 SO 2–00–21–1 7 — TBL
Dec 31, 2023 at TBL MTL 3–4 0–02–21–2 7 — TBL
Nov 7, 2023 at MTL MTL 3–5 0–40–03–1 8 — TBL
Mar 21, 2023 at MTL MTL 3–2 2–01–10–1 5 — MTL
Mar 18, 2023 at TBL MTL 3–5 1–12–10–3 8 — TBL
Dec 28, 2022 at TBL MTL 1–4 0–20–11–1 5 — TBL