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MTL @ TBL

Sunday, December 28, 2025 · 4:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Montréal Canadiens
48-24-10 · Away
4 – 5
FINAL / SO
Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
MTL +125 · TBL -145
Puck Line
MTL +1.5 (-210) · TBL -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 6.5 (+100) · U (-120)

Graded: total 9 → OVER W · TBL -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 MTLo6.5 60%
22-15
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
65%
11-6
75%
3-1
62%
23-14
TBLo6.5 41%
15-22
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
42%
8-11
75%
3-1
49%
18-19
Puck Line
cover %
 MTL+1.5 78%
29-8
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
88%
15-2
50%
2-2
-4.60u
19-18
TBL-1.5 41%
15-22
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
26%
5-14
50%
2-2
+0.04u
18-19
Moneyline
win %
 MTL dog +125 54%
20-17
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
59%
10-7
50%
2-2
+1.60u
10-10
TBL fav -145 57%
21-16
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
53%
10-9
50%
2-2
-3.40u
15-13
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-142/u+112 MTL 62%
23-14
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
59%
10-7
50%
2-2
62%
23-14
 1.84 1.00 / 0.84
TBL 57%
21-16
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
53%
10-9
50%
2-2
57%
21-16
 2.05 1.22 / 0.84
2nd Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-180/u+140 FD 1.5 o-196/u+150 MTL 70%
26-11
40%
2-3
70%
7-3
65%
11-6
100%
4-0
62%
23-14
 2.27 1.00 / 1.27
TBL 51%
19-18
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
58%
11-8
100%
4-0
43%
16-21
 1.68 0.84 / 0.84
3rd Period
over 1.5
 FD 2.5 o+156/u-205 MTL 68%
25-12
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
65%
11-6
75%
3-1
58%
21-15
 2.24 1.14 / 1.11
TBL 60%
22-15
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
58%
11-8
75%
3-1
46%
17-20
 2.00 1.14 / 0.86
Team Comparison '25-26
MTLTBL
Record (W-L-OTL)48-24-1050-26-6
Points %64.6%64.6%
Goals for / game3.453.54
Goals against / game3.122.82
Shots for / game26.328.1
Shots against / game27.826.7
Power play %23.1%20.7%
Penalty kill %78.2%82.6%
Faceoff %50.9%47.3%
1st period GF / GA0.91 / 0.850.96 / 0.93
2nd period GF / GA1.20 / 1.111.22 / 0.84
3rd period GF / GA1.17 / 1.041.23 / 0.98
Avg game total6.576.35
Starting Goalies from the box score
17 saves on 21 shots · 4 GA · OTL
31 saves on 35 shots · 4 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
MTL0040350/4
TBL0310210/1
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
MTLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nick Suzuki G 0.5
o+220
 27% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Alexandre Texier G 0.5
o+500
 13% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Noah Dobson G 0.5
o+650
 14% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Cole Caufield G 0.5
o+160
 35% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Zachary Bolduc G 0.5
o+275
 24% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Oliver Kapanen G 0.5
o+275
 30% 30% 100%1/1 0 U
Ivan Demidov G 0.5
o+260
 24% 30% 0%0/1 1 O
Josh Anderson G 0.5
o+500
 16% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Juraj Slafkovský G 0.5
o+260
 30% 20% 25%1/4 2 O
Brendan Gallagher G 0.5
o+500
 5% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Joseph Veleno G 0.5
o+700
 6% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Arber Xhekaj G 0.5
o+2000
 3% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Lane Hutson G 0.5
o+650
 14% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Phillip Danault G 0.5
o+575
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Mike Matheson G 0.5
o+850
 11% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Alexandre Carrier G 0.5
o+1400
 3% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Jayden Struble G 0.5
o+2250
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Nick Suzuki PTS 0.5
o-230 / u+170
 78% 80% 25%1/4 0 U
Lane Hutson PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+130
 65% 70% 25%1/4 1 O
Ivan Demidov PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 62% 70% 100%1/1 2 O
Cole Caufield PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 70% 60% 0%0/4 1 O
Juraj Slafkovský PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 51% 50% 50%2/4 3 O
Noah Dobson PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 46% 40% 0%0/3 2 O
Zachary Bolduc PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 32% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Oliver Kapanen PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 43% 40% 100%1/1 1 O
Mike Matheson PTS 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 40% 20% 50%2/4 1 O
Nick Suzuki A 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 62% 70% 25%1/4 0 U
Lane Hutson A 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 54% 60% 25%1/4 1 O
Ivan Demidov A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 51% 60% 100%1/1 1 O
Juraj Slafkovský A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 30% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
Cole Caufield A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 46% 30% 0%0/4 1 O
Mike Matheson A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 34% 20% 50%2/4 1 O
Noah Dobson A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 35% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Oliver Kapanen A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 19% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Zachary Bolduc A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 16% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Nick Suzuki SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+130
 68% 60% 75%3/4 0 U
Noah Dobson SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 57% 60% 33%1/3 5 O
Cole Caufield SOG 2.5
o-155 / u+115
 57% 60% 50%2/4 2 U
Zachary Bolduc SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 54% 60% 0%0/3 1 U
Oliver Kapanen SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-130
 49% 60% 100%1/1 5 O
Lane Hutson SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 51% 60% 25%1/4 3 O
Juraj Slafkovský SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 57% 50% 50%2/4 5 O
Ivan Demidov SOG 1.5
o+135 / u-185
 32% 40% 0%0/1 3 O
Jacob Fowler SV 24.5
o-105 / u-125
 60% — — 17 U
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+400
 23% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+180
 41% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+500
 17% 40% 20%1/5 1 O
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+135
 36% 30% 100%3/3 2 O
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+135
 38% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+300
 14% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+145
 20% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+425
 9% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+800
 9% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+375
 17% 10% 25%1/4 1 O
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+275
 24% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Charle-Edouard D'Astous G 0.5
o+900
 10% 10% 100%1/1 0 U
Max Crozier G 0.5
o+1100
 5% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+375
 11% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+525
 13% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Declan Carlile G 0.5
o+1200
 6% 0% — 0 U
Scott Sabourin G 0.5
o+850
 13% — 0%0/1 0 U
Maxim Groshev G 0.5
o+1100
 — — — 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-230 / u+170
 70% 70% 100%3/3 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+125 / u-165
 52% 60% 33%1/3 2 O
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 50% 60% 75%3/4 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 35% 50% 100%2/2 2 O
Darren Raddysh PTS 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 48% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 46% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 50% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 58% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 43% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 40% 50% 50%2/4 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 24% 30% 100%2/2 2 O
Darren Raddysh A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 39% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 30% 30% 75%3/4 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 34% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Darren Raddysh SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-170
 42% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-180 / u+135
 55% 50% 33%1/3 3 O
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 46% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 66% 50% 50%2/4 1 U
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 40% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 46% 40% 25%1/4 3 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 43% 20% 50%1/2 1 U
Jonas Johansson SV 21.5
o-130 / u-105
 64% 50% 100%2/2 31 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 9, 2025 at MTL TBL 6–1 3–01–12–0 7 6.5 O TBL
Feb 9, 2025 at MTL TBL 5–3 2–12–11–1 8 6.5 O TBL
Jan 21, 2025 at MTL TBL 2–3 1–01–20–1 5 6.5 U MTL
Dec 29, 2024 at TBL TBL 2–5 0–12–20–2 7 6.5 O MTL
Apr 4, 2024 at MTL TBL 7–4 2–14–11–2 11 — TBL
Mar 2, 2024 at TBL TBL 4–3 SO 0–22–01–1 7 — TBL
Dec 31, 2023 at TBL TBL 4–3 0–02–22–1 7 — TBL
Nov 7, 2023 at MTL TBL 5–3 4–00–01–3 8 — TBL
Mar 21, 2023 at MTL TBL 2–3 0–21–11–0 5 — MTL
Mar 18, 2023 at TBL TBL 5–3 1–11–23–0 8 — TBL