BUF @ MTL
Thursday, January 22, 2026 · 6:00 PM CTHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +105 · MTL -125
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-230) · MTL -1.5 (+175)
Total
O 6.5 (-120) · U (+100)
Graded: total 6 → OVER L · MTL -1.5 L
Betting Trends Season
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 6.5 | BUF | o6.5 | 49% 24-25 | 80% 4-1 | 80% 8-2 | 46% 11-13 | 67% 4-2 | 51% 25-24 |
| MTL | o6.5 | 60% 30-20 | 80% 4-1 | 60% 6-4 | 56% 14-11 | 67% 4-2 | 62% 31-19 | |
| Puck Line cover % | BUF | +1.5 | 69% 34-15 | 100% 5-0 | 90% 9-1 | 58% 14-10 | 33% 2-4 | +4.62u 27-22 |
| MTL | -1.5 | 28% 14-36 | 20% 1-4 | 30% 3-7 | 36% 9-16 | 67% 4-2 | -0.84u 28-22 | |
| Moneyline win % | BUF dog | +105 | 55% 27-22 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 46% 11-13 | 17% 1-5 | +2.95u 13-14 |
| MTL fav | -125 | 56% 28-22 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 56% 14-11 | 83% 5-1 | -0.99u 13-10 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 0.5 |
DK 1.5 o-154/u+120 FD 1.5 o-144/u+114 | BUF | 96% 47-2 | 100% 5-0 | 100% 10-0 | 100% 24-0 | 83% 5-1 | 59% 29-20 | 2.00 | 0.96 / 1.04 |
| MTL | 84% 42-8 | 100% 5-0 | 80% 8-2 | 84% 21-4 | 83% 5-1 | 60% 30-20 | 1.80 | 1.00 / 0.80 | ||
| 2nd Period over 0.5 |
DK 2.5 o+150/u-195 FD 1.5 o-205/u+158 | BUF | 90% 44-5 | 80% 4-1 | 90% 9-1 | 88% 21-3 | 100% 6-0 | 55% 27-22 | 2.10 | 1.24 / 0.86 |
| MTL | 90% 45-5 | 100% 5-0 | 100% 10-0 | 92% 23-2 | 100% 6-0 | 66% 33-17 | 2.34 | 1.04 / 1.30 | ||
| 3rd Period over 0.5 |
FD 2.5 o+114/u-144 | BUF | 86% 42-7 | 80% 4-1 | 90% 9-1 | 88% 21-3 | 83% 5-1 | 40% 19-28 | 2.12 | 1.00 / 1.12 |
| MTL | 90% 45-5 | 100% 5-0 | 90% 9-1 | 92% 23-2 | 83% 5-1 | 55% 27-22 | 2.30 | 1.20 / 1.10 |
Team Comparison '25-26
| BUF | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 50-23-9 | 48-24-10 |
| Points % | 66.5% | 64.6% |
| Goals for / game | 3.51 | 3.45 |
| Goals against / game | 2.94 | 3.12 |
| Shots for / game | 28.1 | 26.3 |
| Shots against / game | 29.1 | 27.8 |
| Power play % | 19.5% | 23.1% |
| Penalty kill % | 81.9% | 78.2% |
| Faceoff % | 45.9% | 50.9% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 1.02 / 0.94 | 0.91 / 0.85 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 1.16 / 0.88 | 1.20 / 1.11 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 1.23 / 1.01 | 1.17 / 1.04 |
| Avg game total | 6.45 | 6.57 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
BUF · Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
32 saves on 34 shots · 2 GA · W
MTL · Samuel Montembeault
13 saves on 16 shots · 3 GA · L
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 0/2 |
| MTL | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0/3 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| BUF | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Tuch | G | 0.5 o+210 |
35% | 50% | 50%3/6 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | G | 0.5 o+130 |
45% | 40% | 50%3/6 | 0 U |
| Ryan McLeod | G | 0.5 o+350 |
20% | 40% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | G | 0.5 o+260 |
25% | 40% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | G | 0.5 o+325 |
18% | 30% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
15% | 20% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | G | 0.5 o+375 |
13% | 20% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Peyton Krebs | G | 0.5 o+575 |
10% | 20% | 17%1/6 | 1 O |
| Jason Zucker | G | 0.5 o+250 |
30% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Jacob Bryson | G | 0.5 o+2500 |
6% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | G | 0.5 o+650 |
18% | 10% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Noah Ostlund | G | 0.5 o+325 |
19% | 10% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | G | 0.5 o+425 |
14% | 10% | 0%0/6 | 1 O |
| Jordan Greenway | G | 0.5 o+800 |
3% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Beck Malenstyn | G | 0.5 o+900 |
6% | 0% | 0%0/5 | 1 O |
| Michael Kesselring | G | 0.5 o+1400 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | G | 0.5 o+850 |
6% | 0% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Konsta Helenius | G | 0.5 o+450 |
50% | — | — | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | PTS | 0.5 o-130 / u+100 |
65% | 80% | 67%4/6 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | PTS | 0.5 o-230 / u+170 |
65% | 80% | 50%3/6 | 1 O |
| Rasmus Dahlin | PTS | 0.5 o-150 / u+115 |
58% | 70% | 100%5/5 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | PTS | 0.5 o-110 / u-120 |
51% | 70% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Ryan McLeod | PTS | 0.5 o+110 / u-145 |
49% | 60% | 0%0/6 | 1 O |
| Jason Zucker | PTS | 0.5 o-115 / u-115 |
57% | 50% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Bowen Byram | PTS | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
41% | 40% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | PTS | 0.5 o+130 / u-175 |
41% | 40% | 17%1/6 | 1 O |
| Owen Power | PTS | 0.5 o+185 / u-250 |
31% | 40% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Noah Ostlund | PTS | 0.5 o+125 / u-165 |
35% | 40% | 100%1/1 | 1 O |
| Zach Benson | PTS | 0.5 o+160 / u-220 |
44% | 40% | 33%2/6 | 1 O |
| Tage Thompson | A | 0.5 o+105 / u-140 |
41% | 60% | 17%1/6 | 1 O |
| Jason Zucker | A | 0.5 o+165 / u-220 |
37% | 50% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Ryan McLeod | A | 0.5 o+180 / u-250 |
37% | 50% | 0%0/6 | 1 O |
| Rasmus Dahlin | A | 0.5 o-105 / u-125 |
51% | 50% | 80%4/5 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | A | 0.5 o+160 / u-220 |
40% | 40% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | A | 0.5 o+170 / u-230 |
33% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | A | 0.5 o+230 / u-325 |
25% | 40% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | A | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
29% | 30% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Noah Ostlund | A | 0.5 o+225 / u-325 |
16% | 30% | 100%1/1 | 1 O |
| Zach Benson | A | 0.5 o+275 / u-400 |
31% | 30% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | A | 0.5 o+240 / u-350 |
31% | 20% | 17%1/6 | 1 O |
| Jack Quinn | SOG | 1.5 o-165 / u+120 |
65% | 80% | 17%1/6 | 1 U |
| Jason Zucker | SOG | 1.5 o-160 / u+120 |
53% | 50% | 25%1/4 | 2 O |
| Alex Tuch | SOG | 1.5 o-195 / u+145 |
75% | 50% | 67%4/6 | 4 O |
| Zach Benson | SOG | 1.5 o+105 / u-140 |
53% | 50% | 67%4/6 | 2 O |
| Tage Thompson | SOG | 3.5 o+135 / u-180 |
49% | 40% | 17%1/6 | 1 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | SOG | 2.5 o+115 / u-150 |
53% | 40% | 80%4/5 | 1 U |
| Josh Doan | SOG | 1.5 o-140 / u+105 |
57% | 30% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Noah Ostlund | SOG | 1.5 o+105 / u-140 |
30% | 30% | 100%1/1 | 0 U |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | SV | 24.5 o-115 / u-115 |
50% | 70% | 33%1/3 | 32 O |
| MTL | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Anderson | G | 0.5 o+500 |
21% | 40% | 50%3/6 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | G | 0.5 o+130 |
38% | 40% | 67%4/6 | 1 O |
| Oliver Kapanen | G | 0.5 o+275 |
32% | 40% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | G | 0.5 o+200 |
34% | 40% | 50%3/6 | 0 U |
| Alexandre Carrier | G | 0.5 o+1200 |
8% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Kirby Dach | G | 0.5 o+300 |
25% | 30% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | G | 0.5 o+500 |
18% | 30% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Brendan Gallagher | G | 0.5 o+450 |
8% | 20% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | G | 0.5 o+500 |
16% | 20% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Phillip Danault | G | 0.5 o+525 |
2% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | G | 0.5 o+750 |
11% | 10% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Jake Evans | G | 0.5 o+600 |
14% | 10% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Nick Suzuki | G | 0.5 o+195 |
26% | 10% | 50%3/6 | 1 O |
| Kaiden Guhle | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
10% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Ivan Demidov | G | 0.5 o+275 |
22% | 10% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Joseph Veleno | G | 0.5 o+600 |
4% | 0% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Jayden Struble | G | 0.5 o+2000 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Zachary Bolduc | G | 0.5 o+475 |
18% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | PTS | 0.5 o-190 / u+140 |
68% | 70% | 100%6/6 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | PTS | 0.5 o-210 / u+150 |
68% | 50% | 83%5/6 | 1 O |
| Juraj Slafkovský | PTS | 0.5 o-140 / u+105 |
52% | 50% | 67%4/6 | 0 U |
| Ivan Demidov | PTS | 0.5 o-145 / u+110 |
62% | 50% | 100%2/2 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | PTS | 0.5 o+175 / u-240 |
40% | 40% | 50%3/6 | 1 O |
| Noah Dobson | PTS | 0.5 o+125 / u-170 |
46% | 40% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Kirby Dach | PTS | 0.5 o+120 / u-165 |
38% | 40% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Oliver Kapanen | PTS | 0.5 o+125 / u-170 |
44% | 40% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Nick Suzuki | PTS | 1.5 o+180 / u-250 |
28% | 30% | 83%5/6 | 2 O |
| Nick Suzuki | A | 0.5 o-140 / u+105 |
60% | 70% | 100%6/6 | 1 O |
| Lane Hutson | A | 0.5 o-150 / u+110 |
58% | 60% | 83%5/6 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | A | 0.5 o+125 / u-170 |
46% | 40% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | A | 0.5 o+150 / u-200 |
34% | 40% | 50%3/6 | 0 U |
| Ivan Demidov | A | 0.5 o+120 / u-160 |
52% | 40% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | A | 0.5 o+225 / u-325 |
34% | 30% | 50%3/6 | 1 O |
| Noah Dobson | A | 0.5 o+180 / u-250 |
34% | 20% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Kirby Dach | A | 0.5 o+240 / u-350 |
13% | 10% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Oliver Kapanen | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
18% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Brendan Gallagher | SOG | 1.5 o-105 / u-130 |
52% | 80% | 50%3/6 | 3 O |
| Cole Caufield | SOG | 2.5 o-180 / u+135 |
62% | 80% | 33%2/6 | 2 U |
| Noah Dobson | SOG | 1.5 o-140 / u+105 |
58% | 60% | 60%3/5 | 1 U |
| Oliver Kapanen | SOG | 1.5 o-135 / u+100 |
50% | 60% | 50%1/2 | 2 O |
| Ivan Demidov | SOG | 1.5 o-120 / u-110 |
40% | 60% | 50%1/2 | 2 O |
| Kirby Dach | SOG | 1.5 o-110 / u-120 |
50% | 50% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | SOG | 1.5 o-115 / u-115 |
52% | 50% | 33%2/6 | 4 O |
| Juraj Slafkovský | SOG | 1.5 o-180 / u+135 |
56% | 50% | 67%4/6 | 1 U |
| Nick Suzuki | SOG | 2.5 o+145 / u-200 |
30% | 40% | 50%3/6 | 3 O |
| Samuel Montembeault | SV | 22.5 o-120 / u-110 |
56% | 70% | 50%1/2 | 13 U |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | at BUF | MTL 3–5 | 2–2 | 1–1 | 0–2 | 8 | 6.5 O | BUF |
| Oct 20, 2025 | at MTL | MTL 4–2 | 1–0 | 0–1 | 3–1 | 6 | 6.5 U | MTL |
| Mar 3, 2025 | at MTL | MTL 4–3 OT | 3–0 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 7 | 6.5 O | MTL |
| Mar 1, 2025 | at BUF | MTL 4–2 | 0–0 | 3–2 | 1–0 | 6 | 6.5 U | MTL |
| Dec 17, 2024 | at MTL | MTL 6–1 | 2–0 | 4–1 | 0–0 | 7 | 6 O | MTL |
| Nov 11, 2024 | at BUF | MTL 7–5 | 1–1 | 3–2 | 3–2 | 12 | 6.5 O | MTL |
| Feb 21, 2024 | at MTL | MTL 2–3 | 1–0 | 1–3 | 0–0 | 5 | — | BUF |
| Jan 4, 2024 | at MTL | MTL 1–6 | 0–0 | 1–2 | 0–4 | 7 | — | BUF |
| Dec 9, 2023 | at BUF | MTL 3–2 SO | 0–0 | 2–0 | 0–2 | 5 | — | MTL |
| Oct 23, 2023 | at BUF | MTL 3–1 | 1–1 | 0–0 | 2–0 | 4 | — | MTL |