← Stats / BUF @ TBL

BUF @ TBL

Thursday, February 29, 2024 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
39-37-6 · Away
3 – 2
FINAL / OT
Tampa Bay Lightning
45-29-8 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock hasn't posted this game yet
Moneyline
BUF — · TBL —
Puck Line
—
Total
—
Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF+1.5 68%
40-19
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
72%
21-8
67%
4-2
—
TBL-1.5 38%
23-38
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
41%
12-17
33%
2-4
—
Moneyline
win %
 BUF — 46%
27-32
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
48%
14-15
50%
3-3
—
TBL — 53%
32-29
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
62%
18-11
50%
3-3
—
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 no DK/FD line BUF 56%
33-26
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
55%
16-13
100%
6-0
— 1.90 0.69 / 1.20
TBL 57%
35-26
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
66%
19-10
100%
6-0
— 1.93 1.02 / 0.92
2nd Period
over 1.5
 no DK/FD line BUF 58%
34-25
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
59%
17-12
67%
4-2
— 1.90 0.97 / 0.93
TBL 69%
42-19
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
62%
18-11
67%
4-2
— 2.15 1.03 / 1.11
3rd Period
over 1.5
 no DK/FD line BUF 63%
37-22
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
69%
20-9
67%
4-2
— 1.98 1.17 / 0.81
TBL 74%
45-16
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
76%
22-7
67%
4-2
— 2.54 1.26 / 1.28
Team Comparison '23-24
BUFTBL
Record (W-L-OTL)39-37-645-29-8
Points %51.2%59.8%
Goals for / game3.003.55
Goals against / game2.983.27
Shots for / game30.929.3
Shots against / game29.329.6
Power play %16.6%28.6%
Penalty kill %79.8%83.3%
Faceoff %45.0%51.6%
1st period GF / GA0.82 / 1.181.06 / 0.94
2nd period GF / GA0.98 / 0.891.07 / 1.01
3rd period GF / GA1.13 / 0.831.32 / 1.22
Avg game total5.986.82
Starting Goalies from the box score
21 saves on 23 shots · 2 GA · W
20 saves on 23 shots · 3 GA · OTL
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF1011232/3
TBL1100231/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line

No Hard Rock player lines for this game yet — they usually post the morning of game day.

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 20, 2024 at BUF TBL 3–1 2–00–11–0 4 — TBL
Oct 17, 2023 at BUF TBL 2–3 OT 0–21–01–0 5 — BUF
Mar 4, 2023 at BUF TBL 3–5 1–10–32–1 8 — BUF
Feb 23, 2023 at TBL TBL 5–6 OT 1–11–33–1 11 — BUF
Nov 28, 2022 at BUF TBL 6–5 OT 2–21–12–2 11 — TBL
Nov 5, 2022 at TBL TBL 5–3 1–11–13–1 8 — TBL
Apr 10, 2022 at TBL TBL 5–0 2–02–01–0 5 — TBL
Jan 11, 2022 at BUF TBL 6–1 2–03–01–1 7 — TBL
Oct 25, 2021 at BUF TBL 1–5 1–10–10–3 6 — BUF
Dec 31, 2019 at BUF TBL 6–4 0–13–33–0 10 — TBL