MTL @ BUF
Monday, November 11, 2024 · 11:30 AM CTHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
MTL +180 · BUF -230
Puck Line
MTL +1.5 (-130) · BUF -1.5 (+105)
Total
O 6.5 (+100) · U (-120)
Graded: total 12 → OVER W · BUF -1.5 L
Betting Trends Season
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 6.5 | MTL | o6.5 | 60% 9-6 | 40% 2-3 | 70% 7-3 | 71% 5-2 | 25% 1-3 | 60% 9-6 |
| BUF | o6.5 | 47% 7-8 | 40% 2-3 | 50% 5-5 | 44% 4-5 | 25% 1-3 | 58% 7-5-3 | |
| Puck Line cover % | MTL | +1.5 | 40% 6-9 | 20% 1-4 | 40% 4-6 | 29% 2-5 | 75% 3-1 | -5.55u 6-9 |
| BUF | -1.5 | 40% 6-9 | 40% 2-3 | 50% 5-5 | 44% 4-5 | 25% 1-3 | -1.16u 8-7 | |
| Moneyline win % | MTL dog | +180 | 27% 4-11 | 0% 0-5 | 20% 2-8 | 14% 1-6 | 50% 2-2 | -5.55u 4-11 |
| BUF fav | -230 | 47% 7-8 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 56% 5-4 | 50% 2-2 | +0.05u 3-2 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 2.5 |
DK 1.5 o-154/u+120 FD 1.5 o-134/u+106 | MTL | 33% 5-10 | 0% 0-5 | 30% 3-7 | 29% 2-5 | 0% 0-4 | 60% 9-6 | 2.20 | 0.80 / 1.40 |
| BUF | 20% 3-12 | 0% 0-5 | 10% 1-9 | 22% 2-7 | 0% 0-4 | 60% 9-6 | 1.67 | 1.00 / 0.67 | ||
| 2nd Period over 2.5 |
DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 2.5 o+156/u-200 | MTL | 40% 6-9 | 60% 3-2 | 50% 5-5 | 57% 4-3 | 50% 2-2 | 67% 10-5 | 2.27 | 1.07 / 1.20 |
| BUF | 40% 6-9 | 20% 1-4 | 50% 5-5 | 33% 3-6 | 50% 2-2 | 80% 12-3 | 2.47 | 1.27 / 1.20 | ||
| 3rd Period over 2.5 |
FD 2.5 o+144/u-186 | MTL | 40% 6-9 | 40% 2-3 | 30% 3-7 | 43% 3-4 | 25% 1-3 | 38% 3-5 | 2.13 | 0.73 / 1.40 |
| BUF | 40% 6-9 | 40% 2-3 | 40% 4-6 | 44% 4-5 | 25% 1-3 | 29% 2-5 | 2.13 | 1.00 / 1.13 |
Team Comparison '24-25
| MTL | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 40-31-11 | 36-39-7 |
| Points % | 55.5% | 48.2% |
| Goals for / game | 2.99 | 3.28 |
| Goals against / game | 3.23 | 3.52 |
| Shots for / game | 25.6 | 27.8 |
| Shots against / game | 29.0 | 28.9 |
| Power play % | 20.1% | 18.8% |
| Penalty kill % | 80.9% | 76.3% |
| Faceoff % | 50.8% | 47.7% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 0.82 / 1.02 | 1.12 / 0.83 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 1.00 / 1.02 | 1.02 / 1.30 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 1.05 / 1.05 | 1.05 / 1.30 |
| Avg game total | 6.22 | 6.80 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
MTL · Cayden Primeau
9 saves on 14 shots · 5 GA
BUF · Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
14 saves on 18 shots · 4 GA
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 2/6 |
| BUF | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 1/4 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| MTL | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Gallagher | G | 0.5 o+300 |
40% | 50% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | G | 0.5 o+140 |
53% | 50% | 0%0/4 | 2 O |
| Nick Suzuki | G | 0.5 o+200 |
20% | 30% | 25%1/4 | 2 O |
| Joel Armia | G | 0.5 o+400 |
13% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Jake Evans | G | 0.5 o+600 |
13% | 20% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Alex Newhook | G | 0.5 o+325 |
20% | 20% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Josh Anderson | G | 0.5 o+525 |
13% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Christian Dvorak | G | 0.5 o+575 |
7% | 10% | 0%0/1 | 1 O |
| Kirby Dach | G | 0.5 o+300 |
7% | 10% | — | 0 U |
| Kaiden Guhle | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
10% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | G | 0.5 o+275 |
8% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| David Savard | G | 0.5 o+1400 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | G | 0.5 o+650 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Jayden Struble | G | 0.5 o+1600 |
0% | 0% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Emil Heineman | G | 0.5 o+550 |
14% | 0% | — | 1 O |
| Arber Xhekaj | G | 0.5 o+1500 |
0% | 0% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | G | 0.5 o+800 |
0% | 0% | — | 0 U |
| Lucas Condotta | G | 0.5 o+650 |
0% | — | — | 0 U |
| Brendan Gallagher | PTS | 0.5 o+165 / u-225 |
40% | 50% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Mike Matheson | PTS | 0.5 o-105 / u-130 |
47% | 50% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Nick Suzuki | PTS | 0.5 o-150 / u+110 |
53% | 50% | 25%1/4 | 4 O |
| Cole Caufield | PTS | 0.5 o-140 / u+105 |
60% | 50% | 0%0/4 | 2 O |
| Juraj Slafkovský | PTS | 0.5 o+105 / u-140 |
50% | 50% | 0%0/4 | 3 O |
| Kirby Dach | PTS | 0.5 o+115 / u-150 |
27% | 30% | — | 2 O |
| Lane Hutson | PTS | 0.5 o+180 / u-240 |
33% | 30% | — | 2 O |
| Mike Matheson | A | 0.5 o+125 / u-165 |
47% | 50% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Nick Suzuki | A | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
47% | 40% | 0%0/4 | 2 O |
| Juraj Slafkovský | A | 0.5 o+190 / u-260 |
42% | 40% | 0%0/4 | 3 O |
| Kirby Dach | A | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
27% | 30% | — | 2 O |
| Lane Hutson | A | 0.5 o+225 / u-325 |
33% | 30% | — | 2 O |
| Brendan Gallagher | A | 0.5 o+375 / u-575 |
7% | 10% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Cole Caufield | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-300 |
7% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Brendan Gallagher | SOG | 1.5 o-155 / u+115 |
67% | 60% | 75%3/4 | 1 U |
| Mike Matheson | SOG | 1.5 o-170 / u+125 |
53% | 60% | 75%3/4 | 1 U |
| Nick Suzuki | SOG | 1.5 o-180 / u+135 |
60% | 50% | 100%4/4 | 4 O |
| Kirby Dach | SOG | 1.5 o-125 / u-105 |
47% | 50% | — | 1 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | SOG | 1.5 o-135 / u+105 |
42% | 50% | 75%3/4 | 1 U |
| Cole Caufield | SOG | 2.5 o-175 / u+130 |
60% | 40% | 50%2/4 | 2 U |
| Cayden Primeau | SV | 28.5 o-120 / u-110 |
57% | 60% | 100%1/1 | 9 U |
| BUF | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | G | 0.5 o+115 |
60% | 60% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Jason Zucker | G | 0.5 o+275 |
20% | 30% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Ryan McLeod | G | 0.5 o+500 |
27% | 30% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| JJ Peterka | G | 0.5 o+140 |
31% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Zach Benson | G | 0.5 o+350 |
22% | 30% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | G | 0.5 o+190 |
27% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Jordan Greenway | G | 0.5 o+425 |
21% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | G | 0.5 o+325 |
13% | 20% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Bowen Byram | G | 0.5 o+575 |
13% | 20% | — | 0 U |
| Dylan Cozens | G | 0.5 o+240 |
13% | 20% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Owen Power | G | 0.5 o+550 |
20% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Sam Lafferty | G | 0.5 o+650 |
7% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Beck Malenstyn | G | 0.5 o+650 |
7% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | G | 0.5 o+1300 |
8% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Peyton Krebs | G | 0.5 o+650 |
7% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Jack Quinn | G | 0.5 o+350 |
7% | 10% | 100%1/1 | 0 U |
| Connor Clifton | G | 0.5 o+1500 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Jacob Bryson | G | 0.5 o+1500 |
3% | 0% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | PTS | 0.5 o-240 / u+175 |
80% | 90% | 75%3/4 | 1 O |
| Jason Zucker | PTS | 0.5 o+100 / u-130 |
60% | 70% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | PTS | 0.5 o-160 / u+120 |
53% | 70% | 75%3/4 | 2 O |
| JJ Peterka | PTS | 0.5 o-190 / u+140 |
69% | 70% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Owen Power | PTS | 0.5 o+120 / u-160 |
53% | 70% | 0%0/3 | 2 O |
| Alex Tuch | PTS | 0.5 o-165 / u+125 |
60% | 50% | 67%2/3 | 2 O |
| Dylan Cozens | PTS | 0.5 o-120 / u-110 |
33% | 50% | 50%2/4 | 2 O |
| Jack Quinn | PTS | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
21% | 20% | 100%1/1 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | A | 0.5 o+115 / u-150 |
47% | 70% | 75%3/4 | 0 U |
| JJ Peterka | A | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
54% | 60% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | A | 0.5 o+185 / u-260 |
47% | 50% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | A | 0.5 o-110 / u-120 |
40% | 50% | 75%3/4 | 1 O |
| Owen Power | A | 0.5 o+160 / u-220 |
33% | 50% | 0%0/3 | 2 O |
| Alex Tuch | A | 0.5 o+120 / u-160 |
47% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 2 O |
| Dylan Cozens | A | 0.5 o+160 / u-220 |
20% | 30% | 50%2/4 | 1 O |
| Jack Quinn | A | 0.5 o+240 / u-350 |
14% | 10% | 100%1/1 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | SOG | 2.5 o-160 / u+120 |
53% | 70% | 75%3/4 | 3 O |
| Jason Zucker | SOG | 1.5 o-180 / u+135 |
40% | 50% | 100%1/1 | 1 U |
| Alex Tuch | SOG | 2.5 o-120 / u-110 |
53% | 50% | 33%1/3 | 1 U |
| Dylan Cozens | SOG | 2.5 o-110 / u-120 |
53% | 50% | 50%2/4 | 2 U |
| JJ Peterka | SOG | 2.5 o-175 / u+130 |
46% | 50% | 75%3/4 | 3 O |
| Jack Quinn | SOG | 1.5 o-145 / u+110 |
36% | 40% | 100%1/1 | 1 U |
| Tage Thompson | SOG | 3.5 o-125 / u-110 |
27% | 30% | 75%3/4 | 1 U |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | SV | 23.5 o-125 / u-105 |
64% | 70% | 100%1/1 | 14 U |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024 | at MTL | BUF 3–2 | 0–1 | 3–1 | 0–0 | 5 | — | BUF |
| Jan 4, 2024 | at MTL | BUF 6–1 | 0–0 | 2–1 | 4–0 | 7 | — | BUF |
| Dec 9, 2023 | at BUF | BUF 2–3 SO | 0–0 | 0–2 | 2–0 | 5 | — | MTL |
| Oct 23, 2023 | at BUF | BUF 1–3 | 1–1 | 0–0 | 0–2 | 4 | — | MTL |
| Mar 27, 2023 | at BUF | BUF 3–4 SO | 1–1 | 2–1 | 0–1 | 7 | — | MTL |
| Nov 22, 2022 | at MTL | BUF 7–2 | 3–1 | 1–1 | 3–0 | 9 | — | BUF |
| Oct 27, 2022 | at BUF | BUF 2–3 | 0–1 | 1–0 | 1–2 | 5 | — | MTL |
| Feb 23, 2022 | at MTL | BUF 0–4 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 4 | — | MTL |
| Feb 13, 2022 | at MTL | BUF 5–3 | 1–0 | 2–3 | 2–0 | 8 | — | BUF |
| Nov 26, 2021 | at BUF | BUF 4–1 | 1–1 | 2–0 | 1–0 | 5 | — | BUF |