← Stats / SJS @ BUF

SJS @ BUF

Tuesday, March 4, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

San Jose Sharks
20-50-12 · Away
6 – 2
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
36-39-7 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
SJS +185 · BUF -240
Puck Line
SJS +1.5 (-120) · BUF -1.5 (+100)
Total
O 6.5 (-105) · U (-115)

Graded: total 8 → OVER W · BUF -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 SJSo6.5 45%
28-34
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
46%
15-18
33%
1-2
48%
28-30-3
BUFo6.5 54%
32-27
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
61%
19-12
33%
1-2
63%
32-19-7
Puck Line
cover %
 SJS+1.5 60%
37-25
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
61%
20-13
0%
0-3
+8.24u
39-22
BUF-1.5 24%
14-45
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
26%
8-23
100%
3-0
-9.03u
29-29
Moneyline
win %
 SJS dog +185 26%
16-46
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
21%
7-26
0%
0-3
-15.00u
16-45
BUF fav -240 41%
24-35
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
48%
15-16
100%
3-0
-2.52u
10-9
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-140/u+110 FD 1.5 o-158/u+124 SJS 55%
34-28
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
64%
21-12
67%
2-1
55%
34-28
 1.87 0.73 / 1.15
BUF 63%
37-22
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
61%
19-12
67%
2-1
63%
37-22
 1.97 1.15 / 0.81
2nd Period
over 1.5
 DK 2.5 o+154/u-200 FD 2.5 o+154/u-200 SJS 66%
41-21
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
61%
20-13
33%
1-2
61%
38-24
 2.06 0.92 / 1.15
BUF 71%
42-17
40%
2-3
70%
7-3
68%
21-10
33%
1-2
64%
38-21
 2.24 0.97 / 1.27
3rd Period
over 1.5
 FD 2.5 o+140/u-180 SJS 65%
40-22
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
58%
19-14
67%
2-1
47%
26-29
 2.16 0.85 / 1.31
BUF 68%
40-19
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
68%
21-10
67%
2-1
47%
24-27
 2.25 1.02 / 1.24
Team Comparison '24-25
SJSBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)20-50-1236-39-7
Points %31.7%48.2%
Goals for / game2.563.28
Goals against / game3.843.52
Shots for / game26.927.8
Shots against / game31.828.9
Power play %18.6%18.8%
Penalty kill %74.2%76.3%
Faceoff %48.2%47.7%
1st period GF / GA0.71 / 1.181.12 / 0.83
2nd period GF / GA0.88 / 1.171.02 / 1.30
3rd period GF / GA0.90 / 1.341.05 / 1.30
Avg game total6.406.80
Starting Goalies from the box score
20 saves on 22 shots · 2 GA · W
22 saves on 27 shots · 5 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
SJS0240280/2
BUF0110221/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
SJSPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tyler Toffoli G 0.5
o+210
 37% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
Macklin Celebrini G 0.5
o+190
 30% 30% 0%0/1 1 O
Fabian Zetterlund G 0.5
o+325
 24% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Nico Sturm G 0.5
o+800
 13% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
William Eklund G 0.5
o+300
 19% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Will Smith G 0.5
o+325
 17% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Timothy Liljegren G 0.5
o+900
 10% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Jack Thompson G 0.5
o+1200
 14% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Collin Graf G 0.5
o+575
 6% 10% — 0 U
Marc-Edouard Vlasic G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Barclay Goodrow G 0.5
o+700
 7% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Alexander Wennberg G 0.5
o+475
 12% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Jake Walman G 0.5
o+600
 10% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Luke Kunin G 0.5
o+450
 16% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Mario Ferraro G 0.5
o+1100
 8% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Klim Kostin G 0.5
o+850
 4% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Ty Dellandrea G 0.5
o+800
 2% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Shakir Mukhamadullin G 0.5
o+1200
 6% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Tyler Toffoli PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 53% 80% 67%2/3 2 O
William Eklund PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 61% 70% 67%2/3 2 O
Macklin Celebrini PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 60% 70% 0%0/1 1 O
Will Smith PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 37% 60% 0%0/1 2 O
Alexander Wennberg PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 39% 50% 100%2/2 0 U
Jake Walman PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 45% 20% 50%2/4 2 O
Fabian Zetterlund PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 47% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Will Smith A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 32% 60% 0%0/1 1 O
Alexander Wennberg A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 28% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
William Eklund A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 46% 50% 67%2/3 1 O
Macklin Celebrini A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 44% 50% 0%0/1 0 U
Tyler Toffoli A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 27% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Jake Walman A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 39% 20% 25%1/4 2 O
Fabian Zetterlund A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 24% 0% 0%0/3 1 O
Fabian Zetterlund SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 61% 80% 67%2/3 1 U
Tyler Toffoli SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-130
 56% 70% 100%3/3 4 O
Macklin Celebrini SOG 2.5
o-170 / u+125
 72% 70% 100%1/1 3 O
William Eklund SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 51% 60% 33%1/3 3 O
Will Smith SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 43% 50% 100%1/1 2 O
Jake Walman SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-170
 53% 40% 50%2/4 1 U
Alexandar Georgiev SV 26.5
o-125 / u-105
 55% 50% 0%0/2 20 U
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+145
 32% 60% 100%3/3 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+115
 45% 40% 0%0/2 1 O
JJ Peterka G 0.5
o+140
 23% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+375
 20% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+300
 18% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+600
 10% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+260
 22% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Sam Lafferty G 0.5
o+650
 5% 10% 60%3/5 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1100
 8% 10% — 0 U
Dylan Cozens G 0.5
o+220
 19% 10% 67%2/3 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+230
 15% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+350
 17% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Connor Clifton G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+400
 12% 0% 100%2/2 0 U
Dennis Gilbert G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% — DNP
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+650
 7% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+475
 7% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+500
 10% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 58% 80% 100%3/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 61% 80% 67%2/3 1 O
JJ Peterka PTS 0.5
o-225 / u+165
 60% 80% 33%1/3 2 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 41% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 42% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 33% 50% 67%2/3 1 O
Jiri Kulich PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 31% 50% 0%0/1 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 39% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Dylan Cozens PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 41% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 1.5
o+180 / u-250
 21% 30% 0%0/2 1 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 53% 70% 67%2/3 1 O
Owen Power A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 36% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
JJ Peterka A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 46% 50% 0%0/3 1 O
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 36% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 38% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 32% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 21% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 25% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Dylan Cozens A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 27% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Jiri Kulich A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 13% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Owen Power SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 59% 90% 100%3/3 0 U
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 41% 70% 67%2/3 2 U
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 54% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
Jiri Kulich SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 71% 60% 0%0/1 2 O
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+115 / u-150
 38% 50% 50%1/2 2 U
JJ Peterka SOG 2.5
o-125 / u-105
 40% 40% 33%1/3 2 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 49% 30% 67%2/3 2 U
Dylan Cozens SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-190
 36% 30% 67%2/3 5 O
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 22.5
o-105 / u-130
 63% 50% 100%2/2 22 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Nov 23, 2024 at SJS BUF 4–2 1–10–13–0 6 6 P BUF
Jan 27, 2024 at SJS BUF 5–2 2–21–02–0 7 — BUF
Jan 15, 2024 at BUF BUF 3–0 0–02–01–0 3 — BUF
Feb 18, 2023 at SJS BUF 4–2 1–11–12–0 6 — BUF
Dec 4, 2022 at BUF BUF 6–3 1–23–02–1 9 — BUF
Jan 6, 2022 at BUF BUF 2–3 0–31–01–0 5 — SJS
Nov 2, 2021 at SJS BUF 3–5 1–21–11–2 8 — SJS
Oct 22, 2019 at BUF BUF 4–3 OT 0–22–01–1 7 — BUF
Oct 19, 2019 at SJS BUF 4–3 1–11–02–2 7 — BUF
Nov 27, 2018 at BUF BUF 3–2 OT 0–01–01–2 5 — BUF