← Stats / VGK @ BUF

VGK @ BUF

Saturday, March 15, 2025 · 11:30 AM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Vegas Golden Knights
50-22-10 · Away
3 – 4
FINAL / SO
Buffalo Sabres
36-39-7 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
VGK -200 · BUF +165
Puck Line
VGK -1.5 (+115) · BUF +1.5 (-145)
Total
O 6.5 (+100) · U (-120)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · BUF +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 VGKo6.5 45%
29-36
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
42%
13-18
67%
2-1
47%
28-32-4
BUFo6.5 55%
35-29
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
61%
20-13
67%
2-1
63%
35-21-7
Puck Line
cover %
 VGK-1.5 43%
28-37
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
29%
9-22
33%
1-2
+14.12u
38-26
BUF+1.5 59%
38-26
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
70%
23-10
67%
2-1
-10.56u
31-32
Moneyline
win %
 VGK fav -200 60%
39-26
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
48%
15-16
33%
1-2
-0.09u
31-17
BUF dog +165 39%
25-39
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
49%
16-17
67%
2-1
-8.65u
15-28
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-145/u+114 FD 1.5 o-140/u+110 VGK 52%
34-31
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
48%
15-16
33%
1-2
52%
34-31
 1.83 0.98 / 0.85
BUF 61%
39-25
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
58%
19-14
33%
1-2
61%
39-25
 2.00 1.16 / 0.84
2nd Period
over 2.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 2.5 o+154/u-200 FD 1.5 o-182/u+142 VGK 31%
20-45
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
32%
10-21
33%
1-2
57%
37-28
 1.95 1.00 / 0.95
BUF 38%
24-40
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
39%
13-20
33%
1-2
66%
42-22
 2.30 0.97 / 1.33
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+158/u-205 VGK 39%
25-40
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
36%
11-20
67%
2-1
53%
31-27
 2.15 1.34 / 0.82
BUF 44%
28-36
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
52%
17-16
67%
2-1
46%
26-30
 2.25 0.97 / 1.28
Team Comparison '24-25
VGKBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)50-22-1036-39-7
Points %67.1%48.2%
Goals for / game3.353.28
Goals against / game2.673.52
Shots for / game30.327.8
Shots against / game26.128.9
Power play %28.3%18.8%
Penalty kill %75.7%76.3%
Faceoff %50.5%47.7%
1st period GF / GA0.99 / 0.771.12 / 0.83
2nd period GF / GA0.99 / 0.951.02 / 1.30
3rd period GF / GA1.33 / 0.831.05 / 1.30
Avg game total6.026.80
Starting Goalies from the box score
VGK · Adin Hill
34 saves on 37 shots · 3 GA · OTL
16 saves on 19 shots · 3 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
VGK1110190/1
BUF0120371/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
VGKPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tomas Hertl G 0.5
o+180
 34% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Mark Stone G 0.5
o+220
 31% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Brandon Saad G 0.5
o+275
 14% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Pavel Dorofeyev G 0.5
o+175
 34% 40% 0%0/1 1 O
Ivan Barbashev G 0.5
o+325
 28% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Noah Hanifin G 0.5
o+500
 12% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Tanner Pearson G 0.5
o+450
 18% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Nicolas Roy G 0.5
o+425
 17% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Alex Pietrangelo G 0.5
o+750
 7% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Brayden McNabb G 0.5
o+1200
 6% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack Eichel G 0.5
o+145
 28% 10% 100%2/2 1 O
Keegan Kolesar G 0.5
o+550
 15% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Brett Howden G 0.5
o+450
 24% 10% 0%0/2 1 O
Nicolas Hague G 0.5
o+1000
 7% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Zach Whitecloud G 0.5
o+1200
 7% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Reilly Smith G 0.5
o+425
 16% 0% 17%1/6 0 U
Victor Olofsson G 0.5
o+425
 21% 0% — 0 U
Kaedan Korczak G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% — 0 U
Tomas Hertl PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 59% 80% 0%0/3 1 O
Mark Stone PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 67% 60% 50%1/2 1 O
Brandon Saad PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 32% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
Noah Hanifin PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 34% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Pavel Dorofeyev PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 46% 60% 0%0/1 1 O
Ivan Barbashev PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 48% 50% 50%1/2 1 O
Reilly Smith PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 42% 40% 33%2/6 0 U
Jack Eichel PTS 1.5
o+155 / u-210
 41% 40% 50%1/2 1 U
Nicolas Roy PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 32% 40% 100%2/2 0 U
Alex Pietrangelo PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-230
 32% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Jack Eichel A 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 64% 80% 50%1/2 0 U
Noah Hanifin A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 28% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Tomas Hertl A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 34% 50% 0%0/3 1 O
Reilly Smith A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 29% 40% 17%1/6 0 U
Mark Stone A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 55% 40% 0%0/2 1 O
Brandon Saad A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 20% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Ivan Barbashev A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 30% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Nicolas Roy A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 20% 30% 100%2/2 0 U
Pavel Dorofeyev A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 22% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Alex Pietrangelo A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 26% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Mark Stone SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 65% 80% 50%1/2 2 O
Jack Eichel SOG 2.5
o-175 / u+130
 66% 70% 100%2/2 2 U
Pavel Dorofeyev SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 65% 70% 100%1/1 1 U
Noah Hanifin SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 59% 60% 100%2/2 1 U
Brandon Saad SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 50% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Alex Pietrangelo SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 53% 40% 67%2/3 2 O
Tomas Hertl SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 45% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Adin Hill SV 23.5
o-110 / u-120
 51% 80% 0%0/1 34 O
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+180
 33% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+145
 48% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+375
 18% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+275
 27% 20% 50%2/4 1 O
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+350
 18% 10% 0%0/4 1 O
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+550
 8% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+325
 14% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+650
 9% 10% — 0 U
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+300
 21% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+325
 17% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Connor Clifton G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Sam Lafferty G 0.5
o+850
 4% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+500
 10% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+850
 7% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+2000
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1200
 7% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+900
 9% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+700
 9% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 55% 60% 75%3/4 1 O
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 56% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 67% 60% 0%0/3 1 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 43% 50% 25%1/4 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+120
 59% 50% 67%2/3 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 32% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-240
 41% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Jiri Kulich PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 29% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 31% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 38% 10% 0%0/2 2 O
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 38% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 28% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 52% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 21% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 34% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 19% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 36% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Jiri Kulich A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 13% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 31% 10% 0%0/2 2 O
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 33% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 42% 70% 33%1/3 1 U
Jiri Kulich SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 73% 70% 0%0/1 2 O
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 55% 60% 50%2/4 4 O
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-170 / u+125
 55% 60% 100%3/3 5 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-170
 48% 50% 67%2/3 5 O
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-130 / u-105
 51% 40% 100%1/1 3 O
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 24.5
o-120 / u-110
 50% 40% 0%0/1 16 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 4, 2025 at VGK BUF 1–3 0–20–01–1 4 6.5 U VGK
Mar 2, 2024 at BUF BUF 7–2 1–02–24–0 9 — BUF
Dec 15, 2023 at VGK BUF 5–2 0–01–14–1 7 — BUF
Dec 19, 2022 at VGK BUF 3–2 0–03–00–2 5 — BUF
Nov 10, 2022 at BUF BUF 4–7 1–11–22–4 11 — VGK
Mar 10, 2022 at BUF BUF 3–1 1–00–02–1 4 — BUF
Feb 1, 2022 at VGK BUF 2–5 0–21–21–1 7 — VGK
Feb 28, 2020 at VGK BUF 2–4 1–10–01–3 6 — VGK
Jan 14, 2020 at BUF BUF 4–2 0–02–12–1 6 — BUF
Oct 16, 2018 at VGK BUF 1–4 0–10–11–2 5 — VGK