← Stats / BUF @ MIN

BUF @ MIN

Saturday, March 22, 2025 · 1:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
36-39-7 · Away
1 – 4
FINAL
Minnesota Wild
45-30-7 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +125 · MIN -145
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-210) · MIN -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 5.5 (-115) · U (-105)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · MIN -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 BUFo5.5 69%
46-21
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
64%
21-12
0%
0-3
63%
37-22-7
MINo5.5 46%
32-37
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
38%
13-21
0%
0-3
44%
29-37-2
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF+1.5 60%
40-27
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
49%
16-17
100%
3-0
-11.87u
32-34
MIN-1.5 35%
24-45
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
24%
8-26
0%
0-3
-1.77u
34-34
Moneyline
win %
 BUF dog +125 40%
27-40
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
30%
10-23
67%
2-1
-8.00u
16-29
MIN fav -145 57%
39-30
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
50%
17-17
33%
1-2
+2.63u
24-12
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-115/u-115 FD 1.5 o-122/u-104 BUF 61%
41-26
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
67%
22-11
33%
1-2
61%
41-26
 2.00 1.13 / 0.87
MIN 46%
32-37
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
50%
17-17
33%
1-2
46%
32-37
 1.55 0.83 / 0.72
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-164/u+128 BUF 72%
48-19
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
73%
24-9
0%
0-3
63%
42-25
 2.25 0.96 / 1.30
MIN 49%
34-35
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
50%
17-17
0%
0-3
48%
33-36
 1.68 0.78 / 0.90
3rd Period
over 1.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 1.5 o-180/u+138 BUF 66%
44-23
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
64%
21-12
67%
2-1
48%
28-31
 2.25 0.97 / 1.28
MIN 71%
49-20
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
65%
22-12
67%
2-1
58%
36-26
 2.17 1.04 / 1.13
Team Comparison '24-25
BUFMIN
Record (W-L-OTL)36-39-745-30-7
Points %48.2%59.1%
Goals for / game3.282.78
Goals against / game3.522.91
Shots for / game27.827.6
Shots against / game28.929.6
Power play %18.8%20.9%
Penalty kill %76.3%72.4%
Faceoff %47.7%46.8%
1st period GF / GA1.12 / 0.830.78 / 0.76
2nd period GF / GA1.02 / 1.300.78 / 0.93
3rd period GF / GA1.05 / 1.301.07 / 1.15
Avg game total6.805.70
Starting Goalies from the box score
17 saves on 20 shots · 3 GA · L
20 saves on 21 shots · 1 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF0010210/2
MIN0310210/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+200
 33% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+140
 46% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
JJ Peterka G 0.5
o+190
 26% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+375
 19% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+240
 27% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+325
 20% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+550
 9% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+700
 10% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+550
 17% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Connor Clifton G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Sam Lafferty G 0.5
o+800
 4% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+575
 9% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+850
 6% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+2000
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1300
 6% 0% — 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+900
 9% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+700
 7% 0% — 0 U
JJ Peterka PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 60% 80% 33%1/3 1 O
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+135
 67% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 56% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 45% 60% 0%0/4 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 55% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 58% 50% 0%0/3 1 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 40% 20% 50%1/2 1 O
JJ Peterka A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 45% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 37% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 28% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 38% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 49% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Owen Power A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 34% 20% 50%1/2 1 O
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 31% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+145
 58% 70% 50%2/4 1 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 49% 60% 33%1/3 4 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-130
 42% 50% 100%2/2 1 U
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+115 / u-150
 38% 40% 67%2/3 3 U
JJ Peterka SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 39% 30% 33%1/3 1 U
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 23.5
o-115 / u-115
 50% 30% 100%2/2 17 U
MINPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Mats Zuccarello G 0.5
o+240
 27% 40% 0%0/2 1 O
Ryan Hartman G 0.5
o+260
 18% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Frederick Gaudreau G 0.5
o+350
 19% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Marcus Johansson G 0.5
o+375
 12% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Vinnie Hinostroza G 0.5
o+350
 14% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Liam Ohgren G 0.5
o+450
 8% 20% — DNP
Jared Spurgeon G 0.5
o+800
 11% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Jake Middleton G 0.5
o+850
 14% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Matt Boldy G 0.5
o+160
 29% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Brock Faber G 0.5
o+575
 11% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Zach Bogosian G 0.5
o+1500
 6% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Gustav Nyquist G 0.5
o+425
 14% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Jon Merrill G 0.5
o+1600
 2% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jonas Brodin G 0.5
o+900
 11% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Brendan Gaunce G 0.5
o+700
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Devin Shore G 0.5
o+800
 2% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Yakov Trenin G 0.5
o+525
 10% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Justin Brazeau G 0.5
o+525
 16% 0% 0%0/2 1 O
Declan Chisholm G 0.5
o+1100
 3% 0% 50%1/2 DNP
Marco Rossi G 0.5
o+240
 28% 0% 0%0/3 1 O
Ryan Hartman PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 34% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
Mats Zuccarello PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 52% 50% 50%1/2 2 O
Matt Boldy PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 55% 50% 67%2/3 2 O
Jared Spurgeon PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 39% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Frederick Gaudreau PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 36% 40% 0%0/2 1 O
Gustav Nyquist PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 30% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Vinnie Hinostroza PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 25% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Marco Rossi PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 57% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Brock Faber PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 35% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Jared Spurgeon A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 32% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan Hartman A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 20% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Matt Boldy A 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 42% 40% 67%2/3 2 O
Gustav Nyquist A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 21% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Marco Rossi A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 38% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Mats Zuccarello A 0.5
o+120 / u-165
 38% 20% 50%1/2 1 O
Frederick Gaudreau A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 23% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Vinnie Hinostroza A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 11% 10% 0%0/2 1 O
Brock Faber A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 25% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan Hartman SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-170
 43% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
Brock Faber SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-150
 40% 50% 0%0/3 1 U
Mats Zuccarello SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-170
 38% 40% 50%1/2 3 O
Vinnie Hinostroza SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 32% 40% 50%1/2 1 U
Matt Boldy SOG 2.5
o-175 / u+130
 65% 30% 67%2/3 4 O
Marco Rossi SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-130
 42% 20% 33%1/3 3 O
Filip Gustavsson SV 24.5
o-105 / u-125
 66% 70% 67%2/3 20 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Nov 27, 2024 at BUF MIN 1–0 1–00–00–0 1 5.5 U MIN
Feb 17, 2024 at MIN MIN 2–3 OT 0–00–02–2 5 — BUF
Nov 10, 2023 at BUF MIN 2–3 1–10–11–1 5 — BUF
Jan 28, 2023 at MIN MIN 3–2 SO 1–11–10–0 5 — MIN
Jan 7, 2023 at BUF MIN 5–6 OT 0–13–32–1 11 — BUF
Mar 4, 2022 at BUF MIN 4–5 1–10–13–3 9 — BUF
Dec 16, 2021 at MIN MIN 2–3 SO 1–01–10–1 5 — BUF
Nov 19, 2019 at BUF MIN 4–1 2–01–01–1 5 — MIN
Feb 5, 2019 at BUF MIN 4–5 SO 0–13–21–1 9 — BUF
Nov 17, 2018 at MIN MIN 2–3 2–10–00–2 5 — BUF