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FLA @ TBL

Tuesday, April 15, 2025 · 6:30 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Florida Panthers
47-31-4 · Away
1 – 5
FINAL
Tampa Bay Lightning
47-27-8 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
FLA +170 · TBL -220
Puck Line
FLA +1.5 (-145) · TBL -1.5 (+115)
Total
O 5.5 (-110) · U (-110)

Graded: total 6 → OVER W · TBL -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 FLAo5.5 48%
39-42
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
48%
19-21
50%
3-3
44%
35-45-1
TBLo5.5 55%
44-36
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
58%
23-17
50%
3-3
47%
36-40-3
Puck Line
cover %
 FLA+1.5 70%
57-24
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
68%
27-13
67%
4-2
-9.08u
35-46
TBL-1.5 45%
36-44
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
55%
22-18
33%
2-4
+11.22u
42-37
Moneyline
win %
 FLA dog +170 58%
47-34
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
50%
20-20
67%
4-2
+1.21u
7-7
TBL fav -220 58%
46-34
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
70%
28-12
33%
2-4
+3.28u
40-20
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-120/u-110 FD 1.5 o-120/u-106 FLA 82%
66-15
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
80%
32-8
83%
5-1
53%
43-38
 1.73 0.90 / 0.83
TBL 89%
71-9
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
88%
35-5
83%
5-1
49%
39-41
 1.84 1.10 / 0.74
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-160/u+126 FLA 90%
73-8
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
88%
35-5
83%
5-1
58%
47-34
 2.01 1.14 / 0.88
TBL 86%
69-11
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
83%
33-7
83%
5-1
58%
46-34
 2.18 1.24 / 0.94
3rd Period
over 0.5
 FD 1.5 o-182/u+142 FLA 89%
72-9
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
85%
34-6
100%
6-0
49%
35-37
 1.88 0.94 / 0.94
TBL 90%
72-8
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
93%
37-3
100%
6-0
38%
28-45
 2.10 1.20 / 0.90
Team Comparison '24-25
FLATBL
Record (W-L-OTL)47-31-447-27-8
Points %59.8%62.2%
Goals for / game3.073.59
Goals against / game2.722.67
Shots for / game31.628.5
Shots against / game26.228.2
Power play %23.5%25.9%
Penalty kill %80.7%81.6%
Faceoff %49.5%50.1%
1st period GF / GA0.89 / 0.851.11 / 0.72
2nd period GF / GA1.13 / 0.881.22 / 0.94
3rd period GF / GA0.93 / 0.941.18 / 0.91
Avg game total5.796.26
Starting Goalies from the box score
26 saves on 31 shots · 5 GA · L
23 saves on 24 shots · 1 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
FLA0100240/4
TBL3110311/5
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
No lines.
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+120
 41% 50% 50%3/6 1 O
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+130
 45% 50% 50%3/6 1 O
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+130
 39% 40% 29%2/7 1 O
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+400
 17% 30% 0%0/6 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+170
 36% 30% 33%2/6 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+400
 12% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1000
 5% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+230
 31% 20% 0%0/6 0 U
Nick Perbix G 0.5
o+1200
 8% 20% 0%0/6 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+350
 13% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+300
 28% 10% 17%1/6 0 U
Mitchell Chaffee G 0.5
o+550
 19% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1300
 1% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Conor Geekie G 0.5
o+500
 14% 10% 0%0/1 1 O
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+700
 3% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1100
 4% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1100
 4% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 71% 80% 67%4/6 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 55% 60% 83%5/6 2 O
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+100 / u-130
 42% 60% 17%1/6 2 O
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-225 / u+165
 63% 60% 86%6/7 1 O
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 69% 60% 50%3/6 3 O
Yanni Gourde PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 46% 50% 67%2/3 2 O
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 49% 50% 33%2/6 1 O
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 67% 80% 33%2/6 1 O
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 51% 60% 50%3/6 0 U
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 47% 50% 83%5/6 2 O
Yanni Gourde A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 36% 40% 67%2/3 2 O
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 39% 40% 57%4/7 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 31% 40% 33%2/6 1 O
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 36% 30% 0%0/6 2 O
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
 46% 60% 71%5/7 2 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 68% 50% 67%4/6 3 O
Nick Paul SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-145
 53% 50% 33%2/6 2 O
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 64% 50% 33%2/6 2 O
Victor Hedman SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+150
 64% 40% 67%4/6 3 O
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 45% 40% 50%3/6 1 U
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-170
 50% 30% 50%3/6 4 O
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 25.5
o-130 / u+100
 47% 40% 60%3/5 23 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Mar 3, 2025 at FLA TBL 1–2 0–00–21–0 3 5.5 U FLA
Dec 23, 2024 at FLA TBL 4–0 3–00–01–0 4 6.5 U TBL
Dec 22, 2024 at TBL TBL 2–4 1–10–21–1 6 6.5 U FLA
Apr 29, 2024 at FLA TBL 1–6 0–01–20–4 7 — FLA
Apr 27, 2024 at TBL TBL 6–3 3–01–32–0 9 — TBL
Apr 25, 2024 at TBL TBL 3–5 0–12–21–2 8 — FLA
Apr 23, 2024 at FLA TBL 2–3 OT 0–22–00–0 5 — FLA
Apr 21, 2024 at FLA TBL 2–3 1–10–01–2 5 — FLA
Mar 16, 2024 at FLA TBL 5–3 2–02–21–1 8 — TBL
Feb 17, 2024 at TBL TBL 2–9 1–40–21–3 11 — FLA