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FLA @ TBL

Sunday, December 22, 2024 · 4:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Florida Panthers
47-31-4 · Away
4 – 2
FINAL
Tampa Bay Lightning
47-27-8 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
FLA -120 · TBL +100
Puck Line
FLA -1.5 (+185) · TBL +1.5 (-260)
Total
O 6.5 (+100) · U (-120)

Graded: total 6 → OVER L · TBL +1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 FLAo6.5 53%
18-16
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
67%
12-6
67%
2-1
59%
20-14
TBLo6.5 47%
14-16
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
40%
6-9
67%
2-1
50%
14-14-2
Puck Line
cover %
 FLA-1.5 41%
14-20
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
39%
7-11
33%
1-2
-2.55u
15-19
TBL+1.5 80%
24-6
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
80%
12-3
67%
2-1
+4.36u
16-14
Moneyline
win %
 FLA fav -120 62%
21-13
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
61%
11-7
67%
2-1
-2.14u
15-11
TBL dog +100 60%
18-12
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
67%
10-5
33%
1-2
-1.40u
4-6
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-128/u+100 FLA 65%
22-12
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
78%
14-4
67%
2-1
65%
22-12
 2.09 1.09 / 1.00
TBL 47%
14-16
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
40%
6-9
67%
2-1
47%
14-16
 1.97 1.27 / 0.70
2nd Period
over 2.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 2.5 o+154/u-200 FD 1.5 o-200/u+154 FLA 41%
14-20
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
33%
6-12
33%
1-2
77%
26-8
 2.50 1.29 / 1.21
TBL 47%
14-16
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
40%
6-9
33%
1-2
60%
18-12
 2.30 1.23 / 1.07
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+150/u-192 FLA 32%
11-23
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
39%
7-11
67%
2-1
50%
13-13
 1.94 1.09 / 0.85
TBL 43%
13-17
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
40%
6-9
67%
2-1
42%
10-14
 2.43 1.40 / 1.03
Team Comparison '24-25
FLATBL
Record (W-L-OTL)47-31-447-27-8
Points %59.8%62.2%
Goals for / game3.073.59
Goals against / game2.722.67
Shots for / game31.628.5
Shots against / game26.228.2
Power play %23.5%25.9%
Penalty kill %80.7%81.6%
Faceoff %49.5%50.1%
1st period GF / GA0.89 / 0.851.11 / 0.72
2nd period GF / GA1.13 / 0.881.22 / 0.94
3rd period GF / GA0.93 / 0.941.18 / 0.91
Avg game total5.796.26
Starting Goalies from the box score
19 saves on 21 shots · 2 GA · W
22 saves on 25 shots · 3 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
FLA1210261/2
TBL1010210/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Aleksander Barkov G 0.5
o+170
 42% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk G 0.5
o+145
 31% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+230
 38% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+900
 12% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich G 0.5
o+450
 21% 30% — 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+200
 24% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Aaron Ekblad G 0.5
o+500
 6% 20% 100%1/1 0 U
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+140
 53% 20% 67%2/3 2 O
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+650
 15% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+350
 21% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+450
 12% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Uvis Balinskis G 0.5
o+900
 3% 10% — 0 U
Dmitry Kulikov G 0.5
o+1400
 9% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Nate Schmidt G 0.5
o+1300
 9% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Tomas Nosek G 0.5
o+850
 5% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+750
 9% 0% 100%1/1 1 O
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+375
 21% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Aleksander Barkov PTS 0.5
o-225 / u+165
 83% 90% 67%2/3 1 O
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 82% 70% 100%3/3 2 O
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 72% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 56% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Aaron Ekblad PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 38% 50% 100%1/1 1 O
Matthew Tkachuk PTS 1.5
o+180 / u-250
 31% 50% 67%2/3 1 U
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 46% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Aleksander Barkov A 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 71% 70% 67%2/3 1 O
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 53% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 47% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Aaron Ekblad A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 35% 40% 0%0/1 1 O
Matthew Tkachuk A 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 52% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 44% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 33% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 21% 0% 67%2/3 0 U
Gustav Forsling SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 74% 100% 67%2/3 4 O
Aaron Ekblad SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 32% 60% 0%0/1 1 U
Aleksander Barkov SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 46% 50% 67%2/3 1 U
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 50% 50% 67%2/3 2 U
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-185
 56% 50% 67%2/3 2 U
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 62% 40% 100%3/3 2 U
Matthew Tkachuk SOG 3.5
o+130 / u-175
 38% 40% 33%1/3 2 U
Spencer Knight SV 25.5
o-115 / u-115
 27% 30% — 19 U
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+140
 43% 70% 25%1/4 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+130
 65% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+250
 41% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+180
 37% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+140
 39% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+350
 29% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Nick Perbix G 0.5
o+1100
 16% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Michael Eyssimont G 0.5
o+575
 10% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Mitchell Chaffee G 0.5
o+500
 23% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Conor Geekie G 0.5
o+375
 17% 20% — 0 U
Luke Glendening G 0.5
o+800
 7% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+600
 6% 10% — DNP
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1100
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+500
 11% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+750
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+900
 5% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-230 / u+165
 85% 90% 33%1/3 1 O
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+150
 70% 80% 75%3/4 1 O
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 73% 70% 100%3/3 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 61% 50% 100%3/3 1 O
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 50% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 59% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 39% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 54% 50% 100%3/3 1 O
Nikita Kucherov A 1.5
o+175 / u-240
 36% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 40% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 50% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 35% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 72% 90% 33%1/3 0 U
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-125
 58% 80% 67%2/3 2 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+105
 50% 70% 100%4/4 3 O
Nikita Kucherov SOG 3.5
o+125 / u-165
 54% 40% 67%2/3 2 U
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 53% 40% 33%1/3 1 U
Victor Hedman SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 43% 30% 0%0/3 2 U
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 27.5
o-115 / u-115
 28% 20% 67%2/3 22 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 29, 2024 at FLA TBL 1–6 0–01–20–4 7 — FLA
Apr 27, 2024 at TBL TBL 6–3 3–01–32–0 9 — TBL
Apr 25, 2024 at TBL TBL 3–5 0–12–21–2 8 — FLA
Apr 23, 2024 at FLA TBL 2–3 OT 0–22–00–0 5 — FLA
Apr 21, 2024 at FLA TBL 2–3 1–10–01–2 5 — FLA
Mar 16, 2024 at FLA TBL 5–3 2–02–21–1 8 — TBL
Feb 17, 2024 at TBL TBL 2–9 1–40–21–3 11 — FLA
Dec 27, 2023 at TBL TBL 2–3 0–10–12–1 5 — FLA
Feb 28, 2023 at TBL TBL 1–4 0–31–00–1 5 — FLA
Feb 6, 2023 at FLA TBL 1–7 0–11–30–3 8 — FLA