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MTL @ TOR

Wednesday, October 8, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Montréal Canadiens
48-24-10 · Away
2 – 5
FINAL
Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36-14 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
MTL +145 · TOR -175
Puck Line
MTL +1.5 (-185) · TOR -1.5 (+140)
Total
O 5.5 (-145) · U (+115)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · TOR -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season = '24-25 (fewer than 5 games this season)
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 MTLo5.5 59%
48-34
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
66%
27-14
25%
1-3
53%
41-37-4
TORo5.5 55%
45-37
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
44%
18-23
25%
1-3
49%
38-40-3
Puck Line
cover %
 MTL+1.5 67%
55-27
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
63%
26-15
50%
2-2
-1.26u
48-34
TOR-1.5 37%
30-52
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
42%
17-24
50%
2-2
+0.96u
40-41
Moneyline
win %
 MTL dog +145 49%
40-42
40%
2-3
70%
7-3
42%
17-24
25%
1-3
+9.70u
31-37
TOR fav -175 63%
52-30
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
66%
27-14
75%
3-1
+3.58u
38-20
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-134/u+106 MTL 62%
51-31
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
63%
26-15
25%
1-3
62%
51-31
 1.84 0.82 / 1.02
TOR 50%
41-41
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
39%
16-25
25%
1-3
50%
41-41
 1.72 0.88 / 0.84
2nd Period
over 2.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 2.5 o+160/u-210 FD 1.5 o-176/u+138 MTL 28%
23-59
20%
1-4
10%
1-9
32%
13-28
25%
1-3
56%
46-36
 2.02 1.00 / 1.02
TOR 32%
26-56
0%
0-5
0%
0-10
22%
9-32
25%
1-3
59%
48-34
 2.12 1.23 / 0.89
3rd Period
over 1.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 1.5 o-196/u+152 MTL 66%
54-28
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
66%
27-14
25%
1-3
43%
32-42
 2.10 1.05 / 1.05
TOR 65%
53-29
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
63%
26-15
25%
1-3
52%
37-34
 2.06 1.02 / 1.04
Team Comparison '25-26
MTLTOR
Record (W-L-OTL)48-24-1032-36-14
Points %64.6%47.6%
Goals for / game3.453.09
Goals against / game3.123.65
Shots for / game26.326.3
Shots against / game27.832.4
Power play %23.1%21.3%
Penalty kill %78.2%81.2%
Faceoff %50.9%54.3%
1st period GF / GA0.91 / 0.850.84 / 0.99
2nd period GF / GA1.20 / 1.110.95 / 1.23
3rd period GF / GA1.17 / 1.041.18 / 1.26
Avg game total6.576.73
Starting Goalies from the box score
22 saves on 25 shots · 3 GA · L
29 saves on 31 shots · 2 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
MTL1100310/2
TOR1130270/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
MTLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nick Suzuki G 0.5
o+210
 32% 70% 0%0/4 0 U
Brendan Gallagher G 0.5
o+375
 23% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Nicolas Roy G 0.5
o+375
 21% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Zachary Bolduc G 0.5
o+350
 22% 40% 0%0/1 1 O
Josh Anderson G 0.5
o+575
 17% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Cole Caufield G 0.5
o+165
 40% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Dakota Joshua G 0.5
o+525
 12% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Patrik Laine G 0.5
o+300
 35% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Noah Dobson G 0.5
o+575
 14% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Juraj Slafkovský G 0.5
o+260
 20% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Jake Evans G 0.5
o+700
 16% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Kirby Dach G 0.5
o+450
 14% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Alex Newhook G 0.5
o+400
 17% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Kaiden Guhle G 0.5
o+1100
 9% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Lane Hutson G 0.5
o+700
 7% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Mike Matheson G 0.5
o+800
 8% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Alexandre Carrier G 0.5
o+1300
 4% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Matias Maccelli G 0.5
o+300
 9% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Oliver Kapanen G 0.5
o+650
 0% 0% 0%0/1 1 O
Arber Xhekaj G 0.5
o+2000
 1% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Ivan Demidov G 0.5
o+300
 50% — — 0 U
Nick Suzuki PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 66% 80% 25%1/4 0 U
Cole Caufield PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 66% 70% 25%1/4 0 U
Lane Hutson PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 57% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
Juraj Slafkovský PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 48% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Zachary Bolduc PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 43% 50% 0%0/1 1 O
Nicolas Roy PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 32% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Noah Dobson PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 41% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Mike Matheson PTS 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 31% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Patrik Laine PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 46% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Matias Maccelli PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 27% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Ivan Demidov PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 50% — — 0 U
Nick Suzuki A 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 54% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Lane Hutson A 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 51% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Juraj Slafkovský A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 34% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Cole Caufield A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 37% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Noah Dobson A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 32% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Mike Matheson A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 28% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Matias Maccelli A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 18% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Zachary Bolduc A 0.5
o+350 / u-525
 24% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Nicolas Roy A 0.5
o+325 / u-500
 17% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Patrik Laine A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 21% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Ivan Demidov A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 50% — — 0 U
Zachary Bolduc SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-125
 47% 70% 0%0/1 3 O
Mike Matheson SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 56% 60% 25%1/4 1 U
Cole Caufield SOG 2.5
o-130 / u-105
 57% 60% 75%3/4 4 O
Noah Dobson SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 75% 50% 67%2/3 1 U
Juraj Slafkovský SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 44% 50% 25%1/4 6 O
Brendan Gallagher SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 54% 40% 50%2/4 1 U
Nick Suzuki SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-200
 32% 40% 50%2/4 2 U
Patrik Laine SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 56% 30% 50%1/2 1 U
Matias Maccelli SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 44% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Ivan Demidov SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 100% — — 0 U
Samuel Montembeault SV 25.5
o-115 / u-115
 42% 40% 67%2/3 22 U
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o+100
 45% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
John Tavares G 0.5
o+165
 37% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
William Nylander G 0.5
o+120
 42% 20% 50%2/4 1 O
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+650
 10% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+375
 19% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+165
 31% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Chris Tanev G 0.5
o+1600
 4% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+425
 11% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+850
 5% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+650
 5% 0% 0%0/1 1 O
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+600
 9% 0% 0%0/4 1 O
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1100
 3% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1200
 1% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1500
 1% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+300
 23% 0% 33%1/3 1 O
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 68% 60% 67%2/3 2 O
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 53% 50% 50%2/4 1 O
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 39% 40% 50%2/4 2 O
Jake McCabe PTS 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 26% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
William Nylander PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+180
 62% 40% 75%3/4 3 O
Auston Matthews PTS 1.5
o+160 / u-220
 33% 40% 0%0/3 1 U
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 35% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 31% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Bobby McMann PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 35% 10% 33%1/3 1 O
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 48% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 33% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Jake McCabe A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 26% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 32% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
John Tavares A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 40% 20% 33%1/3 2 O
Max Domi A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 28% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 37% 20% 50%2/4 2 O
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 27% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Bobby McMann A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 18% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Bobby McMann SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 66% 60% 67%2/3 1 U
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 53% 60% 25%1/4 2 O
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 44% 50% 100%3/3 2 U
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 44% 50% 50%2/4 5 O
Auston Matthews SOG 3.5
o-115 / u-115
 54% 50% 67%2/3 1 U
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-135 / u+100
 59% 40% 75%3/4 1 U
Anthony Stolarz SV 23.5
o-105 / u-125
 67% 60% 50%1/2 29 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 12, 2025 at TOR TOR 1–0 OT 0–00–00–0 1 5.5 U TOR
Jan 18, 2025 at MTL TOR 7–3 0–32–05–0 10 6 O TOR
Nov 9, 2024 at TOR TOR 4–1 1–03–10–0 5 6 U TOR
Oct 9, 2024 at MTL TOR 0–1 0–10–00–0 1 6.5 U MTL
Apr 6, 2024 at MTL TOR 4–2 0–04–20–0 6 — TOR
Mar 9, 2024 at MTL TOR 3–2 0–12–01–1 5 — TOR
Oct 11, 2023 at TOR TOR 6–5 SO 0–13–12–3 11 — TOR
Apr 8, 2023 at TOR TOR 7–1 2–02–13–0 8 — TOR
Feb 18, 2023 at TOR TOR 5–1 0–03–12–0 6 — TOR
Jan 21, 2023 at MTL TOR 2–3 OT 2–00–20–0 5 — MTL