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TBL @ BOS

Monday, October 13, 2025 · 12:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · Away
4 – 3
FINAL
Boston Bruins
45-27-10 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL -160 · BOS +135
Puck Line
TBL -1.5 (+140) · BOS +1.5 (-185)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · BOS +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season = '24-25 (fewer than 5 games this season)
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 TBLo6.5 43%
35-47
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
42%
17-24
50%
2-2
47%
37-41-3
BOSo6.5 44%
36-46
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
46%
19-22
50%
2-2
51%
41-39-1
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL-1.5 45%
37-45
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
34%
14-27
50%
2-2
+11.37u
43-38
BOS+1.5 65%
53-29
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
78%
32-9
50%
2-2
-15.08u
38-43
Moneyline
win %
 TBL fav -160 57%
47-35
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
44%
18-23
50%
2-2
+3.74u
41-20
BOS dog +135 40%
33-49
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
49%
20-21
50%
2-2
-13.05u
15-34
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-146/u+114 TBL 28%
23-59
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
27%
11-30
0%
0-4
49%
40-42
 1.83 1.11 / 0.72
BOS 24%
20-62
0%
0-5
0%
0-10
27%
11-30
0%
0-4
57%
47-35
 1.70 0.83 / 0.87
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 2.5 o+150/u-195 FD 1.5 o-196/u+150 TBL 40%
33-49
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
42%
17-24
50%
2-2
57%
47-35
 2.16 1.22 / 0.94
BOS 31%
25-57
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
20%
8-33
50%
2-2
61%
50-32
 1.98 0.87 / 1.11
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 2.5 o+154/u-200 TBL 33%
27-55
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
32%
13-28
75%
3-1
39%
29-46
 2.10 1.18 / 0.91
BOS 42%
34-48
20%
1-4
60%
6-4
37%
15-26
75%
3-1
53%
39-34
 2.15 0.93 / 1.22
Team Comparison '25-26
TBLBOS
Record (W-L-OTL)50-26-645-27-10
Points %64.6%61.0%
Goals for / game3.543.32
Goals against / game2.823.05
Shots for / game28.127.0
Shots against / game26.729.7
Power play %20.7%23.4%
Penalty kill %82.6%77.0%
Faceoff %47.3%53.1%
1st period GF / GA0.96 / 0.930.99 / 0.84
2nd period GF / GA1.22 / 0.841.01 / 0.99
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 0.981.17 / 1.10
Avg game total6.356.37
Starting Goalies from the box score
30 saves on 33 shots · 3 GA · W
19 saves on 23 shots · 4 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL2200230/2
BOS0300330/5
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+155
 41% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+275
 23% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+150
 46% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+150
 39% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1100
 5% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+500
 12% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+210
 35% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+450
 12% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Conor Geekie G 0.5
o+500
 15% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+500
 17% 10% 67%2/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+325
 30% 10% 50%2/4 2 O
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+750
 9% 10% 50%1/2 1 O
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1600
 1% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1200
 4% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Mitchell Chaffee G 0.5
o+575
 18% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1200
 4% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Curtis Douglas G 0.5
o+650
 0% — — 0 U
Max Crozier G 0.5
o+1200
 0% — — 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 46% 60% 25%1/4 1 O
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 70% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 54% 50% 100%3/3 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 63% 50% 0%0/4 2 O
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 69% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+165 / u-225
 42% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 49% 40% 50%2/4 2 O
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 47% 50% 100%3/3 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 67% 50% 75%3/4 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 36% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 31% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 50% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 38% 30% 0%0/4 2 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 30% 30% 0%0/4 1 O
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 69% 60% 100%4/4 1 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 65% 60% 75%3/4 1 U
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 64% 60% 75%3/4 2 O
Victor Hedman SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 65% 50% 67%2/3 2 O
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 45% 50% 50%2/4 1 U
Brayden Point SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 73% 40% 67%2/3 4 O
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-190
 50% 40% 100%4/4 1 U
Jonas Johansson SV 22.5
o-130 / u-105
 67% 60% — 30 O
BOSPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Morgan Geekie G 0.5
o+195
 39% 70% 0%0/4 1 O
Elias Lindholm G 0.5
o+250
 21% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
David Pastrnak G 0.5
o+120
 42% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Tanner Jeannot G 0.5
o+650
 10% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Casey Mittelstadt G 0.5
o+375
 19% 30% 0%0/4 1 O
Sean Kuraly G 0.5
o+650
 7% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Viktor Arvidsson G 0.5
o+375
 22% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Charlie McAvoy G 0.5
o+475
 12% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Michael Eyssimont G 0.5
o+500
 12% 20% — 0 U
Mark Kastelic G 0.5
o+750
 7% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Fraser Minten G 0.5
o+475
 14% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Pavel Zacha G 0.5
o+300
 16% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Marat Khusnutdinov G 0.5
o+700
 7% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Nikita Zadorov G 0.5
o+900
 5% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Andrew Peeke G 0.5
o+1300
 1% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Henri Jokiharju G 0.5
o+1000
 5% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jordan Harris G 0.5
o+1750
 3% 0% 0%0/1 1 O
Mason Lohrei G 0.5
o+900
 7% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Elias Lindholm PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 44% 90% 50%2/4 0 U
Morgan Geekie PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 53% 80% 0%0/4 1 O
David Pastrnak PTS 1.5
o+160 / u-220
 35% 70% 25%1/4 1 U
Charlie McAvoy PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 40% 50% 0%0/1 0 U
Pavel Zacha PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 43% 40% 25%1/4 2 O
Casey Mittelstadt PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 38% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Viktor Arvidsson PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 34% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Mason Lohrei PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 35% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
David Pastrnak A 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 56% 90% 50%2/4 1 O
Elias Lindholm A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 32% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
Morgan Geekie A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 26% 50% 0%0/4 0 U
Pavel Zacha A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 34% 30% 25%1/4 2 O
Charlie McAvoy A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 32% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Mason Lohrei A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 30% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Viktor Arvidsson A 0.5
o+350 / u-525
 13% 0% 0%0/1 1 O
Casey Mittelstadt A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 25% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Elias Lindholm SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 50% 80% 75%3/4 2 O
Viktor Arvidsson SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+140
 70% 80% 0%0/1 4 O
Charlie McAvoy SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 62% 50% 0%0/1 3 O
Morgan Geekie SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 58% 50% 25%1/4 2 O
David Pastrnak SOG 3.5
o-120 / u-115
 57% 20% 75%3/4 5 O
Joonas Korpisalo SV 22.5
o-115 / u-115
 54% 50% — 19 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Mar 15, 2025 at BOS BOS 2–6 1–10–31–2 8 5.5 O TBL
Mar 8, 2025 at TBL BOS 4–0 0–01–03–0 4 5.5 U BOS
Jan 14, 2025 at BOS BOS 6–2 2–02–22–0 8 5.5 O BOS
Jan 9, 2025 at TBL BOS 1–4 0–00–21–2 5 6 U TBL
Mar 27, 2024 at TBL BOS 1–3 1–10–10–1 4 — TBL
Feb 13, 2024 at BOS BOS 2–3 SO 0–12–10–0 5 — TBL
Jan 6, 2024 at BOS BOS 7–3 2–12–23–0 10 — BOS
Nov 20, 2023 at TBL BOS 4–5 OT 1–10–13–2 9 — TBL
Mar 25, 2023 at BOS BOS 2–1 1–11–00–0 3 — BOS
Jan 26, 2023 at TBL BOS 2–3 0–11–01–2 5 — TBL