← Stats / WSH @ BUF

WSH @ BUF

Saturday, November 1, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Washington Capitals
43-30-9 · Away
3 – 4
FINAL / SO
Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
WSH +110 · BUF -130
Puck Line
WSH +1.5 (-230) · BUF -1.5 (+175)
Total
O 6.5 (-105) · U (-115)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · BUF -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 WSHo6.5 18%
2-9
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
0%
0-4
67%
2-1
36%
4-7
BUFo6.5 46%
5-6
80%
4-1
50%
5-5
43%
3-4
67%
2-1
46%
5-6
Puck Line
cover %
 WSH+1.5 73%
8-3
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
100%
4-0
67%
2-1
+2.44u
6-5
BUF-1.5 36%
4-7
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
57%
4-3
33%
1-2
-2.38u
5-6
Moneyline
win %
 WSH dog +110 55%
6-5
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
-0.09u
1-1
BUF fav -130 36%
4-7
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
57%
4-3
67%
2-1
-1.17u
1-2
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-152/u+120 WSH 18%
2-9
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
25%
1-3
100%
3-0
18%
2-9
 0.82 0.36 / 0.45
BUF 46%
5-6
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
43%
3-4
100%
3-0
46%
5-6
 1.55 0.55 / 1.00
2nd Period
over 2.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 2.5 o+154/u-200 FD 1.5 o-196/u+150 WSH 18%
2-9
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
55%
6-5
 1.73 0.91 / 0.82
BUF 27%
3-8
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
43%
3-4
67%
2-1
55%
6-5
 2.18 1.36 / 0.82
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+152/u-200 WSH 36%
4-7
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
64%
7-4
 2.18 1.18 / 1.00
BUF 27%
3-8
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
29%
2-5
33%
1-2
40%
4-6
 2.18 1.09 / 1.09
Team Comparison '25-26
WSHBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)43-30-950-23-9
Points %57.9%66.5%
Goals for / game3.213.51
Goals against / game2.982.94
Shots for / game28.028.1
Shots against / game28.129.1
Power play %17.8%19.5%
Penalty kill %80.1%81.9%
Faceoff %49.3%45.9%
1st period GF / GA0.83 / 0.761.02 / 0.94
2nd period GF / GA1.06 / 1.021.16 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA1.24 / 1.091.23 / 1.01
Avg game total6.186.45
Starting Goalies from the box score
21 saves on 24 shots · 3 GA · OTL
31 saves on 34 shots · 3 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
WSH2100340/4
BUF3000240/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
WSHPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tom Wilson G 0.5
o+190
 55% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Jakob Chychrun G 0.5
o+375
 27% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Aliaksei Protas G 0.5
o+250
 27% 30% 67%2/3 1 O
Ryan Leonard G 0.5
o+325
 27% 30% — 0 U
Alex Ovechkin G 0.5
o+155
 18% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
John Carlson G 0.5
o+550
 18% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Nic Dowd G 0.5
o+650
 9% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Trevor van Riemsdyk G 0.5
o+1600
 11% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Dylan Strome G 0.5
o+250
 11% 10% 33%1/3 1 O
Anthony Beauvillier G 0.5
o+400
 9% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Martin Fehérváry G 0.5
o+1100
 9% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Connor McMichael G 0.5
o+260
 9% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Justin Sourdif G 0.5
o+575
 9% 10% — 0 U
Matt Roy G 0.5
o+1100
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Brandon Duhaime G 0.5
o+700
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Declan Chisholm G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Hendrix Lapierre G 0.5
o+600
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Sonny Milano G 0.5
o+475
 0% — — 1 O
Tom Wilson PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 73% 70% 100%3/3 1 O
John Carlson PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 55% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Dylan Strome PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+130
 56% 60% 100%3/3 1 O
Alex Ovechkin PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 46% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Jakob Chychrun PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 55% 50% 100%3/3 0 U
Aliaksei Protas PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 55% 50% 67%2/3 1 O
Ryan Leonard PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 46% 50% — 1 O
Connor McMichael PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 18% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Dylan Strome A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 56% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Alex Ovechkin A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 46% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
John Carlson A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 46% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Tom Wilson A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 36% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Aliaksei Protas A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 36% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Jakob Chychrun A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 27% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Connor McMichael A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 18% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Ryan Leonard A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 18% 20% — 1 O
John Carlson SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 73% 70% 33%1/3 1 U
Connor McMichael SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 73% 70% 33%1/3 2 O
Jakob Chychrun SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-130
 64% 60% 100%3/3 5 O
Aliaksei Protas SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+135
 64% 60% 100%3/3 2 O
Ryan Leonard SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 64% 60% — 1 U
Tom Wilson SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 55% 50% 100%3/3 1 U
Dylan Strome SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 44% 40% 100%3/3 6 O
Alex Ovechkin SOG 3.5
o+135 / u-180
 0% 0% 50%1/2 3 U
Charlie Lindgren SV 23.5
o-130 / u-105
 42% 40% 100%1/1 21 U
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+210
 36% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+250
 27% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+120
 27% 30% 67%2/3 1 O
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+260
 27% 30% 100%1/1 0 U
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+325
 27% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+400
 18% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+325
 18% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1200
 11% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+400
 9% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Michael Kesselring G 0.5
o+1000
 9% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+900
 9% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+800
 10% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+450
 9% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+700
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+600
 0% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Josh Dunne G 0.5
o+750
 20% — — 0 U
Isak Rosen G 0.5
o+550
 0% — — 1 O
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 64% 70% 67%2/3 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+120
 64% 70% 50%1/2 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 55% 60% 100%3/3 1 O
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 46% 50% 67%2/3 1 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 46% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 46% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 46% 50% 100%1/1 1 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-240
 40% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Jiri Kulich PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 36% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 27% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Jordan Greenway PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 24% 0% 100%1/1 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 64% 70% 50%1/2 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 55% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 36% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 36% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 27% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 30% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 18% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 18% 20% 50%1/2 1 O
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 18% 20% 100%1/1 1 O
Jiri Kulich A 0.5
o+325 / u-500
 18% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Jordan Greenway A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 15% 0% 100%1/1 1 O
Alex Tuch SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 73% 70% 67%2/3 2 O
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o-125 / u-105
 73% 70% 67%2/3 4 O
Josh Doan SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 64% 70% 0%0/1 2 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 64% 60% 0%0/2 0 U
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 55% 60% 100%2/2 0 U
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 55% 50% 67%2/3 1 U
Jiri Kulich SOG 1.5
o-130 / u-105
 46% 40% 33%1/3 1 U
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 22.5
o-125 / u-105
 58% 40% 100%2/2 31 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Mar 30, 2025 at WSH BUF 8–5 1–13–14–3 13 6.5 O BUF
Jan 6, 2025 at BUF BUF 4–3 SO 1–12–10–1 7 6 O BUF
Dec 14, 2024 at WSH BUF 2–4 1–11–10–2 6 6 P WSH
Apr 11, 2024 at BUF BUF 4–2 1–01–12–1 6 — BUF
Apr 2, 2024 at BUF BUF 6–2 2–11–13–0 8 — BUF
Nov 22, 2023 at WSH BUF 3–4 OT 2–11–10–1 7 — WSH
Mar 15, 2023 at WSH BUF 4–5 SO 3–10–01–3 9 — WSH
Feb 26, 2023 at BUF BUF 7–4 2–24–21–0 11 — BUF
Jan 3, 2023 at WSH BUF 5–4 OT 2–11–11–2 9 — BUF
Mar 25, 2022 at BUF BUF 3–4 SO 1–12–20–0 7 — WSH