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TBL @ WSH

Saturday, November 22, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · Away
5 – 3
FINAL
Washington Capitals
43-30-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL +105 · WSH -125
Puck Line
TBL +1.5 (-230) · WSH -1.5 (+175)
Total
O 6.5 (+100) · U (-120)

Graded: total 8 → OVER W · WSH -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 TBLo6.5 40%
8-12
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
33%
3-6
20%
1-4
45%
9-11
WSHo6.5 38%
8-13
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
36%
4-7
20%
1-4
48%
10-11
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL+1.5 85%
17-3
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
100%
9-0
100%
5-0
-6.78u
8-12
WSH-1.5 38%
8-13
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
36%
4-7
0%
0-5
+3.73u
12-9
Moneyline
win %
 TBL dog +105 55%
11-9
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
56%
5-4
60%
3-2
+0.25u
3-3
WSH fav -125 52%
11-10
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
55%
6-5
40%
2-3
+0.98u
8-5
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-136/u+108 TBL 55%
11-9
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
56%
5-4
40%
2-3
55%
11-9
 2.00 1.10 / 0.90
WSH 43%
9-12
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
27%
3-8
40%
2-3
43%
9-12
 1.57 0.71 / 0.86
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-182/u+142 TBL 45%
9-11
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
33%
3-6
20%
1-4
30%
6-14
 1.55 0.75 / 0.80
WSH 57%
12-9
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
64%
7-4
20%
1-4
57%
12-9
 2.00 1.24 / 0.76
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+160/u-210 TBL 35%
7-13
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
33%
3-6
40%
2-3
55%
11-9
 2.10 1.05 / 1.05
WSH 33%
7-14
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
36%
4-7
40%
2-3
57%
12-9
 2.24 1.24 / 1.00
Team Comparison '25-26
TBLWSH
Record (W-L-OTL)50-26-643-30-9
Points %64.6%57.9%
Goals for / game3.543.21
Goals against / game2.822.98
Shots for / game28.128.0
Shots against / game26.728.1
Power play %20.7%17.8%
Penalty kill %82.6%80.1%
Faceoff %47.3%49.3%
1st period GF / GA0.96 / 0.930.83 / 0.76
2nd period GF / GA1.22 / 0.841.06 / 1.02
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 0.981.24 / 1.09
Avg game total6.356.18
Starting Goalies from the box score
29 saves on 32 shots · 3 GA · W
2 saves on 6 shots · 4 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL4010161/3
WSH1110320/6
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+160
 45% 60% 40%2/5 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+195
 32% 50% 40%2/5 2 O
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+160
 39% 40% 0%0/5 1 O
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+275
 31% 30% 0%0/4 1 O
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+600
 23% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Nick Paul G 0.5
o+300
 28% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1300
 10% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+550
 15% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+185
 15% 10% 60%3/5 0 U
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+600
 14% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+475
 5% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Dominic James G 0.5
o+475
 9% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+300
 5% 0% 0%0/3 1 O
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Charle-Edouard D'Astous G 0.5
o+1200
 8% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Curtis Douglas G 0.5
o+850
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1100
 6% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Declan Carlile G 0.5
o+1600
 33% — — 0 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 70% 70% 60%3/5 1 O
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 47% 60% 60%3/5 4 O
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 50% 50% 50%2/4 2 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 30% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Nick Paul PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 46% 30% 100%2/2 0 U
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 45% 30% 80%4/5 0 U
Darren Raddysh PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 36% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+180 / u-250
 33% 20% 0%0/5 3 O
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 44% 40% 80%4/5 2 O
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 37% 40% 40%2/5 2 O
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+145 / u-190
 35% 30% 40%2/5 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 25% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Darren Raddysh A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 29% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 25% 30% 50%2/4 1 O
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 35% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Nick Paul A 0.5
o+325 / u-500
 22% 10% 100%2/2 0 U
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 68% 70% 60%3/5 5 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 45% 60% 33%1/3 2 O
Darren Raddysh SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 64% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 3.5
o+130 / u-175
 44% 50% 20%1/5 2 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-150
 50% 50% 20%1/5 1 U
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-190
 40% 50% 40%2/5 0 U
Jonas Johansson SV 24.5
o-105 / u-125
 80% 70% — 29 O
WSHPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Ovechkin G 0.5
o+135
 38% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Tom Wilson G 0.5
o+185
 43% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Dylan Strome G 0.5
o+225
 21% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Brandon Duhaime G 0.5
o+700
 14% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
John Carlson G 0.5
o+600
 20% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Sonny Milano G 0.5
o+500
 20% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Anthony Beauvillier G 0.5
o+350
 14% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Jakob Chychrun G 0.5
o+350
 24% 20% 20%1/5 1 O
Rasmus Sandin G 0.5
o+900
 13% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Aliaksei Protas G 0.5
o+275
 24% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Trevor van Riemsdyk G 0.5
o+1750
 6% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Matt Roy G 0.5
o+1000
 5% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Connor McMichael G 0.5
o+325
 10% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Justin Sourdif G 0.5
o+450
 10% 10% 0%0/2 1 O
Ethen Frank G 0.5
o+550
 10% 10% 0%0/2 1 O
Ryan Leonard G 0.5
o+325
 19% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Martin Fehérváry G 0.5
o+1200
 5% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Hendrix Lapierre G 0.5
o+700
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Alex Ovechkin PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 57% 70% 25%1/4 0 U
John Carlson PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 65% 70% 60%3/5 0 U
Jakob Chychrun PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 62% 70% 40%2/5 2 O
Tom Wilson PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 67% 60% 40%2/5 1 O
Dylan Strome PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 58% 60% 40%2/5 0 U
Connor McMichael PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 29% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Aliaksei Protas PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 48% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Ryan Leonard PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 43% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Anthony Beauvillier PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 24% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
John Carlson A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 55% 60% 20%1/5 0 U
Jakob Chychrun A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 38% 50% 20%1/5 1 O
Alex Ovechkin A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 43% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Dylan Strome A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 47% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Connor McMichael A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 29% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Tom Wilson A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 33% 30% 40%2/5 1 O
Ryan Leonard A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 24% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Aliaksei Protas A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 29% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Anthony Beauvillier A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 10% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Jakob Chychrun SOG 2.5
o-135 / u+105
 71% 80% 60%3/5 2 U
Tom Wilson SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+145
 62% 70% 100%5/5 2 O
Anthony Beauvillier SOG 1.5
o-130 / u-105
 62% 70% 50%2/4 0 U
Connor McMichael SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 71% 70% 80%4/5 3 O
Alex Ovechkin SOG 2.5
o-180 / u+110
 52% 60% 75%3/4 4 O
Aliaksei Protas SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 62% 60% 80%4/5 0 U
John Carlson SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 60% 50% 60%3/5 3 O
Ryan Leonard SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 57% 50% 0%0/2 3 O
Dylan Strome SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 37% 30% 80%4/5 2 O
Logan Thompson SV 22.5
o-115 / u-115
 43% 50% 0%0/3 2 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Nov 8, 2025 at TBL WSH 2–3 1–21–00–1 5 5.5 U TBL
Oct 14, 2025 at WSH WSH 3–2 OT 0–11–01–1 5 5.5 U WSH
Mar 1, 2025 at WSH WSH 1–3 0–10–01–2 4 6.5 U TBL
Nov 27, 2024 at TBL WSH 5–4 0–22–13–1 9 6.5 O WSH
Oct 26, 2024 at TBL WSH 0–3 0–00–10–2 3 6.5 U TBL
Apr 13, 2024 at WSH WSH 4–2 2–20–02–0 6 — WSH
Feb 22, 2024 at TBL WSH 5–3 2–01–12–2 8 — WSH
Dec 23, 2023 at WSH WSH 1–2 SO 0–11–00–0 3 — TBL
Mar 30, 2023 at TBL WSH 1–5 0–21–00–3 6 — TBL
Nov 13, 2022 at TBL WSH 3–6 0–41–02–2 9 — TBL