← Stats / BUF @ EDM

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

50-23-9 · Away
4 – 3
FINAL / OT
41-30-11 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +175 · EDM -225
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-130) · EDM -1.5 (+105)
Total
O 6.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · EDM -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
BUFo6.5 48%
14-15
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
62%
8-5
0%
0-3
48%
14-15
EDMo6.5 55%
16-13
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
75%
9-3
0%
0-3
59%
17-12
Puck Line
cover %
BUF+1.5 52%
15-14
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
31%
4-9
100%
3-0
-7.49u
12-17
EDM-1.5 24%
7-22
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
33%
4-8
0%
0-3
-7.14u
11-18
Moneyline
win %
BUF dog +175 38%
11-18
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
15%
2-11
67%
2-1
-3.05u
7-12
EDM fav -225 45%
13-16
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
58%
7-5
33%
1-2
-4.53u
11-11
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
DK 1.5 o-160/u+124 FD 1.5 o-166/u+130 BUF 59%
17-12
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
69%
9-4
33%
1-2
59%
17-12
2.00 0.86 / 1.14
EDM 48%
14-15
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
75%
9-3
33%
1-2
48%
14-15
1.76 0.93 / 0.83
2nd Period
over 2.5 (DraftKings)
DK 2.5 o+130/u-166 FD 2.5 o+146/u-190 BUF 28%
8-21
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
23%
3-10
67%
2-1
52%
15-14
2.10 1.10 / 1.00
EDM 48%
14-15
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
58%
7-5
67%
2-1
62%
18-11
2.48 1.17 / 1.31
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
FD 2.5 o+134/u-172 BUF 35%
10-19
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
39%
5-8
0%
0-3
39%
11-17
2.24 0.97 / 1.28
EDM 35%
10-19
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
50%
6-6
0%
0-3
59%
17-12
2.24 1.03 / 1.21
Team Comparison '25-26
BUFEDM
Record (W-L-OTL)50-23-941-30-11
Points %66.5%56.7%
Goals for / game3.513.44
Goals against / game2.943.28
Shots for / game28.129.7
Shots against / game29.126.7
Power play %19.5%30.6%
Penalty kill %81.9%77.8%
Faceoff %45.9%52.7%
1st period GF / GA1.02 / 0.941.00 / 0.95
2nd period GF / GA1.16 / 0.881.22 / 1.09
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 1.011.11 / 1.11
Avg game total6.456.72
Starting Goalies from the box score
6 saves on 6 shots · 0 GA
24 saves on 28 shots · 4 GA · OTL
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF1201282/6
EDM0030300/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+165
41% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+210
35% 30% 67%2/3 1 O
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+250
20% 30% 33%1/3 DNP
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+700
21% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+325
17% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+700
11% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1000
15% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+275
21% 20% 0%0/2 2 O
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+600
7% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+2500
5% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+425
14% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+450
8% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+850
11% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1300
0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+500
0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+800
10% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+400
0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
80% 70% 67%2/3 DNP
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
59% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
48% 60% 0%0/2 2 O
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
55% 50% 67%2/3 3 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
54% 50% 33%1/3 3 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
35% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-210
35% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+190 / u-260
41% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
44% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
80% 60% 33%1/3 DNP
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-110 / u-120
54% 50% 33%1/3 3 O
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
28% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
31% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
38% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
24% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
44% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
31% 20% 0%0/3 2 O
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
24% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-175 / u+130
69% 60% 100%3/3 4 O
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
59% 60% 67%2/3 2 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
54% 50% 33%1/3 4 O
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
62% 50% 0%0/2 5 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
35% 40% 67%2/3 2 U
Josh Norris SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-135
80% 40% 33%1/3 DNP
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
50% 40% 50%1/2 2 O
Colten Ellis SV 25.5
o-105 / u-125
71% — 100%1/1 6 U
EDMPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Leon Draisaitl G 0.5
o+120
52% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Connor McDavid G 0.5
o+140
31% 40% 0%0/2 2 O
Matt Savoie G 0.5
o+300
17% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Zach Hyman G 0.5
o+175
20% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins G 0.5
o+240
30% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Evan Bouchard G 0.5
o+375
17% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Vasily Podkolzin G 0.5
o+400
17% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
David Tomasek G 0.5
o+550
16% 20% — 0 U
Mattias Ekholm G 0.5
o+650
7% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Mattias Janmark G 0.5
o+650
8% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Darnell Nurse G 0.5
o+600
10% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Curtis Lazar G 0.5
o+800
15% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Trent Frederic G 0.5
o+575
7% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Adam Henrique G 0.5
o+425
7% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Brett Kulak G 0.5
o+1100
0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Andrew Mangiapane G 0.5
o+475
14% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Alec Regula G 0.5
o+1100
0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Ty Emberson G 0.5
o+1300
4% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
70% 70% 50%1/2 1 O
Evan Bouchard PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
59% 70% 67%2/3 1 O
Zach Hyman PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
50% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Leon Draisaitl PTS 1.5
o+135 / u-185
38% 50% 33%1/3 1 U
Connor McDavid PTS 1.5
o+105 / u-140
48% 50% 0%0/2 2 O
Mattias Ekholm PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
35% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Darnell Nurse PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
24% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Leon Draisaitl A 0.5
o-150 / u+110
55% 90% 67%2/3 1 O
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins A 0.5
o-105 / u-130
55% 60% 0%0/2 1 O
Connor McDavid A 0.5
o-220 / u+160
62% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Evan Bouchard A 0.5
o-115 / u-115
48% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
Mattias Ekholm A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
35% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Zach Hyman A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
40% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Darnell Nurse A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
14% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Mattias Ekholm SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
59% 70% 100%2/2 3 O
Darnell Nurse SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
62% 60% 100%3/3 3 O
Leon Draisaitl SOG 2.5
o-125 / u-110
48% 60% 67%2/3 7 O
Connor McDavid SOG 2.5
o-175 / u+130
62% 50% 0%0/2 6 O
Zach Hyman SOG 2.5
o-130 / u-105
40% 40% 33%1/3 2 U
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
50% 40% 100%2/2 2 O
Evan Bouchard SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
52% 30% 100%3/3 2 U
Stuart Skinner SV 22.5
o-115 / u-115
43% 50% 67%2/3 24 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Nov 17, 2025 at BUF EDM 1–5 0–11–20–2 6 6.5 U BUF
Mar 10, 2025 at BUF EDM 2–3 0–12–10–1 5 6.5 U BUF
Jan 25, 2025 at EDM EDM 3–2 1–11–11–0 5 6.5 U EDM
Mar 21, 2024 at EDM EDM 8–3 1–22–15–0 11 — EDM
Mar 9, 2024 at BUF EDM 2–3 SO 2–10–00–1 5 — BUF
Mar 6, 2023 at BUF EDM 3–2 1–11–01–1 5 — EDM
Oct 18, 2022 at EDM EDM 2–4 1–10–21–1 6 — BUF
Mar 17, 2022 at EDM EDM 6–1 2–02–02–1 7 — EDM
Nov 12, 2021 at BUF EDM 2–3 0–02–30–0 5 — BUF
Jan 2, 2020 at BUF EDM 2–3 OT 2–10–00–1 5 — BUF