MTL @ FLA
Tuesday, December 30, 2025 · 6:00 PM CTHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
MTL +105 · FLA -125
Puck Line
MTL +1.5 (-230) · FLA -1.5 (+175)
Total
O 6.5 (+100) · U (-120)
Graded: total 5 → OVER L · FLA -1.5 L
Betting Trends Season
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 6.5 | MTL | o6.5 | 61% 23-15 | 60% 3-2 | 50% 5-5 | 67% 12-6 | 0% 0-4 | 63% 24-14 |
| FLA | o6.5 | 53% 20-18 | 80% 4-1 | 70% 7-3 | 48% 11-12 | 0% 0-4 | 58% 22-16 | |
| Puck Line cover % | MTL | +1.5 | 79% 30-8 | 100% 5-0 | 80% 8-2 | 89% 16-2 | 100% 4-0 | -4.13u 20-18 |
| FLA | -1.5 | 29% 11-27 | 40% 2-3 | 40% 4-6 | 26% 6-17 | 0% 0-4 | -12.84u 13-25 | |
| Moneyline win % | MTL dog | +105 | 53% 20-18 | 60% 3-2 | 50% 5-5 | 56% 10-8 | 100% 4-0 | +0.60u 10-11 |
| FLA fav | -125 | 55% 21-17 | 60% 3-2 | 70% 7-3 | 57% 13-10 | 0% 0-4 | -5.94u 13-14 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 1.5 |
DK 1.5 o-140/u+110 FD 1.5 o-144/u+114 | MTL | 61% 23-15 | 80% 4-1 | 70% 7-3 | 56% 10-8 | 75% 3-1 | 61% 23-15 | 1.79 | 0.97 / 0.82 |
| FLA | 42% 16-22 | 40% 2-3 | 50% 5-5 | 44% 10-13 | 75% 3-1 | 42% 16-22 | 1.79 | 0.87 / 0.92 | ||
| 2nd Period over 1.5 |
DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-190/u+148 | MTL | 71% 27-11 | 40% 2-3 | 70% 7-3 | 67% 12-6 | 50% 2-2 | 63% 24-14 | 2.29 | 0.97 / 1.32 |
| FLA | 63% 24-14 | 40% 2-3 | 70% 7-3 | 65% 15-8 | 50% 2-2 | 63% 24-14 | 2.08 | 1.08 / 1.00 | ||
| 3rd Period over 1.5 |
FD 2.5 o+152/u-196 | MTL | 68% 26-12 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 67% 12-6 | 25% 1-3 | 60% 22-15 | 2.32 | 1.21 / 1.11 |
| FLA | 76% 29-9 | 80% 4-1 | 70% 7-3 | 78% 18-5 | 25% 1-3 | 68% 26-12 | 2.45 | 1.24 / 1.21 |
Team Comparison '25-26
| MTL | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 48-24-10 | 40-38-4 |
| Points % | 64.6% | 51.2% |
| Goals for / game | 3.45 | 3.06 |
| Goals against / game | 3.12 | 3.37 |
| Shots for / game | 26.3 | 28.0 |
| Shots against / game | 27.8 | 26.8 |
| Power play % | 23.1% | 19.5% |
| Penalty kill % | 78.2% | 81.0% |
| Faceoff % | 50.9% | 46.6% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 0.91 / 0.85 | 0.93 / 0.90 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 1.20 / 1.11 | 0.84 / 1.11 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 1.17 / 1.04 | 1.20 / 1.30 |
| Avg game total | 6.57 | 6.43 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
MTL · Samuel Montembeault
28 saves on 30 shots · 2 GA · W
FLA · Daniil Tarasov
26 saves on 29 shots · 3 GA · OTL
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 1/4 |
| FLA | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 1/4 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| MTL | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Demidov | G | 0.5 o+225 |
26% | 40% | — | 0 U |
| Nick Suzuki | G | 0.5 o+225 |
26% | 30% | 50%2/4 | 2 O |
| Alexandre Texier | G | 0.5 o+400 |
13% | 30% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | G | 0.5 o+525 |
16% | 30% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Zachary Bolduc | G | 0.5 o+350 |
24% | 30% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Oliver Kapanen | G | 0.5 o+260 |
29% | 30% | — | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | G | 0.5 o+210 |
32% | 30% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Josh Anderson | G | 0.5 o+475 |
16% | 20% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | G | 0.5 o+155 |
34% | 20% | 50%2/4 | 1 O |
| Brendan Gallagher | G | 0.5 o+500 |
5% | 10% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Joseph Veleno | G | 0.5 o+700 |
6% | 10% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Arber Xhekaj | G | 0.5 o+2250 |
3% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Phillip Danault | G | 0.5 o+525 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | G | 0.5 o+800 |
11% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Alexandre Carrier | G | 0.5 o+1400 |
3% | 0% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | G | 0.5 o+600 |
13% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Adam Engstrom | G | 0.5 o+1400 |
0% | — | — | 0 U |
| Nick Suzuki | PTS | 0.5 o-220 / u+160 |
76% | 70% | 50%2/4 | 2 O |
| Lane Hutson | PTS | 0.5 o-180 / u+135 |
66% | 70% | 75%3/4 | 2 O |
| Ivan Demidov | PTS | 0.5 o-150 / u+110 |
63% | 70% | — | 1 O |
| Cole Caufield | PTS | 0.5 o-165 / u+125 |
71% | 60% | 75%3/4 | 2 O |
| Juraj Slafkovský | PTS | 0.5 o-120 / u-110 |
53% | 60% | 100%4/4 | 0 U |
| Oliver Kapanen | PTS | 0.5 o+120 / u-160 |
45% | 50% | — | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | PTS | 0.5 o+130 / u-170 |
47% | 40% | 50%1/2 | 2 O |
| Mike Matheson | PTS | 0.5 o+180 / u-250 |
42% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | A | 0.5 o-150 / u+115 |
55% | 70% | 75%3/4 | 2 O |
| Nick Suzuki | A | 0.5 o-125 / u-105 |
61% | 60% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Ivan Demidov | A | 0.5 o+125 / u-170 |
53% | 60% | — | 1 O |
| Juraj Slafkovský | A | 0.5 o+175 / u-240 |
32% | 50% | 100%4/4 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | A | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
47% | 40% | 50%2/4 | 1 O |
| Mike Matheson | A | 0.5 o+230 / u-325 |
36% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Oliver Kapanen | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
21% | 30% | — | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | A | 0.5 o+180 / u-240 |
37% | 20% | 0%0/2 | 2 O |
| Oliver Kapanen | SOG | 1.5 o-120 / u-110 |
50% | 70% | — | 1 U |
| Nick Suzuki | SOG | 1.5 o-160 / u+120 |
66% | 60% | 75%3/4 | 7 O |
| Noah Dobson | SOG | 1.5 o-130 / u-105 |
58% | 60% | 100%2/2 | 4 O |
| Lane Hutson | SOG | 1.5 o-135 / u+100 |
53% | 60% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | SOG | 1.5 o-160 / u+120 |
58% | 60% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | SOG | 2.5 o-150 / u+115 |
55% | 50% | 75%3/4 | 5 O |
| Ivan Demidov | SOG | 1.5 o-110 / u-120 |
34% | 40% | — | 1 U |
| Samuel Montembeault | SV | 25.5 o-115 / u-115 |
15% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 28 O |
| FLA | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Lundell | G | 0.5 o+210 |
34% | 60% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Brad Marchand | G | 0.5 o+155 |
51% | 50% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Sam Bennett | G | 0.5 o+135 |
32% | 50% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Sam Reinhart | G | 0.5 o+125 |
47% | 40% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Carter Verhaeghe | G | 0.5 o+230 |
27% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Seth Jones | G | 0.5 o+450 |
13% | 10% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Aaron Ekblad | G | 0.5 o+650 |
5% | 10% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| A.J. Greer | G | 0.5 o+500 |
16% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Niko Mikkola | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
3% | 10% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Luke Kunin | G | 0.5 o+800 |
7% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Eetu Luostarinen | G | 0.5 o+325 |
13% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Mackie Samoskevich | G | 0.5 o+275 |
11% | 10% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Jeff Petry | G | 0.5 o+1300 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Gustav Forsling | G | 0.5 o+900 |
3% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Evan Rodrigues | G | 0.5 o+300 |
21% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Jesper Boqvist | G | 0.5 o+700 |
8% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Jack Studnicka | G | 0.5 o+1200 |
0% | 0% | — | 0 U |
| Uvis Balinskis | G | 0.5 o+1300 |
3% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Brad Marchand | PTS | 0.5 o-200 / u+145 |
78% | 80% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Sam Reinhart | PTS | 0.5 o-230 / u+170 |
68% | 80% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Sam Bennett | PTS | 0.5 o-190 / u+140 |
53% | 80% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Seth Jones | PTS | 0.5 o+105 / u-140 |
45% | 60% | 50%2/4 | 1 O |
| Anton Lundell | PTS | 0.5 o-125 / u-110 |
63% | 60% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Mackie Samoskevich | PTS | 0.5 o+110 / u-150 |
42% | 60% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Carter Verhaeghe | PTS | 0.5 o-135 / u+100 |
54% | 50% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Aaron Ekblad | PTS | 0.5 o+150 / u-200 |
30% | 50% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Eetu Luostarinen | PTS | 0.5 o+120 / u-160 |
47% | 50% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Evan Rodrigues | PTS | 0.5 o+140 / u-185 |
42% | 40% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Brad Marchand | A | 0.5 o+115 / u-150 |
46% | 60% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Sam Reinhart | A | 0.5 o+110 / u-150 |
37% | 60% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Seth Jones | A | 0.5 o+145 / u-200 |
37% | 50% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Aaron Ekblad | A | 0.5 o+200 / u-275 |
30% | 50% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Sam Bennett | A | 0.5 o+135 / u-185 |
32% | 50% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Mackie Samoskevich | A | 0.5 o+225 / u-325 |
33% | 50% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Carter Verhaeghe | A | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
41% | 40% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Evan Rodrigues | A | 0.5 o+275 / u-400 |
26% | 40% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Eetu Luostarinen | A | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
37% | 40% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Anton Lundell | A | 0.5 o+175 / u-240 |
40% | 20% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Evan Rodrigues | SOG | 1.5 o-175 / u+130 |
63% | 70% | 50%2/4 | 2 O |
| Anton Lundell | SOG | 1.5 o-185 / u+140 |
61% | 70% | 75%3/4 | 3 O |
| Carter Verhaeghe | SOG | 2.5 o+130 / u-170 |
49% | 50% | 25%1/4 | 1 U |
| Seth Jones | SOG | 1.5 o-175 / u+130 |
55% | 50% | 50%2/4 | 4 O |
| Sam Bennett | SOG | 2.5 o-145 / u+110 |
45% | 50% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Brad Marchand | SOG | 2.5 o-115 / u-115 |
46% | 40% | 25%1/4 | 4 O |
| Sam Reinhart | SOG | 2.5 o-115 / u-115 |
42% | 40% | 25%1/4 | 5 O |
| Mackie Samoskevich | SOG | 2.5 o+125 / u-165 |
33% | 40% | 25%1/4 | 1 U |
| Aaron Ekblad | SOG | 1.5 o+115 / u-155 |
38% | 30% | 100%1/1 | 0 U |
| Eetu Luostarinen | SOG | 1.5 o+125 / u-165 |
37% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 3 O |
| Daniil Tarasov | SV | 21.5 o-105 / u-125 |
64% | 70% | 100%1/1 | 26 O |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | at MTL | FLA 2–3 OT | 1–1 | 1–0 | 0–1 | 5 | 5.5 U | MTL |
| Mar 30, 2025 | at FLA | FLA 2–4 | 1–1 | 1–1 | 0–2 | 6 | 5.5 O | MTL |
| Mar 15, 2025 | at MTL | FLA 1–3 | 0–2 | 1–0 | 0–1 | 4 | 5.5 U | MTL |
| Dec 28, 2024 | at FLA | FLA 0–4 | 0–0 | 0–3 | 0–1 | 4 | 6.5 U | MTL |
| Apr 2, 2024 | at MTL | FLA 3–5 | 2–1 | 0–2 | 1–2 | 8 | — | MTL |
| Feb 29, 2024 | at FLA | FLA 4–3 SO | 1–1 | 1–1 | 1–1 | 7 | — | FLA |
| Dec 30, 2023 | at FLA | FLA 4–1 | 0–0 | 1–1 | 3–0 | 5 | — | FLA |
| Nov 30, 2023 | at MTL | FLA 5–1 | 0–0 | 1–0 | 4–1 | 6 | — | FLA |
| Mar 30, 2023 | at MTL | FLA 5–2 | 1–1 | 2–0 | 2–1 | 7 | — | FLA |
| Mar 16, 2023 | at FLA | FLA 9–5 | 7–3 | 2–1 | 0–1 | 14 | — | FLA |