← Stats / BUF @ DAL

BUF @ DAL

Wednesday, December 31, 2025 · 7:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Away
4 – 1
FINAL
Dallas Stars
50-20-12 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +130 · DAL -150
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-185) · DAL -1.5 (+140)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · DAL -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 BUFo6.5 42%
16-22
0%
0-5
30%
3-7
47%
9-10
0%
0-2
45%
17-21
DALo6.5 46%
18-21
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
37%
7-12
0%
0-2
49%
19-20
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF+1.5 63%
24-14
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
53%
10-9
50%
1-1
-0.58u
19-19
DAL-1.5 31%
12-27
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
32%
6-13
50%
1-1
-9.11u
16-23
Moneyline
win %
 BUF dog +130 53%
20-18
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
42%
8-11
50%
1-1
+1.45u
10-12
DAL fav -150 64%
25-14
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
63%
12-7
50%
1-1
+0.21u
19-12
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-140/u+110 BUF 55%
21-17
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
63%
12-7
0%
0-2
55%
21-17
 1.89 0.84 / 1.05
DAL 49%
19-20
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
47%
9-10
0%
0-2
49%
19-20
 1.51 0.87 / 0.64
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-180/u+140 FD 1.5 o-186/u+144 BUF 74%
28-10
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
74%
14-5
100%
2-0
55%
21-17
 2.13 1.24 / 0.89
DAL 64%
25-14
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
63%
12-7
100%
2-0
64%
25-14
 2.10 1.21 / 0.90
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+156/u-205 BUF 32%
12-26
0%
0-5
30%
3-7
32%
6-13
100%
2-0
38%
14-23
 2.03 0.92 / 1.11
DAL 46%
18-21
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
53%
10-9
100%
2-0
67%
26-13
 2.36 1.38 / 0.97
Team Comparison '25-26
BUFDAL
Record (W-L-OTL)50-23-950-20-12
Points %66.5%68.3%
Goals for / game3.513.40
Goals against / game2.942.76
Shots for / game28.125.3
Shots against / game29.126.2
Power play %19.5%28.6%
Penalty kill %81.9%80.3%
Faceoff %45.9%51.7%
1st period GF / GA1.02 / 0.940.88 / 0.74
2nd period GF / GA1.16 / 0.881.22 / 0.83
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 1.011.16 / 1.04
Avg game total6.456.16
Starting Goalies from the box score
28 saves on 29 shots · 1 GA · W
27 saves on 31 shots · 4 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF0220310/2
DAL1000290/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+160
 45% 60% 50%1/2 2 O
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+475
 22% 40% — 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+350
 16% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+240
 32% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+275
 33% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+475
 12% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+550
 8% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+425
 16% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1000
 14% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+700
 18% 10% 0%0/2 1 O
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+400
 16% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+300
 18% 10% 100%1/1 1 O
Owen Power G 0.5
o+750
 8% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+750
 4% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+750
 8% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Michael Kesselring G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Josh Dunne G 0.5
o+850
 4% 0% — 0 U
Zach Metsa G 0.5
o+2250
 0% — — 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 61% 80% 100%2/2 3 O
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 75% 80% 50%1/2 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 47% 80% 100%2/2 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 56% 70% 0%0/2 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 60% 60% 50%1/2 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 42% 60% 0%0/2 0 U
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 45% 40% 100%1/1 2 O
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 40% 30% 50%1/2 2 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 27% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 34% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 53% 60% 0%0/2 0 U
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 50% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 34% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 34% 40% 100%2/2 1 O
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 38% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 26% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 29% 30% 0%0/1 1 O
Owen Power A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 19% 20% 50%1/2 1 O
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-155 / u+120
 68% 70% 50%1/2 7 O
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 63% 70% 0%0/2 1 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-150
 56% 60% 100%2/2 5 O
Owen Power SOG 1.5
o+120 / u-160
 51% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 38% 50% 50%1/2 2 U
Josh Norris SOG 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 58% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Josh Doan SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-200
 47% 30% 100%1/1 3 O
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 23.5
o-110 / u-120
 27% 30% 100%2/2 28 O
DALPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jamie Benn G 0.5
o+300
 35% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Roope Hintz G 0.5
o+195
 35% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Jason Robertson G 0.5
o+110
 46% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Wyatt Johnston G 0.5
o+140
 41% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Justin Hryckowian G 0.5
o+525
 16% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Mikko Rantanen G 0.5
o+145
 37% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Sam Steel G 0.5
o+375
 15% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Miro Heiskanen G 0.5
o+400
 15% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Oskar Bäck G 0.5
o+800
 10% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Matt Duchene G 0.5
o+350
 14% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Alexander Petrovic G 0.5
o+1600
 5% 10% — 0 U
Esa Lindell G 0.5
o+900
 10% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Nils Lundkvist G 0.5
o+1200
 17% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Ilya Lyubushkin G 0.5
o+1600
 4% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Thomas Harley G 0.5
o+650
 7% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Mavrik Bourque G 0.5
o+350
 13% 10% 0%0/2 1 O
Colin Blackwell G 0.5
o+800
 6% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Radek Faksa G 0.5
o+750
 3% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Miro Heiskanen PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+125
 59% 70% 0%0/2 1 O
Wyatt Johnston PTS 0.5
o-230 / u+170
 67% 70% 50%1/2 0 U
Mikko Rantanen PTS 1.5
o+125 / u-165
 42% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Jamie Benn PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 55% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Esa Lindell PTS 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 33% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Roope Hintz PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 65% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Thomas Harley PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 41% 40% 100%2/2 0 U
Matt Duchene PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 29% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Jason Robertson PTS 1.5
o+165 / u-230
 31% 10% 50%1/2 1 U
Mikko Rantanen A 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 66% 80% 100%3/3 0 U
Miro Heiskanen A 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 49% 60% 0%0/2 1 O
Wyatt Johnston A 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 41% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Esa Lindell A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 26% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Thomas Harley A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 41% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Roope Hintz A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 38% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Jason Robertson A 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 41% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Jamie Benn A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 30% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Matt Duchene A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 21% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Jamie Benn SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 45% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Jason Robertson SOG 3.5
o+115 / u-155
 56% 50% 0%0/2 8 O
Matt Duchene SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 36% 40% 50%1/2 1 U
Mikko Rantanen SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 45% 40% 67%2/3 1 U
Roope Hintz SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 68% 40% 50%1/2 1 U
Miro Heiskanen SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+120
 67% 40% 50%1/2 2 O
Thomas Harley SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 41% 30% 0%0/2 2 O
Wyatt Johnston SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-170
 46% 20% 100%2/2 1 U
Casey DeSmith SV 23.5
o-115 / u-115
 57% 70% 0%0/1 27 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 31, 2024 at DAL DAL 4–2 0–01–13–1 6 6 P DAL
Oct 22, 2024 at BUF DAL 2–4 0–00–22–2 6 6 P BUF
Apr 9, 2024 at DAL DAL 3–2 1–22–00–0 5 — DAL
Feb 6, 2024 at BUF DAL 2–1 1–01–10–0 3 — DAL
Mar 9, 2023 at BUF DAL 10–4 3–12–15–2 14 — DAL
Jan 23, 2023 at DAL DAL 2–3 OT 1–10–01–1 5 — BUF
Feb 27, 2022 at DAL DAL 4–2 1–02–11–1 6 — DAL
Jan 20, 2022 at BUF DAL 5–4 1–22–22–0 9 — DAL
Jan 16, 2020 at DAL DAL 1–4 0–11–10–2 5 — BUF
Oct 14, 2019 at BUF DAL 0–4 0–00–20–2 4 — BUF