MTL @ CAR
Thursday, January 1, 2026 · 6:00 PM CTHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
MTL +140 · CAR -170
Puck Line
MTL +1.5 (-185) · CAR -1.5 (+140)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)
Graded: total 12 → OVER W · CAR -1.5 L
Betting Trends Season
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 6.5 | MTL | o6.5 | 59% 23-16 | 60% 3-2 | 40% 4-6 | 63% 12-7 | 0% 0-3 | 62% 24-15 |
| CAR | o6.5 | 49% 19-20 | 60% 3-2 | 50% 5-5 | 55% 11-9 | 0% 0-3 | 51% 20-19 | |
| Puck Line cover % | MTL | +1.5 | 80% 31-8 | 100% 5-0 | 90% 9-1 | 90% 17-2 | 67% 2-1 | -3.69u 21-18 |
| CAR | -1.5 | 31% 12-27 | 20% 1-4 | 20% 2-8 | 35% 7-13 | 33% 1-2 | -9.60u 14-25 | |
| Moneyline win % | MTL dog | +140 | 54% 21-18 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 58% 11-8 | 67% 2-1 | +1.65u 11-11 |
| CAR fav | -170 | 62% 24-15 | 40% 2-3 | 60% 6-4 | 65% 13-7 | 33% 1-2 | +0.18u 23-12 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 1.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-146/u+114 | MTL | 59% 23-16 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 53% 10-9 | 100% 3-0 | 59% 23-16 | 1.74 | 0.95 / 0.79 |
| CAR | 56% 22-17 | 60% 3-2 | 50% 5-5 | 55% 11-9 | 100% 3-0 | 56% 22-17 | 1.97 | 1.05 / 0.92 | ||
| 2nd Period over 1.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-196/u+150 | MTL | 69% 27-12 | 40% 2-3 | 60% 6-4 | 63% 12-7 | 67% 2-1 | 62% 24-15 | 2.23 | 0.95 / 1.28 |
| CAR | 54% 21-18 | 60% 3-2 | 50% 5-5 | 45% 9-11 | 67% 2-1 | 44% 17-22 | 1.62 | 0.87 / 0.74 | ||
| 3rd Period over 2.5 (FanDuel) |
FD 2.5 o+160/u-210 | MTL | 49% 19-20 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 58% 11-8 | 0% 0-3 | 61% 23-15 | 2.36 | 1.23 / 1.13 |
| CAR | 39% 15-24 | 60% 3-2 | 50% 5-5 | 50% 10-10 | 0% 0-3 | 46% 18-21 | 2.38 | 1.18 / 1.21 |
Team Comparison '25-26
| MTL | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 48-24-10 | 53-22-7 |
| Points % | 64.6% | 68.9% |
| Goals for / game | 3.45 | 3.61 |
| Goals against / game | 3.12 | 2.93 |
| Shots for / game | 26.3 | 32.2 |
| Shots against / game | 27.8 | 23.9 |
| Power play % | 23.1% | 24.9% |
| Penalty kill % | 78.2% | 80.5% |
| Faceoff % | 50.9% | 50.3% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 0.91 / 0.85 | 1.18 / 0.78 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 1.20 / 1.11 | 0.98 / 0.98 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 1.17 / 1.04 | 1.28 / 1.09 |
| Avg game total | 6.57 | 6.54 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
MTL · Jakub Dobes
20 saves on 25 shots · 5 GA · W
CAR · Brandon Bussi
16 saves on 22 shots · 6 GA · L
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 0/1 |
| CAR | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 2/3 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| MTL | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Suzuki | G | 0.5 o+190 |
28% | 40% | 67%2/3 | 1 O |
| Ivan Demidov | G | 0.5 o+250 |
26% | 40% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Alexandre Texier | G | 0.5 o+425 |
12% | 30% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | G | 0.5 o+475 |
15% | 30% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | G | 0.5 o+150 |
36% | 30% | 0%0/3 | 1 O |
| Zachary Bolduc | G | 0.5 o+375 |
23% | 30% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | G | 0.5 o+220 |
31% | 30% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| Josh Anderson | G | 0.5 o+500 |
15% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| Oliver Kapanen | G | 0.5 o+300 |
28% | 20% | — | 1 O |
| Brendan Gallagher | G | 0.5 o+500 |
5% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Joseph Veleno | G | 0.5 o+700 |
6% | 10% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Arber Xhekaj | G | 0.5 o+2000 |
3% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Phillip Danault | G | 0.5 o+525 |
0% | 0% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Alexandre Carrier | G | 0.5 o+1300 |
3% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Jayden Struble | G | 0.5 o+2250 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | G | 0.5 o+575 |
13% | 0% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| Adam Engstrom | G | 0.5 o+1400 |
0% | 0% | — | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | PTS | 0.5 o-180 / u+135 |
67% | 80% | 67%2/3 | 2 O |
| Nick Suzuki | PTS | 0.5 o-240 / u+170 |
77% | 70% | 67%2/3 | 1 O |
| Cole Caufield | PTS | 0.5 o-180 / u+135 |
72% | 70% | 67%2/3 | 1 O |
| Ivan Demidov | PTS | 0.5 o-105 / u-125 |
64% | 70% | 0%0/1 | 2 O |
| Juraj Slafkovský | PTS | 0.5 o-120 / u-110 |
51% | 60% | 67%2/3 | 2 O |
| Noah Dobson | PTS | 0.5 o+125 / u-165 |
49% | 50% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Oliver Kapanen | PTS | 0.5 o+130 / u-175 |
44% | 40% | — | 1 O |
| Lane Hutson | A | 0.5 o-150 / u+110 |
56% | 80% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| Ivan Demidov | A | 0.5 o+180 / u-250 |
54% | 60% | 0%0/1 | 2 O |
| Nick Suzuki | A | 0.5 o-130 / u-105 |
59% | 50% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | A | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
49% | 50% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | A | 0.5 o+175 / u-240 |
31% | 50% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| Noah Dobson | A | 0.5 o+175 / u-240 |
39% | 30% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Oliver Kapanen | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-400 |
21% | 30% | — | 0 U |
| Nick Suzuki | SOG | 1.5 o-160 / u+120 |
67% | 60% | 33%1/3 | 3 O |
| Noah Dobson | SOG | 1.5 o-150 / u+110 |
59% | 60% | 67%2/3 | 1 U |
| Cole Caufield | SOG | 2.5 o-135 / u+100 |
56% | 60% | 0%0/3 | 3 O |
| Oliver Kapanen | SOG | 1.5 o-105 / u-130 |
49% | 60% | — | 1 U |
| Lane Hutson | SOG | 1.5 o+105 / u-135 |
51% | 50% | 0%0/3 | 2 O |
| Juraj Slafkovský | SOG | 1.5 o-140 / u+105 |
56% | 50% | 67%2/3 | 2 O |
| Ivan Demidov | SOG | 1.5 o-105 / u-130 |
33% | 40% | 100%1/1 | 2 O |
| Jakub Dobes | SV | 26.5 o-120 / u-110 |
47% | 50% | — | 20 U |
| CAR | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Blake | G | 0.5 o+240 |
26% | 40% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Jordan Martinook | G | 0.5 o+525 |
17% | 30% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Sebastian Aho | G | 0.5 o+165 |
31% | 30% | 50%1/2 | 2 O |
| Eric Robinson | G | 0.5 o+325 |
27% | 30% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Andrei Svechnikov | G | 0.5 o+170 |
23% | 30% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | G | 0.5 o+230 |
21% | 20% | 0%0/1 | 1 O |
| Jordan Staal | G | 0.5 o+325 |
22% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Taylor Hall | G | 0.5 o+350 |
18% | 10% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Mark Jankowski | G | 0.5 o+550 |
7% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| William Carrier | G | 0.5 o+575 |
9% | 10% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Alexander Nikishin | G | 0.5 o+650 |
11% | 10% | — | 1 O |
| Logan Stankoven | G | 0.5 o+300 |
15% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Mike Reilly | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
4% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Jalen Chatfield | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Sean Walker | G | 0.5 o+650 |
10% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| K'Andre Miller | G | 0.5 o+750 |
3% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | G | 0.5 o+450 |
9% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Joel Nystrom | G | 0.5 o+1200 |
0% | 0% | — | 0 U |
| Andrei Svechnikov | PTS | 0.5 o-165 / u+125 |
44% | 60% | 33%1/3 | 3 O |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | PTS | 0.5 o-135 / u+100 |
54% | 50% | 100%1/1 | 3 O |
| Sebastian Aho | PTS | 0.5 o-185 / u+140 |
64% | 50% | 50%1/2 | 5 O |
| Alexander Nikishin | PTS | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
37% | 50% | — | 2 O |
| Jackson Blake | PTS | 0.5 o-110 / u-120 |
49% | 50% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Jordan Staal | PTS | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
39% | 40% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Logan Stankoven | PTS | 0.5 o+130 / u-170 |
31% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Taylor Hall | PTS | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
39% | 20% | 75%3/4 | 0 U |
| K'Andre Miller | PTS | 0.5 o+160 / u-210 |
32% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | A | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
39% | 40% | 100%1/1 | 2 O |
| Sebastian Aho | A | 0.5 o+115 / u-155 |
46% | 40% | 0%0/2 | 3 O |
| Andrei Svechnikov | A | 0.5 o+140 / u-185 |
31% | 40% | 0%0/3 | 2 O |
| Alexander Nikishin | A | 0.5 o+195 / u-275 |
26% | 40% | — | 1 O |
| Jordan Staal | A | 0.5 o+250 / u-350 |
17% | 30% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Logan Stankoven | A | 0.5 o+250 / u-350 |
23% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| K'Andre Miller | A | 0.5 o+200 / u-275 |
29% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| Jackson Blake | A | 0.5 o+180 / u-250 |
31% | 20% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Taylor Hall | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
26% | 10% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Sean Walker | SOG | 1.5 o-200 / u+145 |
72% | 80% | 33%1/3 | 1 U |
| Logan Stankoven | SOG | 1.5 o-195 / u+145 |
77% | 80% | 50%2/4 | 1 U |
| Andrei Svechnikov | SOG | 2.5 o-120 / u-110 |
51% | 60% | 0%0/3 | 5 O |
| Taylor Hall | SOG | 1.5 o-105 / u-125 |
51% | 40% | 50%2/4 | 2 O |
| Alexander Nikishin | SOG | 1.5 o-125 / u-105 |
53% | 40% | — | 2 O |
| Jackson Blake | SOG | 1.5 o-175 / u+130 |
54% | 40% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Sebastian Aho | SOG | 2.5 o+125 / u-170 |
41% | 30% | 50%1/2 | 3 O |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | SOG | 2.5 o+115 / u-155 |
33% | 10% | 0%0/1 | 2 U |
| Brandon Bussi | SV | 20.5 o-110 / u-120 |
53% | 50% | — | 16 U |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2025 | at MTL | CAR 2–4 | 1–1 | 0–2 | 1–1 | 6 | 5.5 O | MTL |
| Mar 28, 2025 | at CAR | CAR 4–1 | 1–1 | 2–0 | 1–0 | 5 | 5.5 U | CAR |
| Feb 25, 2025 | at MTL | CAR 0–4 | 0–2 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 4 | 5.5 U | MTL |
| Mar 30, 2024 | at MTL | CAR 3–0 | 0–0 | 1–0 | 2–0 | 3 | — | CAR |
| Mar 7, 2024 | at CAR | CAR 4–1 | 1–1 | 1–0 | 2–0 | 5 | — | CAR |
| Dec 28, 2023 | at CAR | CAR 5–3 | 2–2 | 1–0 | 2–1 | 8 | — | CAR |
| Apr 1, 2023 | at MTL | CAR 3–0 | 1–0 | 2–0 | 0–0 | 3 | — | CAR |
| Mar 7, 2023 | at MTL | CAR 4–3 SO | 1–2 | 1–1 | 1–0 | 7 | — | CAR |
| Feb 16, 2023 | at CAR | CAR 6–2 | 2–1 | 0–1 | 4–0 | 8 | — | CAR |
| Mar 31, 2022 | at CAR | CAR 4–0 | 2–0 | 1–0 | 1–0 | 4 | — | CAR |