BUF @ NYR
Thursday, January 8, 2026 · 6:00 PM CTHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF -125 · NYR +105
Puck Line
BUF -1.5 (+180) · NYR +1.5 (-250)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)
Graded: total 7 → OVER W · NYR +1.5 L
Betting Trends Season
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 6.5 | BUF | o6.5 | 42% 17-24 | 20% 1-4 | 20% 2-8 | 43% 9-12 | 50% 2-2 | 44% 18-23 |
| NYR | o6.5 | 27% 12-32 | 20% 1-4 | 30% 3-7 | 21% 4-15 | 50% 2-2 | 36% 16-28 | |
| Puck Line cover % | BUF | -1.5 | 37% 15-26 | 80% 4-1 | 70% 7-3 | 19% 4-17 | 50% 2-2 | +0.26u 21-20 |
| NYR | +1.5 | 71% 31-13 | 60% 3-2 | 70% 7-3 | 58% 11-8 | 50% 2-2 | -7.49u 21-23 | |
| Moneyline win % | BUF fav | -125 | 54% 22-19 | 80% 4-1 | 90% 9-1 | 43% 9-12 | 50% 2-2 | +2.10u 11-6 |
| NYR dog | +105 | 46% 20-24 | 20% 1-4 | 40% 4-6 | 26% 5-14 | 50% 2-2 | -3.05u 9-14 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 2.5 |
DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-138/u+108 | BUF | 22% 9-32 | 40% 2-3 | 20% 2-8 | 24% 5-16 | 25% 1-3 | 56% 23-18 | 1.93 | 0.85 / 1.07 |
| NYR | 18% 8-36 | 0% 0-5 | 0% 0-10 | 16% 3-16 | 25% 1-3 | 43% 19-25 | 1.57 | 0.75 / 0.82 | ||
| 2nd Period over 2.5 |
DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-186/u+144 | BUF | 27% 11-30 | 20% 1-4 | 20% 2-8 | 19% 4-17 | 25% 1-3 | 54% 22-19 | 2.07 | 1.22 / 0.85 |
| NYR | 18% 8-36 | 40% 2-3 | 40% 4-6 | 26% 5-14 | 25% 1-3 | 46% 20-24 | 1.57 | 0.80 / 0.77 | ||
| 3rd Period over 2.5 |
FD 2.5 o+154/u-200 | BUF | 32% 13-28 | 20% 1-4 | 20% 2-8 | 29% 6-15 | 75% 3-1 | 38% 15-25 | 2.07 | 0.95 / 1.12 |
| NYR | 27% 12-32 | 40% 2-3 | 30% 3-7 | 21% 4-15 | 75% 3-1 | 56% 24-19 | 1.93 | 0.93 / 1.00 |
Team Comparison '25-26
| BUF | NYR | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 50-23-9 | 34-39-9 |
| Points % | 66.5% | 47.0% |
| Goals for / game | 3.51 | 2.90 |
| Goals against / game | 2.94 | 3.05 |
| Shots for / game | 28.1 | 25.2 |
| Shots against / game | 29.1 | 28.8 |
| Power play % | 19.5% | 24.7% |
| Penalty kill % | 81.9% | 79.9% |
| Faceoff % | 45.9% | 54.6% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 1.02 / 0.94 | 0.82 / 0.95 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 1.16 / 0.88 | 0.95 / 0.96 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 1.23 / 1.01 | 1.02 / 1.02 |
| Avg game total | 6.45 | 5.95 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
BUF · Colten Ellis
30 saves on 32 shots · 2 GA · W
NYR · Jonathan Quick
16 saves on 20 shots · 4 GA · L
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 1/2 |
| NYR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 0/3 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| BUF | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Zucker | G | 0.5 o+240 |
36% | 50% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Tage Thompson | G | 0.5 o+145 |
46% | 50% | 75%3/4 | 0 U |
| Noah Ostlund | G | 0.5 o+525 |
20% | 40% | — | 0 U |
| Josh Norris | G | 0.5 o+250 |
27% | 30% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Ryan McLeod | G | 0.5 o+450 |
17% | 30% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Peyton Krebs | G | 0.5 o+425 |
7% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | G | 0.5 o+240 |
24% | 30% | 0%0/3 | 1 O |
| Zach Benson | G | 0.5 o+375 |
14% | 30% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | G | 0.5 o+200 |
33% | 20% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Rasmus Dahlin | G | 0.5 o+425 |
11% | 20% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | G | 0.5 o+650 |
20% | 20% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
13% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 1 O |
| Jack Quinn | G | 0.5 o+375 |
15% | 10% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Zach Metsa | G | 0.5 o+2000 |
8% | 10% | — | 0 U |
| Jordan Greenway | G | 0.5 o+750 |
4% | 0% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Beck Malenstyn | G | 0.5 o+850 |
8% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Jacob Bryson | G | 0.5 o+2250 |
4% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | G | 0.5 o+700 |
8% | 0% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | PTS | 0.5 o-105 / u-125 |
59% | 70% | 50%2/4 | 2 O |
| Tage Thompson | PTS | 0.5 o-165 / u+125 |
61% | 70% | 75%3/4 | 1 O |
| Josh Norris | PTS | 0.5 o-110 / u-120 |
73% | 70% | 0%0/3 | 1 O |
| Ryan McLeod | PTS | 0.5 o+150 / u-210 |
46% | 70% | 50%2/4 | 2 O |
| Alex Tuch | PTS | 0.5 o-130 / u-105 |
60% | 60% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Bowen Byram | PTS | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
42% | 50% | 50%2/4 | 1 O |
| Jack Quinn | PTS | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
39% | 50% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | PTS | 0.5 o+165 / u-220 |
33% | 50% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | PTS | 0.5 o-130 / u-105 |
51% | 40% | 67%2/3 | 1 O |
| Josh Doan | PTS | 0.5 o-105 / u-130 |
49% | 40% | 0%0/3 | 1 O |
| Zach Benson | PTS | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
43% | 40% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | A | 0.5 o+170 / u-230 |
40% | 50% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | A | 0.5 o+190 / u-260 |
29% | 50% | 50%2/4 | 1 O |
| Owen Power | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-300 |
25% | 50% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | A | 0.5 o+195 / u-275 |
32% | 40% | 50%2/4 | 1 O |
| Josh Norris | A | 0.5 o+170 / u-230 |
53% | 40% | 0%0/3 | 1 O |
| Ryan McLeod | A | 0.5 o+240 / u-350 |
32% | 40% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Jack Quinn | A | 0.5 o+275 / u-400 |
32% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | A | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
34% | 30% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Rasmus Dahlin | A | 0.5 o+105 / u-140 |
49% | 30% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| Josh Doan | A | 0.5 o+195 / u-275 |
29% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | A | 0.5 o+275 / u-425 |
29% | 10% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | SOG | 1.5 o-130 / u+100 |
63% | 70% | 67%2/3 | 3 O |
| Zach Benson | SOG | 1.5 o-110 / u-120 |
57% | 70% | 67%2/3 | 1 U |
| Jason Zucker | SOG | 1.5 o-160 / u+120 |
55% | 60% | 75%3/4 | 3 O |
| Alex Tuch | SOG | 2.5 o+105 / u-140 |
40% | 60% | 50%2/4 | 1 U |
| Tage Thompson | SOG | 2.5 o-180 / u+135 |
68% | 60% | 75%3/4 | 2 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | SOG | 2.5 o+100 / u-135 |
54% | 50% | 100%3/3 | 3 O |
| Josh Norris | SOG | 1.5 o-105 / u-130 |
53% | 40% | 67%2/3 | 1 U |
| Josh Doan | SOG | 2.5 o+125 / u-170 |
46% | 30% | 0%0/3 | 2 U |
| Colten Ellis | SV | 23.5 o-110 / u-125 |
75% | — | — | 30 O |
| NYR | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Trocheck | G | 0.5 o+200 |
27% | 40% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Artemi Panarin | G | 0.5 o+140 |
30% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Mika Zibanejad | G | 0.5 o+185 |
28% | 20% | 50%2/4 | 1 O |
| J.T. Miller | G | 0.5 o+210 |
23% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Jonny Brodzinski | G | 0.5 o+500 |
14% | 20% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Alexis Lafrenière | G | 0.5 o+250 |
21% | 20% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Vladislav Gavrikov | G | 0.5 o+750 |
16% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Taylor Raddysh | G | 0.5 o+600 |
10% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Matthew Robertson | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
6% | 10% | — | 0 U |
| Braden Schneider | G | 0.5 o+900 |
5% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Will Cuylle | G | 0.5 o+300 |
21% | 10% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Gabe Perreault | G | 0.5 o+475 |
9% | 10% | — | 0 U |
| Sam Carrick | G | 0.5 o+800 |
2% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Carson Soucy | G | 0.5 o+1300 |
8% | 0% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Will Borgen | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
5% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Matt Rempe | G | 0.5 o+850 |
5% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Scott Morrow | G | 0.5 o+850 |
0% | 0% | — | 0 U |
| Anton Blidh | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
0% | — | — | 0 U |
| Vincent Trocheck | PTS | 0.5 o-160 / u+120 |
63% | 70% | 50%2/4 | 1 O |
| Mika Zibanejad | PTS | 0.5 o-185 / u+135 |
58% | 50% | 50%2/4 | 1 O |
| J.T. Miller | PTS | 0.5 o-150 / u+115 |
46% | 50% | 100%3/3 | 1 O |
| Artemi Panarin | PTS | 1.5 o+160 / u-220 |
30% | 50% | 0%0/4 | 2 O |
| Alexis Lafrenière | PTS | 0.5 o+100 / u-135 |
36% | 30% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Will Cuylle | PTS | 0.5 o+125 / u-170 |
41% | 30% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Artemi Panarin | A | 0.5 o-135 / u+100 |
44% | 60% | 100%4/4 | 2 O |
| Mika Zibanejad | A | 0.5 o+110 / u-145 |
40% | 50% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Vincent Trocheck | A | 0.5 o+120 / u-165 |
40% | 40% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| J.T. Miller | A | 0.5 o+130 / u-175 |
26% | 30% | 100%3/3 | 1 O |
| Will Cuylle | A | 0.5 o+240 / u-350 |
27% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Alexis Lafrenière | A | 0.5 o+200 / u-275 |
27% | 20% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Artemi Panarin | SOG | 2.5 o-185 / u+135 |
49% | 80% | 25%1/4 | 4 O |
| J.T. Miller | SOG | 2.5 o+145 / u-190 |
40% | 70% | 33%1/3 | 3 O |
| Alexis Lafrenière | SOG | 1.5 o-155 / u+115 |
64% | 70% | 50%2/4 | 1 U |
| Vincent Trocheck | SOG | 2.5 o+140 / u-190 |
20% | 40% | 50%2/4 | 3 O |
| Will Cuylle | SOG | 1.5 o-160 / u+120 |
57% | 40% | 50%2/4 | 3 O |
| Mika Zibanejad | SOG | 2.5 o+110 / u-150 |
47% | 30% | 75%3/4 | 3 O |
| Jonathan Quick | SV | 24.5 o-105 / u-130 |
50% | 50% | — | 16 U |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | at BUF | NYR 4–0 | 1–0 | 0–0 | 3–0 | 4 | 6.5 U | NYR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | at BUF | NYR 2–8 | 0–5 | 2–0 | 0–3 | 10 | 6.5 O | BUF |
| Dec 11, 2024 | at BUF | NYR 3–2 | 1–0 | 0–0 | 2–2 | 5 | 6 U | NYR |
| Nov 7, 2024 | at NYR | NYR 1–6 | 0–1 | 0–4 | 1–1 | 7 | 6.5 O | BUF |
| Dec 23, 2023 | at NYR | NYR 4–3 OT | 2–1 | 1–1 | 0–1 | 7 | — | NYR |
| Nov 27, 2023 | at NYR | NYR 1–5 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 1–3 | 6 | — | BUF |
| Oct 12, 2023 | at BUF | NYR 5–1 | 2–0 | 1–1 | 2–0 | 6 | — | NYR |
| Apr 10, 2023 | at NYR | NYR 2–3 SO | 0–1 | 2–0 | 0–1 | 5 | — | BUF |
| Mar 31, 2023 | at BUF | NYR 2–3 OT | 0–1 | 1–1 | 1–0 | 5 | — | BUF |
| Mar 11, 2023 | at BUF | NYR 2–1 OT | 0–0 | 1–1 | 0–0 | 3 | — | NYR |