MTL @ BUF
Thursday, January 15, 2026 · 6:00 PM CTHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
MTL -125 · BUF +105
Puck Line
MTL -1.5 (+175) · BUF +1.5 (-230)
Total
O 6.5 (-105) · U (-115)
Graded: total 8 → OVER W · BUF +1.5 W
Betting Trends Season
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 6.5 | MTL | o6.5 | 57% 27-20 | 40% 2-3 | 50% 5-5 | 61% 14-9 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 28-19 |
| BUF | o6.5 | 47% 21-24 | 100% 5-0 | 50% 5-5 | 48% 11-12 | 60% 3-2 | 49% 22-23 | |
| Puck Line cover % | MTL | -1.5 | 30% 14-33 | 60% 3-2 | 40% 4-6 | 22% 5-18 | 80% 4-1 | +0.76u 27-20 |
| BUF | +1.5 | 67% 30-15 | 100% 5-0 | 90% 9-1 | 78% 18-5 | 20% 1-4 | +4.06u 24-21 | |
| Moneyline win % | MTL fav | -125 | 55% 26-21 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 57% 13-10 | 100% 5-0 | -0.73u 12-9 |
| BUF dog | +105 | 56% 25-20 | 80% 4-1 | 80% 8-2 | 65% 15-8 | 0% 0-5 | +1.75u 11-13 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 0.5 |
DK 1.5 o-140/u+110 FD 1.5 o-148/u+116 | MTL | 83% 39-8 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 83% 19-4 | 80% 4-1 | 57% 27-20 | 1.72 | 0.94 / 0.79 |
| BUF | 96% 43-2 | 100% 5-0 | 100% 10-0 | 91% 21-2 | 80% 4-1 | 56% 25-20 | 1.91 | 0.89 / 1.02 | ||
| 2nd Period over 0.5 |
DK 1.5 o-180/u+140 FD 1.5 o-200/u+152 | MTL | 89% 42-5 | 100% 5-0 | 90% 9-1 | 87% 20-3 | 100% 5-0 | 64% 30-17 | 2.30 | 1.04 / 1.26 |
| BUF | 91% 41-4 | 100% 5-0 | 100% 10-0 | 91% 21-2 | 100% 5-0 | 53% 24-21 | 2.07 | 1.24 / 0.82 | ||
| 3rd Period over 0.5 |
FD 2.5 o+148/u-190 | MTL | 89% 42-5 | 100% 5-0 | 90% 9-1 | 87% 20-3 | 80% 4-1 | 57% 26-20 | 2.30 | 1.21 / 1.09 |
| BUF | 87% 39-6 | 100% 5-0 | 90% 9-1 | 87% 20-3 | 80% 4-1 | 43% 19-25 | 2.20 | 1.02 / 1.18 |
Team Comparison '25-26
| MTL | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 48-24-10 | 50-23-9 |
| Points % | 64.6% | 66.5% |
| Goals for / game | 3.45 | 3.51 |
| Goals against / game | 3.12 | 2.94 |
| Shots for / game | 26.3 | 28.1 |
| Shots against / game | 27.8 | 29.1 |
| Power play % | 23.1% | 19.5% |
| Penalty kill % | 78.2% | 81.9% |
| Faceoff % | 50.9% | 45.9% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 0.91 / 0.85 | 1.02 / 0.94 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 1.20 / 1.11 | 1.16 / 0.88 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 1.17 / 1.04 | 1.23 / 1.01 |
| Avg game total | 6.57 | 6.45 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
MTL · Jacob Fowler
22 saves on 26 shots · 4 GA · L
BUF · Colten Ellis
20 saves on 23 shots · 3 GA · W
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 2/3 |
| BUF | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 2/4 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| MTL | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Kapanen | G | 0.5 o+250 |
34% | 50% | 100%1/1 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | G | 0.5 o+225 |
34% | 50% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Josh Anderson | G | 0.5 o+525 |
20% | 30% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | G | 0.5 o+525 |
17% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | G | 0.5 o+160 |
34% | 30% | 60%3/5 | 1 O |
| Lane Hutson | G | 0.5 o+500 |
17% | 30% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Brendan Gallagher | G | 0.5 o+450 |
9% | 20% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Nick Suzuki | G | 0.5 o+210 |
26% | 20% | 40%2/5 | 1 O |
| Alexandre Texier | G | 0.5 o+275 |
15% | 20% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Kaiden Guhle | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
14% | 20% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | G | 0.5 o+800 |
11% | 10% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Alexandre Carrier | G | 0.5 o+1300 |
4% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Ivan Demidov | G | 0.5 o+300 |
21% | 10% | 0%0/1 | 1 O |
| Phillip Danault | G | 0.5 o+525 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Joseph Veleno | G | 0.5 o+700 |
5% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Zachary Bolduc | G | 0.5 o+450 |
19% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Arber Xhekaj | G | 0.5 o+2000 |
2% | 0% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | PTS | 0.5 o-155 / u+120 |
66% | 70% | 100%5/5 | 2 O |
| Nick Suzuki | PTS | 0.5 o-210 / u+150 |
75% | 60% | 100%5/5 | 2 O |
| Oliver Kapanen | PTS | 0.5 o+110 / u-145 |
47% | 60% | 100%1/1 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | PTS | 0.5 o-135 / u+100 |
53% | 60% | 80%4/5 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | PTS | 0.5 o-165 / u+120 |
66% | 50% | 80%4/5 | 2 O |
| Ivan Demidov | PTS | 0.5 o-125 / u-105 |
60% | 50% | 100%1/1 | 1 O |
| Alexandre Texier | PTS | 0.5 o+110 / u-150 |
33% | 40% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | PTS | 0.5 o+125 / u-170 |
45% | 40% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Mike Matheson | PTS | 0.5 o+180 / u-250 |
39% | 30% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | A | 0.5 o-120 / u-110 |
55% | 60% | 80%4/5 | 2 O |
| Juraj Slafkovský | A | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
36% | 60% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Ivan Demidov | A | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
51% | 50% | 100%1/1 | 0 U |
| Nick Suzuki | A | 0.5 o-115 / u-115 |
57% | 40% | 100%5/5 | 1 O |
| Cole Caufield | A | 0.5 o+145 / u-200 |
45% | 40% | 20%1/5 | 1 O |
| Alexandre Texier | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-300 |
21% | 30% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | A | 0.5 o+240 / u-325 |
32% | 20% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | A | 0.5 o+175 / u-240 |
32% | 20% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Oliver Kapanen | A | 0.5 o+230 / u-325 |
19% | 20% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | SOG | 1.5 o-145 / u+105 |
60% | 70% | 75%3/4 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | SOG | 2.5 o-150 / u+115 |
60% | 70% | 20%1/5 | 5 O |
| Nick Suzuki | SOG | 1.5 o-195 / u+145 |
66% | 60% | 60%3/5 | 2 O |
| Alexandre Texier | SOG | 1.5 o-135 / u+100 |
42% | 60% | 0%0/2 | 3 O |
| Oliver Kapanen | SOG | 1.5 o-135 / u+100 |
51% | 60% | 0%0/1 | 3 O |
| Lane Hutson | SOG | 1.5 o+100 / u-130 |
51% | 50% | 40%2/5 | 1 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | SOG | 1.5 o-145 / u+110 |
55% | 50% | 80%4/5 | 1 U |
| Ivan Demidov | SOG | 1.5 o+100 / u-135 |
36% | 50% | 0%0/1 | 3 O |
| Jacob Fowler | SV | 23.5 o-125 / u-105 |
56% | — | — | 22 U |
| BUF | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Zucker | G | 0.5 o+220 |
35% | 40% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | G | 0.5 o+165 |
34% | 40% | 40%2/5 | 1 O |
| Ryan McLeod | G | 0.5 o+325 |
20% | 40% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | G | 0.5 o+230 |
24% | 40% | 50%1/2 | 1 O |
| Tage Thompson | G | 0.5 o+115 |
44% | 30% | 40%2/5 | 3 O |
| Mattias Samuelsson | G | 0.5 o+900 |
16% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | G | 0.5 o+525 |
20% | 30% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Peyton Krebs | G | 0.5 o+525 |
7% | 20% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | G | 0.5 o+275 |
18% | 20% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Noah Ostlund | G | 0.5 o+450 |
18% | 20% | — | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | G | 0.5 o+300 |
16% | 20% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Jacob Bryson | G | 0.5 o+1600 |
7% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | G | 0.5 o+400 |
12% | 10% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Zach Metsa | G | 0.5 o+2000 |
6% | 10% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Jordan Greenway | G | 0.5 o+700 |
3% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Beck Malenstyn | G | 0.5 o+850 |
7% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | G | 0.5 o+750 |
7% | 0% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Tyson Kozak | G | 0.5 o+700 |
8% | 0% | 100%1/1 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | PTS | 0.5 o-160 / u+120 |
64% | 80% | 60%3/5 | 1 O |
| Ryan McLeod | PTS | 0.5 o-105 / u-125 |
51% | 80% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | PTS | 0.5 o-240 / u+175 |
64% | 70% | 40%2/5 | 5 O |
| Bowen Byram | PTS | 0.5 o+115 / u-155 |
44% | 70% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | PTS | 0.5 o-115 / u-115 |
51% | 60% | 50%1/2 | 2 O |
| Jason Zucker | PTS | 0.5 o-120 / u-110 |
54% | 50% | 0%0/3 | 1 O |
| Rasmus Dahlin | PTS | 0.5 o-135 / u+100 |
54% | 40% | 100%4/4 | 1 O |
| Jack Quinn | PTS | 0.5 o+120 / u-160 |
40% | 40% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | PTS | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
32% | 40% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | PTS | 0.5 o+125 / u-165 |
47% | 40% | 20%1/5 | 1 O |
| Tage Thompson | A | 0.5 o+115 / u-150 |
40% | 60% | 0%0/5 | 2 O |
| Ryan McLeod | A | 0.5 o+160 / u-220 |
38% | 60% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | A | 0.5 o+160 / u-220 |
31% | 60% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | A | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
41% | 50% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | A | 0.5 o+275 / u-400 |
25% | 40% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | A | 0.5 o+105 / u-140 |
49% | 30% | 75%3/4 | 1 O |
| Josh Doan | A | 0.5 o+170 / u-230 |
31% | 30% | 0%0/2 | 1 O |
| Jason Zucker | A | 0.5 o+175 / u-240 |
31% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 1 O |
| Jack Quinn | A | 0.5 o+240 / u-350 |
29% | 20% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | A | 0.5 o+240 / u-350 |
31% | 20% | 20%1/5 | 1 O |
| Jack Quinn | SOG | 1.5 o-185 / u+140 |
67% | 80% | 20%1/5 | 1 U |
| Jason Zucker | SOG | 1.5 o-185 / u+140 |
54% | 60% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | SOG | 1.5 o-185 / u+140 |
62% | 60% | 100%2/2 | 1 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | SOG | 2.5 o+100 / u-135 |
56% | 50% | 100%4/4 | 2 U |
| Zach Benson | SOG | 1.5 o-130 / u+100 |
53% | 50% | 60%3/5 | 2 O |
| Tage Thompson | SOG | 3.5 o+125 / u-165 |
49% | 40% | 20%1/5 | 3 U |
| Alex Tuch | SOG | 2.5 o+105 / u-140 |
36% | 30% | 20%1/5 | 1 U |
| Colten Ellis | SV | 23.5 o-120 / u-110 |
80% | 80% | — | 20 U |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2025 | at MTL | BUF 2–4 | 0–1 | 1–0 | 1–3 | 6 | 6.5 U | MTL |
| Mar 3, 2025 | at MTL | BUF 3–4 OT | 0–3 | 1–0 | 2–0 | 7 | 6.5 O | MTL |
| Mar 1, 2025 | at BUF | BUF 2–4 | 0–0 | 2–3 | 0–1 | 6 | 6.5 U | MTL |
| Dec 17, 2024 | at MTL | BUF 1–6 | 0–2 | 1–4 | 0–0 | 7 | 6 O | MTL |
| Nov 11, 2024 | at BUF | BUF 5–7 | 1–1 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 12 | 6.5 O | MTL |
| Feb 21, 2024 | at MTL | BUF 3–2 | 0–1 | 3–1 | 0–0 | 5 | — | BUF |
| Jan 4, 2024 | at MTL | BUF 6–1 | 0–0 | 2–1 | 4–0 | 7 | — | BUF |
| Dec 9, 2023 | at BUF | BUF 2–3 SO | 0–0 | 0–2 | 2–0 | 5 | — | MTL |
| Oct 23, 2023 | at BUF | BUF 1–3 | 1–1 | 0–0 | 0–2 | 4 | — | MTL |
| Mar 27, 2023 | at BUF | BUF 3–4 SO | 1–1 | 2–1 | 0–1 | 7 | — | MTL |