← Stats / MTL @ BUF

MTL @ BUF

Thursday, January 15, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Montréal Canadiens
48-24-10 · Away
3 – 5
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
MTL -125 · BUF +105
Puck Line
MTL -1.5 (+175) · BUF +1.5 (-230)
Total
O 6.5 (-105) · U (-115)

Graded: total 8 → OVER W · BUF +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 MTLo6.5 57%
27-20
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
61%
14-9
60%
3-2
60%
28-19
BUFo6.5 47%
21-24
100%
5-0
50%
5-5
48%
11-12
60%
3-2
49%
22-23
Puck Line
cover %
 MTL-1.5 30%
14-33
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
22%
5-18
80%
4-1
+0.76u
27-20
BUF+1.5 67%
30-15
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
78%
18-5
20%
1-4
+4.06u
24-21
Moneyline
win %
 MTL fav -125 55%
26-21
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
57%
13-10
100%
5-0
-0.73u
12-9
BUF dog +105 56%
25-20
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
65%
15-8
0%
0-5
+1.75u
11-13
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-140/u+110 FD 1.5 o-148/u+116 MTL 57%
27-20
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
52%
12-11
60%
3-2
57%
27-20
 1.72 0.94 / 0.79
BUF 56%
25-20
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
52%
12-11
60%
3-2
56%
25-20
 1.91 0.89 / 1.02
2nd Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-180/u+140 FD 1.5 o-200/u+152 MTL 70%
33-14
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
61%
14-9
60%
3-2
64%
30-17
 2.30 1.04 / 1.26
BUF 69%
31-14
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
65%
15-8
60%
3-2
53%
24-21
 2.07 1.24 / 0.82
3rd Period
over 1.5
 FD 2.5 o+148/u-190 MTL 68%
32-15
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
65%
15-8
60%
3-2
57%
26-20
 2.30 1.21 / 1.09
BUF 64%
29-16
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
65%
15-8
60%
3-2
43%
19-25
 2.20 1.02 / 1.18
Team Comparison '25-26
MTLBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)48-24-1050-23-9
Points %64.6%66.5%
Goals for / game3.453.51
Goals against / game3.122.94
Shots for / game26.328.1
Shots against / game27.829.1
Power play %23.1%19.5%
Penalty kill %78.2%81.9%
Faceoff %50.9%45.9%
1st period GF / GA0.91 / 0.851.02 / 0.94
2nd period GF / GA1.20 / 1.111.16 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA1.17 / 1.041.23 / 1.01
Avg game total6.576.45
Starting Goalies from the box score
22 saves on 26 shots · 4 GA · L
20 saves on 23 shots · 3 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
MTL2100232/3
BUF2120272/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
MTLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Oliver Kapanen G 0.5
o+250
 34% 50% 100%1/1 0 U
Juraj Slafkovský G 0.5
o+225
 34% 50% 60%3/5 0 U
Josh Anderson G 0.5
o+525
 20% 30% 60%3/5 0 U
Noah Dobson G 0.5
o+525
 17% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Cole Caufield G 0.5
o+160
 34% 30% 60%3/5 1 O
Lane Hutson G 0.5
o+500
 17% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Brendan Gallagher G 0.5
o+450
 9% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Nick Suzuki G 0.5
o+210
 26% 20% 40%2/5 1 O
Alexandre Texier G 0.5
o+275
 15% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Kaiden Guhle G 0.5
o+1100
 14% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Mike Matheson G 0.5
o+800
 11% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Alexandre Carrier G 0.5
o+1300
 4% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Ivan Demidov G 0.5
o+300
 21% 10% 0%0/1 1 O
Phillip Danault G 0.5
o+525
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Joseph Veleno G 0.5
o+700
 5% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Zachary Bolduc G 0.5
o+450
 19% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Arber Xhekaj G 0.5
o+2000
 2% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Lane Hutson PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+120
 66% 70% 100%5/5 2 O
Nick Suzuki PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+150
 75% 60% 100%5/5 2 O
Oliver Kapanen PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 47% 60% 100%1/1 0 U
Juraj Slafkovský PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 53% 60% 80%4/5 0 U
Cole Caufield PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+120
 66% 50% 80%4/5 2 O
Ivan Demidov PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 60% 50% 100%1/1 1 O
Alexandre Texier PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 33% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Noah Dobson PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 45% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
Mike Matheson PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 39% 30% 60%3/5 0 U
Lane Hutson A 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 55% 60% 80%4/5 2 O
Juraj Slafkovský A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 36% 60% 60%3/5 0 U
Ivan Demidov A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 51% 50% 100%1/1 0 U
Nick Suzuki A 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 57% 40% 100%5/5 1 O
Cole Caufield A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 45% 40% 20%1/5 1 O
Alexandre Texier A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 21% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Mike Matheson A 0.5
o+240 / u-325
 32% 20% 60%3/5 0 U
Noah Dobson A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 32% 20% 25%1/4 1 O
Oliver Kapanen A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 19% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Noah Dobson SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+105
 60% 70% 75%3/4 0 U
Cole Caufield SOG 2.5
o-150 / u+115
 60% 70% 20%1/5 5 O
Nick Suzuki SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 66% 60% 60%3/5 2 O
Alexandre Texier SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 42% 60% 0%0/2 3 O
Oliver Kapanen SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 51% 60% 0%0/1 3 O
Lane Hutson SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-130
 51% 50% 40%2/5 1 U
Juraj Slafkovský SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 55% 50% 80%4/5 1 U
Ivan Demidov SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-135
 36% 50% 0%0/1 3 O
Jacob Fowler SV 23.5
o-125 / u-105
 56% — — 22 U
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+220
 35% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+165
 34% 40% 40%2/5 1 O
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+325
 20% 40% 0%0/5 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+230
 24% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+115
 44% 30% 40%2/5 3 O
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+900
 16% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+525
 20% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+525
 7% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+275
 18% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+450
 18% 20% — 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+300
 16% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+1600
 7% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+400
 12% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Zach Metsa G 0.5
o+2000
 6% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+700
 3% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+850
 7% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+750
 7% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+700
 8% 0% 100%1/1 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 64% 80% 60%3/5 1 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 51% 80% 0%0/5 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+175
 64% 70% 40%2/5 5 O
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 44% 70% 20%1/5 0 U
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 51% 60% 50%1/2 2 O
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 54% 50% 0%0/3 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 54% 40% 100%4/4 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 40% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 32% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 47% 40% 20%1/5 1 O
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 40% 60% 0%0/5 2 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 38% 60% 0%0/5 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 31% 60% 20%1/5 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 41% 50% 20%1/5 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 25% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 49% 30% 75%3/4 1 O
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 31% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 31% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 29% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 31% 20% 20%1/5 1 O
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+140
 67% 80% 20%1/5 1 U
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+140
 54% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+140
 62% 60% 100%2/2 1 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
 56% 50% 100%4/4 2 U
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 53% 50% 60%3/5 2 O
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+125 / u-165
 49% 40% 20%1/5 3 U
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 36% 30% 20%1/5 1 U
Colten Ellis SV 23.5
o-120 / u-110
 80% 80% — 20 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Oct 20, 2025 at MTL BUF 2–4 0–11–01–3 6 6.5 U MTL
Mar 3, 2025 at MTL BUF 3–4 OT 0–31–02–0 7 6.5 O MTL
Mar 1, 2025 at BUF BUF 2–4 0–02–30–1 6 6.5 U MTL
Dec 17, 2024 at MTL BUF 1–6 0–21–40–0 7 6 O MTL
Nov 11, 2024 at BUF BUF 5–7 1–12–32–3 12 6.5 O MTL
Feb 21, 2024 at MTL BUF 3–2 0–13–10–0 5 — BUF
Jan 4, 2024 at MTL BUF 6–1 0–02–14–0 7 — BUF
Dec 9, 2023 at BUF BUF 2–3 SO 0–00–22–0 5 — MTL
Oct 23, 2023 at BUF BUF 1–3 1–10–00–2 4 — MTL
Mar 27, 2023 at BUF BUF 3–4 SO 1–12–10–1 7 — MTL