← Stats / TBL @ CAR

TBL @ CAR

Thursday, February 26, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · Away
4 – 5
FINAL
Carolina Hurricanes
53-22-7 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL +130 · CAR -150
Puck Line
TBL +1.5 (-210) · CAR -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 9 → OVER W · CAR -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 TBLo6.5 43%
24-32
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
43%
12-16
25%
1-3
52%
29-27
CARo6.5 51%
29-28
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
61%
19-12
25%
1-3
53%
30-27
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL+1.5 88%
49-7
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
93%
26-2
75%
3-1
+4.49u
29-27
CAR-1.5 33%
19-38
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
32%
10-21
25%
1-3
-10.15u
21-36
Moneyline
win %
 TBL dog +130 68%
38-18
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
68%
19-9
75%
3-1
+5.26u
8-3
CAR fav -150 63%
36-21
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
68%
21-10
25%
1-3
+2.28u
35-17
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-128/u+100 TBL 88%
49-7
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
93%
26-2
100%
4-0
55%
31-25
 1.98 1.13 / 0.86
CAR 88%
50-7
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
97%
30-1
100%
4-0
54%
31-26
 1.89 1.09 / 0.81
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-166/u+130 TBL 86%
48-8
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
89%
25-3
100%
4-0
50%
28-28
 1.88 1.14 / 0.73
CAR 83%
47-10
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
81%
25-6
100%
4-0
53%
30-27
 1.77 0.93 / 0.84
3rd Period
over 0.5
 FD 2.5 o+132/u-168 TBL 91%
51-5
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
89%
25-3
100%
4-0
45%
25-31
 2.07 1.20 / 0.88
CAR 91%
52-5
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
94%
29-2
100%
4-0
48%
27-29
 2.37 1.26 / 1.11
Team Comparison '25-26
TBLCAR
Record (W-L-OTL)50-26-653-22-7
Points %64.6%68.9%
Goals for / game3.543.61
Goals against / game2.822.93
Shots for / game28.132.2
Shots against / game26.723.9
Power play %20.7%24.9%
Penalty kill %82.6%80.5%
Faceoff %47.3%50.3%
1st period GF / GA0.96 / 0.931.18 / 0.78
2nd period GF / GA1.22 / 0.840.98 / 0.98
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 0.981.28 / 1.09
Avg game total6.356.54
Starting Goalies from the box score
28 saves on 33 shots · 5 GA · L
24 saves on 28 shots · 4 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL2200281/2
CAR3110331/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+120
 48% 60% 25%1/4 1 O
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+160
 38% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+180
 29% 50% 75%3/4 1 O
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+350
 28% 50% 0%0/4 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+170
 41% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+325
 16% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+475
 18% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Dominic James G 0.5
o+500
 12% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1300
 17% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+425
 11% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+525
 12% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1400
 3% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+450
 12% 10% 67%2/3 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+1000
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Scott Sabourin G 0.5
o+1100
 8% 0% — 0 U
Charle-Edouard D'Astous G 0.5
o+1200
 7% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Curtis Douglas G 0.5
o+1000
 0% 0% — DNP
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1100
 9% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Emil Lilleberg G 0.5
o+1750
 6% 0% 0%0/3 DNP
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 58% 80% 75%3/4 2 O
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 62% 70% 25%1/4 1 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 68% 70% 75%3/4 3 O
Darren Raddysh PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 58% 70% 50%2/4 1 O
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+120
 59% 70% 67%2/3 1 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 38% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-250 / u+180
 67% 90% 75%3/4 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 46% 60% 50%2/4 3 O
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 42% 50% 0%0/4 1 O
Darren Raddysh A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 46% 50% 50%2/4 1 O
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 41% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 25% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Darren Raddysh SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 52% 80% 25%1/4 4 O
Brayden Point SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 68% 70% 75%3/4 2 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 46% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 63% 60% 67%2/3 2 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-150 / u+110
 54% 50% 50%2/4 2 U
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-170
 45% 50% 25%1/4 4 O
Jonas Johansson SV 26.5
o-105 / u-125
 39% 20% — 28 O
CARPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Andrei Svechnikov G 0.5
o+160
 30% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Jordan Staal G 0.5
o+350
 24% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Shayne Gostisbehere G 0.5
o+425
 20% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Sebastian Aho G 0.5
o+155
 30% 30% 0%0/4 1 O
Seth Jarvis G 0.5
o+145
 41% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Taylor Hall G 0.5
o+350
 19% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Mark Jankowski G 0.5
o+650
 11% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
William Carrier G 0.5
o+650
 13% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Alexander Nikishin G 0.5
o+1000
 13% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Jackson Blake G 0.5
o+325
 25% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Nikolaj Ehlers G 0.5
o+210
 21% 10% 33%1/3 1 O
Eric Robinson G 0.5
o+600
 23% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Jordan Martinook G 0.5
o+550
 13% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Jaccob Slavin G 0.5
o+1000
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jalen Chatfield G 0.5
o+1000
 2% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Sean Walker G 0.5
o+850
 7% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
K'Andre Miller G 0.5
o+800
 4% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Logan Stankoven G 0.5
o+325
 18% 0% 0%0/3 1 O
Andrei Svechnikov PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 49% 80% 67%2/3 2 O
Jordan Staal PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 43% 70% 100%4/4 0 U
Seth Jarvis PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 65% 70% 33%1/3 2 O
Shayne Gostisbehere PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 63% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Nikolaj Ehlers PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 54% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Sebastian Aho PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 61% 60% 25%1/4 1 O
Jackson Blake PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 47% 60% 25%1/4 1 O
Taylor Hall PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 39% 30% 50%1/2 2 O
K'Andre Miller PTS 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 35% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Logan Stankoven PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 33% 20% 33%1/3 2 O
Nikolaj Ehlers A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 40% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Andrei Svechnikov A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 33% 50% 0%0/3 2 O
Seth Jarvis A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 33% 50% 0%0/3 1 O
Sebastian Aho A 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 46% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Jackson Blake A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 28% 40% 0%0/4 1 O
Shayne Gostisbehere A 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 50% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Jordan Staal A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 19% 20% 75%3/4 0 U
K'Andre Miller A 0.5
o+240 / u-325
 33% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Logan Stankoven A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 23% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Taylor Hall A 0.5
o+275 / u-425
 26% 10% 50%1/2 1 O
Shayne Gostisbehere SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-190
 30% 70% 33%1/3 2 U
Taylor Hall SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 54% 60% 100%2/2 2 O
Sean Walker SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 68% 60% 75%3/4 0 U
Logan Stankoven SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 68% 60% 100%3/3 2 O
Seth Jarvis SOG 2.5
o-135 / u+100
 57% 50% 33%1/3 3 O
Jackson Blake SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 53% 40% 25%1/4 1 U
Nikolaj Ehlers SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 35% 30% 33%1/3 3 O
Sebastian Aho SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 40% 30% 0%0/4 3 O
Andrei Svechnikov SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 46% 20% 67%2/3 3 O
Brandon Bussi SV 21.5
o-120 / u-115
 44% 30% — 24 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 20, 2025 at TBL CAR 4–6 3–00–31–3 10 5.5 O TBL
Mar 11, 2025 at CAR CAR 4–1 1–02–01–1 5 5.5 U CAR
Jan 7, 2025 at TBL CAR 2–3 0–11–11–1 5 6 U TBL
Oct 11, 2024 at CAR CAR 1–4 1–00–10–3 5 6 U TBL
Nov 24, 2023 at CAR CAR 2–8 1–01–30–5 10 — TBL
Nov 11, 2023 at TBL CAR 4–0 1–01–02–0 4 — CAR
Oct 24, 2023 at TBL CAR 0–3 0–10–10–1 3 — TBL
Mar 28, 2023 at CAR CAR 0–4 0–00–20–2 4 — TBL
Mar 5, 2023 at CAR CAR 6–0 2–02–02–0 6 — CAR
Nov 3, 2022 at TBL CAR 4–3 SO 1–01–31–0 7 — CAR