← Stats / TBL @ MIN

TBL @ MIN

Tuesday, March 3, 2026 · 8:30 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · Away
1 – 5
FINAL
Minnesota Wild
46-24-12 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL -140 · MIN +120
Puck Line
TBL -1.5 (+160) · MIN +1.5 (-210)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 6 → OVER L · MIN +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 TBLo6.5 45%
26-32
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
45%
13-16
50%
1-1
53%
31-27
MINo6.5 56%
34-27
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
55%
17-14
50%
1-1
59%
35-24
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL-1.5 45%
26-32
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
52%
15-14
0%
0-2
+3.97u
30-28
MIN+1.5 77%
47-14
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
77%
24-7
100%
2-0
-1.92u
31-28
Moneyline
win %
 TBL fav -140 66%
38-20
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
66%
19-10
0%
0-2
+1.90u
30-16
MIN dog +120 57%
35-26
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
55%
17-14
100%
2-0
+9.47u
17-10
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-122/u-106 TBL 57%
33-25
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
62%
18-11
0%
0-2
57%
33-25
 2.07 1.12 / 0.95
MIN 53%
32-29
40%
2-3
70%
7-3
55%
17-14
0%
0-2
53%
32-29
 1.77 0.97 / 0.80
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-166/u+130 TBL 59%
34-24
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
52%
15-14
50%
1-1
52%
30-28
 1.90 1.16 / 0.74
MIN 64%
39-22
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
48%
15-16
50%
1-1
57%
35-26
 1.89 1.02 / 0.87
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+138/u-174 TBL 31%
18-40
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
28%
8-21
50%
1-1
43%
25-33
 2.05 1.17 / 0.88
MIN 48%
29-32
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
45%
14-17
50%
1-1
55%
33-27
 2.25 1.15 / 1.10
Team Comparison '25-26
TBLMIN
Record (W-L-OTL)50-26-646-24-12
Points %64.6%63.4%
Goals for / game3.543.32
Goals against / game2.822.93
Shots for / game28.129.2
Shots against / game26.729.4
Power play %20.7%25.2%
Penalty kill %82.6%79.8%
Faceoff %47.3%46.7%
1st period GF / GA0.96 / 0.930.91 / 0.80
2nd period GF / GA1.22 / 0.841.10 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 0.981.12 / 1.10
Avg game total6.356.24
Starting Goalies from the box score
17 saves on 21 shots · 4 GA · L
24 saves on 25 shots · 1 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL0100250/3
MIN1220221/5
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+115
 48% 70% 50%1/2 1 O
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+155
 30% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+400
 27% 50% — 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+165
 36% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+220
 16% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+300
 26% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+155
 42% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Conor Geekie G 0.5
o+575
 0% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1400
 16% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+1000
 4% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+500
 10% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+550
 12% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1400
 3% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+500
 18% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Scott Sabourin G 0.5
o+1100
 8% 0% — 0 U
Charle-Edouard D'Astous G 0.5
o+1200
 7% 0% — 0 U
Curtis Douglas G 0.5
o+1000
 0% 0% — DNP
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+1000
 9% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Declan Carlile G 0.5
o+1750
 3% 0% — DNP
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 58% 80% 50%1/2 1 O
Darren Raddysh PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 60% 80% — 0 U
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o-115 / u-115
 59% 60% 0%0/2 1 U
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+150
 67% 60% 50%1/2 1 O
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 59% 60% 100%2/2 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 38% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 46% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 50% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-250 / u+180
 65% 70% 50%1/2 0 U
Darren Raddysh A 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 48% 60% — 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 47% 50% 0%0/2 1 O
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 43% 50% 0%0/2 1 O
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 40% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 50% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 32% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 26% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Darren Raddysh SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 54% 90% — 4 O
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+130
 47% 70% 50%1/2 3 O
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
 47% 60% 0%0/2 5 O
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 48% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Brandon Hagel SOG 3.5
o+135 / u-185
 42% 50% 50%1/2 2 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 3.5
o+105 / u-135
 33% 40% 50%1/2 1 U
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
 38% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 25.5
o-125 / u-105
 39% 40% 0%0/2 17 U
MINPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Kirill Kaprizov G 0.5
o+110
 48% 70% 100%2/2 1 O
Joel Eriksson Ek G 0.5
o+200
 29% 50% 100%2/2 0 U
Matt Boldy G 0.5
o+140
 49% 50% 100%2/2 0 U
Mats Zuccarello G 0.5
o+275
 22% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Jared Spurgeon G 0.5
o+1100
 10% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Vladimir Tarasenko G 0.5
o+325
 22% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Yakov Trenin G 0.5
o+600
 8% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Brock Faber G 0.5
o+550
 21% 20% 50%1/2 1 O
Vinnie Hinostroza G 0.5
o+700
 6% 10% — 0 U
Quinn Hughes G 0.5
o+425
 9% 10% 33%1/3 1 O
Danila Yurov G 0.5
o+525
 13% 10% — 0 U
Zach Bogosian G 0.5
o+1750
 4% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Marcus Johansson G 0.5
o+475
 20% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jonas Brodin G 0.5
o+1200
 7% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan Hartman G 0.5
o+325
 23% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Jake Middleton G 0.5
o+1500
 2% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Nico Sturm G 0.5
o+900
 8% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Matt Boldy PTS 0.5
o-240 / u+170
 70% 100% 100%2/2 3 O
Quinn Hughes PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 64% 90% 67%2/3 2 O
Joel Eriksson Ek PTS 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 53% 70% 100%2/2 0 U
Mats Zuccarello PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 61% 60% 100%2/2 2 O
Brock Faber PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 44% 60% 50%1/2 2 O
Kirill Kaprizov PTS 1.5
o+165 / u-225
 33% 50% 100%2/2 1 U
Vladimir Tarasenko PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 39% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Ryan Hartman PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 39% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Marcus Johansson PTS 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 54% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Quinn Hughes A 0.5
o-170 / u+125
 60% 90% 33%1/3 1 O
Matt Boldy A 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 47% 90% 50%1/2 3 O
Mats Zuccarello A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 54% 50% 100%2/2 1 O
Kirill Kaprizov A 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 46% 50% 100%2/2 0 U
Brock Faber A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 31% 50% 0%0/2 1 O
Ryan Hartman A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 21% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Joel Eriksson Ek A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 36% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Marcus Johansson A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 38% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Vladimir Tarasenko A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 26% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Ryan Hartman SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+145
 54% 60% 0%0/1 0 U
Brock Faber SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+105
 62% 60% 0%0/2 2 O
Vladimir Tarasenko SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-110
 56% 50% 100%4/4 0 U
Kirill Kaprizov SOG 3.5
o-110 / u-120
 41% 50% 0%0/2 3 U
Quinn Hughes SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-135
 51% 50% 100%3/3 4 O
Matt Boldy SOG 3.5
o+130 / u-170
 39% 40% 50%1/2 3 U
Marcus Johansson SOG 1.5
o+140 / u-190
 41% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Mats Zuccarello SOG 2.5
o+150 / u-200
 34% 30% 0%0/2 2 U
Joel Eriksson Ek SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
 53% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Filip Gustavsson SV 27.5
o+100 / u-130
 41% 50% 0%0/1 24 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Nov 1, 2024 at MIN MIN 5–3 0–11–04–2 8 6.5 O MIN
Oct 24, 2024 at TBL MIN 4–2 1–01–22–0 6 6.5 U MIN
Jan 18, 2024 at TBL MIN 3–7 1–12–30–3 10 — TBL
Jan 4, 2024 at MIN MIN 1–4 0–00–21–2 5 — TBL
Jan 24, 2023 at TBL MIN 2–4 0–02–20–2 6 — TBL
Jan 4, 2023 at MIN MIN 5–1 1–03–11–0 6 — MIN
Nov 28, 2021 at MIN MIN 4–2 2–10–12–0 6 — MIN
Nov 21, 2021 at TBL MIN 4–5 SO 1–21–12–1 9 — TBL
Jan 16, 2020 at MIN MIN 3–2 1–02–10–1 5 — MIN
Dec 5, 2019 at TBL MIN 5–4 3–21–11–1 9 — MIN