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TBL @ WPG

Thursday, March 5, 2026 · 7:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Tampa Bay Lightning
50-26-6 · Away
1 – 4
FINAL
Winnipeg Jets
35-35-12 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TBL -190 · WPG +160
Puck Line
TBL -1.5 (+130) · WPG +1.5 (-165)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · WPG +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 TBLo5.5 58%
34-25
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
57%
17-13
33%
1-2
53%
31-28
WPGo5.5 60%
36-24
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
62%
18-11
33%
1-2
54%
32-27
Puck Line
cover %
 TBL-1.5 44%
26-33
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
50%
15-15
67%
2-1
+2.97u
30-29
WPG+1.5 75%
45-15
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
79%
23-6
33%
1-2
-9.79u
25-34
Moneyline
win %
 TBL fav -190 64%
38-21
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
63%
19-11
67%
2-1
+0.90u
30-17
WPG dog +160 40%
24-36
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
45%
13-16
33%
1-2
-12.35u
5-18
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-125/u-105 FD 1.5 o-112/u-112 TBL 88%
52-7
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
93%
28-2
100%
3-0
56%
33-26
 2.05 1.10 / 0.95
WPG 78%
47-13
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
72%
21-8
100%
3-0
57%
34-26
 1.62 0.88 / 0.73
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-154/u+122 TBL 86%
51-8
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
90%
27-3
100%
3-0
53%
31-28
 1.92 1.15 / 0.76
WPG 85%
51-9
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
90%
26-3
100%
3-0
65%
39-21
 2.17 1.10 / 1.07
3rd Period
over 0.5
 FD 2.5 o+152/u-196 TBL 92%
54-5
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
90%
27-3
100%
3-0
42%
25-34
 2.05 1.15 / 0.90
WPG 93%
56-4
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
97%
28-1
100%
3-0
47%
28-32
 1.93 0.80 / 1.13
Team Comparison '25-26
TBLWPG
Record (W-L-OTL)50-26-635-35-12
Points %64.6%50.0%
Goals for / game3.542.82
Goals against / game2.823.17
Shots for / game28.126.4
Shots against / game26.727.8
Power play %20.7%18.5%
Penalty kill %82.6%77.6%
Faceoff %47.3%51.0%
1st period GF / GA0.96 / 0.930.79 / 0.78
2nd period GF / GA1.22 / 0.841.09 / 1.05
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 0.980.85 / 1.20
Avg game total6.355.99
Starting Goalies from the box score
26 saves on 29 shots · 3 GA · L
26 saves on 27 shots · 1 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TBL0010271/2
WPG0220300/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+110
 49% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+150
 29% 60% 100%1/1 1 O
Darren Raddysh G 0.5
o+325
 26% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+150
 36% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand G 0.5
o+250
 15% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+275
 26% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+155
 41% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Conor Geekie G 0.5
o+550
 0% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1200
 15% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+850
 4% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Yanni Gourde G 0.5
o+450
 10% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+525
 12% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+1200
 3% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+475
 17% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Scott Sabourin G 0.5
o+1000
 7% 0% — 0 U
Charle-Edouard D'Astous G 0.5
o+1100
 6% 0% — 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+900
 9% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 59% 80% 100%1/1 1 O
Darren Raddysh PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+120
 59% 80% 67%2/3 1 O
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-250 / u+180
 68% 70% 67%2/3 1 O
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 58% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 57% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 37% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 45% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Victor Hedman PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 48% 20% 100%2/2 0 U
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 48% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
Darren Raddysh A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 47% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Nikita Kucherov A 1.5
o+180 / u-250
 35% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 44% 50% 0%0/1 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 31% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 39% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Victor Hedman A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 48% 20% 100%2/2 0 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand A 0.5
o+210 / u-275
 25% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Darren Raddysh SOG 2.5
o-135 / u+100
 55% 90% 33%1/3 1 U
Oliver Bjorkstrand SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 48% 70% 33%1/3 3 O
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o-125 / u-105
 48% 60% 0%0/3 5 O
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 47% 50% 67%2/3 1 U
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o-165 / u+125
 61% 50% 67%2/3 1 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 3.5
o+110 / u-150
 33% 40% 67%2/3 1 U
Victor Hedman SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 44% 30% 50%1/2 2 O
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 37% 30% 0%0/1 3 O
Andrei Vasilevskiy SV 23.5
o-130 / u+100
 48% 40% 0%0/2 26 O
WPGPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Kyle Connor G 0.5
o+130
 38% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Gabriel Vilardi G 0.5
o+220
 32% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Cole Perfetti G 0.5
o+220
 17% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Mark Scheifele G 0.5
o+160
 37% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Cole Koepke G 0.5
o+750
 11% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Walker Duehr G 0.5
o+800
 8% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Dylan Samberg G 0.5
o+900
 2% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Alex Iafallo G 0.5
o+475
 17% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Morgan Barron G 0.5
o+550
 16% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Elias Salomonsson G 0.5
o+1000
 6% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Jonathan Toews G 0.5
o+475
 12% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Gustav Nyquist G 0.5
o+650
 0% 0% 50%1/2 1 O
Dylan DeMelo G 0.5
o+1000
 5% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Adam Lowry G 0.5
o+500
 8% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Tanner Pearson G 0.5
o+700
 14% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Haydn Fleury G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Ville Heinola G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% — 0 U
Isaak Phillips G 0.5
o+1400
 33% — — 0 U
Gabriel Vilardi PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 58% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Cole Perfetti PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 39% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Mark Scheifele PTS 1.5
o+175 / u-240
 40% 40% 33%1/3 2 O
Kyle Connor PTS 1.5
o+170 / u-230
 32% 20% 0%0/3 2 O
Mark Scheifele A 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 47% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Kyle Connor A 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 53% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Gabriel Vilardi A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 42% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Cole Perfetti A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 24% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Cole Perfetti SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-150
 37% 80% 67%2/3 2 U
Kyle Connor SOG 3.5
o+120 / u-160
 40% 60% 33%1/3 4 O
Gabriel Vilardi SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 60% 60% 33%1/3 1 U
Mark Scheifele SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 32% 30% 33%1/3 4 O
Connor Hellebuyck SV 25.5
o-120 / u-110
 49% 50% 100%2/2 26 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 29, 2026 at TBL WPG 1–4 0–11–20–1 5 5.5 U TBL
Nov 14, 2024 at TBL WPG 1–4 0–11–20–1 5 6.5 U TBL
Nov 3, 2024 at WPG WPG 7–4 1–22–14–1 11 6.5 O WPG
Jan 2, 2024 at WPG WPG 4–2 0–12–02–1 6 — WPG
Nov 22, 2023 at TBL WPG 3–2 OT 2–10–10–0 5 — WPG
Mar 12, 2023 at TBL WPG 3–2 1–12–10–0 5 — WPG
Jan 6, 2023 at WPG WPG 4–2 1–11–12–0 6 — WPG
Apr 16, 2022 at TBL WPG 4–7 2–22–20–3 11 — TBL
Mar 8, 2022 at WPG WPG 7–4 3–30–04–1 11 — WPG
Jan 17, 2020 at WPG WPG 1–7 0–31–20–2 8 — TBL