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MIN @ VGK

Friday, March 6, 2026 · 9:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Minnesota Wild
46-24-12 · Away
4 – 2
FINAL
Vegas Golden Knights
39-26-17 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
MIN -110 · VGK -110
Puck Line
MIN +1.5 (-300) · VGK -1.5 (+200)
Total
O 6.5 (+100) · U (-120)

Graded: total 6 → OVER L · VGK -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 MINo6.5 55%
34-28
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
57%
17-13
20%
1-4
58%
35-25
VGKo6.5 52%
32-30
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
59%
17-12
20%
1-4
57%
35-27
Puck Line
cover %
 MIN+1.5 77%
48-14
60%
3-2
80%
8-2
77%
23-7
60%
3-2
-1.44u
32-28
VGK-1.5 26%
16-46
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
28%
8-21
40%
2-3
-15.56u
24-38
Moneyline
win %
 MIN dog -110 58%
36-26
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
60%
18-12
40%
2-3
+10.67u
18-10
VGK dog -110 47%
29-33
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
48%
14-15
60%
3-2
-2.24u
5-8
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-126/u-102 MIN 52%
32-30
20%
1-4
60%
6-4
50%
15-15
60%
3-2
52%
32-30
 1.76 0.97 / 0.79
VGK 60%
37-25
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
62%
18-11
60%
3-2
60%
37-25
 1.95 0.87 / 1.08
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-180/u+140 MIN 65%
40-22
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
80%
24-6
40%
2-3
58%
36-26
 1.90 1.03 / 0.87
VGK 57%
35-27
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
62%
18-11
40%
2-3
53%
33-29
 2.03 0.95 / 1.08
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+132/u-168 MIN 47%
29-33
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
50%
15-15
40%
2-3
54%
33-28
 2.24 1.16 / 1.08
VGK 36%
22-40
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
38%
11-18
40%
2-3
48%
30-32
 2.15 1.35 / 0.79
Team Comparison '25-26
MINVGK
Record (W-L-OTL)46-24-1239-26-17
Points %63.4%57.9%
Goals for / game3.323.23
Goals against / game2.933.05
Shots for / game29.229.0
Shots against / game29.424.4
Power play %25.2%24.6%
Penalty kill %79.8%81.4%
Faceoff %46.7%50.8%
1st period GF / GA0.91 / 0.800.76 / 0.98
2nd period GF / GA1.10 / 0.881.05 / 1.12
3rd period GF / GA1.12 / 1.101.32 / 0.74
Avg game total6.246.28
Starting Goalies from the box score
29 saves on 31 shots · 2 GA · W
20 saves on 24 shots · 4 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
MIN0310240/1
VGK0020311/1
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
MINPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Kirill Kaprizov G 0.5
o+110
 48% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
Joel Eriksson Ek G 0.5
o+210
 29% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Matt Boldy G 0.5
o+140
 48% 50% 20%1/5 0 U
Mats Zuccarello G 0.5
o+275
 24% 30% 0%0/5 1 O
Yakov Trenin G 0.5
o+500
 10% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Brock Faber G 0.5
o+550
 23% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Jared Spurgeon G 0.5
o+1200
 10% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Nic Dowd G 0.5
o+700
 7% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Vladimir Tarasenko G 0.5
o+300
 22% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Quinn Hughes G 0.5
o+425
 11% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Robby Fabbri G 0.5
o+650
 6% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Danila Yurov G 0.5
o+525
 13% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Zach Bogosian G 0.5
o+1750
 3% 0% 0%0/4 1 O
Jonas Brodin G 0.5
o+1200
 7% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Ryan Hartman G 0.5
o+325
 22% 0% 20%1/5 0 U
Jake Middleton G 0.5
o+1400
 2% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Nico Sturm G 0.5
o+1000
 8% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Bobby Brink G 0.5
o+350
 22% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Quinn Hughes PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+165
 64% 90% 0%0/4 1 O
Joel Eriksson Ek PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 52% 70% 67%2/3 0 U
Mats Zuccarello PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 62% 60% 60%3/5 1 O
Matt Boldy PTS 1.5
o+175 / u-240
 35% 60% 20%1/5 0 U
Brock Faber PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 45% 60% 50%2/4 1 O
Vladimir Tarasenko PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 38% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Kirill Kaprizov PTS 1.5
o+165 / u-230
 32% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Bobby Brink PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 36% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Ryan Hartman PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 38% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Quinn Hughes A 0.5
o-170 / u+130
 61% 90% 0%0/4 1 O
Matt Boldy A 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 48% 90% 40%2/5 0 U
Mats Zuccarello A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 55% 50% 60%3/5 0 U
Brock Faber A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 32% 50% 25%1/4 1 O
Joel Eriksson Ek A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 36% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Kirill Kaprizov A 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 45% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Bobby Brink A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 22% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Ryan Hartman A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 21% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Vladimir Tarasenko A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 26% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Mats Zuccarello SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+130
 57% 60% 60%3/5 1 U
Brock Faber SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 63% 60% 25%1/4 0 U
Ryan Hartman SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 53% 50% 60%3/5 4 O
Quinn Hughes SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
 52% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Vladimir Tarasenko SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-140
 55% 40% 67%2/3 2 O
Kirill Kaprizov SOG 3.5
o-110 / u-135
 40% 40% 67%2/3 1 U
Matt Boldy SOG 3.5
o+130 / u-175
 38% 30% 0%0/5 3 U
Joel Eriksson Ek SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-170
 52% 20% 33%1/3 4 O
Filip Gustavsson SV 27.5
o-110 / u-120
 40% 50% 33%1/3 29 O
VGKPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Ivan Barbashev G 0.5
o+250
 29% 70% 0%0/5 0 U
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+220
 25% 50% 0%0/4 1 O
Pavel Dorofeyev G 0.5
o+180
 37% 40% 40%2/5 1 O
Reilly Smith G 0.5
o+450
 17% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Tomas Hertl G 0.5
o+210
 36% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Brandon Saad G 0.5
o+550
 7% 20% 0%0/6 0 U
Jack Eichel G 0.5
o+150
 32% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Brayden McNabb G 0.5
o+1100
 5% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Colton Sissons G 0.5
o+550
 9% 10% 40%2/5 0 U
Keegan Kolesar G 0.5
o+700
 8% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Braeden Bowman G 0.5
o+275
 17% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Shea Theodore G 0.5
o+650
 14% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Noah Hanifin G 0.5
o+850
 4% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Rasmus Andersson G 0.5
o+600
 18% 0% 40%2/5 0 U
Jeremy Lauzon G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Kaedan Korczak G 0.5
o+1500
 5% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Ivan Barbashev PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 53% 80% 40%2/5 0 U
Tomas Hertl PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 60% 70% 50%2/4 1 O
Mitch Marner PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+160
 62% 70% 75%3/4 1 O
Pavel Dorofeyev PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 58% 70% 80%4/5 2 O
Shea Theodore PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 50% 30% 100%4/4 0 U
Rasmus Andersson PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 43% 30% 60%3/5 0 U
Jack Eichel PTS 1.5
o+175 / u-240
 41% 30% 67%2/3 1 U
Braeden Bowman PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 41% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Noah Hanifin PTS 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 33% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Tomas Hertl A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 39% 50% 50%2/4 1 O
Jack Eichel A 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 61% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 53% 40% 75%3/4 0 U
Pavel Dorofeyev A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 26% 40% 60%3/5 1 O
Shea Theodore A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 38% 30% 100%4/4 0 U
Rasmus Andersson A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 30% 30% 40%2/5 0 U
Braeden Bowman A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 28% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Ivan Barbashev A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 32% 10% 40%2/5 0 U
Noah Hanifin A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 29% 10% 20%1/5 0 U
Ivan Barbashev SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 48% 80% 20%1/5 2 O
Mitch Marner SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 56% 60% 50%2/4 2 O
Noah Hanifin SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 61% 50% 40%2/5 2 O
Jack Eichel SOG 3.5
o-105 / u-125
 46% 50% 67%2/3 5 O
Rasmus Andersson SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 61% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Pavel Dorofeyev SOG 2.5
o-165 / u+125
 53% 40% 100%5/5 3 O
Shea Theodore SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 58% 30% 50%2/4 1 U
Braeden Bowman SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 37% 30% 0%0/2 2 O
Tomas Hertl SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
 37% 10% 75%3/4 1 U
Akira Schmid SV 22.5
o-120 / u-110
 41% 50% — 20 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 29, 2025 at VGK VGK 2–5 0–21–31–0 7 5.5 O MIN
Nov 16, 2025 at MIN VGK 2–3 OT 1–10–11–0 5 6.5 U MIN
May 1, 2025 at MIN VGK 3–2 1–11–01–1 5 5.5 U VGK
Apr 29, 2025 at VGK VGK 3–2 OT 2–10–00–1 5 5.5 U VGK
Apr 26, 2025 at MIN VGK 4–3 OT 1–10–12–1 7 5.5 O VGK
Apr 24, 2025 at MIN VGK 2–5 1–20–21–1 7 5.5 O MIN
Apr 22, 2025 at VGK VGK 2–5 0–31–11–1 7 5.5 O MIN
Apr 20, 2025 at VGK VGK 4–2 1–11–02–1 6 5.5 O VGK
Mar 25, 2025 at MIN VGK 5–1 1–01–03–1 6 5.5 O VGK
Jan 12, 2025 at VGK VGK 4–1 0–11–03–0 5 5.5 U VGK