CAR @ CGY
Saturday, March 7, 2026 · 9:00 PM CTHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
CAR -220 · CGY +170
Puck Line
CAR -1.5 (+115) · CGY +1.5 (-145)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)
Graded: total 9 → OVER W · CGY +1.5 W
Betting Trends Season
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 5.5 | CAR | o5.5 | 61% 38-24 | 80% 4-1 | 70% 7-3 | 48% 14-15 | 33% 1-2 | 55% 34-28 |
| CGY | o5.5 | 54% 33-28 | 20% 1-4 | 40% 4-6 | 55% 17-14 | 33% 1-2 | 52% 31-29 | |
| Puck Line cover % | CAR | -1.5 | 36% 22-40 | 60% 3-2 | 40% 4-6 | 38% 11-18 | 33% 1-2 | -8.51u 24-38 |
| CGY | +1.5 | 59% 36-25 | 40% 2-3 | 50% 5-5 | 71% 22-9 | 67% 2-1 | -3.91u 33-27 | |
| Moneyline win % | CAR fav | -220 | 65% 40-22 | 80% 4-1 | 80% 8-2 | 59% 17-12 | 100% 3-0 | +3.59u 39-18 |
| CGY dog | +170 | 39% 24-37 | 20% 1-4 | 30% 3-7 | 48% 15-16 | 0% 0-3 | -9.67u 18-31 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 1.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 1.5 o-125/u-105 FD 1.5 o-116/u-108 | CAR | 57% 35-27 | 80% 4-1 | 60% 6-4 | 55% 16-13 | 0% 0-3 | 57% 35-27 | 1.95 | 1.13 / 0.82 |
| CGY | 44% 27-34 | 20% 1-4 | 50% 5-5 | 39% 12-19 | 0% 0-3 | 44% 27-34 | 1.61 | 0.77 / 0.84 | ||
| 2nd Period over 1.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 1.5 o-160/u+124 FD 1.5 o-146/u+114 | CAR | 63% 39-23 | 100% 5-0 | 80% 8-2 | 69% 20-9 | 33% 1-2 | 55% 34-28 | 1.89 | 0.98 / 0.90 |
| CGY | 56% 34-27 | 60% 3-2 | 70% 7-3 | 55% 17-14 | 33% 1-2 | 53% 32-29 | 1.80 | 0.79 / 1.02 | ||
| 3rd Period over 2.5 (FanDuel) |
FD 2.5 o+154/u-200 | CAR | 40% 25-37 | 20% 1-4 | 30% 3-7 | 28% 8-21 | 0% 0-3 | 46% 28-33 | 2.32 | 1.27 / 1.05 |
| CGY | 31% 19-42 | 40% 2-3 | 30% 3-7 | 29% 9-22 | 0% 0-3 | 49% 30-31 | 1.90 | 0.84 / 1.07 |
Team Comparison '25-26
| CAR | CGY | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 53-22-7 | 34-39-9 |
| Points % | 68.9% | 47.0% |
| Goals for / game | 3.61 | 2.59 |
| Goals against / game | 2.93 | 3.16 |
| Shots for / game | 32.2 | 28.1 |
| Shots against / game | 23.9 | 29.9 |
| Power play % | 24.9% | 16.2% |
| Penalty kill % | 80.5% | 80.4% |
| Faceoff % | 50.3% | 49.3% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 1.18 / 0.78 | 0.72 / 0.85 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 0.98 / 0.98 | 0.94 / 1.02 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 1.28 / 1.09 | 0.84 / 1.17 |
| Avg game total | 6.54 | 5.74 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
CAR · Brandon Bussi
20 saves on 25 shots · 5 GA · L
CGY · Dustin Wolf
25 saves on 29 shots · 4 GA · W
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 1/2 |
| CGY | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 1/3 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| CAR | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Aho | G | 0.5 o+145 |
32% | 60% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Jordan Staal | G | 0.5 o+300 |
24% | 50% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | G | 0.5 o+200 |
26% | 40% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Andrei Svechnikov | G | 0.5 o+170 |
29% | 30% | 0%0/3 | 1 O |
| Taylor Hall | G | 0.5 o+275 |
21% | 20% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Eric Robinson | G | 0.5 o+575 |
22% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Seth Jarvis | G | 0.5 o+145 |
39% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| Jackson Blake | G | 0.5 o+260 |
26% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Mark Jankowski | G | 0.5 o+650 |
10% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Jordan Martinook | G | 0.5 o+475 |
14% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Sean Walker | G | 0.5 o+750 |
8% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 1 O |
| Alexander Nikishin | G | 0.5 o+700 |
12% | 10% | 0%0/1 | 1 O |
| Logan Stankoven | G | 0.5 o+325 |
18% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Mike Reilly | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
3% | 0% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Jaccob Slavin | G | 0.5 o+800 |
0% | 0% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| William Carrier | G | 0.5 o+650 |
12% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Jalen Chatfield | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
2% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| K'Andre Miller | G | 0.5 o+750 |
4% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Jordan Staal | PTS | 0.5 o+130 / u-175 |
42% | 70% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | PTS | 0.5 o-150 / u+110 |
57% | 70% | 75%3/4 | 0 U |
| Sebastian Aho | PTS | 0.5 o-240 / u+175 |
63% | 70% | 67%2/3 | 3 O |
| Seth Jarvis | PTS | 0.5 o-220 / u+160 |
67% | 70% | 33%1/3 | 3 O |
| Andrei Svechnikov | PTS | 0.5 o-190 / u+140 |
48% | 60% | 33%1/3 | 2 O |
| Jackson Blake | PTS | 0.5 o+115 / u-150 |
50% | 60% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Taylor Hall | PTS | 0.5 o+120 / u-155 |
42% | 40% | 40%2/5 | 1 O |
| K'Andre Miller | PTS | 0.5 o+165 / u-225 |
37% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| Logan Stankoven | PTS | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
34% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Seth Jarvis | A | 0.5 o+105 / u-140 |
37% | 60% | 0%0/3 | 2 O |
| Andrei Svechnikov | A | 0.5 o+110 / u-145 |
34% | 50% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| Jackson Blake | A | 0.5 o+240 / u-325 |
31% | 50% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Taylor Hall | A | 0.5 o+240 / u-325 |
31% | 40% | 40%2/5 | 1 O |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | A | 0.5 o+135 / u-185 |
39% | 40% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| K'Andre Miller | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-300 |
35% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| Sebastian Aho | A | 0.5 o-105 / u-125 |
45% | 30% | 33%1/3 | 3 O |
| Jordan Staal | A | 0.5 o+250 / u-375 |
19% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Logan Stankoven | A | 0.5 o+275 / u-425 |
24% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Taylor Hall | SOG | 1.5 o-185 / u+140 |
58% | 80% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Logan Stankoven | SOG | 1.5 o-155 / u+115 |
69% | 70% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | SOG | 2.5 o+115 / u-150 |
40% | 60% | 50%2/4 | 2 U |
| Sebastian Aho | SOG | 2.5 o-105 / u-125 |
44% | 60% | 67%2/3 | 1 U |
| Sean Walker | SOG | 1.5 o-155 / u+120 |
68% | 50% | 33%1/3 | 1 U |
| Seth Jarvis | SOG | 2.5 o-165 / u+125 |
56% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 2 U |
| Jackson Blake | SOG | 1.5 o-155 / u+120 |
53% | 40% | 0%0/3 | 2 O |
| Andrei Svechnikov | SOG | 2.5 o-110 / u-120 |
45% | 30% | 33%1/3 | 1 U |
| Brandon Bussi | SV | 22.5 o-105 / u-125 |
45% | 40% | 0%0/1 | 20 U |
| CGY | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Frost | G | 0.5 o+300 |
21% | 30% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| Joel Farabee | G | 0.5 o+300 |
20% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 2 O |
| Connor Zary | G | 0.5 o+260 |
17% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Mikael Backlund | G | 0.5 o+260 |
18% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Blake Coleman | G | 0.5 o+325 |
25% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 1 O |
| Ryan Lomberg | G | 0.5 o+800 |
8% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Martin Pospisil | G | 0.5 o+575 |
10% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Yegor Sharangovich | G | 0.5 o+240 |
19% | 10% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Matt Coronato | G | 0.5 o+210 |
22% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Zach Whitecloud | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
3% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Kevin Bahl | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
5% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Brayden Pachal | G | 0.5 o+1500 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| John Beecher | G | 0.5 o+850 |
3% | 0% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Yan Kuznetsov | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
9% | 0% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Adam Klapka | G | 0.5 o+600 |
8% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Zayne Parekh | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
0% | 0% | — | 0 U |
| Joel Farabee | PTS | 0.5 o+130 / u-175 |
36% | 50% | 0%0/4 | 3 O |
| Morgan Frost | PTS | 0.5 o+130 / u-175 |
41% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 3 O |
| Mikael Backlund | PTS | 0.5 o-105 / u-130 |
43% | 30% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Blake Coleman | PTS | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
37% | 30% | 0%0/3 | 2 O |
| Matt Coronato | PTS | 0.5 o-115 / u-115 |
37% | 30% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Kevin Bahl | PTS | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
22% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Yegor Sharangovich | PTS | 0.5 o+110 / u-145 |
30% | 20% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Connor Zary | PTS | 0.5 o+110 / u-145 |
31% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Mikael Backlund | A | 0.5 o+185 / u-250 |
33% | 30% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Joel Farabee | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
20% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Matt Coronato | A | 0.5 o+200 / u-275 |
22% | 30% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Blake Coleman | A | 0.5 o+325 / u-475 |
16% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 1 O |
| Morgan Frost | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
25% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 2 O |
| Kevin Bahl | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
17% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Yegor Sharangovich | A | 0.5 o+230 / u-325 |
14% | 10% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Connor Zary | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-325 |
17% | 10% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Matt Coronato | SOG | 2.5 o+115 / u-150 |
43% | 80% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Blake Coleman | SOG | 2.5 o+145 / u-195 |
47% | 60% | 33%1/3 | 2 U |
| Mikael Backlund | SOG | 2.5 o+125 / u-190 |
44% | 50% | 33%1/3 | 2 U |
| Morgan Frost | SOG | 1.5 o-125 / u-105 |
54% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 4 O |
| Yegor Sharangovich | SOG | 1.5 o-150 / u+110 |
53% | 40% | 0%0/1 | 2 O |
| Dustin Wolf | SV | 28.5 o-110 / u-120 |
28% | 30% | 100%1/1 | 25 U |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | at CAR | CGY 0–1 OT | 0–0 | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1 | 5.5 U | CAR |
| Mar 2, 2025 | at CAR | CGY 1–2 OT | 0–0 | 0–1 | 1–0 | 3 | 5.5 U | CAR |
| Oct 24, 2024 | at CGY | CGY 2–4 | 0–1 | 1–2 | 1–1 | 6 | 6.5 U | CAR |
| Mar 10, 2024 | at CAR | CGY 2–7 | 0–2 | 1–4 | 1–1 | 9 | — | CAR |
| Dec 7, 2023 | at CGY | CGY 3–2 | 0–2 | 0–0 | 3–0 | 5 | — | CGY |
| Nov 26, 2022 | at CAR | CGY 2–3 | 1–1 | 1–1 | 0–1 | 5 | — | CAR |
| Oct 22, 2022 | at CGY | CGY 3–2 OT | 1–2 | 1–0 | 0–0 | 5 | — | CGY |
| Jan 7, 2022 | at CAR | CGY 3–6 | 1–1 | 1–3 | 1–2 | 9 | — | CAR |
| Dec 9, 2021 | at CGY | CGY 1–2 OT | 0–1 | 1–0 | 0–0 | 3 | — | CAR |
| Dec 14, 2019 | at CGY | CGY 0–4 | 0–0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 4 | — | CAR |