← Stats / TOR @ MIN

TOR @ MIN

Sunday, March 15, 2026 · 6:30 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Toronto Maple Leafs
32-36-14 · Away
4 – 2
FINAL
Minnesota Wild
46-24-12 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
TOR +200 · MIN -275
Puck Line
TOR +1.5 (-115) · MIN -1.5 (-105)
Total
O 6.5 (+100) · U (-120)

Graded: total 6 → OVER L · MIN -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 TORo6.5 57%
38-29
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
53%
17-15
33%
1-2
61%
40-26
MINo6.5 51%
34-33
0%
0-5
30%
3-7
49%
17-18
33%
1-2
54%
35-30
Puck Line
cover %
 TOR+1.5 64%
43-24
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
53%
17-15
33%
1-2
-18.05u
26-40
MIN-1.5 34%
23-44
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
29%
10-25
67%
2-1
-1.10u
35-30
Moneyline
win %
 TOR dog +200 42%
28-39
20%
1-4
10%
1-9
34%
11-21
0%
0-3
-9.03u
13-25
MIN fav -275 57%
38-29
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
54%
19-16
100%
3-0
-4.30u
18-17
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-132/u+104 TOR 24%
16-51
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
22%
7-25
33%
1-2
64%
43-24
 1.88 0.88 / 1.00
MIN 25%
17-50
0%
0-5
10%
1-9
29%
10-25
33%
1-2
49%
33-34
 1.69 0.91 / 0.78
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-186/u+146 TOR 39%
26-41
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
34%
11-21
33%
1-2
61%
41-26
 2.09 0.94 / 1.15
MIN 28%
19-48
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
17%
6-29
33%
1-2
58%
39-28
 1.91 1.06 / 0.85
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 2.5 o+126/u-160 TOR 45%
30-37
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
50%
16-16
33%
1-2
49%
33-34
 2.40 1.21 / 1.19
MIN 48%
32-35
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
43%
15-20
33%
1-2
55%
36-30
 2.24 1.18 / 1.06
Team Comparison '25-26
TORMIN
Record (W-L-OTL)32-36-1446-24-12
Points %47.6%63.4%
Goals for / game3.093.32
Goals against / game3.652.93
Shots for / game26.329.2
Shots against / game32.429.4
Power play %21.3%25.2%
Penalty kill %81.2%79.8%
Faceoff %54.3%46.7%
1st period GF / GA0.84 / 0.990.91 / 0.80
2nd period GF / GA0.95 / 1.231.10 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA1.18 / 1.261.12 / 1.10
Avg game total6.736.24
Starting Goalies from the box score
36 saves on 38 shots · 2 GA · W
22 saves on 25 shots · 3 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
TOR0310260/1
MIN0020380/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
William Nylander G 0.5
o+140
 40% 50% 100%2/2 0 U
Matias Maccelli G 0.5
o+250
 23% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
John Tavares G 0.5
o+165
 31% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+210
 23% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Dakota Joshua G 0.5
o+600
 18% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+650
 13% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Max Domi G 0.5
o+375
 14% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Troy Stecher G 0.5
o+1200
 6% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+350
 21% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Easton Cowan G 0.5
o+325
 16% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Jeff Petry G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Calle Jarnkrok G 0.5
o+750
 14% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+1000
 5% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Brandon Carlo G 0.5
o+1200
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Philippe Myers G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jacob Quillan G 0.5
o+750
 0% 0% — 0 U
Bo Groulx G 0.5
o+650
 33% — — 2 O
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+125
 60% 60% 50%1/2 1 O
Matias Maccelli PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 45% 60% 25%1/4 1 O
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+125
 55% 60% 50%1/2 1 O
Easton Cowan PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 39% 30% 100%1/1 0 U
William Nylander PTS 1.5
o+160 / u-220
 38% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 41% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Max Domi PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 35% 10% 67%2/3 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 58% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 45% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
John Tavares A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 40% 40% 0%0/2 1 O
Matias Maccelli A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 27% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Easton Cowan A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 24% 20% 100%1/1 0 U
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+210 / u-275
 30% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Max Domi A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 26% 0% 67%2/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-110 / u-120
 55% 50% 33%1/3 3 O
William Nylander SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 40% 50% 50%1/2 2 U
Nick Robertson SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 43% 50% 33%1/3 2 O
Matias Maccelli SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 38% 50% 0%0/4 2 O
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 48% 50% 0%0/2 2 O
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 45% 40% 50%1/2 3 O
Easton Cowan SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 47% 30% 100%1/1 0 U
Anthony Stolarz SV 28.5
o-110 / u-120
 40% 30% 100%1/1 36 O
MINPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Kirill Kaprizov G 0.5
o+100
 49% 60% 0%0/2 0 U
Matt Boldy G 0.5
o+110
 49% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Mats Zuccarello G 0.5
o+250
 23% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Vladimir Tarasenko G 0.5
o+300
 22% 20% 20%1/5 2 O
Yakov Trenin G 0.5
o+650
 9% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Danila Yurov G 0.5
o+475
 15% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Nick Foligno G 0.5
o+650
 7% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jared Spurgeon G 0.5
o+1000
 9% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Ryan Hartman G 0.5
o+275
 22% 10% 67%2/3 0 U
Joel Eriksson Ek G 0.5
o+180
 26% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Quinn Hughes G 0.5
o+375
 10% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Nico Sturm G 0.5
o+850
 10% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Brock Faber G 0.5
o+475
 21% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Marcus Johansson G 0.5
o+425
 18% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Jonas Brodin G 0.5
o+1000
 6% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Jake Middleton G 0.5
o+1400
 2% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Mats Zuccarello PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 60% 60% 67%2/3 2 O
Brock Faber PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 46% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Vladimir Tarasenko PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 40% 50% 60%3/5 2 O
Marcus Johansson PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 53% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Joel Eriksson Ek PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 51% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Matt Boldy PTS 1.5
o+160 / u-220
 32% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Quinn Hughes PTS 1.5
o+160 / u-220
 26% 30% 100%2/2 0 U
Ryan Hartman PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 37% 20% 67%2/3 2 O
Kirill Kaprizov PTS 1.5
o+155 / u-210
 31% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Quinn Hughes A 0.5
o-210 / u+160
 64% 90% 100%2/2 0 U
Brock Faber A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 34% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Matt Boldy A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 44% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Marcus Johansson A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 38% 40% 0%0/1 0 U
Mats Zuccarello A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 51% 40% 67%2/3 2 O
Vladimir Tarasenko A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 27% 30% 60%3/5 0 U
Joel Eriksson Ek A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 36% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Kirill Kaprizov A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 43% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Ryan Hartman A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 19% 10% 33%1/3 2 O
Brock Faber SOG 1.5
o-195 / u+145
 63% 70% 33%1/3 2 O
Matt Boldy SOG 3.5
o-110 / u-125
 40% 60% 0%0/2 4 O
Vladimir Tarasenko SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 57% 50% 60%3/5 4 O
Joel Eriksson Ek SOG 2.5
o-135 / u+100
 53% 50% 100%2/2 4 O
Mats Zuccarello SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 34% 40% 33%1/3 5 O
Ryan Hartman SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-170
 35% 40% 67%2/3 4 O
Kirill Kaprizov SOG 3.5
o-145 / u+110
 40% 40% 50%1/2 2 U
Quinn Hughes SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 49% 30% 0%0/2 2 U
Marcus Johansson SOG 1.5
o+110 / u-145
 40% 20% 100%1/1 1 U
Jesper Wallstedt SV 23.5
o-120 / u-115
 81% 90% — 22 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Jan 19, 2026 at TOR MIN 6–3 2–13–01–2 9 5.5 O MIN
Jan 29, 2025 at TOR MIN 3–1 2–00–01–1 4 5.5 U MIN
Nov 3, 2024 at MIN MIN 2–1 OT 1–10–00–0 3 6 U MIN
Nov 19, 2023 at MIN MIN 3–4 OT 1–20–02–1 7 — TOR
Oct 14, 2023 at TOR MIN 4–7 1–32–11–3 11 — TOR
Feb 24, 2023 at TOR MIN 1–2 OT 1–10–00–0 3 — TOR
Nov 25, 2022 at MIN MIN 3–4 1–21–11–1 7 — TOR
Feb 24, 2022 at TOR MIN 1–3 0–01–10–2 4 — TOR
Dec 4, 2021 at MIN MIN 4–3 SO 1–02–30–0 7 — MIN
Dec 31, 2019 at MIN MIN 1–4 0–21–10–1 5 — TOR