← Stats / BUF @ SJS

BUF @ SJS

Thursday, March 19, 2026 · 9:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Away
5 – 0
FINAL
San Jose Sharks
39-35-8 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF -140 · SJS +120
Puck Line
BUF -1.5 (+160) · SJS +1.5 (-210)
Total
O 6.5 (-145) · U (+115)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · SJS +1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 BUFo6.5 46%
31-37
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
44%
15-19
67%
2-1
46%
31-36
SJSo6.5 50%
33-33
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
50%
16-16
67%
2-1
49%
32-33
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF-1.5 43%
29-39
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
38%
13-21
67%
2-1
+7.77u
39-28
SJS+1.5 65%
43-23
40%
2-3
70%
7-3
75%
24-8
33%
1-2
+5.61u
42-23
Moneyline
win %
 BUF fav -140 62%
42-26
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
59%
20-14
67%
2-1
+3.06u
20-11
SJS dog +120 49%
32-34
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
53%
17-15
33%
1-2
+15.15u
30-30
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-152/u+120 BUF 93%
63-5
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
94%
32-2
67%
2-1
57%
39-29
 1.96 1.04 / 0.91
SJS 83%
55-11
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
84%
27-5
67%
2-1
64%
42-24
 2.08 1.00 / 1.08
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 2.5 o+145/u-188 FD 2.5 o+144/u-182 BUF 90%
61-7
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
85%
29-5
100%
3-0
54%
37-31
 2.12 1.24 / 0.88
SJS 91%
60-6
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
84%
27-5
100%
3-0
59%
39-27
 2.21 1.06 / 1.15
3rd Period
over 0.5
 FD 2.5 o+106/u-136 BUF 87%
59-9
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
91%
31-3
100%
3-0
41%
27-39
 2.16 1.10 / 1.06
SJS 92%
61-5
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
88%
28-4
100%
3-0
42%
28-38
 2.12 0.89 / 1.23
Team Comparison '25-26
BUFSJS
Record (W-L-OTL)50-23-939-35-8
Points %66.5%52.4%
Goals for / game3.513.06
Goals against / game2.943.56
Shots for / game28.125.8
Shots against / game29.129.6
Power play %19.5%21.2%
Penalty kill %81.9%76.4%
Faceoff %45.9%47.8%
1st period GF / GA1.02 / 0.940.96 / 1.09
2nd period GF / GA1.16 / 0.881.04 / 1.13
3rd period GF / GA1.23 / 1.010.91 / 1.24
Avg game total6.456.62
Starting Goalies from the box score
BUF · Alex Lyon
23 saves on 23 shots · 0 GA · W
11 saves on 16 shots · 5 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF0320160/2
SJS0000230/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+175
 39% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+240
 35% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Sam Carrick G 0.5
o+700
 9% 30% 20%1/5 2 O
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+125
 44% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+275
 27% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+220
 27% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+700
 10% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+750
 9% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+375
 16% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+275
 18% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Logan Stanley G 0.5
o+1000
 14% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+375
 16% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+850
 15% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+500
 13% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+350
 14% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Zach Metsa G 0.5
o+1600
 6% 10% — 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+700
 13% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+425
 14% 0% 0%0/1 1 O
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 66% 70% 67%2/3 1 O
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-225 / u+165
 68% 60% 50%1/2 1 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 54% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 34% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Noah Ostlund PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 38% 60% 0%0/1 1 O
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 63% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 59% 50% 100%3/3 2 O
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 49% 50% 0%0/2 1 O
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 51% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-180
 41% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 46% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 45% 40% 0%0/3 1 O
Noah Ostlund A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 23% 60% 0%0/1 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 44% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-130 / u-105
 53% 50% 100%3/3 1 O
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 32% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 25% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 37% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 41% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 43% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 35% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 31% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 27% 20% 50%1/2 1 O
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 28% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Josh Norris SOG 1.5
o-130 / u+100
 53% 70% 0%0/3 0 U
Josh Doan SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 43% 70% 50%1/2 2 U
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
 37% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+140
 53% 40% 50%1/2 2 O
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o-110 / u-120
 49% 40% 0%0/2 1 U
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 51% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 48% 30% 33%1/3 1 U
Jack Quinn SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 32% 30% 33%1/3 2 U
Alex Lyon SV 24.5
o-110 / u-120
 67% 70% 0%0/1 23 U
SJSPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Macklin Celebrini G 0.5
o+120
 42% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Michael Misa G 0.5
o+375
 24% 50% 0%0/1 0 U
Kiefer Sherwood G 0.5
o+300
 27% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Collin Graf G 0.5
o+300
 28% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Alexander Wennberg G 0.5
o+350
 20% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Tyler Toffoli G 0.5
o+250
 23% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Mario Ferraro G 0.5
o+1000
 9% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Pavol Regenda G 0.5
o+425
 35% 20% — 0 U
Will Smith G 0.5
o+220
 30% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Dmitry Orlov G 0.5
o+1000
 3% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Barclay Goodrow G 0.5
o+850
 6% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Adam Gaudette G 0.5
o+525
 26% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Shakir Mukhamadullin G 0.5
o+1200
 11% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
William Eklund G 0.5
o+325
 18% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Nick Leddy G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% — 0 U
Vincent Desharnais G 0.5
o+1600
 3% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Zack Ostapchuk G 0.5
o+900
 7% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Sam Dickinson G 0.5
o+1100
 2% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Alexander Wennberg PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 51% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Collin Graf PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 48% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Tyler Toffoli PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 49% 50% 100%3/3 0 U
William Eklund PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 55% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Will Smith PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 57% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Michael Misa PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 45% 50% 0%0/1 0 U
Dmitry Orlov PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 38% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Kiefer Sherwood PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 36% 40% 60%3/5 0 U
Macklin Celebrini PTS 1.5
o+140 / u-185
 38% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Tyler Toffoli A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 35% 50% 100%3/3 0 U
William Eklund A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 44% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Macklin Celebrini A 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 59% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Dmitry Orlov A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 36% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Alexander Wennberg A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 40% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Will Smith A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 36% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Collin Graf A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 26% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Kiefer Sherwood A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 13% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Michael Misa A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 28% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Collin Graf SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 42% 90% 50%1/2 1 U
William Eklund SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+145
 73% 70% 67%2/3 2 O
Kiefer Sherwood SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 43% 50% 20%1/5 4 O
Will Smith SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 43% 40% 0%0/3 3 O
Macklin Celebrini SOG 3.5
o-135 / u+100
 47% 40% 0%0/3 1 U
Tyler Toffoli SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 39% 30% 100%3/3 1 U
Alex Nedeljkovic SV 25.5
o-110 / u-120
 60% 60% 100%1/1 11 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Mar 10, 2026 at BUF SJS 3–6 1–21–21–2 9 6.5 O BUF
Mar 4, 2025 at BUF SJS 6–2 0–02–14–1 8 6.5 O SJS
Nov 23, 2024 at SJS SJS 2–4 1–11–00–3 6 6 P BUF
Jan 27, 2024 at SJS SJS 2–5 2–20–10–2 7 — BUF
Jan 15, 2024 at BUF SJS 0–3 0–00–20–1 3 — BUF
Feb 18, 2023 at SJS SJS 2–4 1–11–10–2 6 — BUF
Dec 4, 2022 at BUF SJS 3–6 2–10–31–2 9 — BUF
Jan 6, 2022 at BUF SJS 3–2 3–00–10–1 5 — SJS
Nov 2, 2021 at SJS SJS 5–3 2–11–12–1 8 — SJS
Oct 22, 2019 at BUF SJS 3–4 OT 2–00–21–1 7 — BUF