← Stats / SEA @ BUF

SEA @ BUF

Saturday, March 28, 2026 · 4:30 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Seattle Kraken
34-37-11 · Away
2 – 3
FINAL / SO
Buffalo Sabres
50-23-9 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
SEA +160 · BUF -190
Puck Line
SEA +1.5 (-145) · BUF -1.5 (+115)
Total
O 6.5 (+100) · U (-120)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · BUF -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 SEAo6.5 34%
24-47
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
37%
13-22
67%
2-1
48%
34-37
BUFo6.5 47%
34-39
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
50%
18-18
67%
2-1
47%
34-38
Puck Line
cover %
 SEA+1.5 66%
47-24
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
63%
22-13
67%
2-1
+2.52u
45-26
BUF-1.5 43%
31-42
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
44%
16-20
33%
1-2
+8.12u
41-31
Moneyline
win %
 SEA dog +160 45%
32-39
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
43%
15-20
67%
2-1
+0.71u
27-35
BUF fav -190 60%
44-29
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
61%
22-14
33%
1-2
+1.57u
22-14
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-140/u+110 FD 1.5 o-132/u+104 SEA 58%
41-30
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
51%
18-17
67%
2-1
58%
41-30
 1.63 0.72 / 0.92
BUF 58%
42-31
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
56%
20-16
67%
2-1
58%
42-31
 1.96 1.01 / 0.95
2nd Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-195/u+150 FD 1.5 o-182/u+142 SEA 66%
47-24
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
71%
25-10
100%
3-0
65%
46-25
 2.01 1.00 / 1.01
BUF 67%
49-24
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
67%
24-12
100%
3-0
52%
38-35
 2.08 1.22 / 0.86
3rd Period
over 1.5
 FD 2.5 o+128/u-164 SEA 59%
42-29
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
57%
20-15
67%
2-1
53%
37-33
 2.10 1.06 / 1.04
BUF 66%
48-25
100%
5-0
70%
7-3
64%
23-13
67%
2-1
44%
31-40
 2.22 1.18 / 1.04
Team Comparison '25-26
SEABUF
Record (W-L-OTL)34-37-1150-23-9
Points %48.2%66.5%
Goals for / game2.763.51
Goals against / game3.212.94
Shots for / game25.628.1
Shots against / game29.529.1
Power play %19.5%19.5%
Penalty kill %72.2%81.9%
Faceoff %47.8%45.9%
1st period GF / GA0.70 / 0.891.02 / 0.94
2nd period GF / GA0.94 / 1.051.16 / 0.88
3rd period GF / GA1.02 / 1.131.23 / 1.01
Avg game total5.966.45
Starting Goalies from the box score
34 saves on 36 shots · 2 GA · OTL
32 saves on 34 shots · 2 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
SEA1100340/4
BUF0110361/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
SEAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+210
 34% 50% 33%2/6 1 O
Kaapo Kakko G 0.5
o+375
 20% 40% 20%1/5 0 U
Matty Beniers G 0.5
o+260
 25% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Jamie Oleksiak G 0.5
o+2000
 7% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Brandon Montour G 0.5
o+575
 15% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryker Evans G 0.5
o+1600
 14% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Jordan Eberle G 0.5
o+260
 28% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Frederick Gaudreau G 0.5
o+550
 9% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Vince Dunn G 0.5
o+550
 16% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Eeli Tolvanen G 0.5
o+325
 16% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Ben Meyers G 0.5
o+800
 15% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Berkly Catton G 0.5
o+375
 9% 10% — 0 U
Adam Larsson G 0.5
o+1100
 7% 0% 33%1/3 0 U
Chandler Stephenson G 0.5
o+375
 19% 0% 67%2/3 1 O
Ryan Lindgren G 0.5
o+1750
 3% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Cale Fleury G 0.5
o+2000
 5% 0% — DNP
Shane Wright G 0.5
o+475
 13% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Oscar Fisker Molgaard G 0.5
o+575
 0% — — 0 U
Brandon Montour PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-230
 45% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
Jordan Eberle PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 57% 50% 100%1/1 0 U
Kaapo Kakko PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 44% 50% 20%1/5 2 O
Bobby McMann PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 46% 50% 67%4/6 2 O
Matty Beniers PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 49% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Vince Dunn PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 44% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Chandler Stephenson PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 45% 30% 100%3/3 2 O
Jordan Eberle A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 36% 50% 100%1/1 0 U
Brandon Montour A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 34% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Kaapo Kakko A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 32% 40% 0%0/5 2 O
Chandler Stephenson A 0.5
o+170 / u-240
 32% 30% 67%2/3 1 O
Vince Dunn A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 34% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Bobby McMann A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
 22% 30% 67%4/6 1 O
Matty Beniers A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 31% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Vince Dunn SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 61% 70% 33%1/3 1 U
Brandon Montour SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 47% 60% 0%0/3 7 O
Bobby McMann SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-120
 45% 50% 50%3/6 3 O
Jordan Eberle SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 39% 40% 0%0/1 1 U
Matty Beniers SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 51% 40% 67%2/3 3 O
Philipp Grubauer SV 25.5
o-120 / u-110
 50% 50% — 34 O
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Sam Carrick G 0.5
o+600
 11% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+155
 37% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+350
 19% 40% 0%0/3 1 O
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+225
 33% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+120
 45% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+220
 18% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+240
 26% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+350
 18% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+650
 11% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+700
 8% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+240
 23% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Logan Stanley G 0.5
o+1100
 13% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+400
 15% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+900
 14% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+400
 12% 0% 0%0/3 1 O
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+650
 12% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 64% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 61% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 48% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-250 / u+180
 69% 50% 67%2/3 1 O
Peyton Krebs PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 38% 50% 100%3/3 1 O
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 50% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 52% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson PTS 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 41% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 45% 40% 100%3/3 1 O
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 48% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 33% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 41% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 57% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Peyton Krebs A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 32% 50% 100%3/3 0 U
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 34% 50% 0%0/3 1 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 43% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson A 0.5
o+250 / u-375
 31% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 52% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 26% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 33% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 25% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 36% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 40% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 34% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 40% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 27% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 59% 80% 67%2/3 0 U
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-130
 39% 60% 67%2/3 3 O
Josh Norris SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 54% 60% 33%1/3 1 U
Bowen Byram SOG 1.5
o+120 / u-160
 40% 50% 33%1/3 1 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
 48% 40% 67%2/3 4 O
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o+100 / u-135
 50% 40% 67%2/3 1 U
Jason Zucker SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 35% 30% 0%0/2 2 U
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o-120 / u-120
 47% 30% 67%2/3 5 O
Jack Quinn SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-150
 32% 30% 0%0/3 4 O
Owen Power SOG 1.5
o+130 / u-175
 46% 20% 67%2/3 1 U
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 22.5
o-120 / u-110
 61% 70% 100%1/1 32 O
Head-to-Head last 9 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 14, 2025 at SEA BUF 3–1 1–01–11–0 4 5.5 U BUF
Jan 20, 2025 at SEA BUF 4–6 1–22–21–2 10 — SEA
Jan 11, 2025 at BUF BUF 2–6 2–00–20–4 8 6 O SEA
Mar 18, 2024 at SEA BUF 6–2 3–22–01–0 8 — BUF
Jan 9, 2024 at BUF BUF 2–5 1–21–30–0 7 — SEA
Jan 10, 2023 at BUF BUF 3–4 1–11–11–2 7 — SEA
Oct 25, 2022 at SEA BUF 1–5 0–21–20–1 6 — SEA
Nov 29, 2021 at BUF BUF 4–7 0–32–22–2 11 — SEA
Nov 4, 2021 at SEA BUF 2–5 0–12–10–3 7 — SEA