MTL @ BUF
Wednesday, May 6, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT · PlayoffsHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
MTL +115 · BUF -135
Puck Line
MTL +1.5 (-230) · BUF -1.5 (+175)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)
Graded: total 6 → OVER W · BUF -1.5 W
Betting Trends Season
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 5.5 | MTL | o5.5 | 61% 54-35 | 0% 0-5 | 30% 3-7 | 62% 28-17 | 100% 8-0 | 51% 45-43 |
| BUF | o5.5 | 60% 53-35 | 40% 2-3 | 60% 6-4 | 61% 27-17 | 100% 8-0 | 47% 41-46 | |
| Puck Line cover % | MTL | +1.5 | 80% 71-18 | 100% 5-0 | 80% 8-2 | 84% 38-7 | 75% 6-2 | +0.70u 52-36 |
| BUF | -1.5 | 43% 38-50 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 41% 18-26 | 25% 2-6 | +9.28u 49-38 | |
| Moneyline win % | MTL dog | +115 | 58% 52-37 | 60% 3-2 | 50% 5-5 | 60% 27-18 | 75% 6-2 | +17.46u 30-18 |
| BUF fav | -135 | 61% 54-34 | 60% 3-2 | 70% 7-3 | 61% 27-17 | 25% 2-6 | +2.34u 28-17 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 0.5 |
DK 1.5 o-115/u-115 FD 1.5 o-112/u-112 | MTL | 84% 75-14 | 60% 3-2 | 70% 7-3 | 84% 38-7 | 88% 7-1 | 55% 49-40 | 1.71 | 0.90 / 0.81 |
| BUF | 90% 79-9 | 60% 3-2 | 80% 8-2 | 91% 40-4 | 88% 7-1 | 56% 49-39 | 1.92 | 1.03 / 0.89 | ||
| 2nd Period over 0.5 |
DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-150/u+118 | MTL | 92% 82-7 | 80% 4-1 | 90% 9-1 | 93% 42-3 | 100% 8-0 | 64% 57-32 | 2.27 | 1.17 / 1.10 |
| BUF | 89% 78-10 | 80% 4-1 | 70% 7-3 | 91% 40-4 | 100% 8-0 | 51% 45-43 | 1.98 | 1.09 / 0.89 | ||
| 3rd Period over 0.5 |
FD 2.5 o+152/u-196 | MTL | 90% 80-9 | 60% 3-2 | 80% 8-2 | 91% 41-4 | 88% 7-1 | 42% 37-51 | 2.11 | 1.11 / 1.00 |
| BUF | 88% 77-11 | 80% 4-1 | 80% 8-2 | 82% 36-8 | 88% 7-1 | 46% 39-46 | 2.27 | 1.28 / 0.99 |
Team Comparison '25-26
| MTL | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 9-6-4 | 7-4-2 |
| Points % | 57.9% | 61.5% |
| Goals for / game | 2.84 | 3.31 |
| Goals against / game | 2.95 | 3.00 |
| Shots for / game | 23.2 | 30.5 |
| Shots against / game | 29.9 | 26.7 |
| Power play % | 23.1% | 20.4% |
| Penalty kill % | 78.1% | 76.2% |
| Faceoff % | 53.5% | 45.6% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 1.26 / 1.11 | 1.23 / 1.08 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 0.79 / 1.05 | 0.77 / 1.08 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 0.63 / 0.58 | 1.31 / 0.69 |
| Avg game total | 5.79 | 6.31 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
MTL · Jakub Dobes
12 saves on 16 shots · 4 GA · L
BUF · Alex Lyon
26 saves on 28 shots · 2 GA · W
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 1/2 |
| BUF | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2/3 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| MTL | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Anderson | G | 0.5 o+525 |
18% | 30% | 38%3/8 | 0 U |
| Nick Suzuki | G | 0.5 o+230 |
29% | 20% | 50%4/8 | 1 O |
| Alexandre Texier | G | 0.5 o+475 |
14% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Kirby Dach | G | 0.5 o+550 |
21% | 20% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Cole Caufield | G | 0.5 o+170 |
43% | 20% | 75%6/8 | 0 U |
| Alex Newhook | G | 0.5 o+500 |
25% | 20% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Zachary Bolduc | G | 0.5 o+500 |
14% | 20% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | G | 0.5 o+500 |
16% | 20% | 13%1/8 | 0 U |
| Jake Evans | G | 0.5 o+650 |
16% | 10% | 29%2/7 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | G | 0.5 o+200 |
30% | 10% | 50%4/8 | 0 U |
| Ivan Demidov | G | 0.5 o+275 |
21% | 10% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Phillip Danault | G | 0.5 o+700 |
7% | 0% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
8% | 0% | 13%1/8 | 0 U |
| Alexandre Carrier | G | 0.5 o+1750 |
8% | 0% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Joseph Veleno | G | 0.5 o+900 |
3% | 0% | 0%0/7 | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
12% | 0% | 0%0/7 | 0 U |
| Kaiden Guhle | G | 0.5 o+1300 |
4% | 0% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Arber Xhekaj | G | 0.5 o+2250 |
1% | 0% | 0%0/7 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | PTS | 0.5 o-170 / u+125 |
67% | 80% | 88%7/8 | 0 U |
| Nick Suzuki | PTS | 0.5 o-220 / u+160 |
76% | 70% | 100%8/8 | 1 O |
| Josh Anderson | PTS | 0.5 o+240 / u-325 |
27% | 40% | 38%3/8 | 0 U |
| Alexandre Texier | PTS | 0.5 o+185 / u-260 |
31% | 40% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | PTS | 0.5 o-145 / u+110 |
67% | 40% | 88%7/8 | 0 U |
| Kaiden Guhle | PTS | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
26% | 40% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Zachary Bolduc | PTS | 0.5 o+220 / u-325 |
29% | 40% | 20%1/5 | 1 O |
| Kirby Dach | PTS | 0.5 o+250 / u-350 |
34% | 30% | 50%2/4 | 1 O |
| Alex Newhook | PTS | 0.5 o+230 / u-325 |
43% | 30% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | PTS | 0.5 o-130 / u-105 |
55% | 30% | 63%5/8 | 1 O |
| Ivan Demidov | PTS | 0.5 o-115 / u-115 |
53% | 20% | 50%2/4 | 1 O |
| Phillip Danault | PTS | 0.5 o+250 / u-350 |
21% | 10% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | PTS | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
37% | 10% | 50%4/8 | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | PTS | 0.5 o+225 / u-325 |
42% | 10% | 43%3/7 | 0 U |
| Nick Suzuki | A | 0.5 o-130 / u-105 |
63% | 60% | 100%8/8 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | A | 0.5 o-130 / u+100 |
57% | 60% | 75%6/8 | 0 U |
| Kaiden Guhle | A | 0.5 o+325 / u-475 |
24% | 40% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Alexandre Texier | A | 0.5 o+325 / u-475 |
21% | 30% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Zachary Bolduc | A | 0.5 o+375 / u-600 |
21% | 30% | 20%1/5 | 1 O |
| Kirby Dach | A | 0.5 o+425 / u-700 |
18% | 20% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | A | 0.5 o+165 / u-225 |
41% | 20% | 38%3/8 | 0 U |
| Alex Newhook | A | 0.5 o+400 / u-650 |
25% | 20% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | A | 0.5 o+165 / u-230 |
40% | 20% | 38%3/8 | 1 O |
| Phillip Danault | A | 0.5 o+375 / u-575 |
13% | 10% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | A | 0.5 o+250 / u-350 |
32% | 10% | 50%4/8 | 0 U |
| Josh Anderson | A | 0.5 o+400 / u-650 |
11% | 10% | 13%1/8 | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | A | 0.5 o+275 / u-425 |
32% | 10% | 43%3/7 | 0 U |
| Ivan Demidov | A | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
42% | 10% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Ivan Demidov | SOG | 1.5 o-155 / u+115 |
46% | 50% | 75%3/4 | 2 O |
| Alexandre Texier | SOG | 1.5 o+120 / u-165 |
43% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 1 U |
| Noah Dobson | SOG | 1.5 o+110 / u-145 |
58% | 40% | 57%4/7 | 2 O |
| Zachary Bolduc | SOG | 1.5 o+120 / u-165 |
41% | 40% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | SOG | 1.5 o-110 / u-120 |
48% | 40% | 50%4/8 | 4 O |
| Mike Matheson | SOG | 1.5 o+110 / u-150 |
48% | 30% | 38%3/8 | 1 U |
| Josh Anderson | SOG | 1.5 o+120 / u-160 |
35% | 30% | 38%3/8 | 0 U |
| Nick Suzuki | SOG | 2.5 o+115 / u-150 |
34% | 30% | 50%4/8 | 3 O |
| Alex Newhook | SOG | 1.5 o+145 / u-190 |
37% | 30% | 60%3/5 | 4 O |
| Juraj Slafkovský | SOG | 2.5 o-110 / u-120 |
35% | 30% | 38%3/8 | 4 O |
| Cole Caufield | SOG | 2.5 o-150 / u+115 |
61% | 20% | 38%3/8 | 2 U |
| Jakub Dobes | SV | 26.5 o-110 / u-120 |
47% | 50% | 67%2/3 | 12 U |
| BUF | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Tuch | G | 0.5 o+150 |
40% | 70% | 38%3/8 | 0 U |
| Josh Norris | G | 0.5 o+225 |
26% | 40% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | G | 0.5 o+325 |
20% | 40% | 13%1/8 | 0 U |
| Peyton Krebs | G | 0.5 o+350 |
16% | 30% | 25%2/8 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | G | 0.5 o+550 |
15% | 30% | 0%0/8 | 1 O |
| Jason Zucker | G | 0.5 o+275 |
29% | 20% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | G | 0.5 o+125 |
41% | 20% | 38%3/8 | 0 U |
| Ryan McLeod | G | 0.5 o+450 |
15% | 20% | 0%0/8 | 1 O |
| Mattias Samuelsson | G | 0.5 o+800 |
16% | 20% | 0%0/7 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | G | 0.5 o+325 |
21% | 20% | 29%2/7 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | G | 0.5 o+260 |
24% | 20% | 40%2/5 | 1 O |
| Beck Malenstyn | G | 0.5 o+750 |
9% | 10% | 14%1/7 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | G | 0.5 o+275 |
18% | 10% | 0%0/8 | 0 U |
| Jordan Greenway | G | 0.5 o+750 |
2% | 0% | 0%0/5 | 1 O |
| Logan Stanley | G | 0.5 o+1300 |
11% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Conor Timmins | G | 0.5 o+1300 |
0% | 0% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | G | 0.5 o+850 |
9% | 0% | 13%1/8 | 0 U |
| Tyson Kozak | G | 0.5 o+800 |
4% | 0% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | PTS | 0.5 o-165 / u+125 |
66% | 80% | 63%5/8 | 0 U |
| Josh Norris | PTS | 0.5 o+100 / u-135 |
60% | 70% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | PTS | 0.5 o-190 / u+140 |
61% | 70% | 86%6/7 | 0 U |
| Peyton Krebs | PTS | 0.5 o+120 / u-160 |
43% | 70% | 25%2/8 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | PTS | 0.5 o-225 / u+165 |
67% | 60% | 63%5/8 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | PTS | 0.5 o+190 / u-260 |
35% | 60% | 38%3/8 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | PTS | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
49% | 60% | 38%3/8 | 2 O |
| Jason Zucker | PTS | 0.5 o+110 / u-150 |
47% | 50% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | PTS | 0.5 o+125 / u-165 |
47% | 50% | 40%2/5 | 2 O |
| Ryan McLeod | PTS | 0.5 o+150 / u-200 |
48% | 40% | 13%1/8 | 2 O |
| Bowen Byram | PTS | 0.5 o+130 / u-175 |
42% | 40% | 25%2/8 | 1 O |
| Jack Quinn | PTS | 0.5 o+105 / u-140 |
46% | 40% | 25%2/8 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | PTS | 0.5 o+240 / u-350 |
39% | 20% | 14%1/7 | 1 O |
| Owen Power | A | 0.5 o+240 / u-350 |
28% | 60% | 25%2/8 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-325 |
28% | 50% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | A | 0.5 o+115 / u-150 |
41% | 50% | 38%3/8 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | A | 0.5 o-130 / u+100 |
51% | 50% | 71%5/7 | 0 U |
| Peyton Krebs | A | 0.5 o+200 / u-275 |
33% | 50% | 0%0/8 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | A | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
37% | 40% | 25%2/8 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-400 |
28% | 40% | 20%1/5 | 1 O |
| Zach Benson | A | 0.5 o+250 / u-375 |
35% | 40% | 25%2/8 | 2 O |
| Josh Norris | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-325 |
38% | 30% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Ryan McLeod | A | 0.5 o+240 / u-350 |
39% | 30% | 13%1/8 | 1 O |
| Bowen Byram | A | 0.5 o+180 / u-250 |
33% | 30% | 25%2/8 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | A | 0.5 o+200 / u-275 |
34% | 30% | 25%2/8 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | A | 0.5 o+325 / u-500 |
27% | 0% | 14%1/7 | 1 O |
| Josh Norris | SOG | 1.5 o-115 / u-115 |
53% | 60% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | SOG | 1.5 o-130 / u+100 |
41% | 60% | 13%1/8 | 2 O |
| Zach Benson | SOG | 1.5 o-135 / u+100 |
52% | 60% | 75%6/8 | 1 U |
| Alex Tuch | SOG | 2.5 o-120 / u-110 |
41% | 50% | 25%2/8 | 1 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | SOG | 2.5 o-140 / u+105 |
49% | 50% | 71%5/7 | 4 O |
| Josh Doan | SOG | 1.5 o-150 / u+115 |
56% | 50% | 60%3/5 | 3 O |
| Jason Zucker | SOG | 2.5 o+140 / u-190 |
34% | 40% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | SOG | 3.5 o-120 / u-110 |
46% | 40% | 25%2/8 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | SOG | 1.5 o+145 / u-195 |
35% | 40% | 43%3/7 | 0 U |
| Peyton Krebs | SOG | 1.5 o+125 / u-165 |
32% | 40% | 13%1/8 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | SOG | 2.5 o+105 / u-155 |
35% | 40% | 25%2/8 | 1 U |
| Owen Power | SOG | 1.5 o+145 / u-195 |
45% | 30% | 63%5/8 | 0 U |
| Alex Lyon | SV | 23.5 o-125 / u-105 |
68% | 40% | 67%2/3 | 26 O |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | at BUF | BUF 2–4 | 0–1 | 2–0 | 0–3 | 6 | 6.5 U | MTL |
| Jan 22, 2026 | at MTL | BUF 4–2 | 2–0 | 1–2 | 1–0 | 6 | 6.5 U | BUF |
| Jan 15, 2026 | at BUF | BUF 5–3 | 2–2 | 1–1 | 2–0 | 8 | 6.5 O | BUF |
| Oct 20, 2025 | at MTL | BUF 2–4 | 0–1 | 1–0 | 1–3 | 6 | 6.5 U | MTL |
| Mar 3, 2025 | at MTL | BUF 3–4 OT | 0–3 | 1–0 | 2–0 | 7 | 6.5 O | MTL |
| Mar 1, 2025 | at BUF | BUF 2–4 | 0–0 | 2–3 | 0–1 | 6 | 6.5 U | MTL |
| Dec 17, 2024 | at MTL | BUF 1–6 | 0–2 | 1–4 | 0–0 | 7 | 6 O | MTL |
| Nov 11, 2024 | at BUF | BUF 5–7 | 1–1 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 12 | 6.5 O | MTL |
| Feb 21, 2024 | at MTL | BUF 3–2 | 0–1 | 3–1 | 0–0 | 5 | — | BUF |
| Jan 4, 2024 | at MTL | BUF 6–1 | 0–0 | 2–1 | 4–0 | 7 | — | BUF |