MTL @ BUF
Friday, May 8, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT · PlayoffsHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
MTL +110 · BUF -130
Puck Line
MTL +1.5 (-230) · BUF -1.5 (+175)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)
Graded: total 6 → OVER W · BUF -1.5 L
Betting Trends Season
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 5.5 | MTL | o5.5 | 61% 55-35 | 20% 1-4 | 30% 3-7 | 63% 29-17 | 100% 9-0 | 52% 46-43 |
| BUF | o5.5 | 61% 54-35 | 40% 2-3 | 60% 6-4 | 62% 28-17 | 100% 9-0 | 48% 42-46 | |
| Puck Line cover % | MTL | +1.5 | 79% 71-19 | 80% 4-1 | 80% 8-2 | 83% 38-8 | 67% 6-3 | -0.30u 52-37 |
| BUF | -1.5 | 44% 39-50 | 80% 4-1 | 60% 6-4 | 42% 19-26 | 33% 3-6 | +11.03u 50-38 | |
| Moneyline win % | MTL dog | +110 | 58% 52-38 | 40% 2-3 | 50% 5-5 | 59% 27-19 | 67% 6-3 | +16.46u 30-19 |
| BUF fav | -130 | 62% 55-34 | 80% 4-1 | 70% 7-3 | 62% 28-17 | 33% 3-6 | +3.08u 29-17 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 0.5 |
DK 1.5 o-115/u-115 FD 1.5 o-116/u-110 | MTL | 84% 76-14 | 60% 3-2 | 70% 7-3 | 85% 39-7 | 89% 8-1 | 56% 50-40 | 1.72 | 0.90 / 0.82 |
| BUF | 90% 80-9 | 80% 4-1 | 80% 8-2 | 91% 41-4 | 89% 8-1 | 56% 50-39 | 1.93 | 1.04 / 0.89 | ||
| 2nd Period over 0.5 |
DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FD 1.5 o-156/u+122 | MTL | 92% 83-7 | 80% 4-1 | 90% 9-1 | 94% 43-3 | 100% 9-0 | 64% 58-32 | 2.28 | 1.17 / 1.11 |
| BUF | 89% 79-10 | 80% 4-1 | 70% 7-3 | 91% 41-4 | 100% 9-0 | 52% 46-43 | 1.99 | 1.10 / 0.89 | ||
| 3rd Period over 0.5 |
FD 2.5 o+148/u-190 | MTL | 89% 80-10 | 60% 3-2 | 70% 7-3 | 89% 41-5 | 78% 7-2 | 42% 37-52 | 2.09 | 1.10 / 0.99 |
| BUF | 87% 77-12 | 60% 3-2 | 70% 7-3 | 80% 36-9 | 78% 7-2 | 45% 39-47 | 2.25 | 1.27 / 0.98 |
Team Comparison '25-26
| MTL | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 9-6-4 | 7-4-2 |
| Points % | 57.9% | 61.5% |
| Goals for / game | 2.84 | 3.31 |
| Goals against / game | 2.95 | 3.00 |
| Shots for / game | 23.2 | 30.5 |
| Shots against / game | 29.9 | 26.7 |
| Power play % | 23.1% | 20.4% |
| Penalty kill % | 78.1% | 76.2% |
| Faceoff % | 53.5% | 45.6% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 1.26 / 1.11 | 1.23 / 1.08 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 0.79 / 1.05 | 0.77 / 1.08 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 0.63 / 0.58 | 1.31 / 0.69 |
| Avg game total | 5.79 | 6.31 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
MTL · Jakub Dobes
28 saves on 29 shots · 1 GA · W
BUF · Alex Lyon
23 saves on 27 shots · 4 GA · L
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 0/5 |
| BUF | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 0/5 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| MTL | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Anderson | G | 0.5 o+500 |
18% | 30% | 33%3/9 | 0 U |
| Nick Suzuki | G | 0.5 o+210 |
30% | 30% | 56%5/9 | 1 O |
| Kirby Dach | G | 0.5 o+550 |
22% | 30% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Alexandre Texier | G | 0.5 o+500 |
14% | 20% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Alex Newhook | G | 0.5 o+425 |
24% | 20% | 17%1/6 | 2 O |
| Zachary Bolduc | G | 0.5 o+575 |
14% | 20% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | G | 0.5 o+475 |
16% | 20% | 11%1/9 | 0 U |
| Jake Evans | G | 0.5 o+600 |
16% | 10% | 25%2/8 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | G | 0.5 o+160 |
43% | 10% | 67%6/9 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | G | 0.5 o+200 |
30% | 10% | 44%4/9 | 0 U |
| Ivan Demidov | G | 0.5 o+300 |
21% | 10% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Phillip Danault | G | 0.5 o+700 |
7% | 0% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Mike Matheson | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
8% | 0% | 11%1/9 | 1 O |
| Alexandre Carrier | G | 0.5 o+1750 |
7% | 0% | 0%0/7 | 1 O |
| Joseph Veleno | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
3% | 0% | 0%0/8 | 0 U |
| Noah Dobson | G | 0.5 o+750 |
12% | 0% | 0%0/8 | 0 U |
| Kaiden Guhle | G | 0.5 o+1300 |
4% | 0% | 0%0/6 | 0 U |
| Arber Xhekaj | G | 0.5 o+2250 |
1% | 0% | 0%0/8 | 0 U |
| Nick Suzuki | PTS | 0.5 o-220 / u+160 |
77% | 70% | 100%9/9 | 1 O |
| Lane Hutson | PTS | 0.5 o-165 / u+125 |
67% | 70% | 78%7/9 | 1 O |
| Zachary Bolduc | PTS | 0.5 o+225 / u-325 |
30% | 50% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Josh Anderson | PTS | 0.5 o+240 / u-350 |
26% | 40% | 33%3/9 | 1 O |
| Alexandre Texier | PTS | 0.5 o+200 / u-275 |
31% | 40% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Kirby Dach | PTS | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
36% | 40% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Kaiden Guhle | PTS | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
26% | 40% | 0%0/6 | 1 O |
| Cole Caufield | PTS | 0.5 o-150 / u+115 |
66% | 30% | 78%7/9 | 0 U |
| Alex Newhook | PTS | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
42% | 30% | 33%2/6 | 2 O |
| Juraj Slafkovský | PTS | 0.5 o-135 / u+105 |
56% | 30% | 67%6/9 | 0 U |
| Ivan Demidov | PTS | 0.5 o-110 / u-120 |
53% | 30% | 60%3/5 | 0 U |
| Phillip Danault | PTS | 0.5 o+240 / u-350 |
21% | 10% | 0%0/6 | 1 O |
| Mike Matheson | PTS | 0.5 o+220 / u-300 |
36% | 10% | 44%4/9 | 1 O |
| Noah Dobson | PTS | 0.5 o+165 / u-225 |
42% | 10% | 38%3/8 | 1 O |
| Nick Suzuki | A | 0.5 o-125 / u-105 |
62% | 50% | 89%8/9 | 0 U |
| Lane Hutson | A | 0.5 o-130 / u-105 |
57% | 50% | 67%6/9 | 1 O |
| Kaiden Guhle | A | 0.5 o+325 / u-475 |
23% | 40% | 0%0/6 | 1 O |
| Zachary Bolduc | A | 0.5 o+350 / u-550 |
22% | 40% | 33%2/6 | 0 U |
| Alexandre Texier | A | 0.5 o+325 / u-500 |
20% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Kirby Dach | A | 0.5 o+450 / u-750 |
18% | 20% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Cole Caufield | A | 0.5 o+165 / u-225 |
40% | 20% | 33%3/9 | 0 U |
| Alex Newhook | A | 0.5 o+400 / u-600 |
24% | 20% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Juraj Slafkovský | A | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
41% | 20% | 44%4/9 | 0 U |
| Ivan Demidov | A | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
42% | 20% | 40%2/5 | 0 U |
| Phillip Danault | A | 0.5 o+350 / u-525 |
13% | 10% | 0%0/6 | 1 O |
| Mike Matheson | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-400 |
31% | 10% | 44%4/9 | 0 U |
| Josh Anderson | A | 0.5 o+450 / u-700 |
11% | 10% | 11%1/9 | 1 O |
| Noah Dobson | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-300 |
32% | 10% | 38%3/8 | 1 O |
| Lane Hutson | SOG | 1.5 o-105 / u-125 |
49% | 50% | 56%5/9 | 3 O |
| Ivan Demidov | SOG | 1.5 o-170 / u+125 |
47% | 50% | 80%4/5 | 0 U |
| Nick Suzuki | SOG | 2.5 o+135 / u-180 |
34% | 40% | 56%5/9 | 4 O |
| Noah Dobson | SOG | 1.5 o-120 / u-110 |
59% | 40% | 63%5/8 | 5 O |
| Zachary Bolduc | SOG | 1.5 o+150 / u-210 |
41% | 40% | 50%3/6 | 1 U |
| Mike Matheson | SOG | 1.5 o+130 / u-175 |
48% | 30% | 33%3/9 | 3 O |
| Josh Anderson | SOG | 1.5 o+135 / u-185 |
35% | 30% | 33%3/9 | 0 U |
| Alexandre Texier | SOG | 1.5 o+135 / u-180 |
42% | 30% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Alex Newhook | SOG | 1.5 o+145 / u-195 |
38% | 30% | 67%4/6 | 4 O |
| Juraj Slafkovský | SOG | 2.5 o+105 / u-145 |
36% | 30% | 44%4/9 | 1 U |
| Cole Caufield | SOG | 2.5 o-125 / u-105 |
61% | 20% | 33%3/9 | 2 U |
| Jakub Dobes | SV | 25.5 o-115 / u-115 |
50% | 50% | 50%2/4 | 28 O |
| BUF | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Tuch | G | 0.5 o+155 |
40% | 60% | 33%3/9 | 0 U |
| Josh Norris | G | 0.5 o+240 |
25% | 40% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | G | 0.5 o+500 |
16% | 40% | 11%1/9 | 0 U |
| Ryan McLeod | G | 0.5 o+400 |
16% | 30% | 11%1/9 | 0 U |
| Peyton Krebs | G | 0.5 o+350 |
16% | 30% | 22%2/9 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | G | 0.5 o+260 |
25% | 30% | 50%3/6 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | G | 0.5 o+300 |
19% | 30% | 11%1/9 | 1 O |
| Tage Thompson | G | 0.5 o+135 |
41% | 20% | 33%3/9 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | G | 0.5 o+850 |
15% | 20% | 0%0/8 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | G | 0.5 o+325 |
20% | 20% | 25%2/8 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | G | 0.5 o+300 |
29% | 10% | 14%1/7 | 0 U |
| Jordan Greenway | G | 0.5 o+750 |
4% | 10% | 17%1/6 | 0 U |
| Beck Malenstyn | G | 0.5 o+750 |
9% | 10% | 13%1/8 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | G | 0.5 o+275 |
18% | 10% | 0%0/9 | 0 U |
| Logan Stanley | G | 0.5 o+1300 |
11% | 0% | 0%0/5 | 0 U |
| Conor Timmins | G | 0.5 o+1300 |
0% | 0% | 20%1/5 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | G | 0.5 o+900 |
9% | 0% | 11%1/9 | 0 U |
| Tyson Kozak | G | 0.5 o+800 |
4% | 0% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | PTS | 0.5 o-160 / u+120 |
65% | 70% | 56%5/9 | 0 U |
| Josh Norris | PTS | 0.5 o+105 / u-135 |
58% | 70% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | PTS | 0.5 o-210 / u+155 |
66% | 60% | 56%5/9 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | PTS | 0.5 o-180 / u+135 |
61% | 60% | 75%6/8 | 0 U |
| Peyton Krebs | PTS | 0.5 o+120 / u-160 |
43% | 60% | 22%2/9 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | PTS | 0.5 o+190 / u-260 |
34% | 60% | 33%3/9 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | PTS | 0.5 o+125 / u-165 |
50% | 60% | 44%4/9 | 1 O |
| Josh Doan | PTS | 0.5 o+115 / u-155 |
47% | 50% | 50%3/6 | 1 O |
| Jason Zucker | PTS | 0.5 o+115 / u-150 |
46% | 40% | 29%2/7 | 0 U |
| Ryan McLeod | PTS | 0.5 o+140 / u-185 |
49% | 40% | 22%2/9 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | PTS | 0.5 o+125 / u-165 |
43% | 40% | 33%3/9 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | PTS | 0.5 o+105 / u-140 |
45% | 40% | 22%2/9 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | PTS | 0.5 o+225 / u-325 |
40% | 30% | 25%2/8 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | A | 0.5 o+240 / u-350 |
27% | 60% | 22%2/9 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | A | 0.5 o+115 / u-155 |
41% | 50% | 33%3/9 | 0 U |
| Zach Benson | A | 0.5 o+230 / u-325 |
36% | 50% | 33%3/9 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | A | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
28% | 40% | 14%1/7 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | A | 0.5 o+160 / u-220 |
36% | 40% | 22%2/9 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | A | 0.5 o-125 / u-105 |
50% | 40% | 63%5/8 | 0 U |
| Peyton Krebs | A | 0.5 o+200 / u-275 |
33% | 40% | 0%0/9 | 0 U |
| Josh Doan | A | 0.5 o+240 / u-350 |
29% | 40% | 33%2/6 | 1 O |
| Josh Norris | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-300 |
38% | 30% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Ryan McLeod | A | 0.5 o+230 / u-325 |
40% | 30% | 22%2/9 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | A | 0.5 o+200 / u-275 |
34% | 30% | 22%2/9 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | A | 0.5 o+180 / u-250 |
33% | 20% | 22%2/9 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | A | 0.5 o+300 / u-450 |
28% | 10% | 25%2/8 | 0 U |
| Josh Norris | SOG | 1.5 o+100 / u-135 |
52% | 60% | 0%0/2 | 3 O |
| Rasmus Dahlin | SOG | 2.5 o-160 / u+120 |
50% | 60% | 75%6/8 | 5 O |
| Bowen Byram | SOG | 1.5 o-120 / u-115 |
42% | 60% | 22%2/9 | 1 U |
| Josh Doan | SOG | 1.5 o-140 / u+105 |
56% | 60% | 67%4/6 | 4 O |
| Jason Zucker | SOG | 1.5 o-170 / u+125 |
54% | 50% | 43%3/7 | 2 O |
| Alex Tuch | SOG | 2.5 o+100 / u-135 |
41% | 50% | 22%2/9 | 6 O |
| Zach Benson | SOG | 1.5 o-130 / u-105 |
51% | 50% | 67%6/9 | 1 U |
| Tage Thompson | SOG | 3.5 o+110 / u-150 |
46% | 40% | 22%2/9 | 1 U |
| Jack Quinn | SOG | 2.5 o+120 / u-165 |
35% | 40% | 22%2/9 | 0 U |
| Peyton Krebs | SOG | 1.5 o+135 / u-180 |
32% | 30% | 11%1/9 | 1 U |
| Owen Power | SOG | 1.5 o+170 / u-240 |
44% | 30% | 56%5/9 | 0 U |
| Alex Lyon | SV | 24.5 o-105 / u-125 |
62% | 40% | 75%3/4 | 23 U |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | at BUF | BUF 4–2 | 2–1 | 2–1 | 0–0 | 6 | 5.5 O | BUF |
| Jan 31, 2026 | at BUF | BUF 2–4 | 0–1 | 2–0 | 0–3 | 6 | 6.5 U | MTL |
| Jan 22, 2026 | at MTL | BUF 4–2 | 2–0 | 1–2 | 1–0 | 6 | 6.5 U | BUF |
| Jan 15, 2026 | at BUF | BUF 5–3 | 2–2 | 1–1 | 2–0 | 8 | 6.5 O | BUF |
| Oct 20, 2025 | at MTL | BUF 2–4 | 0–1 | 1–0 | 1–3 | 6 | 6.5 U | MTL |
| Mar 3, 2025 | at MTL | BUF 3–4 OT | 0–3 | 1–0 | 2–0 | 7 | 6.5 O | MTL |
| Mar 1, 2025 | at BUF | BUF 2–4 | 0–0 | 2–3 | 0–1 | 6 | 6.5 U | MTL |
| Dec 17, 2024 | at MTL | BUF 1–6 | 0–2 | 1–4 | 0–0 | 7 | 6 O | MTL |
| Nov 11, 2024 | at BUF | BUF 5–7 | 1–1 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 12 | 6.5 O | MTL |
| Feb 21, 2024 | at MTL | BUF 3–2 | 0–1 | 3–1 | 0–0 | 5 | — | BUF |