← Stats / BUF @ MTL

BUF @ MTL

Sunday, May 10, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT · Playoffs

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
7-4-2 · Away
2 – 6
FINAL
Montréal Canadiens
9-6-4 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +110 · MTL -130
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-250) · MTL -1.5 (+180)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 8 → OVER W · MTL -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 BUFo5.5 61%
55-35
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
59%
26-18
100%
10-0
48%
43-46
MTLo5.5 62%
56-35
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
59%
26-18
100%
10-0
52%
47-43
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF+1.5 76%
68-22
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
73%
32-12
40%
4-6
+10.03u
50-39
MTL-1.5 29%
26-65
20%
1-4
10%
1-9
32%
14-30
60%
6-4
+0.13u
53-37
Moneyline
win %
 BUF dog +110 61%
55-35
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
61%
27-17
30%
3-7
+12.73u
25-17
MTL fav -130 58%
53-38
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
57%
25-19
70%
7-3
-2.68u
22-18
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-125/u-105 FD 1.5 o-118/u-108 BUF 57%
51-39
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
61%
27-17
70%
7-3
57%
51-39
 1.93 1.03 / 0.90
MTL 56%
51-40
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
61%
27-17
70%
7-3
56%
51-40
 1.73 0.91 / 0.81
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-160/u+124 FD 1.5 o-164/u+128 BUF 64%
58-32
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
64%
28-16
80%
8-2
52%
47-43
 1.99 1.10 / 0.89
MTL 71%
65-26
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
77%
34-10
80%
8-2
65%
59-32
 2.27 1.16 / 1.11
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+140/u-180 BUF 40%
36-54
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
39%
17-27
30%
3-7
45%
39-48
 2.24 1.26 / 0.99
MTL 36%
33-58
0%
0-5
0%
0-10
32%
14-30
30%
3-7
41%
37-53
 2.09 1.11 / 0.98
Team Comparison '25-26
BUFMTL
Record (W-L-OTL)7-4-29-6-4
Points %61.5%57.9%
Goals for / game3.312.84
Goals against / game3.002.95
Shots for / game30.523.2
Shots against / game26.729.9
Power play %20.4%23.1%
Penalty kill %76.2%78.1%
Faceoff %45.6%53.5%
1st period GF / GA1.23 / 1.081.26 / 1.11
2nd period GF / GA0.77 / 1.080.79 / 1.05
3rd period GF / GA1.31 / 0.690.63 / 0.58
Avg game total6.315.79
Starting Goalies from the box score
BUF · Alex Lyon
31 saves on 36 shots · 5 GA · L
26 saves on 28 shots · 2 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF1100281/4
MTL1320362/6
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+175
 39% 60% 30%3/10 0 U
Josh Norris G 0.5
o+300
 25% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+600
 16% 40% 10%1/10 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+275
 21% 40% 20%2/10 0 U
Sam Carrick G 0.5
o+900
 11% 30% 0%0/5 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+155
 40% 20% 30%3/10 1 O
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+450
 16% 20% 10%1/10 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+900
 15% 20% 0%0/9 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+375
 20% 20% 22%2/9 1 O
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+400
 16% 20% 20%2/10 0 U
Josh Doan G 0.5
o+260
 24% 20% 43%3/7 0 U
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+800
 4% 10% 14%1/7 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+900
 9% 10% 11%1/9 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+350
 29% 0% 13%1/8 0 U
Logan Stanley G 0.5
o+1500
 11% 0% 0%0/6 0 U
Conor Timmins G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 17%1/6 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+300
 18% 0% 0%0/10 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+1000
 9% 0% 10%1/10 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 64% 70% 50%5/10 0 U
Josh Norris PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 57% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 34% 60% 30%3/10 0 U
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 51% 60% 50%5/10 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-185 / u+140
 65% 50% 50%5/10 2 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 60% 50% 67%6/9 2 O
Peyton Krebs PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 42% 50% 20%2/10 0 U
Josh Doan PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 48% 50% 57%4/7 1 O
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 42% 40% 30%3/10 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-190
 46% 30% 25%2/8 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 48% 30% 20%2/10 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson PTS 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 40% 30% 22%2/9 0 U
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 44% 30% 20%2/10 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 27% 60% 20%2/10 0 U
Josh Doan A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 30% 50% 43%3/7 1 O
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 36% 40% 20%2/10 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 40% 40% 30%3/10 1 O
Peyton Krebs A 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 32% 40% 0%0/10 0 U
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 36% 40% 30%3/10 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 27% 30% 13%1/8 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 49% 30% 56%5/9 1 O
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 33% 30% 20%2/10 0 U
Josh Norris A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 37% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 39% 20% 20%2/10 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 32% 20% 20%2/10 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson A 0.5
o+325 / u-500
 28% 10% 22%2/9 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o-130 / u-105
 51% 70% 78%7/9 3 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 41% 60% 30%3/10 4 O
Josh Norris SOG 1.5
o+115 / u-155
 53% 60% 33%1/3 2 O
Bowen Byram SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-140
 41% 60% 20%2/10 2 O
Josh Doan SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 57% 60% 71%5/7 4 O
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+105
 54% 50% 50%4/8 0 U
Owen Power SOG 0.5
o-250 / u+180
 72% 50% 60%6/10 0 U
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+105
 51% 50% 60%6/10 3 O
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+105 / u-140
 45% 40% 20%2/10 3 U
Mattias Samuelsson SOG 1.5
o+155 / u-210
 34% 40% 33%3/9 1 U
Peyton Krebs SOG 1.5
o+155 / u-210
 31% 30% 10%1/10 1 U
Jack Quinn SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 34% 30% 20%2/10 1 U
Alex Lyon SV 24.5
o-110 / u-120
 60% 40% 60%3/5 31 O
MTLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Nick Suzuki G 0.5
o+180
 31% 30% 60%6/10 0 U
Kirby Dach G 0.5
o+475
 22% 30% 17%1/6 1 O
Josh Anderson G 0.5
o+475
 17% 20% 30%3/10 0 U
Alexandre Texier G 0.5
o+475
 13% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Alex Newhook G 0.5
o+325
 26% 20% 29%2/7 2 O
Lane Hutson G 0.5
o+425
 15% 20% 10%1/10 0 U
Mike Matheson G 0.5
o+850
 9% 10% 20%2/10 0 U
Jake Evans G 0.5
o+525
 16% 10% 22%2/9 0 U
Alexandre Carrier G 0.5
o+1500
 9% 10% 13%1/8 0 U
Cole Caufield G 0.5
o+150
 42% 10% 60%6/10 1 O
Zachary Bolduc G 0.5
o+550
 14% 10% 0%0/7 1 O
Juraj Slafkovský G 0.5
o+190
 30% 10% 40%4/10 1 O
Phillip Danault G 0.5
o+650
 7% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Joseph Veleno G 0.5
o+900
 3% 0% 0%0/9 0 U
Noah Dobson G 0.5
o+650
 12% 0% 0%0/9 0 U
Kaiden Guhle G 0.5
o+1200
 4% 0% 0%0/7 0 U
Arber Xhekaj G 0.5
o+2250
 1% 0% 0%0/9 0 U
Ivan Demidov G 0.5
o+300
 21% 0% 17%1/6 0 U
Lane Hutson PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+145
 67% 70% 80%8/10 2 O
Kaiden Guhle PTS 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 27% 50% 14%1/7 0 U
Josh Anderson PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 27% 40% 40%4/10 0 U
Alexandre Texier PTS 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 30% 40% 0%0/5 1 O
Zachary Bolduc PTS 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 30% 40% 29%2/7 1 O
Jake Evans PTS 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 33% 30% 44%4/9 2 O
Kirby Dach PTS 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 35% 30% 50%3/6 1 O
Cole Caufield PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 66% 30% 70%7/10 2 O
Alex Newhook PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 43% 30% 43%3/7 2 O
Phillip Danault PTS 0.5
o+240 / u-350
 21% 20% 14%1/7 1 O
Mike Matheson PTS 0.5
o+185 / u-260
 37% 20% 50%5/10 0 U
Noah Dobson PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 42% 20% 44%4/9 0 U
Juraj Slafkovský PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 55% 20% 60%6/10 1 O
Ivan Demidov PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 53% 20% 50%3/6 1 O
Nick Suzuki PTS 1.5
o+180 / u-250
 33% 10% 70%7/10 1 U
Kaiden Guhle A 0.5
o+260 / u-400
 25% 50% 14%1/7 0 U
Lane Hutson A 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 57% 50% 70%7/10 2 O
Nick Suzuki A 0.5
o-135 / u+105
 62% 40% 80%8/10 1 O
Alexandre Texier A 0.5
o+350 / u-525
 20% 30% 0%0/5 1 O
Zachary Bolduc A 0.5
o+350 / u-525
 22% 30% 29%2/7 0 U
Phillip Danault A 0.5
o+350 / u-575
 14% 20% 14%1/7 1 O
Josh Anderson A 0.5
o+350 / u-550
 12% 20% 20%2/10 0 U
Jake Evans A 0.5
o+375 / u-600
 17% 20% 22%2/9 2 O
Noah Dobson A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
 33% 20% 44%4/9 0 U
Cole Caufield A 0.5
o+150 / u-210
 40% 20% 30%3/10 1 O
Ivan Demidov A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 42% 20% 33%2/6 1 O
Mike Matheson A 0.5
o+240 / u-325
 31% 10% 40%4/10 0 U
Kirby Dach A 0.5
o+425 / u-700
 17% 10% 33%2/6 0 U
Alex Newhook A 0.5
o+325 / u-475
 24% 10% 14%1/7 0 U
Juraj Slafkovský A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 41% 10% 40%4/10 0 U
Lane Hutson SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 50% 60% 60%6/10 1 U
Ivan Demidov SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 46% 50% 67%4/6 1 U
Mike Matheson SOG 1.5
o+120 / u-160
 48% 40% 40%4/10 0 U
Nick Suzuki SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 35% 40% 60%6/10 4 O
Noah Dobson SOG 1.5
o-145 / u+110
 59% 40% 67%6/9 1 U
Alex Newhook SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-140
 39% 40% 71%5/7 4 O
Zachary Bolduc SOG 1.5
o+155 / u-210
 40% 40% 43%3/7 1 U
Josh Anderson SOG 1.5
o+135 / u-185
 35% 30% 30%3/10 4 O
Alexandre Texier SOG 1.5
o+140 / u-185
 42% 30% 20%1/5 0 U
Juraj Slafkovský SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 35% 30% 40%4/10 4 O
Cole Caufield SOG 2.5
o-155 / u+115
 60% 20% 30%3/10 3 O
Kirby Dach SOG 1.5
o+165 / u-230
 30% 10% 17%1/6 4 O
Jakub Dobes SV 24.5
o-125 / u-105
 55% 50% 60%3/5 26 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
May 8, 2026 at BUF MTL 5–1 2–01–12–0 6 5.5 O MTL
May 6, 2026 at BUF MTL 2–4 1–21–20–0 6 5.5 O BUF
Jan 31, 2026 at BUF MTL 4–2 1–00–23–0 6 6.5 U MTL
Jan 22, 2026 at MTL MTL 2–4 0–22–10–1 6 6.5 U BUF
Jan 15, 2026 at BUF MTL 3–5 2–21–10–2 8 6.5 O BUF
Oct 20, 2025 at MTL MTL 4–2 1–00–13–1 6 6.5 U MTL
Mar 3, 2025 at MTL MTL 4–3 OT 3–00–10–2 7 6.5 O MTL
Mar 1, 2025 at BUF MTL 4–2 0–03–21–0 6 6.5 U MTL
Dec 17, 2024 at MTL MTL 6–1 2–04–10–0 7 6 O MTL
Nov 11, 2024 at BUF MTL 7–5 1–13–23–2 12 6.5 O MTL