FLA @ CAR
Tuesday, September 29, 2026 · 4:00 PM CTHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
FLA +105 · CAR -125
Puck Line
FLA +1.5 (-230) · CAR -1.5 (+175)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)
Graded: total 1 → OVER L · CAR -1.5 L
Betting Trends Season = '25-26 (fewer than 5 games this season)
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 6.5 | FLA | o6.5 | 51% 42-40 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 59% 24-17 | 100% 3-0 | 57% 46-35 |
| CAR | o6.5 | 54% 44-38 | 40% 2-3 | 50% 5-5 | 63% 26-15 | 100% 3-0 | 55% 45-37 | |
| Puck Line cover % | FLA | +1.5 | 61% 50-32 | 80% 4-1 | 60% 6-4 | 49% 20-21 | 67% 2-1 | -26.54u 31-50 |
| CAR | -1.5 | 35% 29-53 | 40% 2-3 | 40% 4-6 | 32% 13-28 | 33% 1-2 | -10.58u 33-49 | |
| Moneyline win % | FLA dog | +105 | 49% 40-42 | 60% 3-2 | 50% 5-5 | 42% 17-24 | 67% 2-1 | +12.04u 23-14 |
| CAR fav | -125 | 65% 53-29 | 80% 4-1 | 70% 7-3 | 71% 29-12 | 33% 1-2 | +3.25u 49-24 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 2.5 |
DK 1.5 o-140/u+110 FD 1.5 o-130/u+102 | FLA | 31% 25-57 | 20% 1-4 | 50% 5-5 | 29% 12-29 | 0% 0-3 | 49% 40-42 | 1.83 | 0.93 / 0.90 |
| CAR | 29% 24-58 | 40% 2-3 | 40% 4-6 | 32% 13-28 | 0% 0-3 | 57% 47-35 | 1.96 | 1.18 / 0.78 | ||
| 2nd Period over 2.5 |
DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-186/u+144 | FLA | 31% 25-57 | 40% 2-3 | 40% 4-6 | 32% 13-28 | 33% 1-2 | 57% 47-35 | 1.95 | 0.84 / 1.11 |
| CAR | 33% 27-55 | 20% 1-4 | 30% 3-7 | 37% 15-26 | 33% 1-2 | 56% 46-36 | 1.95 | 0.98 / 0.98 | ||
| 3rd Period over 2.5 |
DK 2.5 o+140/u-180 FD 2.5 o+144/u-186 | FLA | 45% 37-45 | 80% 4-1 | 60% 6-4 | 49% 20-21 | 100% 3-0 | 61% 49-32 | 2.50 | 1.20 / 1.30 |
| CAR | 40% 33-49 | 40% 2-3 | 40% 4-6 | 49% 20-21 | 100% 3-0 | 44% 36-45 | 2.37 | 1.28 / 1.09 |
Team Comparison '26-27
| FLA | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 5-3-2 | 8-2-1 |
| Points % | 60.0% | 77.3% |
| Goals for / game | 3.10 | 3.82 |
| Goals against / game | 3.00 | 2.45 |
| Shots for / game | 28.3 | 34.1 |
| Shots against / game | 24.6 | 22.4 |
| Power play % | 20.8% | 22.7% |
| Penalty kill % | 81.4% | 89.2% |
| Faceoff % | 45.7% | 49.8% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 0.60 / 1.20 | 0.82 / 0.91 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 1.20 / 0.80 | 1.73 / 1.09 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 1.10 / 0.80 | 1.18 / 0.36 |
| Avg game total | 6.10 | 6.27 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
FLA · Jacob Markstrom
15 saves on 15 shots · 0 GA · W
CAR · Brandon Bussi
19 saves on 20 shots · 1 GA · OTL
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 0/7 |
| CAR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0/6 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| FLA | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Verhaeghe | G | 0.5 o+260 |
29% | 40% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Matthew Tkachuk | G | 0.5 o+200 |
29% | 30% | — | 0 U |
| Sam Reinhart | G | 0.5 o+210 |
41% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Niko Mikkola | G | 0.5 o+1200 |
4% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Eetu Luostarinen | G | 0.5 o+425 |
15% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Brady Tkachuk | G | 0.5 o+200 |
32% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Anton Lundell | G | 0.5 o+350 |
28% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Sandis Vilmanis | G | 0.5 o+650 |
16% | 20% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Lars Eller | G | 0.5 o+750 |
7% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Radko Gudas | G | 0.5 o+1200 |
4% | 10% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Seth Jones | G | 0.5 o+500 |
12% | 10% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Aaron Ekblad | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
6% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Sam Bennett | G | 0.5 o+220 |
30% | 10% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Dmitry Kulikov | G | 0.5 o+1400 |
0% | 0% | — | 0 U |
| Garnet Hathaway | G | 0.5 o+850 |
2% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Gustav Forsling | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
3% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 1 O |
| Aleksander Barkov | G | 0.5 o+275 |
— | — | — | 0 U |
| Bokondji Imama | G | 0.5 o+800 |
0% | — | — | 0 U |
| Sam Reinhart | PTS | 0.5 o-135 / u+100 |
63% | 70% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Brady Tkachuk | PTS | 0.5 o-110 / u-120 |
67% | 70% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Seth Jones | PTS | 0.5 o+105 / u-140 |
46% | 60% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Sam Bennett | PTS | 0.5 o+100 / u-130 |
55% | 50% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Matthew Tkachuk | PTS | 0.5 o-145 / u+110 |
58% | 50% | — | 0 U |
| Carter Verhaeghe | PTS | 0.5 o+115 / u-155 |
48% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| Anton Lundell | PTS | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
53% | 30% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Aleksander Barkov | PTS | 0.5 o-135 / u+100 |
— | — | — | 0 U |
| Sam Reinhart | A | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
36% | 60% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Brady Tkachuk | A | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
43% | 60% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Seth Jones | A | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
39% | 50% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Sam Bennett | A | 0.5 o+230 / u-325 |
33% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Matthew Tkachuk | A | 0.5 o+145 / u-195 |
45% | 40% | — | 0 U |
| Carter Verhaeghe | A | 0.5 o+250 / u-350 |
31% | 10% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| Anton Lundell | A | 0.5 o+300 / u-475 |
34% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Aleksander Barkov | A | 0.5 o+130 / u-170 |
— | — | — | 0 U |
| Sam Bennett | SOG | 2.5 o+125 / u-165 |
55% | 70% | 33%1/3 | 1 U |
| Carter Verhaeghe | SOG | 1.5 o-200 / u+150 |
66% | 60% | 0%0/3 | 1 U |
| Matthew Tkachuk | SOG | 2.5 o+120 / u-160 |
65% | 60% | — | 2 U |
| Brady Tkachuk | SOG | 2.5 o-155 / u-115 |
75% | 60% | 67%2/3 | 1 U |
| Sam Reinhart | SOG | 2.5 o+135 / u-185 |
45% | 50% | 33%1/3 | 2 U |
| Anton Lundell | SOG | 1.5 o+100 / u-130 |
59% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 3 O |
| Seth Jones | SOG | 1.5 o-120 / u-115 |
44% | 10% | 100%2/2 | 1 U |
| Aleksander Barkov | SOG | 1.5 o-145 / u+110 |
— | — | — | 1 U |
| Jacob Markstrom | SV | 25.5 o-105 / u-125 |
33% | 20% | 100%3/3 | 15 U |
| CAR | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Svechnikov | G | 0.5 o+170 |
34% | 60% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Logan Stankoven | G | 0.5 o+200 |
24% | 50% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Jordan Staal | G | 0.5 o+275 |
24% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Taylor Hall | G | 0.5 o+275 |
21% | 30% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | G | 0.5 o+220 |
27% | 30% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Sebastian Aho | G | 0.5 o+210 |
30% | 30% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Mark Jankowski | G | 0.5 o+475 |
15% | 20% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | G | 0.5 o+425 |
22% | 20% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Jordan Martinook | G | 0.5 o+350 |
16% | 20% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Jackson Blake | G | 0.5 o+210 |
24% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| William Carrier | G | 0.5 o+550 |
10% | 10% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Jalen Chatfield | G | 0.5 o+850 |
3% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Nicolas Deslauriers | G | 0.5 o+600 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Mike Reilly | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
2% | 0% | 0%0/2 | DNP |
| Eric Robinson | G | 0.5 o+375 |
18% | 0% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Andrei Svechnikov | PTS | 0.5 o-145 / u+110 |
54% | 90% | 100%3/3 | 0 U |
| Sebastian Aho | PTS | 0.5 o-185 / u+140 |
66% | 80% | 100%3/3 | 0 U |
| Logan Stankoven | PTS | 0.5 o-105 / u-125 |
41% | 80% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Jackson Blake | PTS | 0.5 o-130 / u-105 |
51% | 70% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Jordan Staal | PTS | 0.5 o+125 / u-170 |
43% | 60% | 100%3/3 | 0 U |
| Taylor Hall | PTS | 0.5 o+110 / u-145 |
44% | 60% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | PTS | 0.5 o-135 / u+100 |
59% | 60% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | PTS | 0.5 o-115 / u-115 |
60% | 50% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Taylor Hall | A | 0.5 o+210 / u-300 |
34% | 50% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | A | 0.5 o+150 / u-200 |
43% | 50% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Sebastian Aho | A | 0.5 o+105 / u-135 |
48% | 50% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Andrei Svechnikov | A | 0.5 o+165 / u-220 |
37% | 50% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Jackson Blake | A | 0.5 o+170 / u-230 |
33% | 50% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | A | 0.5 o+125 / u-165 |
47% | 40% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Logan Stankoven | A | 0.5 o+240 / u-350 |
26% | 40% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Jordan Staal | A | 0.5 o+260 / u-375 |
20% | 30% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Logan Stankoven | SOG | 1.5 o-150 / u+115 |
69% | 90% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | SOG | 1.5 o-145 / u+110 |
58% | 70% | 50%1/2 | 1 U |
| Jordan Staal | SOG | 1.5 o-135 / u+105 |
44% | 60% | 67%2/3 | 0 U |
| Taylor Hall | SOG | 1.5 o-135 / u+100 |
58% | 60% | 67%2/3 | 1 U |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | SOG | 2.5 o+130 / u-175 |
43% | 60% | 33%1/3 | 2 U |
| Sebastian Aho | SOG | 2.5 o+115 / u-150 |
46% | 60% | 0%0/3 | 4 O |
| Andrei Svechnikov | SOG | 2.5 o+100 / u-135 |
43% | 50% | 33%1/3 | 2 U |
| Jackson Blake | SOG | 2.5 o+120 / u-160 |
42% | 50% | 0%0/3 | 2 U |
| Brandon Bussi | SV | 22.5 o-110 / u-120 |
44% | 40% | 50%1/2 | 19 U |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | at CAR | CAR 9–1 | 1–0 | 2–1 | 6–0 | 10 | 5.5 O | CAR |
| Dec 23, 2025 | at CAR | CAR 2–5 | 1–0 | 1–0 | 0–5 | 7 | 5.5 O | FLA |
| Dec 19, 2025 | at FLA | CAR 3–4 SO | 1–0 | 0–0 | 2–3 | 7 | 5.5 O | FLA |
| May 28, 2025 | at CAR | CAR 3–5 | 2–0 | 0–3 | 1–2 | 8 | 5.5 O | FLA |
| May 26, 2025 | at FLA | CAR 3–0 | 0–0 | 1–0 | 2–0 | 3 | 5.5 U | CAR |
| May 24, 2025 | at FLA | CAR 2–6 | 0–1 | 1–0 | 1–5 | 8 | 5.5 O | FLA |
| May 22, 2025 | at CAR | CAR 0–5 | 0–3 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 5 | 5.5 U | FLA |
| May 20, 2025 | at CAR | CAR 2–5 | 1–2 | 0–1 | 1–2 | 7 | 5.5 O | FLA |
| Jan 2, 2025 | at FLA | CAR 3–1 | 1–0 | 0–1 | 2–0 | 4 | 5.5 U | CAR |
| Nov 30, 2024 | at FLA | CAR 0–6 | 0–0 | 0–2 | 0–4 | 6 | 6.5 U | FLA |