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MIN @ TBL

Thursday, October 8, 2026 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Minnesota Wild
6-2-2 · Away
2 – 3
FINAL
Tampa Bay Lightning
7-2-0 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
MIN +125 · TBL -145
Puck Line
MIN +1.5 (-210) · TBL -1.5 (+160)
Total
O 6.5 (+105) · U (-130)

Graded: total 5 → OVER L · TBL -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season = '25-26 (fewer than 5 games this season)
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 MINo6.5 51%
42-40
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
56%
23-18
50%
1-1
54%
43-37
TBLo6.5 46%
38-44
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
44%
18-23
50%
1-1
52%
43-39
Puck Line
cover %
 MIN+1.5 77%
63-19
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
76%
31-10
50%
1-1
-6.36u
41-39
TBL-1.5 43%
35-47
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
39%
16-25
50%
1-1
+0.36u
39-43
Moneyline
win %
 MIN dog +125 56%
46-36
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
56%
23-18
50%
1-1
+11.18u
22-14
TBL fav -145 61%
50-32
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
63%
26-15
50%
1-1
-2.21u
42-27
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-135/u+105 FD 1.5 o-138/u+108 MIN 51%
42-40
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
51%
21-20
50%
1-1
51%
42-40
 1.72 0.91 / 0.80
TBL 54%
44-38
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
54%
22-19
50%
1-1
54%
44-38
 1.89 0.96 / 0.93
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-175/u+135 FD 1.5 o-192/u+150 MIN 65%
53-29
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
76%
31-10
100%
2-0
60%
49-33
 1.98 1.10 / 0.88
TBL 63%
52-30
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
68%
28-13
100%
2-0
59%
48-34
 2.06 1.22 / 0.84
3rd Period
over 2.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 2.5 o+140/u-180 FD 2.5 o+150/u-192 MIN 45%
37-45
0%
0-5
10%
1-9
51%
21-20
50%
1-1
53%
42-38
 2.22 1.12 / 1.10
TBL 35%
29-53
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
37%
15-26
50%
1-1
44%
36-45
 2.21 1.23 / 0.98
Team Comparison '26-27
MINTBL
Record (W-L-OTL)6-2-27-2-0
Points %70.0%77.8%
Goals for / game3.103.44
Goals against / game2.502.56
Shots for / game29.829.8
Shots against / game26.124.2
Power play %29.0%12.9%
Penalty kill %81.8%79.2%
Faceoff %52.1%48.8%
1st period GF / GA1.30 / 0.801.22 / 0.89
2nd period GF / GA1.10 / 0.801.11 / 1.22
3rd period GF / GA0.70 / 0.701.00 / 0.44
Avg game total5.606.00
Starting Goalies from the box score
32 saves on 35 shots · 3 GA · L
34 saves on 36 shots · 2 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
MIN0200361/2
TBL2100351/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
MINPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Kirill Kaprizov G 0.5
o+135
 47% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Ryan Hartman G 0.5
o+325
 26% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Blake Coleman G 0.5
o+325
 26% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Matt Boldy G 0.5
o+150
 45% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Danila Yurov G 0.5
o+450
 15% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Michael McCarron G 0.5
o+575
 10% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Joel Eriksson Ek G 0.5
o+195
 26% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Quinn Hughes G 0.5
o+400
 10% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Nico Sturm G 0.5
o+750
 10% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Maxim Shabanov G 0.5
o+400
 9% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Jared Spurgeon G 0.5
o+850
 8% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Marcus Foligno G 0.5
o+600
 11% 10% — 0 U
Jonas Brodin G 0.5
o+900
 7% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Zach Bogosian G 0.5
o+1100
 5% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Yakov Trenin G 0.5
o+700
 7% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Bobby Brink G 0.5
o+425
 21% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Daemon Hunt G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% — 0 U
Kirill Kaprizov PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 72% 70% 50%1/2 1 O
Quinn Hughes PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 64% 70% 100%3/3 2 O
Jared Spurgeon PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 25% 60% 0%0/2 1 O
Blake Coleman PTS 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 41% 60% 50%1/2 1 O
Joel Eriksson Ek PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 51% 60% 0%0/2 0 U
Maxim Shabanov PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 34% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Matt Boldy PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
 65% 40% 100%2/2 0 U
Danila Yurov PTS 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 32% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Quinn Hughes A 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 61% 70% 100%3/3 1 O
Jared Spurgeon A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 20% 50% 0%0/2 1 O
Joel Eriksson Ek A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 37% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Matt Boldy A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 43% 40% 100%2/2 0 U
Blake Coleman A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 19% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Maxim Shabanov A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 27% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Kirill Kaprizov A 0.5
o+120 / u-155
 41% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Danila Yurov A 0.5
o+350 / u-525
 18% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Kirill Kaprizov SOG 2.5
o-170 / u+130
 64% 80% 50%1/2 0 U
Matt Boldy SOG 2.5
o-155 / u+105
 63% 80% 50%1/2 3 O
Blake Coleman SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+120
 74% 70% 50%1/2 6 O
Ryan Hartman SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 59% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Joel Eriksson Ek SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-150
 54% 50% 50%1/2 6 O
Quinn Hughes SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-150
 46% 40% 67%2/3 4 O
Jesper Wallstedt SV 24.5
o-125 / u-110
 70% 50% — 32 O
TBLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Brandon Hagel G 0.5
o+145
 42% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Nikita Kucherov G 0.5
o+130
 46% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Jake Guentzel G 0.5
o+155
 40% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Ilya Mikheyev G 0.5
o+400
 18% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Brayden Point G 0.5
o+175
 25% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Charle-Edouard D'Astous G 0.5
o+475
 9% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Conor Geekie G 0.5
o+525
 7% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
John Carlson G 0.5
o+425
 17% 10% 0%0/3 2 O
Zemgus Girgensons G 0.5
o+500
 11% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Erik Cernak G 0.5
o+900
 5% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Anthony Cirelli G 0.5
o+300
 25% 10% 0%0/2 1 O
Jeffrey Viel G 0.5
o+650
 7% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Pontus Holmberg G 0.5
o+500
 16% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Ryan McDonagh G 0.5
o+1000
 13% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Victor Hedman G 0.5
o+850
 3% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Max Crozier G 0.5
o+900
 3% 0% — 0 U
Gage Goncalves G 0.5
o+325
 12% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
J.J. Moser G 0.5
o+700
 9% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Brandon Hagel PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 58% 70% 50%1/2 1 O
Jake Guentzel PTS 0.5
o-190 / u+140
 69% 60% 100%2/2 1 O
Brayden Point PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 57% 60% 100%2/2 1 O
John Carlson PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 55% 40% 33%1/3 2 O
Nikita Kucherov PTS 1.5
o+120 / u-165
 53% 20% 0%0/2 2 O
Charle-Edouard D'Astous PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 33% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Gage Goncalves PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 34% 20% 100%1/1 0 U
Anthony Cirelli PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 45% 10% 0%0/2 1 O
Nikita Kucherov A 0.5
o-175 / u+130
 65% 50% 50%1/2 2 O
Jake Guentzel A 0.5
o+120 / u-165
 47% 50% 100%2/2 1 O
Brayden Point A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 41% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Brandon Hagel A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 41% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
John Carlson A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 45% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Gage Goncalves A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 24% 20% 100%1/1 0 U
Anthony Cirelli A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 31% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Charle-Edouard D'Astous A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 26% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Brandon Hagel SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 59% 90% 0%0/2 3 O
Jake Guentzel SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 48% 60% 100%2/2 1 U
Nikita Kucherov SOG 2.5
o-140 / u+100
 57% 50% 50%1/2 1 U
John Carlson SOG 2.5
o+145 / u-195
 39% 40% 33%1/3 9 O
Brayden Point SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 33% 40% 0%0/2 2 U
Anthony Cirelli SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 47% 40% 0%0/2 4 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Mar 24, 2026 at TBL TBL 6–3 0–23–13–0 9 6.5 O TBL
Mar 3, 2026 at MIN TBL 1–5 0–11–20–2 6 6.5 U MIN
Nov 1, 2024 at MIN TBL 3–5 1–00–12–4 8 6.5 O MIN
Oct 24, 2024 at TBL TBL 2–4 0–12–10–2 6 6.5 U MIN
Jan 18, 2024 at TBL TBL 7–3 1–13–23–0 10 — TBL
Jan 4, 2024 at MIN TBL 4–1 0–02–02–1 5 — TBL
Jan 24, 2023 at TBL TBL 4–2 0–02–22–0 6 — TBL
Jan 4, 2023 at MIN TBL 1–5 0–11–30–1 6 — MIN
Nov 28, 2021 at MIN TBL 2–4 1–21–00–2 6 — MIN
Nov 21, 2021 at TBL TBL 5–4 SO 2–11–11–2 9 — TBL