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FLA @ BUF

Monday, October 12, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Florida Panthers
5-3-2 · Away
3 – 5
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
4-4-2 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
FLA -105 · BUF -115
Puck Line
FLA +1.5 (-300) · BUF -1.5 (+200)
Total
O 5.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 8 → OVER W · BUF -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 5.5
 FLAo5.5 20%
1-4
20%
1-4
50%
5-5
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
20%
1-4
BUFo5.5 40%
2-3
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
Puck Line
cover %
 FLA+1.5 80%
4-1
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
100%
4-0
50%
2-2
-3.57u
1-4
BUF-1.5 0%
0-5
0%
0-5
40%
4-6
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
-5.00u
0-5
Moneyline
win %
 FLA dog -105 40%
2-3
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
+1.05u
1-0
BUF fav -115 40%
2-3
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
-0.57u
1-1
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-125/u-105 FD 1.5 o-116/u-110 FLA 40%
2-3
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
 1.20 0.20 / 1.00
BUF 60%
3-2
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
 2.00 0.60 / 1.40
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-160/u+124 FD 1.5 o-168/u+132 FLA 40%
2-3
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
 1.40 0.60 / 0.80
BUF 100%
5-0
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
100%
4-0
50%
2-2
100%
5-0
 2.40 0.60 / 1.80
3rd Period
over 2.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 2.5 o+145/u-188 FD 1.5 o-210/u+160 FLA 0%
0-5
0%
0-5
40%
4-6
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
0%
0-5
 1.00 0.80 / 0.20
BUF 0%
0-5
0%
0-5
30%
3-7
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
0%
0-5
 1.40 0.80 / 0.60
Team Comparison '26-27
FLABUF
Record (W-L-OTL)5-3-24-4-2
Points %60.0%50.0%
Goals for / game3.102.80
Goals against / game3.003.70
Shots for / game28.326.9
Shots against / game24.625.7
Power play %20.8%11.1%
Penalty kill %81.4%66.7%
Faceoff %45.7%47.2%
1st period GF / GA0.60 / 1.200.80 / 1.50
2nd period GF / GA1.20 / 0.800.70 / 1.60
3rd period GF / GA1.10 / 0.801.10 / 0.40
Avg game total6.106.50
Starting Goalies from the box score
9 saves on 11 shots · 2 GA
7 saves on 9 shots · 2 GA
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
FLA1200232/4
BUF2120322/5
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Matthew Tkachuk G 0.5
o+175
 60% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+210
 20% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+400
 20% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Seth Jones G 0.5
o+525
 20% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+160
 0% 20% 25%1/4 2 O
Aaron Ekblad G 0.5
o+750
 6% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+240
 0% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+850
 3% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+900
 0% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Brady Tkachuk G 0.5
o+170
 0% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+230
 0% 10% 33%1/3 1 O
Sandis Vilmanis G 0.5
o+400
 0% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Lars Eller G 0.5
o+525
 0% 0% 100%2/2 0 U
Dmitry Kulikov G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% — 0 U
Radko Gudas G 0.5
o+1100
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Garnet Hathaway G 0.5
o+650
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Sam Lafferty G 0.5
o+700
 3% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Bokondji Imama G 0.5
o+1100
 0% — — 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 80% 70% 50%1/2 1 O
Seth Jones PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 20% 50% 0%0/1 2 O
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-135 / u-130
 60% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 20% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o-135 / u-115
 40% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 0% 40% 50%2/4 2 O
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 30% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Brady Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 0% 30% 50%1/2 1 O
Aaron Ekblad PTS 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 26% 20% 0%0/4 1 O
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 20% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+155 / u-275
 60% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk A 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 20% 40% 0%0/2 1 O
Seth Jones A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 0% 30% 0%0/1 2 O
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 0% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+350 / u-525
 30% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen A 0.5
o+300 / u-475
 0% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Brady Tkachuk A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 0% 20% 50%1/2 1 O
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+155 / u-250
 20% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Aaron Ekblad A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 24% 10% 0%0/4 1 O
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 20% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-130
 40% 50% 50%2/4 2 U
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-165
 20% 50% 25%1/4 1 U
Gustav Forsling SOG 1.5
o+130 / u-175
 38% 50% 50%2/4 2 O
Brady Tkachuk SOG 2.5
o-165 / u+125
 40% 50% 50%1/2 3 O
Anton Lundell SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 80% 50% 33%1/3 3 O
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-145
 40% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Seth Jones SOG 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 80% 40% 100%1/1 4 O
Aaron Ekblad SOG 1.5
o+125 / u-165
 35% 40% 75%3/4 3 O
Sandis Vilmanis SOG 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 40% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk SOG 2.5
o-140 / u-120
 20% 30% 50%1/2 2 U
Jacob Markstrom SV 24.5
o-125 / u-110
 37% 20% — 9 U
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+350
 20% 30% 0%0/4 1 O
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+350
 0% 20% 0%0/4 1 O
Noah Ostlund G 0.5
o+300
 20% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+240
 0% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+800
 20% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Louis Crevier G 0.5
o+800
 0% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+750
 20% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+500
 0% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Olen Zellweger G 0.5
o+800
 9% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Tyson Kozak G 0.5
o+575
 4% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 60% 80% 75%3/4 1 O
Zach Benson PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 20% 60% 100%3/3 1 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 60% 50% 50%2/4 2 O
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 20% 40% 75%3/4 1 O
Noah Ostlund PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 40% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Olen Zellweger PTS 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 28% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-125 / u-105
 40% 60% 75%3/4 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 60% 50% 25%1/4 2 O
Zach Benson A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 20% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 20% 30% 75%3/4 0 U
Olen Zellweger A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 18% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Noah Ostlund A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 20% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Noah Ostlund SOG 1.5
o+105 / u-140
 100% 70% 50%1/2 3 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-160
 80% 60% 25%1/4 4 O
Zach Benson SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 40% 60% 67%2/3 2 O
Colten Ellis SV 25.5
o-125 / u-110
 64% 60% 100%1/1 7 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Feb 27, 2026 at FLA BUF 3–2 1–00–12–1 5 6.5 U BUF
Feb 2, 2026 at FLA BUF 5–3 2–21–12–0 8 — BUF
Jan 12, 2026 at BUF BUF 3–4 1–21–01–2 7 6.5 O FLA
Oct 18, 2025 at BUF BUF 3–0 1–02–00–0 3 5.5 U BUF
Apr 12, 2025 at FLA BUF 2–3 SO 1–00–21–0 5 5.5 U FLA
Mar 8, 2025 at FLA BUF 0–4 0–10–20–1 4 6.5 U FLA
Oct 28, 2024 at BUF BUF 2–5 0–22–10–2 7 6 O FLA
Oct 12, 2024 at BUF BUF 5–2 2–12–11–0 7 6 O BUF
Apr 13, 2024 at FLA BUF 2–3 OT 2–20–00–0 5 — FLA
Feb 27, 2024 at FLA BUF 2–3 1–20–01–1 5 — FLA