NHL Today
6:30 PM
EDM -140 15-3-3
PHI 5.5 6-10-6
7:00 PM
FLA 5.5 12-7-2
DAL -130 11-6-2
7:00 PM
CGY 6.5 9-10-1
ANA -150 10-9-1
8:00 PM
VAN 6.5 3-17-1
VGK -450 13-5-3
8:00 PM
NSH -170 11-4-5
SJS 6.5 9-11-2
← Models / Points Model — Pick History

Pick History

What's listed

Every over/under pick the points model made, at the Hard Rock line closest to even money, and how it graded. Live picks are the model's last prediction before puck drop. Backtest picks replay past seasons at Hard Rock's closing line, using only information from before each game.

Columns

  • Conf — the model's probability that the pick wins. Book — Hard Rock's de-vigged probability of the same side.
  • Units — result of a flat 1-unit bet at the listed price.

Tiers

Top, strong and lean are confidence bands; a toss-up is a player the model has almost no opinion on. The default view hides toss-ups.

Settlement

Overtime counts, shootouts don't, and a player who doesn't play is a void.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Record
20667-12503
0 void · 0 pending
Accuracy
62.3%
expected 62.2%
Book favorite, same picks
62.3%
always taking Hard Rock's favored side
Units
-1,634.44u
ROI -4.9% · flat 1u
DatePlayerGamePickTierPriceConfBook PointsResultUnits
2026-10-22 PIT vs FLA OVER 0.5 Lean -160 59.2% 57.5% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-22 MIN @ CGY OVER 0.5 Lean -165 59.1% 58.4% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-22 ANA @ NJD OVER 0.5 Lean -185 58.8% 57.1% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-22 DAL vs WPG OVER 0.5 Lean -165 58.8% 58.4% 2 W +0.61
2026-10-22 UTA @ SEA UNDER 0.5 Lean -165 58.6% 58.4% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-22 UTA @ SEA OVER 0.5 Lean -155 58.5% 56.7% 2 W +0.65
2026-10-22 VAN vs DET UNDER 0.5 Lean -165 58.5% 58.4% 2 L -1.00
2026-10-22 CAR @ EDM OVER 0.5 Lean -150 58.2% 56.3% 1 W +0.67
2026-10-22 NJD vs ANA UNDER 0.5 Lean -175 58.2% 59.4% 0 W +0.57
2026-10-22 DET @ VAN UNDER 0.5 Lean -165 58.2% 58.4% 2 L -1.00
2026-10-22 TOR vs NYR OVER 0.5 Lean -155 58.1% 56.7% 1 W +0.65
2026-10-22 NYI vs LAK OVER 0.5 Lean -165 58.0% 58.4% 1 W +0.61
2026-10-22 NYR @ TOR UNDER 0.5 Lean -180 58.0% 60.2% 0 W +0.56
2026-10-22 NJD vs ANA OVER 0.5 Lean -155 57.9% 56.7% 1 W +0.65
2026-10-22 STL vs VGK UNDER 0.5 Lean -160 57.9% 57.5% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-22 NYR @ TOR OVER 0.5 Lean -160 57.9% 57.5% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-22 ANA @ NJD OVER 0.5 Lean -185 57.9% 57.1% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-22 DAL vs WPG UNDER 0.5 Lean -160 57.9% 57.5% 0 W +0.63
2026-10-22 UTA @ SEA UNDER 0.5 Lean -175 57.8% 59.4% 0 W +0.57
2026-10-22 PIT vs FLA UNDER 0.5 Lean -145 57.8% 55.4% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-22 VAN vs DET UNDER 0.5 Lean -170 57.8% 59.2% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-22 DET @ VAN OVER 0.5 Lean -155 57.7% 56.7% 2 W +0.65
2026-10-22 SEA vs UTA UNDER 0.5 Lean -165 57.6% 58.4% 2 L -1.00
2026-10-22 EDM vs CAR UNDER 0.5 Lean -165 57.6% 58.4% 0 W +0.61
2026-10-22 VGK @ STL UNDER 0.5 Lean -150 57.5% 56.3% 0 W +0.67
2026-10-22 STL vs VGK UNDER 0.5 Lean -160 57.5% 57.5% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-22 BOS vs NSH OVER 0.5 Lean -145 57.4% 55.4% 2 W +0.69
2026-10-22 DAL vs WPG OVER 0.5 Lean -150 57.4% 56.3% 1 W +0.67
2026-10-22 TOR vs NYR UNDER 0.5 Lean -165 57.3% 58.4% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-22 SJS @ OTT UNDER 0.5 Lean -160 57.2% 57.5% 0 W +0.63
2026-10-22 NYR @ TOR OVER 0.5 Lean -140 57.2% 54.5% 1 W +0.71
2026-10-22 VGK @ STL UNDER 0.5 Lean -155 57.1% 56.7% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-22 WPG @ DAL UNDER 0.5 Lean -150 57.1% 56.3% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-22 FLA @ PIT UNDER 0.5 Lean -150 57.1% 56.3% 0 W +0.67
2026-10-22 STL vs VGK OVER 0.5 Lean -155 57.1% 56.7% 1 W +0.65
2026-10-22 ANA @ NJD OVER 0.5 Lean -160 57.0% 57.5% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-22 DET @ VAN OVER 0.5 Lean -150 56.8% 55.8% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-22 TOR vs NYR UNDER 0.5 Lean -145 56.8% 55.4% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-22 VGK @ STL UNDER 0.5 Lean -150 56.7% 55.8% 0 W +0.67
2026-10-22 BOS vs NSH OVER 0.5 Lean -150 56.7% 55.8% 4 W +0.67
2026-10-22 CGY vs MIN UNDER 0.5 Lean -145 56.6% 54.8% 0 W +0.69
2026-10-22 DET @ VAN UNDER 0.5 Lean -160 56.4% 57.5% 0 W +0.63
2026-10-22 BOS vs NSH UNDER 0.5 Lean -160 56.3% 57.5% 0 W +0.63
2026-10-22 NSH @ BOS OVER 0.5 Lean -140 56.3% 54.5% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-21 FLA @ OTT UNDER 0.5 Top -350 73.7% 73.1% 0 W +0.29
2026-10-21 PHI @ BUF UNDER 0.5 Top -275 70.2% 68.4% 0 W +0.36
2026-10-21 FLA @ OTT UNDER 0.5 Top -250 68.1% 66.7% 0 W +0.40
2026-10-21 BUF vs PHI OVER 0.5 Top -260 67.8% 67.3% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-21 OTT vs FLA UNDER 0.5 Strong -225 66.0% 64.7% 0 W +0.44
2026-10-21 OTT vs FLA UNDER 0.5 Strong -220 65.6% 64.1% 2 L -1.00
2026-10-21 OTT vs FLA UNDER 0.5 Strong -210 65.6% 63.3% 0 W +0.48
2026-10-21 PHI @ BUF UNDER 0.5 Strong -200 65.5% 62.5% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-21 PHI @ BUF UNDER 0.5 Strong -195 65.2% 61.8% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-21 BUF vs PHI UNDER 0.5 Strong -230 63.5% 64.9% 0 W +0.44
2026-10-21 BUF vs PHI OVER 0.5 Strong -200 62.2% 62.5% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-21 BUF vs PHI UNDER 0.5 Strong -195 61.9% 61.8% 0 W +0.51
2026-10-21 OTT vs FLA OVER 0.5 Strong -210 61.7% 62.9% 2 W +0.48
2026-10-21 FLA @ OTT OVER 0.5 Lean -190 60.9% 61.1% 1 W +0.53
2026-10-21 PHI @ BUF UNDER 0.5 Lean -170 60.6% 58.6% 0 W +0.59
2026-10-21 FLA @ OTT UNDER 0.5 Lean -185 60.1% 60.4% 0 W +0.54
2026-10-21 BUF vs PHI UNDER 0.5 Lean -155 59.6% 57.2% 0 W +0.65
2026-10-21 PHI @ BUF UNDER 0.5 Lean -150 59.0% 54.6% 0 W +0.67
2026-10-21 FLA @ OTT OVER 0.5 Lean -175 58.5% 59.4% 1 W +0.57
2026-10-21 BUF vs PHI UNDER 0.5 Lean -175 58.4% 59.4% 0 W +0.57
2026-10-21 BUF vs PHI UNDER 0.5 Lean -165 57.9% 57.8% 0 W +0.61
2026-10-21 BUF vs PHI UNDER 0.5 Lean -165 57.6% 58.4% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-21 OTT vs FLA UNDER 0.5 Lean -150 56.7% 55.8% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-21 BUF vs PHI UNDER 0.5 Lean -160 56.3% 56.4% 0 W +0.63
2026-10-20 SJS @ MTL UNDER 0.5 Top -600 81.6% 83.1% 0 W +0.17
2026-10-20 ANA @ NYI UNDER 0.5 Top -425 77.8% 76.4% 0 W +0.24
2026-10-20 VAN vs CAR UNDER 0.5 Top -325 73.5% 71.3% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-20 ANA @ NYI UNDER 0.5 Top -300 73.2% 69.9% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-20 WSH vs LAK UNDER 0.5 Top -300 73.2% 70.6% 0 W +0.33
2026-10-20 ANA @ NYI UNDER 0.5 Top -260 72.9% 67.7% 0 W +0.39
2026-10-20 VGK vs TBL UNDER 0.5 Top -375 72.4% 74.0% 0 W +0.27
2026-10-20 ANA @ NYI UNDER 0.5 Top -300 72.4% 70.6% 0 W +0.33
2026-10-20 LAK @ WSH UNDER 0.5 Top -300 71.9% 69.9% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-20 SJS @ MTL UNDER 1.5 Top -260 71.0% 67.3% 3 L -1.00
2026-10-20 CBJ vs TOR OVER 0.5 Top -250 70.4% 66.7% 0 L -1.00
2026-10-20 BOS @ DAL UNDER 1.5 Top -240 69.8% 66.0% 0 W +0.42
2026-10-20 DET @ SEA UNDER 1.5 Top -250 69.5% 66.7% 2 L -1.00
2026-10-20 LAK @ WSH UNDER 0.5 Top -250 69.4% 67.1% 0 W +0.40
2026-10-20 MIN @ EDM UNDER 1.5 Top -300 69.1% 67.4% 2 L -1.00
2026-10-20 WPG @ STL UNDER 0.5 Top -260 69.1% 67.7% 0 W +0.39
2026-10-20 TBL @ VGK UNDER 0.5 Top -275 69.1% 68.8% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-20 MTL vs SJS OVER 0.5 Top -240 68.9% 66.0% 1 W +0.42
2026-10-20 VAN vs CAR UNDER 0.5 Top -250 68.8% 66.7% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-20 ANA @ NYI UNDER 0.5 Top -225 68.4% 64.7% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-20 TBL @ VGK OVER 0.5 Top -240 68.0% 66.0% 1 W +0.42
2026-10-20 DAL vs BOS OVER 0.5 Top -250 67.9% 67.1% 3 W +0.40
2026-10-20 VGK vs TBL UNDER 1.5 Top -230 67.7% 64.9% 0 W +0.44
2026-10-20 SJS @ MTL UNDER 0.5 Top -220 67.4% 64.1% 1 L -1.00
2026-10-20 TOR @ CBJ UNDER 0.5 Top -220 67.4% 64.1% 0 W +0.46
2026-10-20 MIN @ EDM UNDER 1.5 Top -230 67.3% 65.3% 2 L -1.00
2026-10-20 EDM vs MIN UNDER 1.5 Top -240 67.1% 66.0% 2 L -1.00
2026-10-20 MTL vs SJS OVER 0.5 Top -220 67.0% 64.1% 2 W +0.46
2026-10-20 MTL vs SJS UNDER 0.5 Top -300 66.5% 69.9% 0 W +0.33
2026-10-20 NJD vs COL UNDER 1.5 Top -240 66.5% 66.0% 0 W +0.42
2026-10-20 CAR @ VAN UNDER 0.5 Top -260 66.3% 67.7% 0 W +0.39
2026-10-20 CAR @ VAN UNDER 0.5 Top -260 66.2% 67.7% 0 W +0.39
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