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FLA @ BUF

Saturday, October 12, 2024 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Florida Panthers
47-31-4 · Away
2 – 5
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
36-39-7 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
FLA -120 · BUF +100
Puck Line
FLA -1.5 (+195) · BUF +1.5 (-275)
Total
O 6 (+100) · U (-120)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · BUF +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season = '23-24 (fewer than 5 games this season)
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6
 FLAo6 39%
29-45-8
40%
2-3
44%
4-5-1
39%
14-22-5
0%
0-3
—
BUFo6 43%
31-41-10
0%
0-4-1
14%
1-6-3
43%
16-21-4
0%
0-3
—
Puck Line
cover %
 FLA-1.5 40%
33-49
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
46%
19-22
33%
1-2
—
BUF+1.5 68%
56-26
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
66%
27-14
67%
2-1
—
Moneyline
win %
 FLA fav -120 63%
52-30
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
63%
26-15
100%
3-0
—
BUF dog +100 48%
39-43
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
51%
21-20
0%
0-3
—
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-112/u-112 FLA 50%
41-41
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
51%
21-20
67%
2-1
— 1.60 0.93 / 0.67
BUF 56%
46-36
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
56%
23-18
67%
2-1
— 2.00 0.82 / 1.18
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-166/u+130 FLA 59%
48-34
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
49%
20-21
0%
0-3
— 1.94 1.01 / 0.93
BUF 59%
48-34
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
61%
25-16
0%
0-3
— 1.87 0.98 / 0.89
3rd Period
over 1.5 (no DK/FD line — default)
 no DK/FD line FLA 56%
46-36
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
63%
26-15
67%
2-1
— 1.98 1.21 / 0.77
BUF 60%
49-33
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
56%
23-18
67%
2-1
— 1.96 1.13 / 0.83
Team Comparison '24-25
FLABUF
Record (W-L-OTL)47-31-436-39-7
Points %59.8%48.2%
Goals for / game3.073.28
Goals against / game2.723.52
Shots for / game31.627.8
Shots against / game26.228.9
Power play %23.5%18.8%
Penalty kill %80.7%76.3%
Faceoff %49.5%47.7%
1st period GF / GA0.89 / 0.851.12 / 0.83
2nd period GF / GA1.13 / 0.881.02 / 1.30
3rd period GF / GA0.93 / 0.941.05 / 1.30
Avg game total5.796.80
Starting Goalies from the box score
22 saves on 26 shots · 4 GA · L
BUF · Devon Levi
23 saves on 25 shots · 2 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
FLA1100251/2
BUF2210270/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o-115
 54% 60% 33%1/3 0 U
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+155
 26% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+105
 40% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+275
 15% 40% 67%2/3 0 U
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+210
 13% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Kyle Okposo G 0.5
o+650
 16% 10% 0%0/1 DNP
Dmitry Kulikov G 0.5
o+1200
 1% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+550
 13% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Jonah Gadjovich G 0.5
o+800
 5% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Jesper Boqvist G 0.5
o+650
 13% 10% — 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+375
 13% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Aaron Ekblad G 0.5
o+600
 8% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+650
 10% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1100
 2% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Uvis Balinskis G 0.5
o+850
 4% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Patrick Giles G 0.5
o+575
 — — — 0 U
Mackie Samoskevich G 0.5
o+400
 0% — — 0 U
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 42% 70% 33%1/3 1 O
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 35% 60% 67%2/3 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o-225 / u+165
 63% 50% 100%2/2 0 U
Aaron Ekblad PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 28% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 39% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Sam Reinhart PTS 1.5
o+170 / u-230
 31% 30% 0%0/3 1 U
Evan Rodrigues PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 33% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Aaron Ekblad A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 22% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+180 / u-240
 25% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 37% 30% 67%2/3 1 O
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 29% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 24% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 45% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Evan Rodrigues A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 26% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Anton Lundell SOG 2.5
o+120 / u-160
 42% 80% 67%2/3 1 U
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o-170 / u+130
 48% 70% 67%2/3 3 O
Sam Reinhart SOG 3.5
o+135 / u-180
 35% 60% 33%1/3 3 U
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 3.5
o+100 / u-135
 42% 40% 0%0/2 1 U
Gustav Forsling SOG 2.5
o+150 / u-200
 29% 20% 33%1/3 1 U
Evan Rodrigues SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 43% 20% 100%3/3 5 O
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+210
 27% 40% 0%0/3 1 O
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+135
 32% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+475
 24% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+325
 30% 30% 100%1/1 0 U
Dylan Cozens G 0.5
o+250
 20% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+350
 14% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+300
 19% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Sam Lafferty G 0.5
o+700
 17% 10% 0%0/2 DNP
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+400
 13% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Owen Power G 0.5
o+750
 8% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Connor Clifton G 0.5
o+1600
 5% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+750
 7% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Henri Jokiharju G 0.5
o+1400
 4% 0% 0%0/3 1 O
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+475
 14% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1600
 2% 0% — 1 O
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+700
 5% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+900
 11% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+375
 0% — — 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 53% 70% 33%1/3 2 O
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 52% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 52% 50% 100%1/1 1 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 37% 50% 100%2/2 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 57% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Dylan Cozens PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 43% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 37% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Owen Power A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 30% 40% 100%2/2 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 31% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 43% 20% 67%2/3 1 O
Dylan Cozens A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
 30% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 30% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 45% 60% 67%2/3 3 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-135
 54% 50% 67%2/3 0 U
Dylan Cozens SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
 41% 40% 67%2/3 2 U
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 56% 40% 100%1/1 3 O
Jason Zucker SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-190
 36% 30% 67%2/3 0 U
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o-105 / u-125
 48% 30% 67%2/3 3 U
Devon Levi SV 26.5
o-115 / u-115
 43% 50% — 23 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Apr 13, 2024 at FLA BUF 2–3 OT 2–20–00–0 5 — FLA
Feb 27, 2024 at FLA BUF 2–3 1–20–01–1 5 — FLA
Feb 15, 2024 at BUF BUF 0–4 0–10–10–2 4 — FLA
Apr 4, 2023 at FLA BUF 1–2 1–10–00–1 3 — FLA
Feb 24, 2023 at FLA BUF 3–1 0–02–01–1 4 — BUF
Jan 16, 2023 at BUF BUF 1–4 0–10–11–2 5 — FLA
Oct 15, 2022 at BUF BUF 3–4 2–21–20–0 7 — FLA
Apr 8, 2022 at FLA BUF 3–4 3–10–20–1 7 — FLA
Apr 3, 2022 at BUF BUF 3–5 1–00–32–2 8 — FLA
Mar 7, 2022 at BUF BUF 1–6 0–10–41–1 7 — FLA