← Stats / FLA @ BUF

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

47-31-4 · Away
5 – 2
FINAL
36-39-7 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
FLA -150 · BUF +130
Puck Line
FLA -1.5 (+150) · BUF +1.5 (-195)
Total
O 6 (-120) · U (+100)

Graded: total 7 → OVER W · BUF +1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6
FLAo6 67%
6-3-1
50%
2-2-1
67%
6-3-1
67%
4-2
25%
1-3
70%
7-3
BUFo6 57%
4-3-2
100%
3-0-2
57%
4-3-3
50%
2-2-1
25%
1-3
57%
4-3-2
Puck Line
cover %
FLA-1.5 30%
3-7
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
33%
2-4
25%
1-3
-1.98u
4-6
BUF+1.5 56%
5-4
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
60%
3-2
75%
3-1
+0.38u
5-4
Moneyline
win %
FLA fav -150 60%
6-4
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
67%
4-2
75%
3-1
-0.15u
4-3
BUF dog +130 44%
4-5
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
-1.70u
2-4
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
DK 1.5 o-145/u+114 FD 1.5 o-122/u-106 FLA 80%
8-2
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
83%
5-1
75%
3-1
80%
8-2
2.50 1.10 / 1.40
BUF 67%
6-3
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
60%
3-2
75%
3-1
67%
6-3
1.78 1.00 / 0.78
2nd Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
DK 1.5 o-180/u+140 FD 1.5 o-186/u+146 FLA 80%
8-2
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
67%
4-2
25%
1-3
80%
8-2
2.70 1.50 / 1.20
BUF 78%
7-2
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
78%
7-2
2.56 1.33 / 1.22
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
FD 2.5 o+152/u-196 FLA 20%
2-8
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
17%
1-5
0%
0-4
50%
1-1
1.20 0.60 / 0.60
BUF 44%
4-5
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
40%
2-3
0%
0-4
0%
0-1
2.33 1.00 / 1.33
Team Comparison '24-25
FLABUF
Record (W-L-OTL)47-31-436-39-7
Points %59.8%48.2%
Goals for / game3.073.28
Goals against / game2.723.52
Shots for / game31.627.8
Shots against / game26.228.9
Power play %23.5%18.8%
Penalty kill %80.7%76.3%
Faceoff %49.5%47.7%
1st period GF / GA0.89 / 0.851.12 / 0.83
2nd period GF / GA1.13 / 0.881.02 / 1.30
3rd period GF / GA0.93 / 0.941.05 / 1.30
Avg game total5.796.80
Starting Goalies from the box score
26 saves on 28 shots · 2 GA · W
26 saves on 31 shots · 5 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
FLA2120312/4
BUF0200281/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
FLAPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Sam Bennett G 0.5
o+190
60% 60% 50%2/4 1 O
Sam Reinhart G 0.5
o+125
50% 50% 25%1/4 1 O
Anton Lundell G 0.5
o+275
40% 40% 50%2/4 0 U
Gustav Forsling G 0.5
o+525
30% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk G 0.5
o+170
20% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Eetu Luostarinen G 0.5
o+375
30% 30% 0%0/4 0 U
Aleksander Barkov G 0.5
o+200
29% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Dmitry Kulikov G 0.5
o+1200
10% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Nate Schmidt G 0.5
o+1400
11% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Carter Verhaeghe G 0.5
o+155
10% 10% 33%1/3 1 O
Evan Rodrigues G 0.5
o+325
10% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Jesper Boqvist G 0.5
o+500
10% 10% 0%0/1 1 O
Mackie Samoskevich G 0.5
o+525
10% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Aaron Ekblad G 0.5
o+700
0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
A.J. Greer G 0.5
o+700
0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Niko Mikkola G 0.5
o+1100
0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Uvis Balinskis G 0.5
o+1000
0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Patrick Giles G 0.5
o+750
0% — 0%0/1 0 U
Aleksander Barkov PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
64% 80% 67%2/3 2 O
Sam Reinhart PTS 0.5
o-210 / u+155
80% 80% 100%4/4 2 O
Sam Bennett PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
80% 80% 50%2/4 2 O
Matthew Tkachuk PTS 0.5
o-195 / u+145
80% 80% 100%3/3 1 O
Anton Lundell PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
70% 70% 50%2/4 1 O
Carter Verhaeghe PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
60% 60% 67%2/3 2 O
Gustav Forsling PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
60% 60% 25%1/4 1 O
Aaron Ekblad PTS 0.5
o+165 / u-230
20% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Aleksander Barkov A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
53% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Sam Reinhart A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
60% 60% 75%3/4 1 O
Matthew Tkachuk A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
80% 60% 100%3/3 1 O
Carter Verhaeghe A 0.5
o+150 / u-210
50% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Anton Lundell A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
40% 40% 25%1/4 1 O
Sam Bennett A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
30% 30% 0%0/4 1 O
Gustav Forsling A 0.5
o+185 / u-250
30% 30% 25%1/4 1 O
Aaron Ekblad A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
20% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Sam Bennett SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
80% 80% 75%3/4 3 O
Carter Verhaeghe SOG 3.5
o+130 / u-170
60% 60% 0%0/3 6 O
Evan Rodrigues SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
60% 60% 100%4/4 1 U
Anton Lundell SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-165
60% 60% 50%2/4 1 U
Gustav Forsling SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+140
50% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Matthew Tkachuk SOG 3.5
o+130 / u-170
40% 50% 67%2/3 2 U
Sam Reinhart SOG 2.5
o-155 / u+115
40% 40% 50%2/4 4 O
Aleksander Barkov SOG 2.5
o-105 / u-125
52% 30% 33%1/3 2 U
Sergei Bobrovsky SV 26.5
o-110 / u-125
29% 30% 100%2/2 26 U
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+145
67% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+550
44% 40% 0%0/3 0 U
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+225
33% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+450
25% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
JJ Peterka G 0.5
o+195
43% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+400
13% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+750
22% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+350
11% 10% 0%0/4 1 O
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+900
11% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Henri Jokiharju G 0.5
o+1400
11% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1500
11% 10% 100%1/1 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+800
13% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+1100
11% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Dylan Cozens G 0.5
o+300
0% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Connor Clifton G 0.5
o+1600
0% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Sam Lafferty G 0.5
o+900
0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+500
0% 0% 0%0/4 1 O
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
78% 70% 50%2/4 1 O
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
67% 60% 50%2/4 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-170
56% 50% 25%1/4 1 O
Jordan Greenway PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
50% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
JJ Peterka PTS 0.5
o-125 / u-105
71% 50% 0%0/3 1 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+170 / u-230
56% 50% 67%2/3 1 O
Dylan Cozens PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
33% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
33% 30% 75%3/4 1 O
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+120 / u-165
56% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+220 / u-325
44% 40% 25%1/4 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
44% 40% 0%0/4 1 O
Dylan Cozens A 0.5
o+195 / u-275
33% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
Jordan Greenway A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
25% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
33% 30% 75%3/4 0 U
JJ Peterka A 0.5
o+185 / u-260
43% 30% 0%0/3 1 O
Owen Power A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
33% 30% 67%2/3 1 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
67% 60% 75%3/4 0 U
Dylan Cozens SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-155
56% 60% 50%2/4 3 O
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
33% 30% 50%2/4 2 O
JJ Peterka SOG 2.5
o-125 / u-105
29% 30% 33%1/3 3 O
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+115 / u-155
22% 20% 50%2/4 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
22% 20% 50%2/4 6 O
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 26.5
o-125 / u-105
50% 40% 100%2/2 26 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Oct 12, 2024 at BUF BUF 5–2 2–12–11–0 7 6 O BUF
Apr 13, 2024 at FLA BUF 2–3 OT 2–20–00–0 5 — FLA
Feb 27, 2024 at FLA BUF 2–3 1–20–01–1 5 — FLA
Feb 15, 2024 at BUF BUF 0–4 0–10–10–2 4 — FLA
Apr 4, 2023 at FLA BUF 1–2 1–10–00–1 3 — FLA
Feb 24, 2023 at FLA BUF 3–1 0–02–01–1 4 — BUF
Jan 16, 2023 at BUF BUF 1–4 0–10–11–2 5 — FLA
Oct 15, 2022 at BUF BUF 3–4 2–21–20–0 7 — FLA
Apr 8, 2022 at FLA BUF 3–4 3–10–20–1 7 — FLA
Apr 3, 2022 at BUF BUF 3–5 1–00–32–2 8 — FLA