FLA @ BUF
Monday, October 28, 2024 · 6:00 PM CTHard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
FLA -150 · BUF +130
Puck Line
FLA -1.5 (+150) · BUF +1.5 (-195)
Total
O 6 (-120) · U (+100)
Graded: total 7 → OVER W · BUF +1.5 L
Betting Trends Season
| Market | Team | Line | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs HR Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Over 6 | FLA | o6 | 67% 6-3-1 | 50% 2-2-1 | 67% 6-3-1 | 67% 4-2 | 25% 1-3 | 70% 7-3 |
| BUF | o6 | 57% 4-3-2 | 100% 3-0-2 | 57% 4-3-3 | 50% 2-2-1 | 25% 1-3 | 57% 4-3-2 | |
| Puck Line cover % | FLA | -1.5 | 30% 3-7 | 40% 2-3 | 30% 3-7 | 33% 2-4 | 25% 1-3 | -1.98u 4-6 |
| BUF | +1.5 | 56% 5-4 | 80% 4-1 | 60% 6-4 | 60% 3-2 | 75% 3-1 | +0.38u 5-4 | |
| Moneyline win % | FLA fav | -150 | 60% 6-4 | 60% 3-2 | 60% 6-4 | 67% 4-2 | 75% 3-1 | -0.15u 4-3 |
| BUF dog | +130 | 44% 4-5 | 60% 3-2 | 50% 5-5 | 60% 3-2 | 25% 1-3 | -1.70u 2-4 |
Period Totals grade at
DK/FD line
0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
| Period | DK / FD | Team | Season | L5 | L10 | Venue | H2H | vs DK/FD Close | Avg goals | GF / GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Period over 1.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 1.5 o-145/u+114 FD 1.5 o-122/u-106 | FLA | 80% 8-2 | 80% 4-1 | 80% 8-2 | 83% 5-1 | 75% 3-1 | 80% 8-2 | 2.50 | 1.10 / 1.40 |
| BUF | 67% 6-3 | 80% 4-1 | 60% 6-4 | 60% 3-2 | 75% 3-1 | 67% 6-3 | 1.78 | 1.00 / 0.78 | ||
| 2nd Period over 1.5 (DraftKings) |
DK 1.5 o-180/u+140 FD 1.5 o-186/u+146 | FLA | 80% 8-2 | 80% 4-1 | 80% 8-2 | 67% 4-2 | 25% 1-3 | 80% 8-2 | 2.70 | 1.50 / 1.20 |
| BUF | 78% 7-2 | 100% 5-0 | 80% 8-2 | 60% 3-2 | 25% 1-3 | 78% 7-2 | 2.56 | 1.33 / 1.22 | ||
| 3rd Period over 2.5 (FanDuel) |
FD 2.5 o+152/u-196 | FLA | 20% 2-8 | 20% 1-4 | 20% 2-8 | 17% 1-5 | 0% 0-4 | 50% 1-1 | 1.20 | 0.60 / 0.60 |
| BUF | 44% 4-5 | 60% 3-2 | 40% 4-6 | 40% 2-3 | 0% 0-4 | 0% 0-1 | 2.33 | 1.00 / 1.33 |
Team Comparison '24-25
| FLA | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 47-31-4 | 36-39-7 |
| Points % | 59.8% | 48.2% |
| Goals for / game | 3.07 | 3.28 |
| Goals against / game | 2.72 | 3.52 |
| Shots for / game | 31.6 | 27.8 |
| Shots against / game | 26.2 | 28.9 |
| Power play % | 23.5% | 18.8% |
| Penalty kill % | 80.7% | 76.3% |
| Faceoff % | 49.5% | 47.7% |
| 1st period GF / GA | 0.89 / 0.85 | 1.12 / 0.83 |
| 2nd period GF / GA | 1.13 / 0.88 | 1.02 / 1.30 |
| 3rd period GF / GA | 0.93 / 0.94 | 1.05 / 1.30 |
| Avg game total | 5.79 | 6.80 |
Starting Goalies from the box score
FLA · Sergei Bobrovsky
26 saves on 28 shots · 2 GA · W
BUF · Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
26 saves on 31 shots · 5 GA · L
| P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SOG | PP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 2/4 |
| BUF | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 1/3 |
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
| FLA | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bennett | G | 0.5 o+190 |
60% | 60% | 50%2/4 | 1 O |
| Sam Reinhart | G | 0.5 o+125 |
50% | 50% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Anton Lundell | G | 0.5 o+275 |
40% | 40% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Gustav Forsling | G | 0.5 o+525 |
30% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Matthew Tkachuk | G | 0.5 o+170 |
20% | 30% | 33%1/3 | 0 U |
| Eetu Luostarinen | G | 0.5 o+375 |
30% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Aleksander Barkov | G | 0.5 o+200 |
29% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 1 O |
| Dmitry Kulikov | G | 0.5 o+1200 |
10% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Nate Schmidt | G | 0.5 o+1400 |
11% | 10% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Carter Verhaeghe | G | 0.5 o+155 |
10% | 10% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| Evan Rodrigues | G | 0.5 o+325 |
10% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Jesper Boqvist | G | 0.5 o+500 |
10% | 10% | 0%0/1 | 1 O |
| Mackie Samoskevich | G | 0.5 o+525 |
10% | 10% | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Aaron Ekblad | G | 0.5 o+700 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| A.J. Greer | G | 0.5 o+700 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Niko Mikkola | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Uvis Balinskis | G | 0.5 o+1000 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Patrick Giles | G | 0.5 o+750 |
0% | — | 0%0/1 | 0 U |
| Aleksander Barkov | PTS | 0.5 o-180 / u+135 |
64% | 80% | 67%2/3 | 2 O |
| Sam Reinhart | PTS | 0.5 o-210 / u+155 |
80% | 80% | 100%4/4 | 2 O |
| Sam Bennett | PTS | 0.5 o-110 / u-120 |
80% | 80% | 50%2/4 | 2 O |
| Matthew Tkachuk | PTS | 0.5 o-195 / u+145 |
80% | 80% | 100%3/3 | 1 O |
| Anton Lundell | PTS | 0.5 o+100 / u-130 |
70% | 70% | 50%2/4 | 1 O |
| Carter Verhaeghe | PTS | 0.5 o-165 / u+125 |
60% | 60% | 67%2/3 | 2 O |
| Gustav Forsling | PTS | 0.5 o+130 / u-175 |
60% | 60% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Aaron Ekblad | PTS | 0.5 o+165 / u-230 |
20% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Aleksander Barkov | A | 0.5 o+105 / u-135 |
53% | 60% | 67%2/3 | 1 O |
| Sam Reinhart | A | 0.5 o+125 / u-170 |
60% | 60% | 75%3/4 | 1 O |
| Matthew Tkachuk | A | 0.5 o+110 / u-145 |
80% | 60% | 100%3/3 | 1 O |
| Carter Verhaeghe | A | 0.5 o+150 / u-210 |
50% | 50% | 33%1/3 | 1 O |
| Anton Lundell | A | 0.5 o+185 / u-250 |
40% | 40% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Sam Bennett | A | 0.5 o+230 / u-325 |
30% | 30% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Gustav Forsling | A | 0.5 o+185 / u-250 |
30% | 30% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Aaron Ekblad | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-325 |
20% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Sam Bennett | SOG | 2.5 o-110 / u-120 |
80% | 80% | 75%3/4 | 3 O |
| Carter Verhaeghe | SOG | 3.5 o+130 / u-170 |
60% | 60% | 0%0/3 | 6 O |
| Evan Rodrigues | SOG | 1.5 o-170 / u+125 |
60% | 60% | 100%4/4 | 1 U |
| Anton Lundell | SOG | 2.5 o+125 / u-165 |
60% | 60% | 50%2/4 | 1 U |
| Gustav Forsling | SOG | 1.5 o-185 / u+140 |
50% | 50% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Matthew Tkachuk | SOG | 3.5 o+130 / u-170 |
40% | 50% | 67%2/3 | 2 U |
| Sam Reinhart | SOG | 2.5 o-155 / u+115 |
40% | 40% | 50%2/4 | 4 O |
| Aleksander Barkov | SOG | 2.5 o-105 / u-125 |
52% | 30% | 33%1/3 | 2 U |
| Sergei Bobrovsky | SV | 26.5 o-110 / u-125 |
29% | 30% | 100%2/2 | 26 U |
| BUF | Prop | Line | Season | L10 | H2H | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | G | 0.5 o+145 |
67% | 60% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Ryan McLeod | G | 0.5 o+550 |
44% | 40% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Alex Tuch | G | 0.5 o+225 |
33% | 30% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Jordan Greenway | G | 0.5 o+450 |
25% | 30% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| JJ Peterka | G | 0.5 o+195 |
43% | 30% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Jack Quinn | G | 0.5 o+400 |
13% | 20% | 50%1/2 | 0 U |
| Owen Power | G | 0.5 o+750 |
22% | 20% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | G | 0.5 o+350 |
11% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Beck Malenstyn | G | 0.5 o+900 |
11% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Henri Jokiharju | G | 0.5 o+1400 |
11% | 10% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Mattias Samuelsson | G | 0.5 o+1500 |
11% | 10% | 100%1/1 | 0 U |
| Peyton Krebs | G | 0.5 o+800 |
13% | 10% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Bowen Byram | G | 0.5 o+1100 |
11% | 10% | 0%0/3 | 0 U |
| Dylan Cozens | G | 0.5 o+300 |
0% | 10% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Connor Clifton | G | 0.5 o+1600 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Sam Lafferty | G | 0.5 o+900 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/2 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | G | 0.5 o+500 |
0% | 0% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Tage Thompson | PTS | 0.5 o-160 / u+120 |
78% | 70% | 50%2/4 | 1 O |
| Alex Tuch | PTS | 0.5 o-150 / u+115 |
67% | 60% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | PTS | 0.5 o+130 / u-170 |
56% | 50% | 25%1/4 | 1 O |
| Jordan Greenway | PTS | 0.5 o+155 / u-210 |
50% | 50% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| JJ Peterka | PTS | 0.5 o-125 / u-105 |
71% | 50% | 0%0/3 | 1 O |
| Owen Power | PTS | 0.5 o+170 / u-230 |
56% | 50% | 67%2/3 | 1 O |
| Dylan Cozens | PTS | 0.5 o+110 / u-145 |
33% | 40% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | PTS | 0.5 o+100 / u-130 |
33% | 30% | 75%3/4 | 1 O |
| Alex Tuch | A | 0.5 o+120 / u-165 |
56% | 50% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Jason Zucker | A | 0.5 o+220 / u-325 |
44% | 40% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Tage Thompson | A | 0.5 o+170 / u-230 |
44% | 40% | 0%0/4 | 1 O |
| Dylan Cozens | A | 0.5 o+195 / u-275 |
33% | 40% | 0%0/4 | 0 U |
| Jordan Greenway | A | 0.5 o+250 / u-350 |
25% | 30% | 25%1/4 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | A | 0.5 o+135 / u-180 |
33% | 30% | 75%3/4 | 0 U |
| JJ Peterka | A | 0.5 o+185 / u-260 |
43% | 30% | 0%0/3 | 1 O |
| Owen Power | A | 0.5 o+225 / u-325 |
33% | 30% | 67%2/3 | 1 O |
| Alex Tuch | SOG | 2.5 o-120 / u-110 |
67% | 60% | 75%3/4 | 0 U |
| Dylan Cozens | SOG | 2.5 o+115 / u-155 |
56% | 60% | 50%2/4 | 3 O |
| Jason Zucker | SOG | 1.5 o-175 / u+130 |
33% | 30% | 50%2/4 | 2 O |
| JJ Peterka | SOG | 2.5 o-125 / u-105 |
29% | 30% | 33%1/3 | 3 O |
| Tage Thompson | SOG | 3.5 o+115 / u-155 |
22% | 20% | 50%2/4 | 0 U |
| Rasmus Dahlin | SOG | 2.5 o+105 / u-140 |
22% | 20% | 50%2/4 | 6 O |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | SV | 26.5 o-125 / u-105 |
50% | 40% | 100%2/2 | 26 U |
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
| Date | Where | Score | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total | HR Close | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | at BUF | BUF 5–2 | 2–1 | 2–1 | 1–0 | 7 | 6 O | BUF |
| Apr 13, 2024 | at FLA | BUF 2–3 OT | 2–2 | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5 | — | FLA |
| Feb 27, 2024 | at FLA | BUF 2–3 | 1–2 | 0–0 | 1–1 | 5 | — | FLA |
| Feb 15, 2024 | at BUF | BUF 0–4 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 4 | — | FLA |
| Apr 4, 2023 | at FLA | BUF 1–2 | 1–1 | 0–0 | 0–1 | 3 | — | FLA |
| Feb 24, 2023 | at FLA | BUF 3–1 | 0–0 | 2–0 | 1–1 | 4 | — | BUF |
| Jan 16, 2023 | at BUF | BUF 1–4 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 1–2 | 5 | — | FLA |
| Oct 15, 2022 | at BUF | BUF 3–4 | 2–2 | 1–2 | 0–0 | 7 | — | FLA |
| Apr 8, 2022 | at FLA | BUF 3–4 | 3–1 | 0–2 | 0–1 | 7 | — | FLA |
| Apr 3, 2022 | at BUF | BUF 3–5 | 1–0 | 0–3 | 2–2 | 8 | — | FLA |