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← Stats / COL @ BUF

COL @ BUF

Tuesday, December 3, 2024 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Colorado Avalanche
49-29-4 · Away
5 – 4
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
36-39-7 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
COL -160 · BUF +135
Puck Line
COL -1.5 (+145) · BUF +1.5 (-190)
Total
O 6.5 (+100) · U (-120)

Graded: total 9 → OVER W · BUF +1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 COLo6.5 60%
15-10
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
46%
5-6
0%
0-2
63%
15-9-1
BUFo6.5 46%
11-13
20%
1-4
40%
4-6
54%
7-6
0%
0-2
55%
11-9-4
Puck Line
cover %
 COL-1.5 24%
6-19
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
27%
3-8
50%
1-1
-11.26u
7-18
BUF+1.5 67%
16-8
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
69%
9-4
50%
1-1
-3.29u
12-12
Moneyline
win %
 COL fav -160 52%
13-12
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
55%
6-5
50%
1-1
+0.45u
11-6
BUF dog +135 46%
11-13
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
46%
6-7
50%
1-1
-3.65u
5-10
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-145/u+114 FD 1.5 o-132/u+104 COL 52%
13-12
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
46%
5-6
50%
1-1
64%
16-9
 2.32 0.84 / 1.48
BUF 17%
4-20
0%
0-5
10%
1-9
23%
3-10
50%
1-1
54%
13-11
 1.54 0.83 / 0.71
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-188/u+145 FD 1.5 o-200/u+156 COL 36%
9-16
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
36%
4-7
0%
0-2
60%
15-10
 2.20 1.24 / 0.96
BUF 33%
8-16
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
31%
4-9
0%
0-2
71%
17-7
 2.21 0.96 / 1.25
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 2.5 o+146/u-186 COL 40%
10-15
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
55%
6-5
0%
0-2
39%
7-11
 2.32 1.04 / 1.28
BUF 42%
10-14
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
46%
6-7
0%
0-2
38%
6-10
 2.08 1.08 / 1.00
Team Comparison '24-25
COLBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)49-29-436-39-7
Points %62.2%48.2%
Goals for / game3.383.28
Goals against / game2.853.52
Shots for / game29.927.8
Shots against / game25.928.9
Power play %24.8%18.8%
Penalty kill %79.8%76.3%
Faceoff %47.2%47.7%
1st period GF / GA0.88 / 0.941.12 / 0.83
2nd period GF / GA1.07 / 0.871.02 / 1.30
3rd period GF / GA1.32 / 1.001.05 / 1.30
Avg game total6.236.80
Starting Goalies from the box score
4 saves on 8 shots · 4 GA
36 saves on 41 shots · 5 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
COL0140410/1
BUF4000300/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
COLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Mikko Rantanen G 0.5
o+105
 36% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Valeri Nichushkin G 0.5
o+145
 38% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Artturi Lehkonen G 0.5
o+175
 31% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Samuel Girard G 0.5
o+800
 8% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Nikolai Kovalenko G 0.5
o+375
 16% 20% — 0 U
Chris Wagner G 0.5
o+850
 7% 10% — 0 U
Devon Toews G 0.5
o+600
 5% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Casey Mittelstadt G 0.5
o+240
 28% 10% — 0 U
Cale Makar G 0.5
o+260
 28% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Parker Kelly G 0.5
o+650
 4% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Logan O'Connor G 0.5
o+525
 8% 10% 0%0/2 1 O
Calvin de Haan G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Nathan MacKinnon G 0.5
o+100
 28% 0% 0%0/2 2 O
John Ludvig G 0.5
o+1500
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Joel Kiviranta G 0.5
o+575
 12% 0% — 1 O
Sam Malinski G 0.5
o+1100
 4% 0% 100%1/1 0 U
Ivan Prosvetov G 0.5
o+400
 — — — DNP
Nikita Prishchepov G 0.5
o+700
 0% — — 0 U
Valeri Nichushkin PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+125
 50% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Cale Makar PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 76% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Artturi Lehkonen PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 46% 40% 0%0/1 1 O
Mikko Rantanen PTS 1.5
o+130 / u-175
 40% 40% 50%1/2 1 U
Devon Toews PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 29% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Nathan MacKinnon PTS 1.5
o-105 / u-125
 44% 10% 50%1/2 3 O
Casey Mittelstadt PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 48% 10% — 0 U
Nathan MacKinnon A 0.5
o-210 / u+155
 68% 50% 50%1/2 1 O
Mikko Rantanen A 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 48% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Cale Makar A 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 64% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Artturi Lehkonen A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 39% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Valeri Nichushkin A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 25% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Devon Toews A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 24% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Casey Mittelstadt A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 32% 10% — 0 U
Nathan MacKinnon SOG 4.5
o+130 / u-170
 36% 40% 0%0/2 9 O
Devon Toews SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 43% 40% 50%1/2 2 O
Mikko Rantanen SOG 3.5
o+130 / u-175
 32% 40% 100%2/2 2 U
Cale Makar SOG 3.5
o+115 / u-155
 36% 40% 0%0/2 1 U
Artturi Lehkonen SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-165
 39% 30% 0%0/1 3 O
Valeri Nichushkin SOG 2.5
o-125 / u-105
 13% 20% 50%1/2 1 U
Alexandar Georgiev SV 26.5
o-125 / u-105
 47% 60% 0%0/1 4 U
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+200
 33% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+115
 53% 40% 0%0/2 2 O
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+325
 25% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Dylan Cozens G 0.5
o+250
 21% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+300
 21% 20% 20%1/5 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+475
 25% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+350
 17% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+700
 13% 10% — 0 U
JJ Peterka G 0.5
o+180
 23% 10% 50%1/2 1 O
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+400
 13% 10% — 0 U
Connor Clifton G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Nicolas Aube-Kubel G 0.5
o+750
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+850
 4% 0% 50%1/2 1 O
Henri Jokiharju G 0.5
o+1200
 6% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+2000
 0% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+350
 4% 0% — 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+650
 13% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 67% 70% 50%1/2 1 O
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 68% 60% 50%1/2 2 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 54% 60% 100%2/2 0 U
JJ Peterka PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 55% 40% 100%2/2 1 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 46% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 50% 30% 40%2/5 1 O
Dylan Cozens PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 33% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+125 / u-170
 50% 50% 50%1/2 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 42% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 33% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 37% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
JJ Peterka A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 41% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Dylan Cozens A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 21% 20% 0%0/2 1 O
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 33% 10% 40%2/5 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 63% 80% 100%2/2 1 U
Jiri Kulich SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 73% 70% — 2 O
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+110
 48% 60% — 3 O
Jason Zucker SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 46% 50% 60%3/5 2 O
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o-115 / u-115
 37% 50% 50%1/2 5 O
Dylan Cozens SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-150
 50% 40% 50%1/2 1 U
JJ Peterka SOG 2.5
o-120 / u-110
 46% 40% 100%2/2 2 U
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 46% 30% 100%2/2 1 U
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 26.5
o-115 / u-120
 31% 20% 0%0/2 36 O
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 13, 2023 at COL BUF 1–5 1–30–00–2 6 — COL
Oct 29, 2023 at BUF BUF 4–0 1–02–01–0 4 — BUF
Dec 15, 2022 at COL BUF 4–2 2–01–01–2 6 — BUF
Dec 1, 2022 at BUF BUF 4–6 2–11–41–1 10 — COL
Feb 19, 2022 at BUF BUF 3–5 2–31–00–2 8 — COL
Jan 30, 2022 at COL BUF 1–4 0–11–20–1 5 — COL
Feb 26, 2020 at COL BUF 2–3 1–11–10–1 5 — COL
Feb 4, 2020 at BUF BUF 1–6 1–20–40–0 7 — COL
Mar 9, 2019 at COL BUF 0–3 0–00–10–2 3 — COL
Oct 11, 2018 at BUF BUF 1–6 0–31–10–2 7 — COL