← Stats / BUF @ TOR

BUF @ TOR

Sunday, December 15, 2024 · 4:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
36-39-7 · Away
3 – 5
FINAL
Toronto Maple Leafs
52-26-4 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +160 · TOR -190
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-160) · TOR -1.5 (+120)
Total
O 6 (-120) · U (+100)

Graded: total 8 → OVER W · TOR -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6
 BUFo6 56%
14-11-5
50%
2-2-1
50%
4-4-2
44%
4-5-3
50%
2-2
56%
14-11-5
TORo6 38%
9-15-6
25%
1-3-1
25%
2-6-2
20%
3-12-2
50%
2-2
37%
10-17-3
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF+1.5 67%
20-10
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
58%
7-5
75%
3-1
-4.82u
15-15
TOR-1.5 40%
12-18
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
53%
9-8
25%
1-3
+4.09u
16-14
Moneyline
win %
 BUF dog +160 37%
11-19
0%
0-5
10%
1-9
42%
5-7
50%
2-2
-7.65u
5-14
TOR fav -190 60%
18-12
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
77%
13-4
50%
2-2
-1.96u
14-10
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 1.5 o-130/u+100 FD 1.5 o-132/u+104 BUF 57%
17-13
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
50%
6-6
50%
2-2
57%
17-13
 1.77 1.03 / 0.73
TOR 40%
12-18
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
29%
5-12
50%
2-2
40%
12-18
 1.50 0.73 / 0.77
2nd Period
over 2.5 (DraftKings)
 DK 2.5 o+154/u-200 FD 1.5 o-196/u+152 BUF 33%
10-20
40%
2-3
20%
2-8
33%
4-8
50%
2-2
63%
19-11
 2.10 0.87 / 1.23
TOR 27%
8-22
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
18%
3-14
50%
2-2
60%
18-12
 2.00 1.20 / 0.80
3rd Period
over 2.5 (FanDuel)
 FD 2.5 o+146/u-190 BUF 43%
13-17
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
33%
4-8
50%
2-2
41%
9-13
 2.17 0.97 / 1.20
TOR 33%
10-20
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
35%
6-11
50%
2-2
44%
10-13
 1.83 0.87 / 0.97
Team Comparison '24-25
BUFTOR
Record (W-L-OTL)36-39-752-26-4
Points %48.2%65.9%
Goals for / game3.283.27
Goals against / game3.522.82
Shots for / game27.828.0
Shots against / game28.929.3
Power play %18.8%24.8%
Penalty kill %76.3%77.9%
Faceoff %47.7%53.7%
1st period GF / GA1.12 / 0.830.88 / 0.84
2nd period GF / GA1.02 / 1.301.23 / 0.89
3rd period GF / GA1.05 / 1.301.02 / 1.04
Avg game total6.806.09
Starting Goalies from the box score
BUF · Devon Levi
36 saves on 40 shots · 4 GA · L
24 saves on 27 shots · 3 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF2100271/2
TOR1310411/4
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+160
 56% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Dylan Cozens G 0.5
o+275
 20% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+350
 20% 30% — 0 U
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+300
 23% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+260
 27% 20% 25%1/4 1 O
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+525
 16% 10% 50%2/4 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+850
 7% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+575
 10% 10% 0%0/4 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+750
 10% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
JJ Peterka G 0.5
o+260
 21% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+575
 13% 10% 25%1/4 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+400
 17% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Connor Clifton G 0.5
o+1600
 0% 0% 0%0/4 DNP
Henri Jokiharju G 0.5
o+1100
 4% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+500
 20% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1300
 7% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 72% 60% 50%2/4 1 O
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 57% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 43% 50% 50%1/2 1 O
Dylan Cozens PTS 0.5
o+120 / u-165
 37% 50% 0%0/3 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 60% 40% 50%2/4 1 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-150
 47% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
JJ Peterka PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 50% 20% 50%2/4 2 O
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 40% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 33% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Dylan Cozens A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 23% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Owen Power A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 37% 30% 25%1/4 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+145 / u-200
 47% 20% 25%1/4 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 32% 10% 25%1/4 1 O
JJ Peterka A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 36% 10% 50%2/4 2 O
Jiri Kulich SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+135
 80% 90% — 2 O
Jason Zucker SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 27% 50% 0%0/2 0 U
Tage Thompson SOG 3.5
o+110 / u-145
 36% 50% 75%3/4 2 U
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+100 / u-130
 40% 30% 75%3/4 2 U
Dylan Cozens SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 43% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
JJ Peterka SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 43% 30% 50%2/4 0 U
Devon Levi SV 27.5
o-125 / u-105
 33% 50% 0%0/2 36 O
TORPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
William Nylander G 0.5
o+110
 50% 50% 25%1/4 0 U
Auston Matthews G 0.5
o-115
 43% 40% 100%4/4 0 U
Matthew Knies G 0.5
o+240
 39% 40% 0%0/4 0 U
John Tavares G 0.5
o+165
 31% 30% 25%1/4 3 O
Mitch Marner G 0.5
o+160
 30% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Bobby McMann G 0.5
o+260
 18% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Max Pacioretty G 0.5
o+350
 18% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Chris Tanev G 0.5
o+1400
 3% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Nick Robertson G 0.5
o+425
 9% 10% 50%1/2 1 O
Ryan Reaves G 0.5
o+1000
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson G 0.5
o+750
 3% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Morgan Rielly G 0.5
o+600
 13% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Jake McCabe G 0.5
o+900
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Max Domi G 0.5
o+400
 0% 0% 25%1/4 1 O
Steven Lorentz G 0.5
o+750
 10% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Philippe Myers G 0.5
o+1100
 0% 0% — 0 U
Connor Dewar G 0.5
o+700
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Simon Benoit G 0.5
o+1300
 0% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Mitch Marner PTS 1.5
o+155 / u-210
 53% 60% 33%1/3 1 U
John Tavares PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 62% 50% 25%1/4 3 O
Matthew Knies PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 54% 50% 25%1/4 1 O
Morgan Rielly PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 43% 30% 100%3/3 0 U
Auston Matthews PTS 1.5
o+165 / u-225
 29% 30% 25%1/4 1 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson PTS 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 30% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
William Nylander PTS 1.5
o+165 / u-225
 33% 10% 0%0/4 1 U
Mitch Marner A 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 60% 50% 67%2/3 1 O
Morgan Rielly A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 33% 30% 100%3/3 0 U
William Nylander A 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 37% 30% 75%3/4 1 O
Auston Matthews A 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 33% 30% 0%0/4 1 O
John Tavares A 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 35% 20% 0%0/4 0 U
Oliver Ekman-Larsson A 0.5
o+240 / u-325
 27% 20% 0%0/3 1 O
Matthew Knies A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 21% 20% 25%1/4 1 O
John Tavares SOG 2.5
o-160 / u+120
 59% 60% 75%3/4 6 O
Morgan Rielly SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 53% 60% 67%2/3 5 O
Mitch Marner SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-150
 47% 60% 0%0/3 2 U
William Nylander SOG 3.5
o-105 / u-125
 50% 50% 50%2/4 1 U
Matthew Knies SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 57% 40% 50%2/4 2 O
Max Pacioretty SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-170
 29% 30% 50%1/2 4 O
Auston Matthews SOG 4.5
o+115 / u-155
 38% 30% 50%2/4 5 O
Dennis Hildeby SV 26.5
o-115 / u-115
 50% — — 24 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Mar 30, 2024 at BUF TOR 3–0 1–01–01–0 3 — TOR
Mar 6, 2024 at TOR TOR 2–1 OT 0–01–10–0 3 — TOR
Dec 21, 2023 at BUF TOR 3–9 2–31–30–3 12 — BUF
Nov 4, 2023 at TOR TOR 4–6 1–11–22–3 10 — BUF
Mar 13, 2023 at TOR TOR 3–4 0–02–11–3 7 — BUF
Feb 21, 2023 at BUF TOR 6–3 4–01–01–3 9 — TOR
Nov 19, 2022 at TOR TOR 5–2 3–01–11–1 7 — TOR
Apr 12, 2022 at TOR TOR 2–5 0–11–11–3 7 — BUF
Mar 13, 2022 at BUF TOR 2–5 0–02–20–3 7 — BUF
Mar 2, 2022 at TOR TOR 1–5 1–10–20–2 6 — BUF