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← Stats / BUF @ COL

BUF @ COL

Thursday, January 2, 2025 · 8:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's starter from ESPN's probable-goalie report: Confirmed once the team or a beat reporter confirms it, Expected before that, refreshed every 30 minutes on game days. With no report yet it falls back to the team's most recent starter (Last start). After the game it shows the real starters from the box score. Injuries lists both teams' players on ESPN's injury report (Day-To-Day, Out, Injured Reserve) before puck drop. Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
36-39-7 · Away
5 – 6
FINAL / OT
Colorado Avalanche
49-29-4 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +170 · COL -220
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-135) · COL -1.5 (+110)
Total
O 6.5 (-130) · U (+105)

Graded: total 11 → OVER W · COL -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 BUFo6.5 50%
19-19
40%
2-3
50%
5-5
39%
7-11
33%
1-2
63%
20-12-6
COLo6.5 55%
21-17
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
72%
13-5
33%
1-2
57%
21-16-1
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF+1.5 61%
23-15
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
50%
9-9
67%
2-1
-7.49u
18-20
COL-1.5 37%
14-24
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
33%
6-12
33%
1-2
-7.58u
15-23
Moneyline
win %
 BUF dog +170 37%
14-24
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
39%
7-11
33%
1-2
-9.20u
7-18
COL fav -220 61%
23-15
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
56%
10-8
67%
2-1
+3.04u
20-8
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 1.5
 DK 1.5 o-154/u+120 FD 1.5 o-154/u+120 BUF 61%
23-15
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
56%
10-8
67%
2-1
61%
23-15
 1.84 1.08 / 0.76
COL 55%
21-17
20%
1-4
30%
3-7
61%
11-7
67%
2-1
55%
21-17
 1.97 0.79 / 1.18
2nd Period
over 1.5
 DK 2.5 o+140/u-180 FD 2.5 o+138/u-176 BUF 66%
25-13
40%
2-3
60%
6-4
78%
14-4
33%
1-2
63%
24-14
 2.24 0.92 / 1.32
COL 63%
24-14
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
67%
12-6
33%
1-2
55%
21-17
 2.13 1.13 / 1.00
3rd Period
over 1.5
 FD 2.5 o+124/u-156 BUF 66%
25-13
100%
5-0
80%
8-2
61%
11-7
67%
2-1
43%
13-17
 2.16 0.97 / 1.18
COL 79%
30-8
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
83%
15-3
67%
2-1
52%
16-15
 2.47 1.42 / 1.05
Team Comparison '24-25
BUFCOL
Record (W-L-OTL)36-39-749-29-4
Points %48.2%62.2%
Goals for / game3.283.38
Goals against / game3.522.85
Shots for / game27.829.9
Shots against / game28.925.9
Power play %18.8%24.8%
Penalty kill %76.3%79.8%
Faceoff %47.7%47.2%
1st period GF / GA1.12 / 0.830.88 / 0.94
2nd period GF / GA1.02 / 1.301.07 / 0.87
3rd period GF / GA1.05 / 1.301.32 / 1.00
Avg game total6.806.23
Starting Goalies from the box score
23 saves on 29 shots · 6 GA · OTL
14 saves on 18 shots · 4 GA
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF2120212/3
COL0141291/3
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+300
 26% 40% 17%1/6 3 O
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+200
 49% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+325
 13% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+375
 21% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+300
 26% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+800
 11% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Dylan Cozens G 0.5
o+350
 21% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
JJ Peterka G 0.5
o+260
 22% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+750
 13% 20% 0%0/3 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+425
 19% 20% 33%1/3 1 O
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1200
 9% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+375
 20% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+650
 11% 10% 0%0/3 0 U
Connor Clifton G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Sam Lafferty G 0.5
o+850
 4% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+2500
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+650
 16% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+850
 8% 0% 0%0/1 1 O
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 70% 70% 67%2/3 3 O
JJ Peterka PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 56% 70% 100%3/3 1 O
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 55% 50% 50%3/6 4 O
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-110 / u-120
 53% 40% 67%2/3 1 O
Dylan Cozens PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 40% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 26% 40% 0%0/1 1 O
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 53% 20% 67%2/3 0 U
JJ Peterka A 0.5
o+225 / u-325
 42% 60% 33%1/3 1 O
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+190 / u-260
 36% 50% 33%1/3 3 O
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 43% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Dylan Cozens A 0.5
o+300 / u-450
 26% 30% 33%1/3 1 O
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 19% 30% 0%0/1 1 O
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 37% 20% 50%3/6 1 O
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 37% 0% 67%2/3 0 U
Jiri Kulich SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 82% 90% 100%1/1 1 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o-115 / u-115
 60% 60% 67%2/3 1 U
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+125
 48% 60% 100%1/1 0 U
Dylan Cozens SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 66% 40% 33%1/3 1 U
JJ Peterka SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-165
 39% 30% 67%2/3 2 U
Jason Zucker SOG 2.5
o+150 / u-200
 24% 20% 17%1/6 4 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 34% 10% 67%2/3 0 U
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 46% 10% 67%2/3 4 O
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 27.5
o-110 / u-120
 33% 30% 33%1/3 23 U
COLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Artturi Lehkonen G 0.5
o+170
 42% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Nathan MacKinnon G 0.5
o-105
 32% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
Mikko Rantanen G 0.5
o+120
 34% 40% 33%1/3 1 O
Ross Colton G 0.5
o+230
 43% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Cale Makar G 0.5
o+300
 26% 20% 0%0/3 2 O
Parker Kelly G 0.5
o+550
 8% 20% 0%0/5 0 U
Joel Kiviranta G 0.5
o+475
 16% 20% 100%1/1 0 U
Jonathan Drouin G 0.5
o+230
 17% 10% 0%0/2 1 O
Devon Toews G 0.5
o+600
 6% 10% 0%0/3 1 O
Casey Mittelstadt G 0.5
o+375
 21% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Logan O'Connor G 0.5
o+525
 11% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Calvin de Haan G 0.5
o+1400
 0% 0% 33%1/3 DNP
Josh Manson G 0.5
o+1000
 4% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Givani Smith G 0.5
o+1000
 0% 0% — DNP
Samuel Girard G 0.5
o+700
 5% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Juuso Parssinen G 0.5
o+575
 13% 0% 0%0/1 0 U
Sam Malinski G 0.5
o+1200
 3% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Oskar Olausson G 0.5
o+525
 0% — — 0 U
Cale Makar PTS 0.5
o-220 / u+160
 74% 70% 33%1/3 2 O
Artturi Lehkonen PTS 0.5
o-145 / u+110
 54% 60% 50%1/2 0 U
Nathan MacKinnon PTS 1.5
o-125 / u-105
 47% 60% 67%2/3 3 O
Jonathan Drouin PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 67% 50% 50%1/2 2 O
Devon Toews PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-170
 35% 40% 33%1/3 3 O
Mikko Rantanen PTS 1.5
o+135 / u-180
 37% 40% 33%1/3 2 O
Ross Colton PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-130
 43% 30% 0%0/2 1 O
Nathan MacKinnon A 0.5
o-240 / u+175
 71% 70% 67%2/3 3 O
Mikko Rantanen A 0.5
o-150 / u+110
 55% 70% 67%2/3 1 O
Cale Makar A 0.5
o-155 / u+115
 63% 70% 33%1/3 0 U
Jonathan Drouin A 0.5
o+120 / u-160
 50% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Devon Toews A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 29% 30% 33%1/3 2 O
Artturi Lehkonen A 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 23% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Ross Colton A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 5% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Cale Makar SOG 3.5
o+130 / u-170
 40% 60% 0%0/3 5 O
Artturi Lehkonen SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-165
 42% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Nathan MacKinnon SOG 3.5
o-145 / u+110
 47% 50% 67%2/3 3 U
Devon Toews SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 50% 50% 67%2/3 4 O
Mikko Rantanen SOG 2.5
o-145 / u+110
 58% 50% 67%2/3 3 O
Ross Colton SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-190
 57% 20% 0%0/2 2 U
Scott Wedgewood SV 25.5
o-105 / u-125
 44% 40% — 14 U
Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 3, 2024 at BUF COL 5–4 0–41–04–0 9 6.5 O COL
Dec 13, 2023 at COL COL 5–1 3–10–02–0 6 — COL
Oct 29, 2023 at BUF COL 0–4 0–10–20–1 4 — BUF
Dec 15, 2022 at COL COL 2–4 0–20–12–1 6 — BUF
Dec 1, 2022 at BUF COL 6–4 1–24–11–1 10 — COL
Feb 19, 2022 at BUF COL 5–3 3–20–12–0 8 — COL
Jan 30, 2022 at COL COL 4–1 1–02–11–0 5 — COL
Feb 26, 2020 at COL COL 3–2 1–11–11–0 5 — COL
Feb 4, 2020 at BUF COL 6–1 2–14–00–0 7 — COL
Mar 9, 2019 at COL COL 3–0 0–01–02–0 3 — COL