← Stats / BUF @ VGK

BUF @ VGK

Saturday, January 4, 2025 · 9:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Buffalo Sabres
36-39-7 · Away
1 – 3
FINAL
Vegas Golden Knights
50-22-10 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
BUF +180 · VGK -230
Puck Line
BUF +1.5 (-120) · VGK -1.5 (+100)
Total
O 6.5 (-115) · U (-105)

Graded: total 4 → OVER L · VGK -1.5 W

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 BUFo6.5 51%
20-19
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
42%
8-11
100%
2-0
64%
21-12-6
VGKo6.5 50%
19-19
40%
2-3
40%
4-6
55%
11-9
100%
2-0
53%
19-17-2
Puck Line
cover %
 BUF+1.5 62%
24-15
80%
4-1
40%
4-6
53%
10-9
100%
2-0
-6.75u
19-20
VGK-1.5 42%
16-22
80%
4-1
60%
6-4
55%
11-9
0%
0-2
+9.75u
24-14
Moneyline
win %
 BUF dog +180 36%
14-25
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
37%
7-12
100%
2-0
-10.20u
7-19
VGK fav -230 68%
26-12
80%
4-1
80%
8-2
80%
16-4
0%
0-2
+4.66u
19-6
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 0.5
 DK 1.5 o-160/u+124 FD 1.5 o-140/u+110 BUF 85%
33-6
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
79%
15-4
50%
1-1
62%
24-15
 1.85 1.10 / 0.74
VGK 92%
35-3
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
95%
19-1
50%
1-1
53%
20-18
 1.89 1.00 / 0.89
2nd Period
over 0.5
 DK 2.5 o+140/u-180 FD 2.5 o+138/u-176 BUF 90%
35-4
80%
4-1
90%
9-1
90%
17-2
100%
2-0
62%
24-15
 2.23 0.92 / 1.31
VGK 84%
32-6
80%
4-1
70%
7-3
80%
16-4
100%
2-0
58%
22-16
 2.03 1.00 / 1.03
3rd Period
over 0.5
 FD 2.5 o+128/u-164 BUF 87%
34-5
100%
5-0
90%
9-1
84%
16-3
100%
2-0
45%
14-17
 2.26 1.00 / 1.26
VGK 90%
34-4
100%
5-0
100%
10-0
90%
18-2
100%
2-0
55%
17-14
 2.24 1.50 / 0.74
Team Comparison '24-25
BUFVGK
Record (W-L-OTL)36-39-750-22-10
Points %48.2%67.1%
Goals for / game3.283.35
Goals against / game3.522.67
Shots for / game27.830.3
Shots against / game28.926.1
Power play %18.8%28.3%
Penalty kill %76.3%75.7%
Faceoff %47.7%50.5%
1st period GF / GA1.12 / 0.830.99 / 0.77
2nd period GF / GA1.02 / 1.300.99 / 0.95
3rd period GF / GA1.05 / 1.301.33 / 0.83
Avg game total6.806.02
Starting Goalies from the box score
30 saves on 33 shots · 3 GA · L
VGK · Adin Hill
23 saves on 24 shots · 1 GA · W
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
BUF0010241/3
VGK2010330/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Jason Zucker G 0.5
o+275
 28% 50% 33%1/3 1 O
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+325
 13% 30% — 0 U
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+350
 21% 30% — 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+450
 21% 30% 50%1/2 0 U
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+240
 26% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+750
 10% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+185
 47% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Dylan Cozens G 0.5
o+300
 21% 20% 100%2/2 0 U
JJ Peterka G 0.5
o+300
 22% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1200
 8% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+700
 11% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+900
 10% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+750
 13% 10% 50%1/2 0 U
Connor Clifton G 0.5
o+1750
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+600
 15% 0% 0%0/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+375
 19% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-140 / u+105
 71% 70% 0%0/2 0 U
JJ Peterka PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 57% 70% 0%0/2 1 O
Jason Zucker PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 56% 60% 67%2/3 1 O
Dylan Cozens PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 41% 50% 100%2/2 0 U
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 28% 50% — 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 55% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 51% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+160 / u-220
 38% 60% 0%0/2 0 U
JJ Peterka A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 43% 60% 0%0/2 1 O
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 45% 40% 50%1/2 1 O
Dylan Cozens A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 28% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+250 / u-350
 22% 40% — 0 U
Jason Zucker A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 39% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+230 / u-325
 36% 0% 50%1/2 0 U
Jiri Kulich SOG 1.5
o-175 / u+130
 79% 80% — 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o-110 / u-120
 58% 50% 50%1/2 3 O
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 47% 50% — 2 O
JJ Peterka SOG 1.5
o-200 / u+145
 54% 50% 100%2/2 2 O
Dylan Cozens SOG 1.5
o-180 / u+135
 64% 40% 100%2/2 2 O
Jason Zucker SOG 2.5
o+135 / u-180
 26% 30% 0%0/3 3 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+140 / u-190
 33% 10% 50%1/2 1 U
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-155 / u+120
 47% 10% 100%2/2 5 O
VGKPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Brett Howden G 0.5
o+325
 34% 50% 0%0/1 0 U
Mark Stone G 0.5
o+180
 33% 30% 0%0/1 1 O
Tanner Pearson G 0.5
o+375
 21% 30% 33%1/3 0 U
Noah Hanifin G 0.5
o+500
 13% 30% 0%0/1 0 U
Keegan Kolesar G 0.5
o+375
 21% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
William Karlsson G 0.5
o+230
 21% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Nicolas Hague G 0.5
o+1100
 11% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Pavel Dorofeyev G 0.5
o+220
 34% 20% — 0 U
Alex Pietrangelo G 0.5
o+650
 9% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Brayden McNabb G 0.5
o+1100
 5% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Tomas Hertl G 0.5
o+225
 21% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Shea Theodore G 0.5
o+525
 8% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Jack Eichel G 0.5
o+130
 26% 10% 100%1/1 1 O
Zach Whitecloud G 0.5
o+1200
 7% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
Alexander Holtz G 0.5
o+525
 8% 10% 67%2/3 0 U
Jonas Rondbjerg G 0.5
o+700
 5% 0% — 0 U
Cole Schwindt G 0.5
o+750
 0% 0% — 0 U
Shea Theodore PTS 0.5
o-130 / u+100
 54% 60% 0%0/1 0 U
Noah Hanifin PTS 0.5
o+115 / u-155
 37% 60% 0%0/1 1 O
William Karlsson PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 48% 50% 50%1/2 0 U
Alex Pietrangelo PTS 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 40% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Jack Eichel PTS 1.5
o+130 / u-175
 45% 40% 0%0/1 2 O
Pavel Dorofeyev PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-150
 42% 40% — 0 U
Mark Stone PTS 1.5
o+180 / u-250
 38% 30% 0%0/1 1 U
Tomas Hertl PTS 0.5
o-120 / u-110
 47% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Jack Eichel A 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 66% 70% 0%0/1 1 O
Mark Stone A 0.5
o-135 / u+100
 71% 60% 0%0/1 0 U
Shea Theodore A 0.5
o-105 / u-130
 51% 60% 0%0/1 0 U
Alex Pietrangelo A 0.5
o+170 / u-240
 31% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
William Karlsson A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 35% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Tomas Hertl A 0.5
o+165 / u-230
 32% 30% 0%0/2 0 U
Noah Hanifin A 0.5
o+165 / u-225
 26% 30% 0%0/1 1 O
Pavel Dorofeyev A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 13% 20% — 0 U
Alex Pietrangelo SOG 1.5
o-170 / u+130
 57% 60% 50%1/2 4 O
Pavel Dorofeyev SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-150
 63% 60% — 5 O
William Karlsson SOG 2.5
o+110 / u-145
 45% 50% 100%2/2 3 O
Noah Hanifin SOG 1.5
o-155 / u+115
 53% 50% 100%1/1 2 O
Jack Eichel SOG 3.5
o+100 / u-135
 42% 50% 100%1/1 7 O
Tomas Hertl SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-170
 40% 40% 0%0/2 0 U
Shea Theodore SOG 1.5
o-190 / u+140
 54% 40% 100%1/1 2 O
Mark Stone SOG 2.5
o+130 / u-175
 29% 20% 100%1/1 1 U
Adin Hill SV 24.5
o-105 / u-125
 42% 50% — 23 U

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Mar 2, 2024 at BUF VGK 2–7 0–12–20–4 9 — BUF
Dec 15, 2023 at VGK VGK 2–5 0–01–11–4 7 — BUF
Dec 19, 2022 at VGK VGK 2–3 0–00–32–0 5 — BUF
Nov 10, 2022 at BUF VGK 7–4 1–12–14–2 11 — VGK
Mar 10, 2022 at BUF VGK 1–3 0–10–01–2 4 — BUF
Feb 1, 2022 at VGK VGK 5–2 2–02–11–1 7 — VGK
Feb 28, 2020 at VGK VGK 4–2 1–10–03–1 6 — VGK
Jan 14, 2020 at BUF VGK 2–4 0–01–21–2 6 — BUF
Oct 16, 2018 at VGK VGK 4–1 1–01–02–1 5 — VGK
Oct 8, 2018 at BUF VGK 2–4 0–11–31–0 6 — BUF