← Stats / MTL @ BUF

MTL @ BUF

Saturday, March 1, 2025 · 6:00 PM CT

How the Matchup Page Works

Lines

Before puck drop the page uses Hard Rock Bet's latest moneyline, puck line and total; once the game is final it switches to Hard Rock's closing line so you can see how each bet graded. Hard Rock only — no other sportsbook is shown. Hard Rock doesn't post period totals to our feed, so the period table shows DraftKings and FanDuel lines (labelled DK / FD) and grades at DraftKings' number (FanDuel's if DraftKings has none, 1.5 if neither has posted); the 0.5 / 1.5 / 2.5 chips grade at a fixed line instead. vs DK/FD Close is each team's record against past games' DraftKings (else FanDuel) closing period total.

Betting trends

Each team's hit rate at tonight's number: Season (last season until 5 games are played), L5 / L10, Venue (home games for the home team, road games for the visitor) and H2H (meetings this season and last). vs HR Close is the record against each past game's own Hard Rock closing line (moneyline: in the role — favorite or underdog — the team has tonight). Trends only use games played before this one.

Totals and puck lines are graded on the official final score (overtime counts; the shootout winner gets one goal). Period totals use regulation goals of that period only.

Props, goalies, H2H

Player props lists every Hard Rock line for this game with Season / L10 / H2H over rates at that line; after the game the actual stat is shown. Goalies shows each team's most recent starter as the probable starter (confirmed starters are not published in advance). Head-to-head lists recent meetings with period scores and how the Hard Rock closing total graded.

Informational only. Not betting advice.

Montréal Canadiens
40-31-11 · Away
4 – 2
FINAL
Buffalo Sabres
36-39-7 · Home
Hard Rock Lines Hard Rock closing line
Moneyline
MTL +130 · BUF -150
Puck Line
MTL +1.5 (-185) · BUF -1.5 (+140)
Total
O 6.5 (-105) · U (-115)

Graded: total 6 → OVER L · BUF -1.5 L

Betting Trends Season
MarketTeamLineSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs HR Close
Game Total
Over 6.5
 MTLo6.5 49%
29-30
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
57%
16-12
50%
3-3
53%
29-26-4
BUFo6.5 54%
31-26
60%
3-2
70%
7-3
63%
19-11
50%
3-3
63%
31-18-7
Puck Line
cover %
 MTL+1.5 61%
36-23
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
61%
17-11
83%
5-1
-5.99u
32-27
BUF-1.5 25%
14-43
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
27%
8-22
17%
1-5
-8.43u
28-28
Moneyline
win %
 MTL dog +130 48%
28-31
60%
3-2
40%
4-6
46%
13-15
67%
4-2
+8.75u
24-28
BUF fav -150 42%
24-33
60%
3-2
60%
6-4
50%
15-15
33%
2-4
-1.52u
10-8
Period Totals grade at DK/FD line 0.5 1.5 2.5 · Hard Rock posts no period totals — DraftKings / FanDuel shown (closing)
PeriodDK / FDTeamSeasonL5L10VenueH2Hvs DK/FD CloseAvg goalsGF / GA
1st Period
over 2.5
 DK 1.5 o-154/u+120 FD 1.5 o-148/u+116 MTL 27%
16-43
60%
3-2
30%
3-7
29%
8-20
0%
0-6
61%
36-23
 1.90 0.83 / 1.07
BUF 28%
16-41
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
33%
10-20
0%
0-6
63%
36-21
 1.98 1.19 / 0.79
2nd Period
over 2.5
 DK 2.5 o+150/u-195 FD 2.5 o+154/u-200 MTL 34%
20-39
20%
1-4
20%
2-8
36%
10-18
67%
4-2
63%
37-22
 2.17 1.07 / 1.10
BUF 35%
20-37
40%
2-3
30%
3-7
33%
10-20
67%
4-2
65%
37-20
 2.21 0.95 / 1.26
3rd Period
over 2.5
 FD 2.5 o+154/u-200 MTL 36%
21-38
0%
0-5
20%
2-8
43%
12-16
33%
2-4
37%
19-33
 2.07 0.95 / 1.12
BUF 46%
26-31
60%
3-2
50%
5-5
53%
16-14
33%
2-4
49%
24-25
 2.28 1.02 / 1.26
Team Comparison '24-25
MTLBUF
Record (W-L-OTL)40-31-1136-39-7
Points %55.5%48.2%
Goals for / game2.993.28
Goals against / game3.233.52
Shots for / game25.627.8
Shots against / game29.028.9
Power play %20.1%18.8%
Penalty kill %80.9%76.3%
Faceoff %50.8%47.7%
1st period GF / GA0.82 / 1.021.12 / 0.83
2nd period GF / GA1.00 / 1.021.02 / 1.30
3rd period GF / GA1.05 / 1.051.05 / 1.30
Avg game total6.226.80
Starting Goalies from the box score
23 saves on 25 shots · 2 GA · W
25 saves on 28 shots · 3 GA · L
P1P2P3OTSOGPP
MTL0310291/4
BUF0200250/2
Player Props Hard Rock lines for this game · over rates at each line
MTLPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Brendan Gallagher G 0.5
o+300
 22% 30% 17%1/6 0 U
Cole Caufield G 0.5
o+175
 41% 30% 17%1/6 1 O
Juraj Slafkovský G 0.5
o+275
 18% 30% 17%1/6 0 U
Joel Armia G 0.5
o+450
 17% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Christian Dvorak G 0.5
o+450
 10% 20% 33%1/3 0 U
Patrik Laine G 0.5
o+230
 39% 20% 100%1/1 0 U
Nick Suzuki G 0.5
o+210
 25% 20% 33%2/6 0 U
Alex Newhook G 0.5
o+375
 17% 20% 0%0/4 1 O
Emil Heineman G 0.5
o+475
 23% 20% 50%1/2 0 U
Mike Matheson G 0.5
o+650
 7% 10% 0%0/6 0 U
Josh Anderson G 0.5
o+550
 15% 10% 33%2/6 1 O
Alexandre Carrier G 0.5
o+1100
 5% 10% 0%0/1 0 U
Lane Hutson G 0.5
o+600
 7% 10% 0%0/2 0 U
David Savard G 0.5
o+1600
 2% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Jake Evans G 0.5
o+650
 19% 0% 0%0/6 1 O
Jayden Struble G 0.5
o+1300
 6% 0% 50%2/4 0 U
Arber Xhekaj G 0.5
o+1400
 2% 0% 25%1/4 0 U
Owen Beck G 0.5
o+550
 0% — — 0 U
Cole Caufield PTS 0.5
o-150 / u+115
 66% 60% 33%2/6 1 O
Alex Newhook PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 29% 60% 50%2/4 1 O
Nick Suzuki PTS 0.5
o-180 / u+135
 63% 50% 50%3/6 1 O
Lane Hutson PTS 0.5
o-115 / u-115
 56% 50% 100%2/2 2 O
Juraj Slafkovský PTS 0.5
o-105 / u-125
 46% 50% 33%2/6 0 U
Mike Matheson PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-185
 35% 30% 33%2/6 1 O
Patrik Laine PTS 0.5
o+100 / u-135
 52% 30% 100%1/1 1 O
Nick Suzuki A 0.5
o+105 / u-135
 53% 50% 33%2/6 1 O
Alex Newhook A 0.5
o+275 / u-400
 14% 50% 50%2/4 0 U
Cole Caufield A 0.5
o+150 / u-200
 37% 40% 17%1/6 0 U
Lane Hutson A 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 51% 40% 100%2/2 2 O
Mike Matheson A 0.5
o+180 / u-250
 32% 20% 33%2/6 1 O
Patrik Laine A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 23% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Juraj Slafkovský A 0.5
o+175 / u-240
 32% 20% 33%2/6 0 U
Brendan Gallagher SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 59% 70% 50%3/6 4 O
Nick Suzuki SOG 1.5
o-160 / u+120
 64% 70% 83%5/6 3 O
Juraj Slafkovský SOG 1.5
o-120 / u-110
 38% 50% 67%4/6 2 O
Mike Matheson SOG 1.5
o-140 / u+105
 56% 40% 67%4/6 0 U
Cole Caufield SOG 2.5
o-135 / u+105
 56% 40% 33%2/6 1 U
Patrik Laine SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+140
 61% 30% 100%1/1 2 O
Jakub Dobes SV 25.5
o-105 / u-125
 44% — — 23 U
BUFPropLineSeasonL10H2HActual
Alex Tuch G 0.5
o+180
 30% 50% 20%1/5 1 O
Tage Thompson G 0.5
o+130
 45% 50% 33%2/6 0 U
JJ Peterka G 0.5
o+165
 24% 40% 17%1/6 0 U
Ryan McLeod G 0.5
o+350
 20% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Henri Jokiharju G 0.5
o+1300
 7% 20% 0%0/5 DNP
Rasmus Dahlin G 0.5
o+350
 16% 20% 40%2/5 0 U
Bowen Byram G 0.5
o+700
 11% 20% 0%0/2 0 U
Jiri Kulich G 0.5
o+300
 21% 20% 0%0/1 1 O
Sam Lafferty G 0.5
o+750
 5% 10% 0%0/3 DNP
Mattias Samuelsson G 0.5
o+1100
 8% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Dylan Cozens G 0.5
o+260
 19% 10% 33%2/6 0 U
Jack Quinn G 0.5
o+250
 16% 10% 33%1/3 0 U
Zach Benson G 0.5
o+350
 18% 10% 0%0/5 0 U
Jordan Greenway G 0.5
o+425
 13% 0% 0%0/4 0 U
Beck Malenstyn G 0.5
o+750
 8% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Jacob Bryson G 0.5
o+2000
 0% 0% 0%0/2 0 U
Peyton Krebs G 0.5
o+500
 7% 0% 17%1/6 0 U
Owen Power G 0.5
o+575
 11% 0% 0%0/5 0 U
Alex Tuch PTS 0.5
o-165 / u+125
 56% 70% 60%3/5 1 O
JJ Peterka PTS 0.5
o-170 / u+125
 58% 70% 50%3/6 1 O
Owen Power PTS 0.5
o+125 / u-165
 44% 70% 40%2/5 0 U
Tage Thompson PTS 0.5
o-200 / u+145
 67% 60% 67%4/6 0 U
Ryan McLeod PTS 0.5
o+145 / u-195
 43% 60% 0%0/3 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin PTS 0.5
o-160 / u+120
 59% 60% 80%4/5 1 O
Jack Quinn PTS 0.5
o+105 / u-140
 34% 50% 33%1/3 0 U
Bowen Byram PTS 0.5
o+155 / u-210
 40% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Dylan Cozens PTS 0.5
o+110 / u-145
 40% 40% 67%4/6 0 U
Jiri Kulich PTS 0.5
o+140 / u-190
 28% 40% 0%0/1 1 O
Owen Power A 0.5
o+170 / u-230
 37% 70% 40%2/5 0 U
Rasmus Dahlin A 0.5
o-110 / u-125
 53% 60% 80%4/5 1 O
Alex Tuch A 0.5
o+130 / u-175
 37% 40% 40%2/5 0 U
Tage Thompson A 0.5
o+135 / u-180
 39% 40% 50%3/6 0 U
Bowen Byram A 0.5
o+200 / u-275
 33% 40% 50%1/2 0 U
Jack Quinn A 0.5
o+210 / u-300
 22% 40% 33%1/3 0 U
JJ Peterka A 0.5
o+135 / u-185
 44% 40% 33%2/6 1 O
Ryan McLeod A 0.5
o+260 / u-375
 26% 30% 0%0/3 0 U
Dylan Cozens A 0.5
o+220 / u-300
 26% 30% 50%3/6 0 U
Jiri Kulich A 0.5
o+300 / u-425
 12% 20% 0%0/1 0 U
Owen Power SOG 1.5
o-150 / u+110
 58% 90% 20%1/5 2 O
Alex Tuch SOG 2.5
o+115 / u-150
 40% 70% 20%1/5 2 U
Tage Thompson SOG 2.5
o-180 / u+135
 55% 70% 50%3/6 2 U
Jack Quinn SOG 1.5
o-185 / u+135
 54% 70% 33%1/3 1 U
Jiri Kulich SOG 1.5
o-135 / u+100
 72% 60% 0%0/1 3 O
Dylan Cozens SOG 1.5
o-165 / u+125
 61% 50% 100%6/6 2 O
JJ Peterka SOG 2.5
o+105 / u-140
 40% 50% 67%4/6 1 U
Rasmus Dahlin SOG 2.5
o+125 / u-165
 47% 20% 80%4/5 3 O
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen SV 22.5
o-120 / u-110
 62% 40% 33%1/3 25 O

Open in Prop Finder →

Head-to-Head last 10 meetings
DateWhereScoreP1P2P3TotalHR CloseWinner
Dec 17, 2024 at MTL BUF 1–6 0–21–40–0 7 6 O MTL
Nov 11, 2024 at BUF BUF 5–7 1–12–32–3 12 6.5 O MTL
Feb 21, 2024 at MTL BUF 3–2 0–13–10–0 5 — BUF
Jan 4, 2024 at MTL BUF 6–1 0–02–14–0 7 — BUF
Dec 9, 2023 at BUF BUF 2–3 SO 0–00–22–0 5 — MTL
Oct 23, 2023 at BUF BUF 1–3 1–10–00–2 4 — MTL
Mar 27, 2023 at BUF BUF 3–4 SO 1–12–10–1 7 — MTL
Nov 22, 2022 at MTL BUF 7–2 3–11–13–0 9 — BUF
Oct 27, 2022 at BUF BUF 2–3 0–11–01–2 5 — MTL
Feb 23, 2022 at MTL BUF 0–4 0–10–10–2 4 — MTL